Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#257
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#243
Pace63.4#319
Improvement-1.9#299

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#242
First Shot-7.4#349
After Offensive Rebound+4.8#11
Layup/Dunks-5.3#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#352
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-0.6#232

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#260
First Shot-2.0#237
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-1.5#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#154
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#305
Freethrows+2.5#46
Improvement-1.3#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 7.6% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 43.1% 48.9% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 52.8% 41.9%
Conference Champion 4.2% 4.9% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 6.2% 9.5%
First Four2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
First Round5.6% 6.3% 3.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 74.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 414 - 916 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 18   @ UCLA L 50-85 3%     0 - 1 -17.4 -7.0 -13.4
  Nov 06, 2024 312   @ San Diego W 68-67 49%     1 - 1 -4.1 -4.0 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 86%     2 - 1 -5.8 -12.7 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 305   @ Navy W 90-79 47%     3 - 1 +6.6 +15.7 -9.0
  Nov 19, 2024 50   @ Iowa L 58-83 5%     3 - 2 -11.7 -11.7 +0.7
  Nov 23, 2024 260   @ Bucknell W 57-53 40%     4 - 2 +1.4 -6.3 +8.3
  Nov 27, 2024 56   @ Villanova L 48-72 6%     4 - 3 -11.4 -11.8 -4.0
  Nov 30, 2024 213   Delaware L 66-72 51%     4 - 4 -11.5 -3.6 -8.5
  Dec 04, 2024 283   @ Fairfield L 75-78 43%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.4 +4.7 -11.3
  Dec 06, 2024 245   Quinnipiac L 67-72 58%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -12.4 -2.3 -10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 327   Stony Brook W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 20, 2024 279   @ Penn L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 22, 2024 72   @ North Carolina St. L 61-77 6%    
  Jan 05, 2025 313   Manhattan W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 10, 2025 345   @ Canisius W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 12, 2025 308   @ Niagara L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 16, 2025 254   Mount St. Mary's W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 242   @ Marist L 62-66 36%    
  Jan 23, 2025 274   Iona W 69-65 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 31, 2025 209   St. Peter's W 64-63 50%    
  Feb 02, 2025 222   Merrimack W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 06, 2025 269   @ Sacred Heart L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 302   Siena W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 14, 2025 274   @ Iona L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 16, 2025 209   @ St. Peter's L 60-66 30%    
  Feb 21, 2025 283   Fairfield W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 23, 2025 254   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 28, 2025 222   @ Merrimack L 61-66 33%    
  Mar 06, 2025 345   Canisius W 74-64 81%    
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Niagara W 69-64 68%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.7 0.7 0.1 7.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 3.6 0.9 0.1 7.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.1 1.7 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.1 0.3 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.6 4.7 0.7 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 5.6 1.6 0.1 9.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.5 3.2 0.2 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 3.7 0.6 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 2.9 3.6 1.0 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.0 4.0 6.8 9.8 11.9 14.0 13.8 12.6 9.7 6.9 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 88.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 63.5% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 33.5% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 8.5% 0.6    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 32.7% 32.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.8% 31.4% 31.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-5 2.0% 27.9% 27.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.4
14-6 4.1% 21.8% 21.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.2
13-7 6.9% 17.3% 17.3% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 5.7
12-8 9.7% 13.0% 13.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.4
11-9 12.6% 8.3% 8.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 11.5
10-10 13.8% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 13.2
9-11 14.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 13.5
8-12 11.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 11.6
7-13 9.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 9.7
6-14 6.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.8
5-15 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.6 93.2 0.0%