Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#275
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#269
Pace72.0#102
Improvement-0.4#211

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#191
First Shot+2.1#115
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#316
Layup/Dunks-1.2#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#43
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+1.1#74

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#326
First Shot-6.6#338
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#100
Layups/Dunks-5.4#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#81
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#300
Freethrows+0.4#167
Improvement-1.5#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.8
.500 or above 27.7% 39.2% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 39.8% 53.8% 28.5%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.7% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 4.3% 12.4%
First Four1.7% 2.0% 1.3%
First Round2.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 44.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 412 - 913 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2021 263   Austin Peay W 65-60 59%     1 - 0 -3.5 -8.6 +5.4
  Nov 19, 2021 86   @ Minnesota L 49-78 8%     1 - 1 -19.8 -19.1 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2021 326   SE Louisiana W 74-66 65%     2 - 1 -2.1 -6.7 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2021 298   Western Michigan L 85-93 OT 55%     2 - 2 -15.3 +5.4 -20.7
  Nov 28, 2021 191   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-85 23%     2 - 3 -5.3 +2.0 -7.1
  Dec 02, 2021 206   Wright St. L 78-79 45%    
  Dec 04, 2021 197   Northern Kentucky L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 08, 2021 328   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-74 54%    
  Dec 11, 2021 304   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-76 67%    
  Dec 21, 2021 16   @ Michigan L 61-85 1%    
  Dec 30, 2021 254   @ Illinois-Chicago L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 01, 2022 336   @ IUPUI W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 05, 2022 167   @ Cleveland St. L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 07, 2022 278   @ Youngstown St. L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 09, 2022 290   @ Robert Morris L 77-79 42%    
  Jan 13, 2022 228   Detroit Mercy L 78-79 50%    
  Jan 15, 2022 122   Oakland L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 21, 2022 290   Robert Morris W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 23, 2022 278   Youngstown St. W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 28, 2022 197   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 30, 2022 206   @ Wright St. L 75-82 27%    
  Feb 04, 2022 267   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-71 59%    
  Feb 06, 2022 300   Green Bay W 76-71 66%    
  Feb 10, 2022 336   IUPUI W 72-63 79%    
  Feb 12, 2022 254   Illinois-Chicago W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 14, 2022 167   Cleveland St. L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 18, 2022 300   @ Green Bay L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 20, 2022 267   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 24, 2022 122   @ Oakland L 68-80 15%    
  Feb 26, 2022 228   @ Detroit Mercy L 75-81 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.4 2.2 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.5 2.6 4.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.5 2.7 4.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.6 4.9 2.9 0.5 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.0 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.8 3.0 1.5 0.3 9.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.6 2.9 5.0 7.1 8.8 11.0 11.5 11.5 10.5 8.4 7.2 5.5 3.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-3 89.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-4 75.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2
17-5 52.6% 0.7    0.4 0.3 0.1
16-6 19.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 8.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.2% 0.0 0.1 0.1
18-4 0.6% 23.0% 23.0% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-5 1.4% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
16-6 2.2% 14.7% 14.7% 15.6 0.1 0.2 1.9
15-7 3.7% 13.2% 13.2% 15.8 0.1 0.4 3.2
14-8 5.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.8 0.1 0.4 5.1
13-9 7.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.5 6.7
12-10 8.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.1
11-11 10.5% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.1
10-12 11.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 11.3
9-13 11.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.4
8-14 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
7-15 8.8% 8.8
6-16 7.1% 7.1
5-17 5.0% 5.0
4-18 2.9% 2.9
3-19 1.6% 1.6
2-20 0.5% 0.5
1-21 0.3% 0.3
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 2.6 96.7 0.0%