Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.3 334
Expected Predictive Rating -12.0 341
Pace 80.1 5
Improvement -1.6 245

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 337 D- D- B- B F+
Defense D 309 D F+ B- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 257 D 53% 301 -3.3 293
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 13 D+ 36% 257 +4.2 28
Three Pointers 30% 352 D- 29% 335 -7.5 354
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.8 348 D- -4.8 331
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 349
Second Chance F+ 22.7% 346 C 1.04 157 D- 0.24 333
Turnovers B- 15.5% 100
Freethrows B 0.35 54 B- 75% 102 B 0.26 44
Total Offense D -6.7 337

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 27% 363 C 10.9% 172
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 27% 137 C+ 4.4% 138
Three Pointers D+ 80% 271 B+ 0.2% 31
Total F 39% 364 C 5.5% 173

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 66 C 59% 201 +3.0 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 214 D 42% 298 +0.2 203
Three Pointers 38% 276 D- 38% 339 +0.7 217
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 262 D +3.2 302
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 303
Second Chance F+ 36.9% 355 D+ 1.09 271 F+ 0.40 351
Turnovers B- 18.4% 86
Freethrows F+ 0.38 343 C- 73% 256 F+ 0.28 346
Total Defense D -4.6 309

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 322 C 11.6% 146
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 270 B 7.3% 60
Three Pointers B 79% 58 C+ 1.2% 107
Total C- 58% 243 B- 6.9% 83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 44 15.6 3
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 52 0.18 225
Improvement -1.2 #250 -0.3 #213

