Princeton
Ivy League
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#146
Expected Predictive Rating+6.1#93
Pace64.6#289
Improvement-2.2#326

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#98
First Shot+3.8#68
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#239
Layup/Dunks+0.4#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.7#7
Freethrows-1.6#270
Improvement-0.4#241

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#222
First Shot-1.7#237
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#145
Layups/Dunks-5.8#326
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#132
Freethrows+2.9#30
Improvement-1.7#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.7% 25.4% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 87.9% 89.4% 70.3%
.500 or above in Conference 81.5% 82.3% 72.4%
Conference Champion 25.0% 25.7% 16.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 2.1% 4.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round24.7% 25.4% 15.9%
Second Round3.0% 3.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 92.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 46 - 7
Quad 410 - 216 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 92   South Carolina W 66-62 34%     1 - 0 +9.7 +0.5 +9.3
  Nov 14, 2021 82   Minnesota L 80-87 2OT 32%     1 - 1 -0.6 -3.7 +4.4
  Nov 17, 2021 248   Marist W 80-61 81%     2 - 1 +11.3 +11.1 +1.8
  Nov 21, 2021 128   @ Oregon St. W 81-80 35%     3 - 1 +6.6 +17.9 -11.2
  Nov 24, 2021 134   @ Monmouth L 64-76 35%     3 - 2 -6.6 -3.6 -3.6
  Nov 28, 2021 329   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-66 93%    
  Dec 01, 2021 137   @ Hofstra L 71-75 36%    
  Dec 04, 2021 167   Drexel W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 07, 2021 298   Bucknell W 81-69 87%    
  Dec 11, 2021 304   @ Lafayette W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 13, 2021 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 02, 2022 136   @ Harvard L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 07, 2022 323   Columbia W 79-65 90%    
  Jan 08, 2022 217   Cornell W 80-73 74%    
  Jan 15, 2022 226   Brown W 71-63 75%    
  Jan 17, 2022 196   Penn W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 22, 2022 242   @ Dartmouth W 70-67 60%    
  Jan 29, 2022 113   Yale W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 04, 2022 217   @ Cornell W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 323   @ Columbia W 76-68 77%    
  Feb 12, 2022 242   Dartmouth W 73-64 77%    
  Feb 18, 2022 226   @ Brown W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 113   @ Yale L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 26, 2022 136   Harvard W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 196   @ Penn W 71-70 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.5 4.9 8.1 6.5 3.3 0.7 25.0 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 7.3 8.5 3.2 0.5 21.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.2 8.0 6.7 1.5 0.2 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 6.5 4.9 0.7 0.0 14.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.8 3.7 0.4 10.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.3 0.3 6.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.2 3.4 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 8th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.4 5.3 9.3 12.7 15.4 16.2 14.9 11.4 7.0 3.3 0.7 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
13-1 100.0% 3.3    3.2 0.1
12-2 93.0% 6.5    5.4 1.1
11-3 70.6% 8.1    4.9 2.9 0.3
10-4 33.2% 4.9    1.6 2.2 1.0 0.1
9-5 9.2% 1.5    0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 25.0% 25.0 15.9 6.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.7% 100.0% 100.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-1 3.3% 100.0% 100.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.0
12-2 7.0% 93.0% 93.0% 13.4 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.5
11-3 11.4% 70.6% 70.6% 14.0 0.3 2.1 3.7 1.9 0.2 3.4
10-4 14.9% 32.6% 32.6% 14.3 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.8 0.2 10.0
9-5 16.2% 8.0% 8.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 14.9
8-6 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 15.4
7-7 12.7% 12.7
6-8 9.3% 9.3
5-9 5.3% 5.3
4-10 2.4% 2.4
3-11 1.2% 1.2
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14
Total 100% 24.7% 24.7% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 6.9 9.2 5.1 0.5 75.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.4 4.3 4.3 8.7 4.3 13.0 8.7 8.7 26.1 17.4 4.3