Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.0 250
Expected Predictive Rating -7.0 278
Pace 61.4 347
Improvement +0.1 181

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 225 C- D+ C- C+ C
Defense D+ 267 C- C D- C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 D 52% 309 -4.6 333
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 266 C+ 40% 93 -0.8 225
Three Pointers 49% 35 C- 33% 218 +3.4 72
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 186 D+ -2.1 255
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 236
Second Chance D+ 27.3% 272 C- 0.98 251 D+ 0.27 275
Turnovers C- 17.4% 220
Freethrows C 0.31 162 B- 75% 112 C+ 0.23 131
Total Offense C- -1.9 225

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 229 D+ 12.9% 285
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 247 C 5.0% 183
Three Pointers C+ 87% 128 B- 0.5% 90
Total C+ 58% 133 C 5.5% 175

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 89 D+ 61% 276 +3.6 299
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 220 D 42% 309 +0.1 199
Three Pointers 39% 246 B 31% 52 -3.0 59
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 256 C +0.2 187
1st FG Attempt C- 1.03 199
Second Chance B- 28.5% 100 D 1.12 300 C 0.32 202
Turnovers D- 13.7% 340
Freethrows C 0.30 192 C+ 71% 107 C 0.22 172
Total Defense D+ -3.1 267

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 86 D 6.7% 334
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 87 D- 1.8% 334
Three Pointers C 84% 186 D 0.2% 330
Total B- 50% 76 D- 3.2% 340

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.8 359 17.0 134
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.05 365 0.18 204
Improvement +4.3 #17 -4.2 #343

