Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank vs Preseason
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -0.2 169 100%
INCC Stats Results Rating -0.9 176 99%
Consistency 0.16 210
Pace 69.5 147
Improvement +5.0 26

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 162 C C- C+ D C+
Defense D+ 184 D+ C- B B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 C+ 60% 124 -1.2 225
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 291 F+ 31% 349 -3.1 324
Three Pointers 49% 28 C 34% 155 +4.5 44
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 123 C -0.2 175
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 162
Second Chance D+ 26.9% 274 C 1.04 153 C- 0.28 247
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.0% 146
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 157
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 135
Freethrows D 0.26 306 D+ 70% 257 D 0.19 313
Total Offense D+ +0.1 162

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 195 C 11.0% 181
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 185 C- 6.0% 255
Three Pointers C+ 86% 133 C- 1.0% 239
Total B- 60% 78 C+ 5.3% 161


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 311 D 62% 298 -1.4 124
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 361 C 38% 191 -3.1 4
Three Pointers 54% 2 C- 35% 246 +7.6 362
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 297 D+ +2.3 277
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 280
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 128 D- 1.14 326 C- 0.33 238
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.1% 23
Other Turnovers C 7.1% 188
Turnovers B 19.2% 43
Freethrows B- 0.28 106 C- 73% 229 B- 0.20 108
Total Defense D+ -0.4 184

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 315 D+ 7.9% 304
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 299 C+ 5.8% 109
Three Pointers D- 89% 332 D 0.2% 333
Total F+ 67% 355 D- 3.5% 336

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 160 16.9 99
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 133 0.19 279
Consistency 0.15 333 0.12 113
Improvement +5.0 11 +0.0 188



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 3 31 North Carolina L 54 - 94 5% -24  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F -17 F B+ F C- -2 C- F B+
Tue, Nov 11 17 Arkansas L 56 - 93 3% -16  0% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -16 F C A+ C+ +3 C- A+ C-
Sun, Nov 16 213 Samford L 77 - 84 OT 71% +3  62% 0 - 3 D- -13 F+ -8 D+ D- D+ D -4 D+ B F
Thu, Nov 20 134 North Texas L 56 - 74 32% -5  17% 0 - 4 D- -13 F -11 D+ F F C- -2 B B- D
Sun, Nov 23 177 Eastern Washington W 92 - 65 64% +20  98% 1 - 4 A +23 B+ +10 A+ F C A +13 A- C A+
