Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.8 172
Expected Predictive Rating +0.4 148
Pace 71.3 109
Improvement +2.3 95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 202 C C C C+ D
Defense C 157 C- C+ C- A- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 276 D 52% 317 -4.1 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 69 C 39% 144 +2.7 51
Three Pointers 37% 256 B+ 38% 25 +0.7 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 310 C +0.4 160
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 193
Second Chance C 31.0% 170 C- 0.99 240 C 0.31 184
Turnovers C 16.9% 179
Freethrows B- 0.33 112 D+ 70% 259 C+ 0.23 142
Total Offense C- -1.3 202

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 230 D 14.0% 326
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 42% 17 C+ 4.5% 146
Three Pointers C- 82% 231 C+ 0.7% 134
Total C+ 57% 148 D+ 6.4% 272

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 D+ 62% 289 +4.9 331
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 D+ 41% 279 +0.8 260
Three Pointers 35% 333 B 31% 77 -4.3 27
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 229 C- +0.9 221
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 228
Second Chance C- 31.0% 209 B 0.93 46 C+ 0.29 111
Turnovers C- 16.2% 218
Freethrows B 0.25 41 A+ 65% 2 A- 0.17 17
Total Defense C +0.5 157

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 142 C- 10.2% 197
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 158 D 2.4% 314
Three Pointers C+ 82% 127 D- 0.0% 354
Total B- 51% 81 C- 5.0% 223

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 75 17.6 238
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 316 0.19 240
Improvement -2.6 #309 +4.9 #15

