San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.3 220
Expected Predictive Rating -4.0 231
Pace 72.1 82
Improvement +1.3 139

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 179 C+ C- C- D- C-
Defense D+ 253 D+ D B D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 333 C+ 60% 117 -3.0 286
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 160 C 38% 176 +0.3 160
Three Pointers 47% 64 C+ 35% 116 +4.0 51
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 258 C+ +1.7 112
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 133
Second Chance C- 29.5% 206 C- 0.98 248 C- 0.29 228
Turnovers C- 17.7% 240
Freethrows F+ 0.24 349 B- 74% 116 D- 0.18 334
Total Offense C -0.7 179

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 175 D+ 13.0% 294
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 41% 20 C 5.3% 203
Three Pointers B- 89% 82 B 0.4% 64
Total B 62% 56 C 5.5% 177

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 133 D 64% 325 +3.5 296
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 277 D- 43% 334 -0.3 169
Three Pointers 42% 139 B- 32% 96 -0.5 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 267 D+ +2.1 257
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 268
Second Chance D- 34.7% 328 C- 1.08 260 D 0.37 318
Turnovers B 19.1% 56
Freethrows D 0.35 306 C 72% 181 D+ 0.25 297
Total Defense D+ -2.6 253

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 56% 334 C- 9.7% 219
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 34% 319 C- 4.2% 209
Three Pointers D- 91% 345 D+ 0.5% 265
Total D 63% 325 C- 4.9% 235

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 218 16.4 36
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 97 0.24 353
Improvement +0.6 #149 +0.7 #145

