Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#250
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#316
Pace67.0#247
Improvement-1.8#306

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#289
First Shot-3.0#264
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#272
Layup/Dunks-6.5#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#163
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#85
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-1.5#305

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#117
Layups/Dunks-4.6#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#95
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement-0.3#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.7% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 0.9% 2.5% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 26.3% 33.1% 24.3%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.0% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.5% 22.8% 30.1%
First Four1.5% 1.8% 1.4%
First Round1.4% 2.3% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 46 - 68 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 54 @Akron L 69-104 5%     0 - 1 -21.8 -8.0 -10.5
  Tue, Nov 11 300 Bucknell W 73-63 70%     1 - 1 -0.8 -1.9 +1.3
  Sat, Nov 15 17 @Kansas L 57-76 2%     1 - 2 +0.7 -5.2 +6.1
  Tue, Nov 18 170 @Iona L 69-89 24%     1 - 3 -17.7 -9.5 -6.3
  Thu, Nov 20 212 Northeastern W 70-57 54%     2 - 3 +6.7 -0.8 +8.1
  Mon, Nov 24 116 Bradley L 64-88 21%     2 - 4 -20.8 -5.7 -15.2
  Tue, Nov 25 164 Temple L 75-79 32%     2 - 5 -4.4 +1.4 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 26 190 Vermont L 74-79 37%     2 - 6 -6.8 +4.6 -11.8
  Sun, Nov 30 171 Saint Joseph's L 58-60 34%     2 - 7 -2.8 -6.4 +3.3
  Wed, Dec 3 203 @Monmouth L 58-63 30%     2 - 8 -4.9 -12.4 +7.3
  Sat, Dec 6 260 @Loyola Chicago L 68-73 40%     2 - 9 -7.5 -0.9 -7.1
  Wed, Dec 10 268 Merrimack L 56-59 63%     2 - 10 -11.7 -8.3 -4.0
  Mon, Dec 22 164 @Temple L 69-77 23%    
  Tue, Dec 30 190 Vermont L 69-70 49%    
  Mon, Jan 5 252 Penn W 75-72 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 78 Yale L 69-79 19%    
  Sat, Jan 17 200 @Harvard L 65-71 30%    
  Mon, Jan 19 264 @Dartmouth L 72-75 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 209 Brown W 66-65 54%    
  Fri, Jan 30 158 @Cornell L 76-84 23%    
  Sat, Jan 31 136 @Columbia L 66-76 18%    
  Sat, Feb 7 252 @Penn L 72-75 40%    
  Fri, Feb 13 158 Cornell L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 136 Columbia L 69-73 37%    
  Fri, Feb 20 209 @Brown L 63-68 33%    
  Fri, Feb 27 200 Harvard W 68-67 52%    
  Sat, Feb 28 264 Dartmouth W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Mar 7 78 @Yale L 66-82 8%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.1 4.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 9.3 3rd
4th 0.4 4.2 6.4 1.9 0.1 13.0 4th
5th 0.4 4.9 8.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.4 9.6 3.0 0.1 18.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.6 9.1 3.2 0.2 19.1 7th
8th 0.5 2.7 5.8 6.1 2.3 0.1 17.5 8th
Total 0.5 2.7 6.8 12.2 17.2 18.2 16.1 12.0 7.7 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 78.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
11-3 56.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 25.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 22.0% 22.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.7% 17.1% 17.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
10-4 1.7% 12.9% 12.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
9-5 4.0% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.7
8-6 7.7% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.6 7.1
7-7 12.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 11.5
6-8 16.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.0
5-9 18.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.2
4-10 17.2% 17.2
3-11 12.2% 12.2
2-12 6.8% 6.8
1-13 2.7% 2.7
0-14 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%