Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#86
Expected Predictive Rating+11.8#47
Pace70.5#144
Improvement+3.1#21

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#125
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebound+4.9#10
Layup/Dunks+3.7#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#281
Freethrows-0.4#215
Improvement+1.2#93

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#66
First Shot+5.5#35
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#259
Layups/Dunks+3.9#62
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#61
Freethrows-2.6#322
Improvement+2.0#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 13.7% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% 4.0% 1.0%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.2
.500 or above 95.8% 97.3% 89.6%
.500 or above in Conference 78.1% 80.4% 68.9%
Conference Champion 11.4% 12.5% 7.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 2.4%
First Four1.8% 2.1% 0.6%
First Round11.5% 12.7% 6.7%
Second Round3.8% 4.3% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 79.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 24 - 44 - 5
Quad 38 - 312 - 9
Quad 48 - 021 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 79-72 98%     1 - 0 -10.3 -4.9 -5.7
  Nov 07, 2024 298   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 93%     2 - 0 +11.8 +7.7 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2024 108   @ Princeton W 73-68 48%     3 - 0 +11.9 +0.0 +11.8
  Nov 19, 2024 199   Southern Utah W 76-72 85%     4 - 0 -0.8 +4.8 -5.3
  Nov 23, 2024 225   Tulsa W 89-53 88%     5 - 0 +29.4 +11.1 +17.1
  Dec 03, 2024 299   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 93%     6 - 0 +11.7 +7.0 +7.3
  Dec 07, 2024 148   South Florida W 77-68 80%    
  Dec 15, 2024 64   San Francisco L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 18, 2024 345   Canisius W 83-61 98%    
  Dec 22, 2024 144   Oakland W 69-64 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 55   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 08, 2025 143   @ La Salle W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 11, 2025 101   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 15, 2025 91   Rhode Island W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 18, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 201   Fordham W 77-66 84%    
  Jan 29, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 66-69 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 101   Saint Joseph's W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 04, 2025 88   St. Bonaventure W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 208   @ Duquesne W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 11, 2025 186   @ Richmond W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 14, 2025 137   Saint Louis W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 18, 2025 134   @ Davidson W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 21, 2025 46   Dayton L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 151   George Washington W 79-70 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 137   @ Saint Louis W 77-75 57%    
  Mar 05, 2025 134   Davidson W 77-69 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 171   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 20 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.2 11.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.3 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.5 4.2 1.1 0.1 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.8 1.4 0.1 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.1 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.9 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.2 1.2 0.0 5.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.7 0.2 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.4 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.8 5.8 8.5 11.0 12.6 13.6 12.9 11.1 7.9 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.2% 1.0    0.9 0.0
16-2 93.0% 2.4    2.0 0.4 0.0
15-3 71.2% 3.7    2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 36.5% 2.9    1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.4% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.4% 11.4 6.4 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 98.2% 35.5% 62.7% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.2%
17-1 1.0% 79.7% 35.1% 44.6% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 68.8%
16-2 2.6% 58.4% 28.2% 30.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.0 1.1 42.1%
15-3 5.2% 42.9% 25.9% 17.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 0.2 3.0 23.0%
14-4 7.9% 27.1% 20.8% 6.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 0.4 5.7 8.0%
13-5 11.1% 18.0% 16.0% 2.0% 11.4 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.8 0.0 9.1 2.4%
12-6 12.9% 11.3% 10.9% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.7 0.7 0.0 11.5 0.5%
11-7 13.6% 6.7% 6.6% 0.1% 11.7 0.3 0.6 0.0 12.7 0.1%
10-8 12.6% 4.4% 4.3% 0.1% 11.8 0.1 0.4 0.0 12.0 0.1%
9-9 11.0% 2.9% 2.9% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 10.7
8-10 8.5% 1.7% 1.7% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 5.8% 0.7% 0.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
6-12 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 2.2
4-14 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.3% 9.3% 3.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.3 5.5 3.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 87.7 3.4%