Tue, Nov 25 324 Eastern Illinois W 81 - 60 89% +16  96% 2 - 4 B- +7 A +10 A A+ C- C -1 D C- C+
Sat, Nov 29 172 East Tennessee St. L 57 - 80 39% -10  7% 2 - 5 F -20 F -19 F D C+ C -1 F A+ D
Wed, Dec 3 312 Arkansas Little Rock W 85 - 47 87% +29  96% 3 - 5 A+ +25 C+ +2 B+ D- D A+ +23 A+ B A+
Sun, Dec 7 296 East Texas A&M L 68 - 75 69% -1  30% 3 - 6 D- -12 F -12 C- F C+ C +0 B+ F C+
Sat, Dec 13 13 Vanderbilt L 72 - 83 3% -15  0% 3 - 7 B +12 C+ -0 C- C+ B+ A +12 A+ F A
Sun, Dec 21 45 SMU L 82 - 99 8% -11  0% 3 - 8 C -1 A +10 A A- F+ F -12 D- F B
Thu, Jan 1 256 Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 83 79% -3  21% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 A +14 B+ A A+ F -20 F D+ C-
Sat, Jan 3 306 Stetson W 93 - 73 87% +13  88% 5 - 8 2 - 0 B- +8 A +13 B+ A D+ D -4 F D+ A-
Thu, Jan 8 281 Bellarmine L 78 - 84 OT 66% +0  43% 5 - 9 2 - 1 D -10 F+ -12 F C- B+ C- +2 D C- C
Sat, Jan 10 299 Eastern Kentucky L 75 - 79 OT 70% -1  35% 5 - 10 2 - 2 D -10 D -8 C+ F F+ C -2 F C C+
Thu, Jan 15 294 Jacksonville W 62 - 60 85% -5  19% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D -9 D -7 C- F D D+ -2 A+ F+ F
Sat, Jan 17 337 North Florida W 98 - 69 92% +23  95% 7 - 10 4 - 2 B+ +13 A- +9 B+ C B+ B +4 C- A+ B-
Thu, Jan 22 302 West Georgia W 86 - 65 71% +9  68% 8 - 10 5 - 2 B+ +15 A- +12 A+ F B B+ +4 D- F A+
Wed, Jan 28 198 Queens W 100 - 90 45% -1  35% 9 - 10 6 - 2 B +11 A+ +14 A+ C- B+ D+ -4 F A C-
Sat, Jan 31 299 Eastern Kentucky W 90 - 81 86% +8  98% 10 - 10 7 - 2 C- -3 C -2 C D- A+ C -1 F+ A+ B
Wed, Feb 4 345 North Alabama W 81 - 60 93% +7  81% 11 - 10 8 - 2 C+ +4 C+ +2 B D+ C A- +4 C+ B+ B-
Sat, Feb 7 220 Lipscomb W 86 - 78 51% +9  98% 12 - 10 9 - 2 B- +8 A- +8 C B+ C+ C+ -1 F+ D+ A-
Mon, Feb 9 345 North Alabama W 72 - 65 84% -5  10% 13 - 10 10 - 2 C- -4 D -6 F+ C+ F A- +2 F C- A+
Wed, Feb 11 281 Bellarmine W 84 - 76 83% -2  36% 14 - 10 11 - 2 C- -2 B- +1 D+ D+ A+ D- -2 F C+ A+
Sat, Feb 14 302 West Georgia W 79 - 62 86% +9  97% 15 - 10 12 - 2 C+ +5 D+ -0 C- C B- A- +6 D+ B A-
Thu, Feb 19 306 Stetson W 88 - 76 72% +15  95% 16 - 10 13 - 2 B- +6 A +13 A- C C F+ -6 F F A+
Sat, Feb 21 256 Florida Gulf Coast L 71 - 75 OT 59% +1  53% 16 - 11 13 - 3 D+ -7 F+ -7 F B C+ B +1 B+ D- F
Wed, Feb 25 181 Austin Peay W 93 - 88 42% -5  13% 17 - 11 14 - 3 B- +7 A+ +22 A+ A A F -15 F C A+
Sat, Feb 28 198 Queens W 84 - 79 68% +8  98% 18 - 11 15 - 3 C -0 C -0 D D+ B- C +0 D+ A+ C
Fri, Mar 6 281 Bellarmine W 86 - 73 75% +14  91% 19 - 11 B- +6 A +8 A C D D -1 C F B+
Sat, Mar 7 256 Florida Gulf Coast W 73 - 63 70% +4  87% 20 - 11 C+ +4 D- -5 D+ D B A+ +9 A B- C+
Sun, Mar 8 198 Queens L 93 - 98 OT 57% -2  20% 20 - 12 D+ -7 C -0 C D- B- D- -6 D F A+
Totals 20 - 12 15 - 3 +0 D+ +0 C C C+ D+ +0 C D+ D


