Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#150
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#204
Pace70.7#139
Improvement-2.9#334

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#93
First Shot+2.8#99
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#163
Layup/Dunks+0.4#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#78
Freethrows-0.4#214
Improvement-1.6#300

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#256
First Shot-2.7#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#169
Layups/Dunks-1.0#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#299
Freethrows+1.6#88
Improvement-1.3#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.6% 19.7% 13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 85.5% 88.8% 70.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.4% 89.7% 71.1%
Conference Champion 19.1% 21.5% 8.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 1.7%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round18.4% 19.6% 13.1%
Second Round1.3% 1.4% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 415 - 419 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 83   @ Central Florida L 68-75 20%     0 - 1 +2.5 -0.8 +3.5
  Nov 12, 2024 288   Bethune-Cookman W 91-69 83%     1 - 1 +12.4 +10.7 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2024 293   Southern Indiana W 93-74 84%     2 - 1 +9.2 +17.7 -8.1
  Nov 20, 2024 31   @ Penn St. L 89-102 8%     2 - 2 +2.9 +21.1 -17.8
  Nov 25, 2024 167   Drexel W 87-81 55%     3 - 2 +5.4 +20.2 -14.3
  Nov 26, 2024 189   Radford L 56-69 57%     3 - 3 -14.3 -14.5 -0.9
  Nov 30, 2024 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 77-57 85%     4 - 3 +9.7 +5.4 +5.8
  Dec 05, 2024 298   @ Detroit Mercy L 78-79 68%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -5.2 +4.9 -10.1
  Dec 08, 2024 275   Robert Morris W 79-69 82%    
  Dec 11, 2024 356   IU Indianapolis W 85-68 94%    
  Dec 15, 2024 299   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-71 67%    
  Dec 22, 2024 16   @ Michigan L 67-84 5%    
  Dec 29, 2024 310   @ Green Bay W 83-78 69%    
  Jan 01, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 229   Youngstown St. W 77-70 75%    
  Jan 08, 2025 172   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-77 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 298   Detroit Mercy W 80-69 84%    
  Jan 15, 2025 136   @ Wright St. L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 22, 2025 144   @ Oakland L 69-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 356   @ IU Indianapolis W 82-71 83%    
  Jan 30, 2025 259   Cleveland St. W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 02, 2025 172   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 05, 2025 136   Wright St. W 79-77 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 310   Green Bay W 86-75 84%    
  Feb 12, 2025 229   @ Youngstown St. W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 15, 2025 275   @ Robert Morris W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 21, 2025 144   Oakland W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 27, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky W 77-71 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 259   @ Cleveland St. W 74-71 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.2 5.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 19.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.0 6.9 5.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 18.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.4 6.8 3.7 0.8 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 6.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.2 2.2 0.3 0.0 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.7 1.7 0.2 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.6 6.3 8.7 12.1 13.7 14.5 13.4 11.1 7.2 3.9 1.4 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 99.6% 1.4    1.4 0.1
17-3 93.9% 3.7    3.2 0.5 0.0
16-4 77.1% 5.5    3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 47.2% 5.2    2.4 2.2 0.6 0.0
14-6 17.9% 2.4    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.1% 19.1 11.6 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.3% 58.3% 58.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
18-2 1.4% 47.9% 47.9% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7
17-3 3.9% 43.9% 43.9% 13.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.2
16-4 7.2% 36.0% 36.0% 13.5 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.2 4.6
15-5 11.1% 27.3% 27.3% 13.9 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.6 0.0 8.0
14-6 13.4% 24.3% 24.3% 14.3 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.1 10.1
13-7 14.5% 19.1% 19.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.2 11.7
12-8 13.7% 14.6% 14.6% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 11.7
11-9 12.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 10.9
10-10 8.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 8.1
9-11 6.3% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.2 6.1
8-12 3.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.5
7-13 2.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
6-14 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
5-15 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-16 0.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 18.6% 18.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.1 1.1 4.0 6.1 5.5 1.9 81.4 0.0%