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 271 250 224
Conference Record 4 - 10 5 - 9 6 - 8
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 3% 6% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 19% 6% 29%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 32 - 103 - 13
Quad 46 - 78 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 76 @Akron L 69 - 104 8% -20  1% 0 - 1 F -24 F -10 D+ F C- F -11 D- C- F
 Tue, Nov 11 330 Bucknell W 73 - 63 81% +5  93% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -6 D D C B- +2 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 15 @Kansas L 57 - 76 1% -6  19% 1 - 2 C+ +3 D- -7 D C+ D- A +10 B A+ A
 Tue, Nov 18 249 @Iona L 69 - 89 38% -18  1% 1 - 3 F -22 F -13 F F C- D- -7 F+ D D+
 Thu, Nov 20 289 Northeastern W 70 - 57 70% +10  97% 2 - 3 C+ +3 F+ -10 F A+ F A+ +13 A+ C+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 120 Bradley L 64 - 88 23% -8  13% 2 - 4 F -21 F+ -10 C B F F -11 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 152 Temple L 75 - 79 31% +1  61% 2 - 5 C- -4 C +2 B+ D C D -6 F A+ B+
 Wed, Nov 26 229 Vermont L 74 - 79 46% -7  18% 2 - 6 D -9 C+ +3 B C+ A F -12 D+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 30 130 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 26% -1  24% 2 - 7 C -0 D -6 B- C F B+ +5 A F B+
 Wed, Dec 3 189 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 28% -3  11% 2 - 8 C- -4 F -13 C- F F A +8 B A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 277 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 45% +1  52% 2 - 9 D -9 D+ -3 D- D A D- -7 D+ F F
 Wed, Dec 10 162 Merrimack L 56 - 59 43% -2  14% 2 - 10 D+ -6 D- -7 F B- B- C+ +1 B A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 152 @Temple L 61 - 65 22% -3  13% 2 - 11 C -1 D+ -4 D- D C B- +2 C B- C
 Tue, Dec 30 229 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 57% +4  75% 3 - 11 C -1 C- -1 B+ F D- C+ +1 A F C-
 Mon, Jan 5 172 Penn W 78 - 76 45% -1  37% 4 - 11 1 - 0 C- -2 B +6 A F+ B- D- -7 A- F B
 Sat, Jan 10 81 Yale W 76 - 60 20% +2  60% 5 - 11 2 - 0 A +20 B- +4 B+ C+ F+ A+ +18 A+ C+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 164 @Harvard L 80 - 87 OT 23% +7  82% 5 - 12 2 - 1 C- -4 A- +10 D+ A+ A F -14 D+ C+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 255 @Dartmouth L 69 - 71 40% +3  71% 5 - 13 2 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 C D+ A+ F+ -9 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 268 Brown W 63 - 53 65% +1  42% 6 - 13 3 - 2 C +1 D- -6 F D A+ A +8 A+ F F
 Fri, Jan 30 148 @Cornell L 64 - 87 21% -16  0% 6 - 14 3 - 3 F -20 D- -8 F C D+ F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 31 197 @Columbia W 80 - 68 29% +1  53% 7 - 14 4 - 3 B+ +13 A +14 A+ B- D+ C +0 B A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 172 @Penn L 60 - 61 25% -5  7% 7 - 15 4 - 4 C +1 C- -1 D- D- A B- +2 C+ B F
 Fri, Feb 13 148 Cornell L 65 - 89 41% -16  1% 7 - 16 4 - 5 F -27 F -11 F F D+ F -18 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 197 Columbia L 65 - 75 51% -2  37% 7 - 17 4 - 6 F+ -15 C+ +2 A- C- D- F -19 F F F
 Fri, Feb 20 268 @Brown L 71 - 80 43% -5  17% 7 - 18 4 - 7 D- -12 B- +5 B C D F -18 F B D+
 Fri, Feb 27 164 Harvard L 65 - 67 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 255 Dartmouth W 74 - 71 62%
 Sat, Mar 7 81 @Yale L 65 - 80 8%
Totals 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5 C- -2 D- D+ C D+ -3 C- B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D C+ C- D+ 34% 29% 49% C C- D+ C- D+ C- C B- C+ D+ D+ D B C 42% 19% 39% D+ C- B- D C D- C C+ C
1.06 52% 40% 33% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.0 .27 17% .31 75% .23 1.13 61% 42% 31% 0 0 1.03 28% 1.1 .32 14% .30 71% .22
Nov
8		 Akron F F C+ B- D+ 36% 15% 49% C+ D+ D- F F C- B F C F D- A F D- 40% 11% 49% D+ D- B- F C- F D D- D-
0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21 1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24
Nov
11		 Bucknell D D+ B+ C C- 19% 27% 54% F D D- C+ D C A+ F A+ B- B+ F B- C- 48% 10% 42% F D+ A A+ A+ C- F B+ F+
1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34 0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27
Nov
15		 Kansas D- F C- F D 14% 24% 63% D- D D- A+ C+ D- A- B- B+ A F A+ A+ B 35% 25% 40% B- B B A+ A+ A F B- F
0.80 29% 33% 25% -14 -2 0.71 19% 1.3 .24 18% .28 69% .19 1.07 88% 17% 26% +1 -1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 20% .49 75% .37
Nov
18		 Iona F C- C+ F F 41% 25% 34% D+ F D- F F C- A D- B+ D- F F C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F+ B+ F D D+ F F F
0.89 58% 40% 15% -9 0 0.83 28% 0.5 .13 17% .36 65% .23 1.15 68% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.15 20% 1.5 .30 16% .41 78% .32
Nov
20		 Northeastern F+ F F C+ F 35% 27% 38% F+ F C+ A+ A+ F A+ B- A+ A+ B- A A+ A+ 52% 14% 34% D- A+ F+ A+ C+ B D- A C-
1.04 38% 30% 36% -8 -1 0.84 34% 1.5 .50 22% .71 76% .54 0.85 54% 29% 12% -15 +2 0.76 33% 0.8 .26 19% .33 61% .20
Nov
24		 Bradley F+ B A+ F+ C 28% 18% 54% B C C A B F A+ F B+ F F C- F F 30% 15% 55% D F A+ A+ A+ D+ C- B+ C+
0.92 64% 57% 29% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 34% .46 62% .28 1.26 81% 38% 45% +16 0 1.34 14% 0.8 .10 13% .33 70% .23