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C+ F+ C C 35% 28% 49% C+ C D+ C C- C+ D D+ D D+ D C C- D+ 34% 13% 54% D D+ C+ D- C- B B- C- B-
1.04 60% 31% 34% 0 0 1.03 27% 1.0 .28 16% .26 70% .19 1.12 62% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .33 19% .28 73% .19
Nov
3		 UNC F F F D F 24% 29% 47% D+ F C- A+ B+ F D D D C- F A+ B- C 48% 12% 40% F+ C- D F F B+ C F F+
0.72 38% 13% 31% -14 -2 0.69 23% 1.2 .28 23% .15 67% .10 1.25 80% 0% 33% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.5 .56 16% .35 82% .28
Nov
11		 Arkansas F C+ F+ F F 21% 12% 67% C F F+ A+ C A+ A- D+ B+ C+ F B D D+ 29% 16% 55% B- C- A+ B- A+ C- C- F+ D
0.75 58% 29% 8% -27 0 0.47 20% 1.6 .31 11% .32 67% .21 1.25 81% 33% 39% +10 0 1.21 24% 1.3 .30 11% .33 82% .27
Nov
16		 Samford F+ B+ F D+ D- 45% 24% 31% B+ D+ B- F D- D+ A- F C- D F A+ C- D 22% 14% 64% C D+ B- A B F A D A-
1.02 65% 14% 33% -3 0 0.97 30% 0.7 .21 15% .36 57% .20 1.12 85% 13% 34% +3 0 1.07 21% 0.9 .19 9% .26 72% .19
Nov
20		 North Texas F D- F C D 37% 16% 47% B- D+ C+ F F F A+ F A+ C- F A+ A+ B- 43% 25% 32% B+ B B- B- B- D F F F
0.82 50% 17% 33% -7 +1 0.89 33% 0.5 .15 28% .64 56% .36 1.08 74% 18% 14% -8 0 0.86 31% 0.9 .29 15% .55 84% .46
Nov
23		 Eastern WA B+ B F A+ A+ 43% 4% 53% A- A+ C- F F C F F F A A A+ C+ A 27% 10% 63% D+ A- D- A- C A+ B+ B B+
1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15 0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 +1 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18
Nov
25		 E. Illinois A A+ F B+ A 36% 6% 57% B- A C- A+ A+ C- F+ F F C F C+ A+ D 33% 25% 42% D D A+ F C- C+ B F C-
1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16 0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21
Nov
29		 ETSU F F F F+ F 17% 13% 70% D F F A+ D C+ F C+ F C F C F F 35% 9% 56% D F A+ B+ A+ D A- A+ A+
0.79 44% 14% 29% -11 -1 0.80 13% 1.8 .24 18% .14 75% .10 1.12 74% 40% 40% +11 +1 1.26 13% 1.0 .13 14% .26 50% .13
Dec
3		 Little Rock C+ A B+ B 33% 0% 67% B+ B+ C F D- D D- C D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 24% 39% F A+ B B B A+ B+ A+ A+
1.19 72% 39% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.7 .25 20% .24 71% .17 0.66 44% 17% 26% -15 -1 0.71 26% 0.9 .24 29% .18 22% .04
Dec
7		 E. TX A&M F B F F D- 61% 4% 35% A+ C- F D- F C+ F F F C D- A+ A+ A- 29% 10% 60% C- B+ B+ F F C+ F F F
0.91 63% 0% 25% -3 +4 1.04 11% 1.0 .11 16% .24 33% .08 1.01 64% 20% 24% -9 +1 0.85 19% 2.1 .42 19% .41 76% .31
Dec
13		 Vanderbilt C+ B- F D C- 22% 22% 56% C- C- D+ A+ C+ B+ A+ D A A B F A+ A+ 31% 6% 63% D- A+ C F F A C- D+ D+
0.96 58% 25% 30% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.2 .28 16% .43 70% .30 1.10 56% 67% 24% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.6 .54 17% .35 82% .29
Dec
21		 SMU A D- C A+ A 31% 27% 42% C- A B A A- F+ B C B F F F B+ D- 36% 12% 53% F D- F F F B A+ F+ A
1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22 1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14
Jan
1		 FGCU A B+ F A+ B+ 37% 20% 43% D+ B+ B A+ A A+ C A- B- F F C+ F F 27% 16% 57% D F A+ F D+ C- B F D+
1.33 67% 30% 43% +7 0 1.16 34% 1.4 .47 11% .35 80% .28 1.29 79% 38% 45% +15 0 1.31 19% 1.8 .35 16% .22 92% .20
Jan
3		 Stetson A A+ F B+ B+ 40% 8% 52% B+ B+ A B- A D+ A+ B+ A+ D D F F+ F 24% 13% 62% C- F D- B- D+ A- F B- F
1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32 1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26
Jan
8		 Bellarmine F+ F F F F 25% 14% 61% C F D+ C+ C- B+ F+ A D C- F D+ D D- 34% 9% 57% C+ D B+ F C- C A- A A
1.05 47% 25% 28% -10 0 0.81 32% 1.2 .38 12% .25 81% .20 1.13 74% 40% 38% +9 +1 1.21 16% 1.6 .26 16% .23 71% .16
Jan
10		 E. Kentucky D D A+ B- C 34% 15% 51% B- C+ C- F F F+ F C F+ C D A+ F F 15% 11% 75% D F B D- C C+ A+ A+ A+
1.06 56% 75% 37% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.3 .11 18% .26 73% .19 1.12 63% 17% 41% +7 0 1.15 28% 1.2 .33 18% .12 57% .07
Jan
15		 Jacksonville D B- A+ D- C 43% 25% 33% D C- C+ F F D B+ B- B+ D+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 13% 53% D A+ F C+ F+ F D D- D-
