Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.8 122
Expected Predictive Rating +0.2 152
Pace 69.3 160
Improvement +3.7 56

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 85 A- C- C- C- C+
Defense C- 206 C+ C+ D C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 248 A- 67% 23 +2.1 101
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 274 B- 41% 91 -1.1 240
Three Pointers 47% 58 B+ 38% 24 +6.3 22
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 140 A- +6.8 17
1st FG Attempt A- 1.17 23
Second Chance C 30.0% 193 D+ 0.96 285 C- 0.29 235
Turnovers C- 18.0% 261
Freethrows C- 0.29 236 C+ 74% 137 C- 0.21 204
Total Offense B- +3.9 85

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 232 A- 6.6% 16
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 279 C 5.2% 196
Three Pointers F+ 74% 345 C 0.9% 191
Total C- 52% 253 A- 3.7% 20

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 C+ 57% 147 -1.3 131
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 96 D 42% 317 +1.9 321
Three Pointers 40% 215 C+ 33% 114 -1.3 125
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 102 C -0.3 172
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 150
Second Chance B 26.5% 51 D+ 1.10 285 C+ 0.29 119
Turnovers D 14.8% 304
Freethrows C+ 0.29 150 D+ 74% 273 C 0.22 169
Total Defense C- -1.1 206

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 61 C+ 11.8% 135
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 26 D+ 3.2% 287
Three Pointers C 83% 147 B- 1.4% 77
Total B 49% 43 C 5.7% 168

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 93 18.1 303
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 186 0.17 163
Improvement +3.2 #48 +0.5 #153

