San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#260
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#279
Pace75.1#47
Improvement-1.9#298

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#224
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#88
Layup/Dunks-3.8#308
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#64
Freethrows-1.0#245
Improvement-1.3#283

Defense
Total Defense-3.4#292
First Shot+1.1#133
After Offensive Rebounds-4.5#363
Layups/Dunks-0.1#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows-0.9#248
Improvement-0.5#221
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.4% 2.0% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 5.2% 8.9% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.6% 23.5% 34.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Away) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 83 - 17
Quad 45 - 58 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 175 Idaho St. L 68-71 45%     0 - 1 -7.1 -1.0 -6.5
  Wed, Nov 12 177 Idaho W 78-74 45%     1 - 1 -0.2 +5.5 -5.5
  Tue, Nov 18 245 Grambling St. W 78-68 59%     2 - 1 +2.2 -1.5 +3.1
  Fri, Nov 21 272 UC Riverside L 71-85 63%     2 - 2 -23.0 -5.1 -18.3
  Tue, Nov 25 134 California Baptist L 61-76 25%     2 - 3 -13.3 -11.3 -1.8
  Sun, Nov 30 275 @Long Beach St. L 72-76 41%     2 - 4 -7.2 +4.2 -11.8
  Fri, Dec 5 197 @San Jose St. L 69-86 28%     2 - 5 -16.3 -7.6 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 9 38 USC L 81-94 9%     2 - 6 -3.5 +3.2 -5.2
  Sat, Dec 13 289 Northern Arizona W 78-69 66%     3 - 6 -0.7 +5.6 -5.9
  Fri, Dec 19 83 @UC San Diego L 72-87 7%    
  Mon, Dec 22 48 @Washington L 56-86 5%     3 - 7 -16.2 -13.0 -1.6
  Sun, Dec 28 138 Pacific L 74-78 35%    
  Tue, Dec 30 6 Gonzaga L 70-94 1%    
  Fri, Jan 2 95 @San Francisco L 69-83 9%    
  Sun, Jan 4 86 @Santa Clara L 72-87 8%    
  Thu, Jan 8 262 Pepperdine W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Jan 10 138 @Pacific L 71-81 17%    
  Thu, Jan 15 112 @Seattle L 69-81 13%    
  Wed, Jan 21 149 Washington St. L 77-80 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 86 Santa Clara L 75-84 20%    
  Wed, Jan 28 262 @Pepperdine L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Jan 31 154 Oregon St. L 73-76 40%    
  Wed, Feb 4 44 @St. Mary's L 64-84 3%    
  Sat, Feb 7 123 @Loyola Marymount L 67-78 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 256 Portland W 80-77 60%    
  Sun, Feb 15 95 San Francisco L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Feb 21 123 Loyola Marymount L 70-75 33%    
  Wed, Feb 25 154 @Oregon St. L 70-79 22%    
  Sat, Feb 28 256 @Portland L 77-80 39%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.3 1.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.4 1.2 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.5 4.0 6.6 2.5 0.1 13.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.7 8.8 3.6 0.3 19.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 7.5 9.3 3.9 0.4 0.0 23.2 11th
12th 1.0 4.1 7.6 6.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 21.6 12th
Total 1.0 4.2 9.5 15.0 17.9 17.2 13.9 10.0 6.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 1.4% 1.4
9-9 3.0% 3.0
8-10 6.1% 6.1
7-11 10.0% 10.0
6-12 13.9% 13.9
5-13 17.2% 17.2
4-14 17.9% 17.9
3-15 15.0% 15.0
2-16 9.5% 9.5
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%