1.05 65% 50% 31% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .16 17% .43 71% .31 1.02 31% 50% 24% -16 +1 0.72 39% 1.0 .39 10% .32 76% .25
Jan
17		 N. Florida A- B A+ A- A- 33% 11% 56% C B+ C+ D+ C B+ C A- B- B B+ F C- D+ 24% 14% 63% B C- A- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.39 67% 67% 39% +10 +1 1.24 39% 1.1 .45 10% .28 78% .22 0.98 50% 57% 34% +1 0 1.04 19% 0.6 .11 20% .32 67% .21
Jan
22		 W. Georgia A- B+ B- A+ A+ 44% 13% 43% C+ A+ F A+ F B F C F B+ C+ F A- D+ 40% 19% 42% F D- F F F A+ F B F
1.28 67% 43% 52% +16 +1 1.37 11% 1.3 .15 12% .19 73% .13 0.96 53% 63% 28% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.5 .58 33% .40 67% .26
Jan
28		 Queens A+ A+ A A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% D A+ F A+ C- B+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F F 23% 9% 68% C+ F A+ D A C- D+ B C-
1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43 1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24
Jan
31		 E. Kentucky C C- A+ C+ C 37% 15% 47% B- C F A D- A+ B F F C B A+ F D 31% 4% 65% F F+ A A+ A+ B F C- F
1.19 59% 67% 36% +6 +1 1.15 21% 1.2 .26 8% .37 50% .19 1.07 50% 0% 41% +3 +2 1.12 24% 0.8 .19 20% .43 73% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 N. Alabama C+ B+ F A+ B 39% 7% 54% B- B D B- D+ C F B- F A- A C+ C B- 43% 12% 45% D C+ A D B+ B- C+ A+ A-
1.22 67% 0% 41% +6 +2 1.19 29% 1.2 .35 15% .16 78% .12 0.90 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.88 22% 1.1 .24 20% .30 50% .15
Feb
7		 Lipscomb A- A+ D D+ B- 25% 40% 36% F C B B B+ C+ A C A- C+ F C+ F F 22% 13% 65% A F+ D- C D+ A- F A- F
1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25 1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26
Feb
9		 N. Alabama D D+ A+ F F 39% 9% 52% C+ F+ D- A+ C+ F A+ C- A+ A- C F B- F+ 58% 8% 34% F F C D C- A+ F F+ F
1.07 56% 75% 25% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.4 .41 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 55% 67% 31% -1 +3 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 28% .47 74% .35
Feb
11		 Bellarmine B- D C B+ D- 41% 10% 49% A- D+ D B- D+ A+ A F B D- D+ F F F 30% 9% 61% B- F B- D C+ A+ A+ F A+
1.28 57% 40% 40% +4 +2 1.14 30% 1.2 .36 8% .40 67% .26 1.16 64% 50% 50% +18 +1 1.39 18% 1.3 .23 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
14		 W. Georgia D+ D F B+ D+ 50% 10% 40% B C- B D- C B- D- A+ C- A- B D C- C- 41% 29% 31% D- D+ B+ C+ B A- C A+ A-
1.15 54% 20% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 13% .28 82% .23 0.90 50% 43% 33% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 20% .26 50% .13
Feb
19		 Stetson A A A+ B+ A- 31% 15% 54% C- A- A- F C C A C+ A- F+ F A+ F F 20% 22% 59% B+ F B+ F F A+ A+ F A-
1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27 1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14
Feb
21		 FGCU F+ F+ F F+ F 34% 15% 51% C F D A+ B C+ D- B D+ B D+ A A+ A 40% 17% 43% F B+ B F D- F B+ A+ A
0.99 50% 25% 30% -8 0 0.87 26% 1.5 .38 15% .30 78% .23 1.04 63% 30% 23% -7 +1 0.90 26% 1.5 .38 11% .20 54% .11
Feb
25		 Austin Peay A+ A A+ A+ A+ 41% 4% 55% A- A+ F A+ A A C A+ B+ F D- A+ F F 50% 2% 48% F F F A+ C A+ F F F
1.37 71% 50% 43% +13 +2 1.33 20% 2.0 .40 13% .31 83% .26 1.30 64% 0% 57% +19 +3 1.45 36% 0.9 .32 22% .40 86% .34
Feb
28		 Queens C A F F D- 48% 12% 40% B D D+ D+ D+ B- A A+ A+ C F F B+ D+ 29% 8% 63% C- D+ A A+ A+ C C+ F F+
1.18 71% 17% 25% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.11 73% 75% 30% +4 +1 1.12 22% 0.6 .13 16% .30 94% .28
Mar
6		 Bellarmine A A+ F A+ A 35% 15% 50% B- A D- A+ C D D- B+ D+ D C- F B- C+ 46% 2% 52% F C F F F B+ B- A B+
1.36 76% 29% 50% +17 +1 1.38 29% 1.4 .42 17% .27 79% .21 1.16 62% 100% 33% +3 +3 1.13 30% 1.8 .52 19% .27 71% .20
Mar
7		 FGCU D- C- F C+ D 44% 12% 44% B D+ D D D B C F D- A+ D F A+ A+ 32% 17% 51% D- A B C+ B- C+ C A- C+
1.04 57% 17% 35% -3 +2 1.00 26% 1.0 .26 14% .35 62% .22 0.90 65% 56% 15% -10 0 0.83 26% 1.0 .26 17% .26 67% .17
Mar
8		 Queens C F D- A D+ 46% 5% 49% A C C F D- B- D- D+ D- D- C+ F F+ D 34% 4% 62% D- D F F+ F A+ F F+ F
1.16 48% 33% 42% +1 +3 1.10 34% 0.8 .27 14% .29 70% .20 1.22 59% 50% 39% +5 +2 1.16 44% 1.3 .56 22% .43 81% .35