Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#199
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#156
Pace73.7#70
Improvement+5.7#1

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#158
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#230
Layup/Dunks+3.9#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows-1.3#265
Improvement+2.3#37

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot-3.8#312
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#90
Layups/Dunks+1.1#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.4#364
Freethrows+1.7#72
Improvement+3.3#13
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 11.6% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 63.7% 77.7% 53.6%
.500 or above in Conference 79.8% 90.4% 72.1%
Conference Champion 9.3% 15.7% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.6%
First Round8.9% 11.5% 7.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Away) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 64 - 10
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 87 @Grand Canyon L 71-90 13%     0 - 1 -9.4 +0.0 -8.1
  Fri, Nov 7 31 @Ohio St. L 68-94 5%     0 - 2 -8.9 -0.5 -7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 280 @Western Michigan L 71-83 54%     0 - 3 -15.3 -10.2 -4.2
  Tue, Nov 18 111 @Utah L 77-85 20%     0 - 4 -1.4 +9.4 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 21 37 @Saint Louis L 60-91 5%     0 - 5 -14.9 -5.5 -9.2
  Tue, Nov 25 336 Chicago St. W 90-77 85%     1 - 5 -0.7 +12.7 -13.1
  Wed, Dec 3 137 @Oakland L 92-101 25%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -4.3 +9.4 -12.9
  Sat, Dec 6 208 Northern Kentucky W 79-77 64%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -4.1 -2.2 -2.1
  Wed, Dec 10 216 Eastern Michigan W 80-65 66%     3 - 6 +8.5 +10.0 -0.6
  Sun, Dec 14 296 Detroit Mercy W 81-77 77%     4 - 6 2 - 1 -6.2 +4.9 -11.0
  Sun, Dec 21 64 @Notre Dame W 72-69 10%     5 - 6 +14.4 +5.5 +8.9
  Mon, Dec 29 210 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 79-81 42%    
  Thu, Jan 1 283 Green Bay W 80-73 75%    
  Sun, Jan 4 334 Cleveland St. W 87-76 85%    
  Wed, Jan 7 163 @Youngstown St. L 73-78 32%    
  Sun, Jan 11 185 @Robert Morris L 73-77 36%    
  Sun, Jan 18 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-78 64%    
  Wed, Jan 21 296 @Detroit Mercy W 78-76 57%    
  Sun, Jan 25 354 @IU Indianapolis W 94-86 78%    
  Wed, Jan 28 137 Oakland L 85-86 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 185 Robert Morris W 76-74 58%    
  Wed, Feb 4 163 Youngstown St. W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 153 @Wright St. L 73-79 30%    
  Thu, Feb 12 283 @Green Bay W 77-76 55%    
  Sun, Feb 15 354 IU Indianapolis W 97-83 90%    
  Wed, Feb 18 208 @Northern Kentucky L 78-80 41%    
  Sun, Feb 22 334 @Cleveland St. W 84-79 68%    
  Wed, Feb 25 153 Wright St. W 76-75 51%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.0 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 13.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 7.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.7 4.0 0.6 14.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.9 3.9 0.6 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.8 9.1 12.8 14.6 15.7 13.7 10.2 7.0 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 96.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 90.3% 1.4    1.2 0.3
16-4 71.0% 2.7    1.6 0.9 0.1
15-5 43.1% 3.0    1.2 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 14.4% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 4.7 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 26.2% 26.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3
17-3 1.6% 23.8% 23.8% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.2
16-4 3.7% 21.2% 21.2% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 2.9
15-5 7.0% 19.8% 19.8% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.6
14-6 10.2% 16.3% 16.3% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 8.5
13-7 13.7% 12.1% 12.1% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 12.1
12-8 15.7% 9.0% 9.0% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 14.3
11-9 14.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.2 13.7
10-10 12.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 12.4
9-11 9.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.9
8-12 5.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.7
7-13 3.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
6-14 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 3.3 1.0 90.9 0.0%