Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#253
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#234
Pace77.3#31
Improvement+0.5#131

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#242
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#194
Layup/Dunks-2.3#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#219
Freethrows+1.1#102
Improvement+0.4#127

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#259
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#304
Layups/Dunks+3.8#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#323
Freethrows-3.2#326
Improvement+0.1#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 24.4% 15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 25.1% 48.3% 23.3%
.500 or above in Conference 92.0% 97.0% 91.6%
Conference Champion 20.8% 31.5% 20.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four14.3% 15.7% 14.2%
First Round10.2% 16.7% 9.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 20 - 30 - 10
Quad 31 - 31 - 13
Quad 413 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 41   @ St. Mary's L 68-87 5%     0 - 1 -5.5 +4.9 -10.4
  Nov 11, 2021 50   @ San Francisco L 76-92 7%     0 - 2 -3.8 +3.5 -6.0
  Nov 13, 2021 16   Michigan L 49-77 4%     0 - 3 -13.0 -18.4 +6.7
  Nov 14, 2021 33   @ Oklahoma St. L 59-72 4%     0 - 4 +1.9 -8.5 +11.5
  Nov 15, 2021 18   @ Texas Tech L 49-84 3%     0 - 5 -17.2 -16.1 -0.1
  Nov 17, 2021 110   @ Grand Canyon L 64-91 14%     0 - 6 -20.3 -3.4 -17.8
  Nov 27, 2021 129   @ Loyola Marymount L 80-83 17%     0 - 7 +2.4 +5.1 -2.6
  Nov 30, 2021 59   @ South Dakota St. L 76-92 7%    
  Dec 10, 2021 68   @ Boise St. L 62-77 8%    
  Dec 22, 2021 53   @ Wichita St. L 63-79 7%    
  Dec 28, 2021 201   @ Valparaiso L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 30, 2021 44   @ Northwestern L 66-84 5%    
  Jan 03, 2022 323   @ Grambling St. W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 05, 2022 289   @ Southern L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 08, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 91-68 98%    
  Jan 10, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-65 95%    
  Jan 15, 2022 249   @ Jackson St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 17, 2022 316   @ Alcorn St. W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 22, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 81-70 83%    
  Jan 24, 2022 341   Alabama A&M W 78-67 84%    
  Jan 29, 2022 199   Texas Southern L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 05, 2022 344   @ Bethune-Cookman W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 07, 2022 305   @ Florida A&M W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 12, 2022 289   Southern W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 14, 2022 323   Grambling St. W 77-70 75%    
  Feb 19, 2022 357   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-68 85%    
  Feb 19, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 88-71 93%    
  Feb 26, 2022 316   Alcorn St. W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 28, 2022 249   Jackson St. W 71-68 60%    
  Mar 05, 2022 199   @ Texas Southern L 72-78 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.6 5.3 6.7 4.6 2.0 0.4 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.6 6.3 2.2 0.3 19.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.8 7.2 5.4 1.1 0.1 16.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 6.0 4.7 0.7 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.4 4.4 0.7 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.4 0.6 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.2 7.5 10.3 14.2 15.8 15.2 12.7 8.9 4.9 2.0 0.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 2.0    1.9 0.1
16-2 93.7% 4.6    4.0 0.6 0.0
15-3 74.7% 6.7    4.1 2.4 0.2
14-4 41.9% 5.3    1.7 2.6 0.9 0.1
13-5 10.4% 1.6    0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 12.4 6.5 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 52.3% 52.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
17-1 2.0% 35.6% 35.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3
16-2 4.9% 36.3% 36.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1
15-3 8.9% 29.9% 29.9% 16.0 0.1 2.6 6.3
14-4 12.7% 22.1% 22.1% 16.0 0.1 2.8 9.9
13-5 15.2% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.0 3.0 12.2
12-6 15.8% 14.9% 14.9% 16.0 2.3 13.4
11-7 14.2% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.0 1.4 12.8
10-8 10.3% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 0.9 9.4
9-9 7.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.4 7.1
8-10 4.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 4.1
7-11 2.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
6-12 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 16.4% 16.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 15.7 83.6 0.0%