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 245 220 192
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 0% 7%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Home) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 64 - 15
Quad 46 - 511 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 261 Idaho St. L 68 - 71 70% -7  16% 0 - 1 D- -12 D- -7 D+ D C- D+ -5 C C- D+
 Wed, Nov 12 186 Idaho W 78 - 74 56% +5  89% 1 - 1 C -1 C+ +4 A+ C+ F D+ -4 C- D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 293 Grambling St. W 78 - 68 75% +7  97% 2 - 1 C -0 D+ -3 D+ F D B- +2 A- D- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 279 UC Riverside L 71 - 85 73% -10  3% 2 - 2 F -24 D -6 F+ B- C- F -18 F F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 139 California Baptist L 61 - 76 33% -2  36% 2 - 3 D- -14 F -12 C F+ D C- -2 C- F A+
 Sun, Nov 30 264 @Long Beach St. L 72 - 76 48% +1  66% 2 - 4 D+ -7 B- +4 B- A+ F F -11 D- F F
 Fri, Dec 5 221 @San Jose St. L 69 - 86 39% -18  0% 2 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 F C+ B+ D -5 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 53 USC L 81 - 94 16% -5  20% 2 - 6 D+ -6 C +2 C- C+ C D -6 F D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 311 Northern Arizona W 78 - 69 79% +6  90% 3 - 6 C- -3 C- -2 B- A+ F C -1 D+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 137 @UC San Diego W 82 - 80 23% +7  90% 4 - 6 B- +6 A+ +20 B A C F -13 D+ F D
 Mon, Dec 22 44 @Washington L 56 - 86 6% -16  1% 4 - 7 F+ -15 F -16 D+ F+ F C+ +2 A F C+
 Sun, Dec 28 127 Pacific W 66 - 54 39% +9  98% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B+ +11 D+ -3 F+ A B+ A+ +15 A A A+
 Tue, Dec 30 10 Gonzaga L 93 - 99 4% -10  3% 5 - 8 1 - 1 B +10 A+ +15 A+ C+ A+ D+ -3 C- F A
 Fri, Jan 2 119 @San Francisco L 64 - 74 19% -4  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C- -4 F -11 C- F C- A- +7 A F+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 42 @Santa Clara L 70 - 98 5% -12  0% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -13 D+ -4 B F C- D- -7 C F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 276 Pepperdine W 83 - 63 73% +12  95% 6 - 10 2 - 3 B +10 B +6 A+ C+ C B +5 C+ B+ A-
 Sat, Jan 10 127 @Pacific L 70 - 77 20% +6  83% 6 - 11 2 - 4 C -2 C- -2 C C- D C+ +0 A+ C F+
 Thu, Jan 15 126 @Seattle L 64 - 75 20% -6  5% 6 - 12 2 - 5 D+ -5 D+ -4 C D- D+ C -1 F+ B B-
 Wed, Jan 21 122 Washington St. W 96 - 92 38% +8  93% 7 - 12 3 - 5 C+ +4 A+ +18 A+ A A+ F -14 C+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 42 Santa Clara L 73 - 85 12% -14  0% 7 - 13 3 - 6 C- -3 D -4 C- F A B- +2 F A- A+
 Wed, Jan 28 276 @Pepperdine W 92 - 88 OT 51% -3  16% 8 - 13 4 - 6 C +0 C+ +3 F A B- D+ -3 D+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 160 Oregon St. L 76 - 78 OT 49% +1  48% 8 - 14 4 - 7 D+ -5 F -12 C D F A- +7 C A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 41 @St. Mary's L 60 - 87 5% -19  0% 8 - 15 4 - 8 D -11 C- -1 A- D- D+ F -13 F F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 153 @Loyola Marymount L 63 - 83 27% -17  0% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F+ -17 C- -2 C D+ B+ F -17 F D+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 219 Portland W 71 - 58 61% +2  47% 9 - 16 5 - 9 B- +7 C +0 A+ F D- A- +8 A- C A-
 Sun, Feb 15 119 San Francisco L 79 - 92 38% -4  24% 9 - 17 5 - 10 D- -13 C+ +3 B- A C F -16 F A C
 Sat, Feb 21 153 Loyola Marymount L 75 - 76 49%
 Wed, Feb 25 160 @Oregon St. L 71 - 77 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 219 @Portland L 76 - 79 39%
Totals 10 - 19 6 - 12 -3 C -1 A+ C+ C- D+ -3 C+ B- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C C+ C+ 32% 39% 47% C- C+ C- C- C- C- F+ B- D- D+ D D- B- D+ 40% 18% 42% D+ D+ D- C- D B D C D+
1.08 60% 38% 35% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.0 .29 18% .24 74% .18 1.12 64% 43% 32% +2 +1 1.07 35% 1.1 .37 19% .35 72% .17
Nov
7		 Idaho St. D- F B+ A D 49% 16% 35% B D+ B- F D C- D- D- F+ D+ A- F D C+ 46% 9% 46% F+ C F B+ C- D+ D A+ C
1.07 46% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.8 .26 16% .26 71% .19 1.12 48% 50% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 16% .36 63% .22
Nov
12		 Idaho C+ D- A+ A+ A+ 25% 27% 48% D A+ C+ C+ C+ F F F F D+ D- D A- C 50% 11% 39% F C- F A+ D A+ F D F
1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13 1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37
Nov
18		 Grambling St. D+ A+ F C- C- 22% 18% 60% F+ D+ D+ F F D A+ A+ A+ B- B- C+ A+ A- 45% 32% 23% B+ A- F B D- C- F A+ F
1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53 0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31
Nov
21		 UC Riverside D C F D F 41% 12% 47% B- F+ B C- B- C- C B C+ F D C F F 49% 18% 33% D- F F F F D- F B+ F
1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25 1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30
Nov
25		 California Baptist F A+ D F D+ 46% 12% 42% A- C F A+ F+ D F F F C- B- A+ C- C 42% 12% 47% D C- B- F F A+ F F+ F
0.86 75% 33% 14% -6 +2 0.94 3% 4.0 .13 17% .22 62% .14 1.07 50% 20% 35% -5 +1 0.95 35% 1.5 .55 24% .52 79% .41
Nov
30		 Long Beach St. B- A+ B D+ B 35% 24% 41% D+ B- A+ A A+ F F A+ F F D F C D- 34% 30% 36% C D- F F F F A A+ A+
1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12 1.21 65% 47% 33% +5 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
5		 San Jose St. F D- F F F 20% 19% 61% D- F B- D+ C+ B+ C- C+ C- D F F F+ F 32% 34% 34% B- F F B F A+ F B F
0.95 55% 0% 24% -17 -1 0.67 39% 1.1 .43 15% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 53% 40% +13 -2 1.23 58% 0.9 .54 30% .53 70% .37