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 204 171 142
Conference Record 7 - 7 8 - 6 9 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12% 16% 11%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 83% 98% 81%
.500 or above in Conference 96% 100% 95%
Conference Champion 4% 24% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round12% 16% 11%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 215 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 251 @American L 78 - 84 55% -3  13% 0 - 1 D+ -8 D -5 D+ D- F C- -3 D- C C
 Tue, Nov 11 64 @Providence L 81 - 106 12% -10  5% 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -2 F+ C+ B D- -8 D- F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 130 Saint Joseph's W 83 - 74 52% +1  55% 1 - 2 B- +8 B- +5 A D- F+ B- +2 D A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 21 222 @Drexel W 84 - 68 49% +9  98% 2 - 2 A- +16 A+ +15 B+ A+ C- C+ +2 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 28 162 Merrimack W 77 - 65 59% +4  60% 3 - 2 B +9 B- +4 B+ C+ B+ B+ +5 A B- F
 Sat, Nov 29 212 La Salle W 73 - 71 69% -3  28% 4 - 2 C- -4 C+ +3 B- A C D- -7 A+ F D
 Sun, Nov 30 108 Hofstra L 60 - 77 43% -4  32% 4 - 3 F+ -16 F -13 F B+ C D+ -4 F D- A+
 Sat, Dec 6 31 Villanova L 63 - 90 8% -15  0% 4 - 4 D- -12 C- -2 C- B- C- F -12 F B+ C+
 Mon, Dec 8 322 Lafayette W 74 - 72 88% +6  96% 5 - 4 D- -11 F+ -8 D- F+ B- C- -3 F A B-
 Sat, Dec 20 109 @Rutgers L 69 - 70 23% +4  89% 5 - 5 B- +6 C- -2 F A+ D- A- +7 B- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 105 @George Mason L 79 - 83 22% -3  21% 5 - 6 C+ +3 B+ +9 A+ D- A D -5 D F+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 315 NJIT W 80 - 61 86% +6  52% 6 - 6 B- +7 C +0 A F+ D+ B+ +6 B B+ B
 Mon, Jan 5 250 @Princeton L 76 - 78 55% +1  61% 6 - 7 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 F A+ F D- -7 F A- D
 Sat, Jan 10 268 Brown W 81 - 73 78% +1  57% 7 - 7 1 - 1 C -1 B+ +8 A- F+ A F+ -9 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 255 @Dartmouth W 84 - 74 56% +1  44% 8 - 7 2 - 1 B- +8 B- +5 C+ B- A+ B- +2 B+ C D+
 Mon, Jan 19 164 @Harvard L 63 - 64 37% -1  27% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -3 C- F D+ B +4 C B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 81 Yale L 60 - 77 32% -5  15% 8 - 9 2 - 3 D- -13 F -15 D- D- D+ C+ +1 B B- A
 Fri, Jan 30 197 @Columbia L 67 - 72 43% -5  2% 8 - 10 2 - 4 C- -4 D -6 D D+ B- C+ +2 F+ B+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 148 @Cornell W 91 - 81 34% +11  97% 9 - 10 3 - 4 B+ +13 B+ +8 A+ F F B+ +5 C A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 250 Princeton W 61 - 60 75% +5  90% 10 - 10 4 - 4 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D B- C +0 B- B F
 Fri, Feb 13 197 Columbia W 76 - 67 66% -2  7% 11 - 10 5 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -3 C C C- A- +7 C B- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 148 Cornell W 82 - 76 57% +3  72% 12 - 10 6 - 4 C+ +3 F+ -8 F D B+ A +11 A C- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 81 @Yale L 71 - 82 15%
 Fri, Feb 27 255 Dartmouth W 81 - 73 76%
 Sat, Feb 28 164 Harvard W 70 - 68 59%
 Fri, Mar 6 268 @Brown W 70 - 68 58%
Totals 14 - 12 8 - 6 -1 C- -1 D- C D C +1 B+ D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C B+ C 35% 48% 37% D C C C- C C B- D+ C+ C D+ D+ B C- 44% 21% 35% C- C- C- B C+ C- B A+ A-
1.07 52% 39% 38% 0 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .31 17% .33 70% .23 1.08 62% 41% 31% +1 0 1.05 31% 0.9 .29 16% .25 65% .21
Nov
9		 American D C F A+ C- 31% 27% 42% D- D+ F C D- F A+ A- A+ C- C F B- D- 41% 9% 50% D D- D+ B C C F A+ D
1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42 1.09 57% 100% 32% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23
Nov
11		 Providence D+ F F A+ D- 23% 36% 41% F F+ D+ A- C+ B A- A A D- D- A+ F F+ 43% 16% 41% C D- F F F A- C- F F+
1.02 29% 23% 44% -6 -3 0.84 26% 1.2 .30 13% .35 79% .27 1.34 71% 22% 48% +11 +1 1.27 44% 1.4 .59 19% .36 91% .33
Nov
17		 Saint Joseph's B- C- C A+ A 47% 22% 31% B+ A B- F D- F+ A+ A+ A+ B- D- D+ B- D- 36% 14% 50% C D D+ A+ A+ C- B- A B+
1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31 0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16
Nov
21		 Drexel A+ D+ A+ B- B+ 36% 21% 43% C+ B+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- A- B+ B+ 49% 26% 25% C B D C+ C- F D+ A+ A-
1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39 1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12
Nov
28		 Merrimack B- C A+ F A- 46% 29% 25% C- B+ D+ B+ C+ B+ B+ F D B+ D D- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% C+ A C+ B B- F A+ B+ A+
1.13 55% 64% 25% +3 -1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .40 52% .21 0.96 61% 44% 12% -12 +1 0.79 23% 0.9 .21 7% .24 73% .17
Nov
29		 La Salle C+ D- B- A+ B+ 31% 31% 38% F B- C+ A+ A C A- D+ B D- A- C+ A+ A 28% 36% 36% A+ A+ F F F D A+ A A+
