San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#178
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#212
Pace66.2#257
Improvement-3.6#346

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#260
First Shot-1.1#214
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#291
Layup/Dunks-2.0#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#226
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement-3.5#352

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#99
First Shot+3.1#83
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#221
Layups/Dunks-0.3#188
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#18
Freethrows+2.6#38
Improvement-0.2#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 22.6% 26.4% 9.4%
.500 or above in Conference 24.6% 26.6% 17.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 11.4% 10.2% 15.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Neutral) - 77.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 33 - 45 - 13
Quad 47 - 412 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 93   @ Nevada W 75-68 19%     1 - 0 +15.7 +6.9 +9.0
  Nov 15, 2021 121   @ California L 70-75 26%     1 - 1 +1.0 +4.7 -3.9
  Nov 17, 2021 136   UC Riverside W 74-62 52%     2 - 1 +11.1 +1.3 +9.6
  Nov 19, 2021 205   Cal St. Fullerton L 55-57 66%     2 - 2 -6.7 -17.1 +10.3
  Nov 25, 2021 122   South Alabama L 67-68 37%     2 - 3 +2.0 -4.0 +6.0
  Nov 26, 2021 261   Illinois-Chicago W 64-52 68%     3 - 3 +6.7 -8.2 +15.4
  Nov 28, 2021 285   Cal St. Northridge L 52-56 80%     3 - 4 -13.6 -17.2 +2.9
  Dec 01, 2021 112   @ Fresno St. L 43-63 24%     3 - 5 -13.3 -16.0 -1.3
  Dec 05, 2021 302   Cal Poly W 52-51 84%     4 - 5 -9.9 -12.8 +3.1
  Dec 18, 2021 310   Northern Arizona W 70-62 78%    
  Dec 20, 2021 286   Long Beach St. W 76-67 81%    
  Dec 22, 2021 168   @ UNLV L 62-66 37%    
  Dec 30, 2021 2   Gonzaga L 65-83 5%    
  Jan 01, 2022 83   @ Santa Clara L 65-75 18%    
  Jan 06, 2022 229   @ Pepperdine L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 08, 2022 42   @ San Francisco L 59-72 11%    
  Jan 13, 2022 269   Portland W 72-64 78%    
  Jan 15, 2022 137   Loyola Marymount W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 20, 2022 27   BYU L 61-71 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 217   @ Pacific L 62-63 46%    
  Jan 27, 2022 229   Pepperdine W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 29, 2022 137   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-70 31%    
  Feb 05, 2022 83   Santa Clara L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 10, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 52-66 11%    
  Feb 12, 2022 217   Pacific W 65-60 66%    
  Feb 17, 2022 269   @ Portland W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 24, 2022 41   St. Mary's L 55-63 25%    
  Feb 26, 2022 42   San Francisco L 62-69 26%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 6 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.2 1.7 3.4 1.9 0.2 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.6 5.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 13.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.6 8.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 20.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 8.4 8.6 2.6 0.2 21.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 6.9 6.7 1.6 0.1 16.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 4.8 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.8 0.3 5.9 10th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.8 7.9 12.6 17.0 17.5 15.2 11.1 7.2 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 66.7% 0.0    0.0
14-2 52.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 36.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 3.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 2.6% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
11-5 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
10-6 3.7% 0.9% 0.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
9-7 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
8-8 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
7-9 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
6-10 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 17.5
5-11 17.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.0
4-12 12.6% 12.6
3-13 7.9% 7.9
2-14 3.8% 3.8
1-15 1.2% 1.2
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8 0.0%