Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#196
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#177
Pace71.4#130
Improvement+0.6#138

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#202
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#90
Layup/Dunks+0.6#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement-0.2#194

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#200
First Shot-5.5#344
After Offensive Rebounds+4.6#3
Layups/Dunks-0.8#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#205
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#221
Freethrows-3.9#352
Improvement+0.7#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 10.7% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 82.2% 88.9% 72.6%
.500 or above in Conference 68.2% 71.9% 62.7%
Conference Champion 5.0% 6.0% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round9.3% 10.6% 7.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Home) - 59.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 63 - 8
Quad 414 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 15 @Tennessee L 56-95 3%     0 - 1 -18.5 -5.7 -13.0
  Wed, Nov 12 123 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 22%     0 - 2 -6.2 -9.2 +3.4
  Thu, Nov 20 326 @Central Michigan W 90-66 67%     1 - 2 +17.2 +15.4 +2.4
  Mon, Nov 24 241 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 70%     2 - 2 +3.3 +3.0 +0.1
  Wed, Nov 26 223 Wofford W 93-83 67%     3 - 2 +3.3 +11.1 -8.3
  Sat, Nov 29 289 Boston University W 74-65 77%     4 - 2 -0.9 +1.8 -1.6
  Wed, Dec 3 329 Cleveland St. W 95-80 84%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +2.0 +11.1 -9.5
  Sat, Dec 6 221 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 44%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -2.6 -3.7 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 274 @Bellarmine W 80-76 53%     6 - 3 +0.9 +2.5 -1.6
  Wed, Dec 17 144 Oakland L 77-82 49%     6 - 4 1 - 2 -7.0 -3.6 -3.2
  Sun, Dec 21 184 College of Charleston W 75-73 59%    
  Mon, Dec 29 182 @Robert Morris L 70-74 37%    
  Thu, Jan 1 357 IU Indianapolis W 94-79 92%    
  Sun, Jan 4 166 Youngstown St. W 73-72 55%    
  Fri, Jan 9 231 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-77 46%    
  Sun, Jan 11 266 @Green Bay W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 297 Detroit Mercy W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 182 Robert Morris W 73-71 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 154 @Wright St. L 70-76 30%    
  Fri, Jan 30 297 @Detroit Mercy W 75-73 57%    
  Sun, Feb 1 144 @Oakland L 80-86 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 266 Green Bay W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 231 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-74 67%    
  Thu, Feb 12 357 @IU Indianapolis W 91-82 79%    
  Wed, Feb 18 221 Purdue Fort Wayne W 81-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 21 166 @Youngstown St. L 70-75 33%    
  Wed, Feb 25 329 @Cleveland St. W 82-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 154 Wright St. W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.7 5.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.1 3.3 0.3 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.7 3.4 0.4 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.5 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.6 8.7 12.3 14.8 15.5 13.9 11.0 7.1 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 96.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 90.1% 0.4    0.4 0.1
16-4 76.1% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 48.0% 1.8    0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 16.8% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.3 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 35.9% 35.9% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.6% 26.3% 26.3% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
15-5 3.8% 23.3% 23.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9
14-6 7.1% 20.3% 20.3% 14.2 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 5.6
13-7 11.0% 17.0% 17.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 9.1
12-8 13.9% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 12.1
11-9 15.5% 8.9% 8.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.3 14.1
10-10 14.8% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 14.0
9-11 12.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.9
8-12 8.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.5
7-13 5.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.5
6-14 3.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.1
5-15 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 4.0 1.6 90.5 0.0%