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 346 333 317
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 13% 14% 12%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 36.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 49 - 119 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 97 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 4% -18  0% 0 - 1 F -35 F -13 F A F F -17 F D D+
 Wed, Nov 12 62 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 3% -16  1% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -12 D+ F B+ C -0 B+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 17 49 @Missouri L 73 - 91 2% -19  2% 0 - 3 C- -4 D+ -3 D- D+ A+ C+ +1 C C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 217 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 22% +2  57% 0 - 4 C- -4 D -5 F D B+ C+ +1 C- B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 339 North Florida W 85 - 82 52% -5  9% 1 - 4 D -9 D -5 D- F D+ D+ -4 F F+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 138 @North Texas L 69 - 72 8% +2  69% 1 - 5 C +1 C -0 C- D A+ C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 291 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 25% -9  12% 1 - 6 F+ -16 D+ -3 C- D- D+ F -12 D F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 54 @LSU L 90 - 104 2% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ D+ B- F -13 C+ F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 35 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 1% -22  0% 1 - 8 D- -12 C- -2 D- B B D+ -5 D+ D B-
 Sat, Jan 3 293 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 26% -4  1% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -8 D- -6 F D+ F C- -2 F+ D- A+
 Mon, Jan 5 267 @Southern W 89 - 85 21% +5  84% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C +1 B +6 B- B B- D -5 C D C
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 92% -2  21% 3 - 9 2 - 1 F -26 F -17 F F B- F+ -9 F F A
 Mon, Jan 12 328 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 60% +6  85% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C- -2 F+ -9 D+ F A A- +7 A+ C- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 332 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 38% -4  13% 4 - 10 3 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 F D C+ D -5 F D A-
 Mon, Jan 19 349 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 46% -3  14% 4 - 11 3 - 3 D- -11 D -6 C- F A- D -6 C F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 309 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 52% -12  0% 4 - 12 3 - 4 F -27 F -13 F B+ F F -11 F C- D+
 Tue, Jan 27 307 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 52% -12  8% 4 - 13 3 - 5 F -32 F -19 F F C- F -13 F C+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 297 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 48% +2  57% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C- -4 C- -1 D- D A+ D+ -4 C- F C
 Sat, Feb 7 241 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 82 18% -0  44% 5 - 14 4 - 6 D+ -7 D+ -4 F D A+ C- -3 A+ F D
 Mon, Feb 9 333 @Florida A&M L 96 - 100 38% -13  2% 5 - 15 4 - 7 D- -12 C +1 C D+ D F -13 F F A
 Sat, Feb 14 267 Southern L 82 - 87 41% -0  45% 5 - 16 4 - 8 D- -14 D -4 D F B+ F+ -9 D F D
 Mon, Feb 16 293 Grambling St. W 68 - 63 47% +3  67% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D+ -5 F+ -9 F B A B +4 A F B+
 Thu, Feb 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 72 - 62 82% +6  89% 7 - 16 6 - 8 D -11 F+ -9 F A- D C- -2 A- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 328 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 84 37%
 Thu, Feb 26 332 Jackson St. W 84 - 81 61%
 Sat, Feb 28 349 Alcorn St. W 81 - 76 68%
 Thu, Mar 5 297 @Texas Southern L 78 - 84 28%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 9 -11 D -7 D D- F+ D -5 D- B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D D+ D- D- 36% 60% 30% F+ D- F+ C D- B- B B- B D C D D- D 43% 19% 38% D+ D F+ D+ F+ B- F+ C- F+
0.99 53% 36% 29% -5 -2 0.89 23% 1.0 .24 16% .35 75% .26 1.15 59% 42% 38% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.1 .40 18% .38 73% .26
Nov
8		 Wichita St. F F F F F 27% 46% 27% F F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 42% 13% 44% D- F D+ D+ D D+ F F F
0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37 1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46
Nov
12		 Oklahoma St. F F+ C- C+ D+ 41% 19% 40% C D+ F D+ F B+ F+ F F C B+ B- C- B+ 45% 16% 39% B B+ F F F B+ F+ B D
0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12 1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29
Nov
17		 Missouri D+ F F B- F+ 35% 28% 37% C D- F A+ D+ A+ D A+ C C+ C+ A+ F C+ 50% 11% 39% D- C C+ D+ C- C+ D+ C C-
0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21 1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27
Nov
22		 Tennessee Martin D D C+ F F+ 23% 45% 32% F F D- C- D B+ A+ A A+ C+ D F A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D C- A C B+ B- F D F
0.98 55% 38% 20% -7 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41 0.99 63% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39
Nov
23		 North Florida D A- C D- C- 24% 39% 37% F D- A- F F D+ A+ C- A+ D+ D F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F F B+ F+ A+ F A- F
1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36 1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31