Dec
9		 USC C F A+ D C- 32% 21% 47% C- C- C+ C+ C+ C A A A+ D C- F F F 44% 21% 35% D+ F A+ F D+ A+ F D- F
1.03 39% 58% 30% -5 -1 0.91 30% 0.9 .28 18% .37 83% .31 1.20 63% 56% 60% +20 0 1.42 24% 1.7 .40 27% .61 77% .47
Dec
13		 Northern Arizona C- B+ D- A+ B 33% 20% 47% D- B- C- A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ C F C D+ F+ 26% 34% 40% A+ D+ F D- F A+ C- F F+
1.17 67% 33% 43% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.7 .54 21% .46 75% .34 1.04 75% 38% 37% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.1 .36 26% .28 86% .24
Dec
19		 UC San Diego A+ D+ A+ C+ B 38% 15% 47% B- B A B A C D- A+ B+ F D F B D+ 44% 6% 50% D- D+ C- F F D D+ F+ D
1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22 1.26 65% 67% 31% +2 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22
Dec
22		 Washington F D+ F D+ D+ 25% 24% 51% C+ D+ F+ D- F+ F F+ F F C+ D B+ A+ A+ 36% 28% 36% C A C- F F C+ F D F
0.76 54% 25% 31% -7 -1 0.86 18% 0.9 .15 24% .20 55% .11 1.16 67% 36% 22% -4 -1 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 16% .47 79% .37
Dec
28		 Pacific D+ D- F D F 18% 23% 59% C- F+ D- A+ A B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- F A+ A+ 45% 10% 45% F A D A+ A A+ C- A+ B-
1.03 50% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.82 19% 2.0 .38 12% .43 75% .32 0.84 53% 75% 21% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .24 33% .28 67% .19
Dec
30		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A A+ 29% 17% 53% B+ A+ D- A+ C+ A+ B D B- D+ D A+ F C 49% 22% 29% F+ C- D- F F A F A+ C
1.17 71% 50% 39% +10 0 1.21 17% 1.3 .23 14% .33 65% .22 1.24 70% 25% 44% +7 +1 1.18 42% 1.5 .61 19% .37 54% .20
Jan
2		 San Francisco F A+ A+ F C 32% 29% 39% D C- F F F C- F+ A+ D A- F F A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A D+ F+ F+ C B+ D- B-
0.90 72% 50% 18% -1 -1 0.96 9% 0.7 .06 14% .20 83% .16 1.04 72% 57% 15% -7 +1 0.88 35% 1.3 .44 15% .28 76% .22
Jan
4		 Santa Clara D+ C F A B 42% 15% 43% C+ B F F F C- F D+ F D- F+ F C C 30% 9% 61% C- C F D+ F B+ A F C+
0.94 59% 25% 39% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.6 .11 21% .22 69% .15 1.32 71% 60% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.2 .59 19% .17 100% .17
Jan
8		 Pepperdine B B- A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% D+ A+ C C+ C+ C D- D- D- B F A A+ C+ 32% 17% 51% C- C+ A- B- B+ A- F A F
1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14 0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38
Jan
10		 Pacific C- B- C+ D C 25% 29% 45% D+ C C- C C- D C- A B- C+ C- A- A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% D- A+ F A+ C F+ F F+ F
1.00 62% 40% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 78% .24 1.10 58% 33% 23% -9 +1 0.86 48% 0.7 .34 16% .48 82% .39
Jan
15		 Seattle D+ C- D+ D+ C 33% 22% 45% C- C D+ F D- D+ D A C- C D D F F 37% 22% 41% B F+ A- C B B- F C+ F
0.89 53% 36% 30% -4 0 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 22% .25 79% .20 1.04 65% 40% 42% +8 0 1.17 19% 0.8 .16 19% .43 68% .29
Jan
21		 Washington St. A+ A+ D A+ A+ 26% 29% 45% F+ A+ A+ D A A+ F F F F D- F B C+ 40% 16% 44% C- C+ F D F F+ F F F
1.37 73% 35% 54% +17 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11 1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35
Jan
24		 Santa Clara D A+ C+ F C 38% 29% 34% F+ C- B F F A D+ C+ D+ B- F F F F 45% 9% 47% F+ F A+ D+ A- A+ F+ A+ C+
0.98 76% 38% 16% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.4 .13 16% .30 74% .22 1.14 86% 75% 41% +20 +2 1.47 27% 1.1 .31 28% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pepperdine C+ F A B- F 46% 7% 47% B F B A A B- A+ A+ A+ D+ B- C+ D D+ 36% 19% 46% D+ D+ D B- C- F F A F
1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32 1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29
Jan
31		 Oregon St. F B- A- F+ C+ 34% 22% 43% D C C- F+ D F F C+ F A- A- D D C+ 44% 13% 44% F+ C B+ A+ A+ B D A+ C+
0.93 60% 46% 28% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.8 .25 24% .19 75% .15 0.95 46% 43% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 20% .41 67% .27
Feb
4		 St. Mary's C- B+ F A+ A 33% 27% 40% D+ A- C+ F D- D+ C F F F C+ F F F 45% 21% 34% C F D- F F C- D C+ D+
0.94 63% 23% 42% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.5 .13 17% .25 38% .09 1.36 57% 50% 50% +10 0 1.23 42% 1.3 .55 16% .37 80% .30
Feb
7		 Loyola Marymount C- D+ A F+ C+ 27% 37% 35% F C F+ B D+ B+ F C- F F F F A+ F 39% 22% 39% D F F A- D+ F F F F
1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15 1.32 79% 73% 26% +11 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29
Feb
11		 Portland C F A+ A+ A+ 33% 22% 45% D+ A+ C+ F F D- F F F A- F F A+ A 40% 18% 42% C A- A F C A- C+ F F
1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10 0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29
Feb
15		 San Francisco C+ C+ A+ C B+ 24% 35% 41% F B- D A+ A C B- A+ B+ F F A+ F F 44% 9% 47% F F A- A+ A C F F+ F
1.14 58% 50% 33% +4 -3 1.04 23% 1.9 .42 13% .30 83% .25 1.33 80% 25% 43% +15 +2 1.36 27% 0.8 .23 16% .60 77% .46



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.9 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.7 2.8 5th
6th 1.8 2.1 3.9 6th
7th 9.5 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 4.4 12.2 16.6 8th
9th 32.5 3.6 36.2 9th
10th 6.1 6.2 12.3 10th
11th 17.5 0.0 17.5 11th
12th 0.3 0.3 12th
Total 23.9 43.2 27.1 5.8 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 5.8% 5.8
7-11 27.1% 27.1
6-12 43.2% 43.2
5-13 23.9% 23.9
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 22.4%