1.14 50% 43% 47% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.6 .47 17% .32 65% .21 1.11 47% 37% 21% -11 -3 0.75 46% 1.5 .68 16% .15 63% .09
Nov
30		 Hofstra F F F F F 27% 50% 23% F F B- A- B+ C C- C- C- D+ F C+ C+ F 43% 29% 29% C- F C- F D- A+ D- F F
0.90 29% 23% 25% -19 -5 0.56 33% 1.2 .40 15% .30 71% .21 1.15 83% 33% 33% +9 -1 1.19 35% 1.3 .43 22% .35 94% .33
Dec
6		 Villanova C- F+ F A+ C+ 27% 37% 37% F C- C+ B- B- C- C F F F C- F F F 32% 15% 53% C+ F B- B+ B+ C+ A B- A-
0.96 46% 28% 44% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.0 .32 21% .23 33% .08 1.36 65% 50% 54% +19 0 1.42 33% 0.9 .30 15% .23 69% .16
Dec
8		 Lafayette F+ C+ F+ F D- 46% 29% 25% C D- C F F+ B- C+ F D+ C- D A+ F F 55% 13% 32% F+ F A- A+ A B- A- F B-
1.03 62% 31% 29% -2 0 0.96 31% 0.8 .24 13% .30 63% .19 1.01 62% 14% 41% +3 +2 1.11 20% 0.5 .10 18% .22 77% .17
Dec
20		 Rutgers C- B B+ F F 37% 28% 35% D+ F B A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A+ A- A F A+ B- 32% 34% 34% B- B- A+ A+ A+ F F B+ F
1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33 1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34
Dec
28		 George Mason B+ C+ A- A+ A+ 32% 28% 40% D+ A+ D+ F D- A C F D- D F F A+ D 48% 26% 26% C D F D F+ F F+ A+ B+
1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13 1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23
Dec
31		 NJIT C B+ A A A+ 23% 21% 56% D- A D+ F F+ D+ D+ F F B+ A- C+ B B- 32% 36% 32% A B D+ A+ B+ B A F B
1.15 67% 45% 41% +10 -1 1.19 31% 0.8 .26 16% .32 58% .19 0.87 47% 37% 29% -6 -2 0.85 29% 0.5 .16 20% .21 83% .18
Jan
5		 Princeton C+ F A+ B F 52% 24% 24% C F A+ A A+ F B+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F F 53% 11% 36% F F A- A- A- D F A+ D
1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36 1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27
Jan
10		 Brown B+ F A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F A- B- F F+ A A+ C+ A+ F+ D B C- F+ 48% 19% 33% C- D- C+ D- D+ F B B- B
1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37 1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
17		 Dartmouth B- F C- A+ C+ 44% 20% 35% C C+ B- C B- A+ A+ F A+ B- A- F A- A- 31% 11% 57% D+ B+ D+ B C D+ F C F
1.16 46% 36% 47% +1 0 1.06 32% 1.0 .32 7% .46 61% .28 1.02 47% 67% 29% -5 +1 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 18% .44 73% .32
Jan
19		 Harvard D+ F+ A+ C C- 40% 21% 38% D+ C- C- F F D+ B+ B A- B D- A+ B C+ 47% 10% 43% F C C A B C+ A A+ A+
1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25 1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08
Jan
24		 Yale F F A D D- 29% 24% 47% D D- D F+ D- D+ B+ F C C+ C- A+ F+ B+ 56% 19% 25% D- B F A+ B- A B- F C-
0.90 43% 50% 30% -4 -1 0.92 24% 0.9 .22 17% .32 61% .20 1.16 59% 22% 42% +1 +2 1.06 42% 0.9 .36 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
30		 Columbia D C- F A+ C- 32% 41% 27% F D D C+ D+ B- F F F C+ F A F F 48% 22% 30% B- F+ B A- B+ A A+ B A+
1.00 56% 22% 47% -2 -3 0.91 25% 1.0 .25 12% .19 55% .10 1.07 71% 27% 47% +9 +1 1.22 32% 0.8 .25 27% .12 67% .08
Jan
31		 Cornell B+ A+ C- A+ A+ 49% 17% 34% B- A+ B- F F F A+ C+ A+ B+ B+ C F C 35% 9% 56% C+ C A- A+ A+ F C- A+ B+
1.26 74% 38% 50% +16 +1 1.36 35% 0.6 .19 19% .52 73% .38 1.12 53% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 25% 0.8 .19 12% .30 58% .17
Feb
7		 Princeton D- C D- B C 37% 33% 30% F D+ B F D B- C- D D+ C B- F A+ B 49% 17% 34% D- B- D+ A+ B F C A+ B
1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19 1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
13		 Columbia D+ F A- B+ C 37% 24% 39% D+ C C- C+ C C- C- C- C- A- D A+ B- C+ 52% 10% 38% F+ C B C+ B- A+ B- A+ A-
1.08 45% 46% 38% 0 -1 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .30 72% .22 0.95 64% 20% 33% +1 +2 1.08 32% 0.9 .29 28% .26 54% .14
Feb
14		 Cornell F+ D A+ F F 49% 21% 30% C F C F D B+ A+ F+ A+ A B- F A A+ 55% 4% 41% F A D+ C C- B+ D- A+ B+
1.08 54% 55% 13% -8 +1 0.87 31% 0.9 .28 12% .61 66% .40 1.00 57% 50% 29% -3 +3 1.02 33% 1.1 .38 21% .35 48% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 2.8 3.8 1st
2nd 0.1 9.9 23.8 1.9 35.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 10.4 27.1 4.8 42.4 3rd
4th 2.1 10.4 3.0 15.6 4th
5th 1.7 0.6 2.3 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 4.2 21.5 40.0 29.6 4.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 60.5% 2.8    0.7 1.8 0.3
9-5 3.4% 1.0    0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 0.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 4.7% 18.4% 18.4% 13.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 3.8
9-5 29.6% 14.8% 14.8% 13.9 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 25.2
8-6 40.0% 12.3% 12.3% 14.6 0.1 1.9 2.7 0.1 35.1
7-7 21.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.1 20.1
6-8 4.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 14.3 88.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 13.2 11.6 59.1 29.0 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 4.0%