Nov
25		 Temple C C A+ A- A 24% 22% 55% D- B+ F A+ D C C- D D+ D F F F F 37% 18% 45% C- F A+ C- A+ B+ F A F
1.12 58% 55% 39% +8 -1 1.16 14% 1.8 .24 15% .28 69% .19 1.18 79% 57% 41% +16 0 1.34 8% 1.0 .08 16% .73 68% .50
Nov
26		 Vermont C+ A+ C+ C- B+ 21% 25% 55% D- B F+ A+ C+ A F F F F C F A- D 38% 21% 40% C+ D+ D- F F D- B B+ B+
1.16 91% 38% 34% +7 -2 1.13 19% 1.6 .30 8% .20 33% .07 1.24 60% 73% 29% +5 0 1.12 29% 1.3 .39 13% .23 69% .16
Nov
30		 Saint Joseph's D F A+ B- B 18% 27% 56% D B- F A+ C F F F F B+ D C+ A+ A 40% 14% 47% C- A C+ F F B+ C+ D+ C
0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06 0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20
Dec
3		 Monmouth F B- F D- D 48% 4% 48% A C- F F F F F F+ F A D A A+ B+ 43% 31% 27% C+ B A+ C A+ F+ D+ F D-
0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12 0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28
Dec
6		 Loyola Chicago D+ D B- F+ F+ 30% 13% 57% B- D- C- F+ D A C- A+ B D- F A+ A D+ 48% 9% 43% D- D+ A- F F F F B- F
1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25 1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31
Dec
10		 Merrimack D- F F C- F 55% 9% 36% A+ F B C B- B- A A+ A+ C+ C- A+ A B+ 43% 14% 43% C- B A+ C A+ F D F F
0.97 25% 0% 31% -23 +3 0.61 45% 1.0 .45 17% .44 81% .36 1.02 58% 17% 26% -8 +1 0.89 10% 1.0 .10 9% .38 90% .34
Dec
22		 Temple D+ C F F F 52% 9% 39% A D- C- D- D C C+ B- B- B- B+ F C C+ 55% 19% 26% F C C- A- B- C A- B- A
1.02 58% 25% 22% -8 +3 0.91 27% 0.9 .24 15% .31 75% .24 1.09 50% 56% 33% -1 +1 1.02 30% 0.8 .24 13% .29 73% .21
Dec
30		 Vermont C- B+ F A+ A- 25% 17% 58% C B+ D- F F D- C+ A+ B+ C+ A- B A A+ 46% 12% 42% F A F+ F F C- C F D+
1.11 67% 13% 46% +9 0 1.19 21% 0.6 .12 16% .34 84% .28 1.03 50% 33% 27% -9 +2 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 15% .28 81% .23
Jan
5		 Penn B B- A+ A+ A 53% 11% 36% A A F D F+ B- A+ C A+ D- A+ F C- A+ 52% 24% 24% F A- F F F B D+ F F
1.17 64% 60% 41% +9 +2 1.26 21% 0.8 .18 15% .41 65% .27 1.14 33% 55% 36% -8 +1 0.87 43% 1.3 .57 20% .36 100% .36
Jan
10		 Yale B- B- B- A A- 26% 16% 58% C- B+ B- C- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 29% 25% 46% A A+ C+ C- C+ D A- A+ A+
1.17 64% 43% 40% +7 0 1.16 32% 1.0 .32 18% .43 91% .40 0.92 33% 85% 13% -10 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .39 12% .26 60% .16
Jan
17		 Harvard A- F A+ D+ D 37% 10% 53% B- D+ A A A+ A A B A+ F B- D F C- 48% 13% 39% F+ D+ F A+ C+ F F C- F
1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28 1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30
Jan
19		 Dartmouth B- B+ D C C+ 28% 22% 50% D- C F A+ D+ A+ F A+ C- F+ F+ A+ C- C+ 37% 18% 45% C C+ B- F F F B- C- C+
1.15 67% 33% 33% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.8 .23 2% .19 100% .19 1.19 67% 11% 36% 0 0 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 10% .30 75% .22
Jan
24		 Brown D- F D F+ F 28% 24% 48% D F C- D- D A+ B+ A+ A+ A B+ B+ A+ A+ 39% 29% 33% A A+ D+ F F F C+ C C+
0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39 0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17
Jan
30		 Cornell D- D- A F F 36% 21% 43% D F A+ F C D+ F B F F F F C- F 41% 4% 55% D F D- F F B- A+ A- A+
1.04 53% 50% 25% -5 0 0.91 43% 0.8 .35 16% .23 75% .17 1.41 90% 100% 37% +18 +2 1.43 36% 1.4 .50 20% .18 67% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Columbia A C B- A+ A+ 51% 16% 33% B+ A+ D A+ B- D+ A B- A C B D- B A- 49% 14% 37% D B F A+ A- F D+ A+ A
1.29 57% 43% 53% +10 +2 1.24 25% 1.3 .33 15% .40 76% .30 1.10 52% 43% 32% -4 +2 0.98 43% 0.6 .24 10% .30 41% .12
Feb
7		 Penn C- D- A F F+ 49% 17% 34% B D- C- F D- A B+ D+ B- B- D+ B C C+ 37% 33% 30% B- C+ D+ A+ B F B B B
1.03 52% 50% 25% -5 +1 0.94 29% 0.7 .21 12% .31 63% .19 1.05 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 33% 0.8 .25 12% .29 67% .19
Feb
13		 Cornell F F C B- F 53% 11% 36% A- F D+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 42% 4% 54% D- F D- C+ D+ F A F A-
1.03 42% 40% 38% -7 +2 0.93 27% 0.6 .15 16% .45 88% .39 1.41 64% 50% 46% +13 +2 1.33 36% 1.1 .39 13% .20 82% .16
Feb
14		 Columbia C+ A+ A+ F A 43% 30% 27% D A- B F C- D- B+ D+ B F C+ F F F 43% 10% 48% D F A F F F F A+ B-
1.15 74% 54% 25% +8 -1 1.16 35% 0.8 .27 16% .36 71% .25 1.33 56% 50% 50% +12 +2 1.29 29% 1.6 .46 9% .39 45% .18
Feb
20		 Brown B- D- A A B 33% 14% 53% C+ B A F C D A+ C+ A+ F F F F F 48% 14% 39% D F A D- B D+ F B F
1.11 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.09 40% 0.7 .29 20% .57 76% .43 1.25 81% 50% 41% +17 +2 1.39 21% 1.2 .25 19% .38 65% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 3.4 1.3 4.8 4th
5th 5.9 17.6 0.8 24.3 5th
6th 0.4 31.0 8.3 0.0 39.7 6th
7th 16.1 10.8 0.1 27.0 7th
8th 3.6 0.1 3.7 8th
Total 20.2 47.8 29.4 2.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 2.6% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 2.5
6-8 29.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.2 29.3
5-9 47.8% 47.8
4-10 20.2% 20.2
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 9.8% 16.0 9.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.3%
Lose Out 20.2%