Nov
30		 North Texas C C- C+ F C- 49% 27% 24% C+ C- F A+ D A+ C A+ B+ C+ F A+ F F 52% 20% 27% C F C A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 38% 25% -5 0 0.92 18% 1.5 .27 16% .37 82% .30 1.02 74% 0% 50% +7 +1 1.18 34% 0.6 .21 27% .51 69% .35
Dec
13		 South Dakota D+ D+ A+ D D 67% 12% 22% A- C- D D D- D+ C D+ C- F C F B+ D+ 52% 19% 29% D D F C F C- F D+ F
1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20 1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51
Dec
22		 LSU A B F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F+ A+ F+ B- D+ B- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B+ B 53% 9% 38% F C+ F F+ F C+ F F F
1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41 1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67
Dec
29		 Texas A&M C- F C D+ D 31% 36% 33% F D- F+ A+ B B A+ B+ A+ D+ D A- F+ D+ 45% 10% 45% C D+ C F+ D B- F A F
0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34 1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33
Jan
3		 Grambling St. D- F+ F C+ F+ 33% 31% 35% F F C D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ C- F A F F 33% 37% 30% A+ F+ F+ C- D- A+ F A F
0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37 1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42
Jan
5		 Southern B B+ A+ C A- 33% 41% 26% F B- F A+ B B- C+ D- C- D A A F C+ 49% 24% 27% F+ C F+ C D C F F F
1.17 67% 55% 36% +10 -3 1.17 23% 1.9 .42 17% .38 71% .27 1.12 46% 25% 46% -4 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 17% .56 80% .44
Jan
10		 Mississippi Valley F F B B- D 24% 40% 36% F F F F F B- A+ F A F+ B+ F D- F 35% 37% 29% D F F B- F A F A D
0.99 45% 44% 38% +1 -3 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 15% .60 61% .37 0.97 47% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .32 25% .36 63% .23
Jan
12		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F+ F B+ A+ C 33% 38% 29% F D+ D+ F F A A+ F B- A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ D B- C- B- F A+ D+
1.05 44% 44% 43% +2 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30 0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 -1 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
17		 Jackson St. D- F+ D+ D F 31% 31% 39% F F D- C+ D C+ A+ B A+ D F B D F 37% 17% 46% F F F A+ D A- F A- D-
1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43 1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25
Jan
19		 Alcorn St. D B+ D- A C+ 38% 29% 33% F C- F F F A- C- A+ B- D C+ F A+ B- 44% 17% 39% F C F B F C- D F F
1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27 1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23
Jan
24		 Alabama St. F B- F F F 40% 33% 27% F F D A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F C- D F F 44% 17% 39% F+ F A- F C- D+ D B+ C-
0.95 63% 25% 23% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 27% .56 88% .49 1.13 58% 40% 52% +11 +1 1.25 25% 1.1 .28 17% .33 65% .21
Jan
27		 Alabama A&M F C- F F F 43% 34% 23% F F C+ F F C- F B F F F F+ D- F 37% 33% 30% B F C- A- C+ C A+ F B
0.88 58% 26% 23% -8 -1 0.84 34% 0.3 .11 16% .21 75% .16 1.17 75% 44% 38% +10 -2 1.19 26% 0.9 .22 18% .23 92% .21
Jan
31		 Texas Southern C- B F F+ D- 35% 23% 42% D- D- F B D A+ C A B D+ A- D F C- 42% 28% 30% C C- F F F C F A F
1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30 1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28
Feb
7		 Bethune-Cookman D+ F+ A+ F F 42% 24% 34% D F D- C D A+ B+ C+ B C- A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 19% 23% F A+ F D- F D F D+ F
1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27 1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37
Feb
9		 Florida A&M C B F A+ C 52% 22% 26% C C F+ B+ D+ D A+ F A+ F D- A+ F F 47% 27% 25% D+ F F F F A F B- F
1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40 1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Southern D C- C C D 37% 25% 38% D+ D F B F B+ A+ B- A+ F+ D F A+ D+ 52% 21% 27% F D F+ F F D F F F
1.07 58% 38% 35% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .20 16% .49 78% .38 1.13 63% 45% 21% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .42 14% .50 76% .38
Feb
16		 Grambling St. F+ C F+ F F 42% 38% 21% F F F+ A+ B A A+ A- A+ B A+ A- F A- 40% 38% 23% A+ A F F F B+ A+ F A-
0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38 0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19
Feb
19		 Mississippi Valley F+ F A F F 39% 30% 30% F+ F B- B+ A- D A F B C- A F A+ A 28% 38% 34% C- A- B F D- F D- F F
1.06 39% 50% 21% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.4 .58 19% .49 67% .33 0.91 43% 47% 12% -12 -3 0.72 20% 1.4 .29 16% .33 89% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 2.2 2.2 5th
6th 0.2 5.7 5.9 6th
7th 6.5 3.6 10.1 7th
8th 1.6 21.4 0.8 23.8 8th
9th 0.0 10.9 12.0 0.0 23.0 9th
10th 1.3 16.5 1.7 19.6 10th
11th 8.3 6.7 0.1 15.1 11th
12th 12th
Total 9.7 35.9 41.9 12.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 12.5% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.9 11.6
8-10 41.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 1.1 40.9
7-11 35.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 35.8
6-12 9.7% 9.7
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 98.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 52.2% 16.0 52.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 6.5%