Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#273
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#278
Pace68.5#205
Improvement+1.2#71

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#291
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#124
Layup/Dunks-2.4#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#344
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-0.6#260

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#244
First Shot-1.5#229
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#217
Layups/Dunks+2.0#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#6
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#344
Freethrows-1.2#258
Improvement+1.9#29
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.4% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.1 15.7
.500 or above 12.1% 26.5% 10.8%
.500 or above in Conference 29.9% 40.8% 28.9%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.8% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.9% 12.1% 19.4%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
First Round1.4% 2.1% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 410 - 812 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 193   @ Duquesne L 61-73 23%     0 - 1 -10.4 -4.7 -6.8
  Nov 12, 2021 309   Coppin St. W 81-69 68%     1 - 1 +0.9 +5.9 -4.9
  Nov 14, 2021 356   Delaware St. W 63-53 92%     2 - 1 -12.1 -27.7 +14.7
  Nov 17, 2021 298   @ Bucknell L 74-81 44%     2 - 2 -11.7 -8.5 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2021 71   @ Buffalo L 65-87 7%     2 - 3 -12.0 -12.9 +3.2
  Nov 23, 2021 185   Middle Tennessee L 54-60 31%     2 - 4 -7.1 -17.1 +9.9
  Nov 24, 2021 298   Bucknell W 85-79 56%     3 - 4 -1.7 +0.3 -2.4
  Nov 28, 2021 92   @ South Carolina L 65-80 8%    
  Nov 30, 2021 74   @ Mississippi L 56-72 7%    
  Dec 03, 2021 111   @ Iona L 61-74 11%    
  Dec 05, 2021 248   Marist W 66-65 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 98   @ Rutgers L 58-72 9%    
  Jan 02, 2022 276   @ Quinnipiac L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 07, 2022 251   Manhattan W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 09, 2022 248   @ Marist L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 14, 2022 276   Quinnipiac W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 16, 2022 199   St. Peter's L 65-66 45%    
  Jan 21, 2022 260   @ Canisius L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 23, 2022 224   @ Niagara L 63-69 29%    
  Jan 28, 2022 222   Fairfield L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 30, 2022 260   Canisius W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 04, 2022 293   @ Siena L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 11, 2022 199   @ St. Peter's L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 13, 2022 293   Siena W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 18, 2022 134   @ Monmouth L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 20, 2022 251   @ Manhattan L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 25, 2022 224   Niagara L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 27, 2022 111   Iona L 64-71 26%    
  Mar 03, 2022 222   @ Fairfield L 63-69 28%    
  Mar 05, 2022 134   Monmouth L 70-76 32%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 5.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.7 0.6 10.7 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 5.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 5.0 4.8 1.3 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.5 4.7 1.3 0.1 12.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 2.5 4.5 3.9 1.3 0.1 13.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.4 3.8 2.2 0.6 0.1 12.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.1 6.6 8.9 10.8 12.6 13.0 11.6 10.0 8.0 5.1 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 83.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1
16-4 58.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 38.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 17.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-7 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.5% 29.4% 29.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-5 0.9% 11.7% 11.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-6 1.8% 9.1% 9.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.6
13-7 3.4% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.2
12-8 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.9
11-9 8.0% 5.1% 5.1% 15.9 0.1 0.4 7.6
10-10 10.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 9.8
9-11 11.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-12 13.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.9
7-13 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-14 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
5-15 8.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-16 6.6% 6.6
3-17 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-18 1.9% 1.9
1-19 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 98.1 0.0%