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 141 122 105
Conference Record 7 - 11 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 7 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.9 15.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 48% 87% 35%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 80 - 13
Quad 36 - 46 - 17
Quad 47 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 186 Idaho L 81 - 83 77% -9  0% 0 - 1 D+ -7 C +1 C D+ A+ F+ -8 F+ C+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 112 @Davidson L 69 - 85 36% -16  0% 0 - 2 D -10 D+ -3 F+ B F D- -7 F B A
 Mon, Nov 10 121 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 61% +15  97% 1 - 2 B +10 B- +5 B- A+ F B +5 B+ A- D+
 Fri, Nov 14 44 Washington L 69 - 81 29% -10  4% 1 - 3 C- -3 B +6 B- B A F -11 C- B- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 273 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 87% +12  83% 2 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +15 B+ A+ A- C -1 F+ A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 63 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 28% +2  62% 2 - 4 C+ +3 A+ +20 A+ A- A+ F -17 F F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 56 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 24% -11  0% 2 - 5 C- -4 C- -1 C+ D C+ D+ -4 D F A
 Tue, Dec 2 120 @Bradley L 60 - 64 38% +3  84% 2 - 6 C+ +2 F -11 C+ F F A+ +13 A+ D+ F+
 Sun, Dec 7 79 Nevada L 64 - 78 45% -5  29% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -3 C+ C- F D- -8 A- F F+
 Sun, Dec 14 53 @USC L 61 - 68 16% -6  0% 2 - 8 B- +6 D- -7 C+ F C- A+ +13 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 201 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 69% +12  99% 3 - 8 B+ +13 D+ -2 A- F+ F A+ +15 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 175 Mercer W 84 - 78 74% +4  78% 4 - 8 C+ +2 C- -1 A+ F C B- +2 C+ B D-
 Sun, Dec 28 219 @Portland W 67 - 62 62% +3  65% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +5 D- -6 C- F D+ A+ +11 A+ D- F
 Tue, Dec 30 126 @Seattle L 55 - 69 39% -6  13% 5 - 9 1 - 1 D -8 F+ -9 F C F C+ +1 D+ A+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 153 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 71% -1  49% 6 - 9 2 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 A+ F D+ D+ -4 B- B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 160 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 72% +11  99% 7 - 9 3 - 1 B +11 A- +10 A- A F+ C+ +2 C+ C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 41 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 11% -9  6% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B +10 A+ +15 A+ C+ D- D+ -5 F+ A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 15 10 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 11% -10  10% 7 - 11 3 - 3 C- -5 C -0 A+ D- F D -5 B+ F+ D+
 Sun, Jan 18 119 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 38% -0  38% 7 - 12 3 - 4 C +1 A +13 A+ F D F -12 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 220 @San Diego L 92 - 96 62% -8  6% 7 - 13 3 - 5 C- -4 A+ +15 B- B- A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 276 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 88% +12  97% 8 - 13 4 - 5 B- +6 A +13 A+ B C- D- -7 F A B+
 Wed, Jan 28 126 Seattle W 70 - 58 62% +6  91% 9 - 13 5 - 5 B+ +12 C+ +3 A+ F F A +9 A+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 219 Portland W 104 - 74 81% +15  94% 10 - 13 6 - 5 A+ +24 A+ +24 A+ A A+ C -1 A- F F
 Wed, Feb 4 160 @Oregon St. L 64 - 74 50% +4  76% 10 - 14 6 - 6 D+ -7 D- -8 F D+ B- C +0 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 42 Santa Clara L 92 - 96 27% -3  20% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +5 A+ +18 A+ A+ B F -13 F A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 10 10 @Gonzaga L 53 - 83 4% -21  0% 10 - 16 6 - 8 D+ -8 F -12 C F F B +5 C- A B+
 Wed, Feb 18 127 Pacific W 87 - 70 63% +6  75% 11 - 16 7 - 8 A- +16 A+ +18 A+ F A C -0 B+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 41 St. Mary's L 70 - 77 25%
 Wed, Feb 25 153 @Loyola Marymount L 75 - 76 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 276 @Pepperdine W 81 - 74 72%
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 10 +3 B- +4 A+ A- C+ C- -1 B+ C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- A- B- B+ A- 36% 29% 47% C+ A- C D+ C- C- C- C+ C- C- C+ D C+ C 37% 23% 40% C+ C+ B D+ C+ D C+ D+ C
1.14 67% 41% 38% +7 0 1.17 30% 1.0 .29 18% .29 74% .21 1.10 57% 42% 33% 0 0 1.01 27% 1.1 .29 15% .29 74% .21
Nov
3		 Idaho C C A+ F C- 37% 16% 47% B+ C F+ A D+ A+ A+ C A+ F+ C+ F D- F 35% 12% 54% D+ F+ A- F+ C+ C- D+ C- D+
1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38 1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23
Nov
7		 Davidson D+ F C+ F+ F+ 35% 26% 39% C F+ B- B- B F A+ A+ A+ D- F F+ F F 30% 22% 48% B- F A+ F B A F F F
0.99 44% 42% 28% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 23% .43 83% .35 1.22 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.35 18% 1.5 .27 21% .38 81% .31
Nov
10		 St. Thomas B- B- A+ D B- 42% 10% 48% B- B- C+ A+ A+ F B- A+ A B F A+ B B+ 35% 12% 54% B- B+ A+ F A- D+ B- F C-
1.18 65% 60% 30% +3 +2 1.10 31% 2.0 .62 22% .30 94% .28 1.03 78% 0% 32% +1 +1 1.06 3% 3.0 .10 13% .27 81% .22
Nov
14		 Washington B B D+ D- C+ 38% 12% 50% A+ B- B+ C B A F A+ D F B+ F F+ C- 32% 19% 49% D C- B- C+ B- F+ F D+ F
1.11 63% 33% 28% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 11% .18 80% .14 1.30 53% 56% 39% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 11% .42 78% .33
Nov
19		 Southern Utah A+ A+ A+ C- A- 36% 24% 40% D+ B+ B- A+ A+ A- C C- C- C D+ F F F 31% 31% 38% A F+ A+ A- A+ C D+ D D
1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17 1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21
Nov
25		 Arizona St. A+ B+ C- A+ A+ 29% 22% 49% C- A+ C- A+ A- A+ A+ C+ A+ F D+ F F F 44% 14% 42% D- F C+ F F D+ F D F
1.32 64% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 30% 1.4 .43 15% .48 76% .36 1.40 64% 57% 48% +14 +1 1.32 32% 1.6 .52 14% .47 79% .38
Nov
26		 Seton Hall C- B+ A+ F C 43% 7% 50% A C+ C F D C+ D B C- D+ F A+ B F+ 45% 34% 21% A D A- F F A A F B
0.92 60% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23 1.13 81% 25% 30% +5 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21
Dec
2		 Bradley F A F A+ B 23% 41% 36% F C+ D- F F F F A+ D A+ C C- A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% C A+ B F D+ F+ D A+ B
0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21 0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21
Dec
7		 Nevada D+ A F B B- 29% 26% 45% D- C+ B+ F C- F A+ B+ A+ D- A+ B D- A- 33% 37% 31% A A- D F F F+ C+ F D+
1.01 67% 18% 37% -1 -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .31 22% .45 77% .35 1.23 38% 33% 40% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.4 .54 9% .37 86% .31
Dec
14		 USC D- B- F C+ C+ 34% 12% 54% B C+ F B F C- D D D A+ B- C- A+ A+ 48% 27% 25% C A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F F F
0.87 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 18% .24 71% .17 0.97 57% 42% 9% -9 0 0.84 17% 1.2 .21 16% .57 79% .45
Dec
17		 Eastern Washington D+ A A- B A- 42% 12% 46% B- A- B F F+ F F F F A+ C C- A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% D A A A+ A+ D+ C A B-
1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09 0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20
Dec
20		 Mercer C- B A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% C A+ F F F C A- F B- B- C F A+ C 28% 33% 39% A+ C+ B- B+ B D- A+ A+ A+
1.12 63% 60% 50% +17 0 1.35 17% 0.4 .07 17% .32 65% .21 1.04 59% 55% 25% 0 -2 0.98 31% 0.9 .27 13% .22 50% .11
Dec
28		 Portland D- C+ F B- C- 33% 18% 49% C C- D F F D+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 18% 45% C+ A+ C F D- F F A+ C-
0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34 0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22
Dec
30		 Seattle F+ D+ F+ F F 30% 28% 43% D- F A+ F C F A+ F A- C+ B+ D- F F+ 17% 30% 52% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.80 50% 31% 15% -17 -2 0.66 49% 0.6 .27 28% .47 57% .26 1.01 50% 43% 42% +6 -3 1.09 6% 0.0 .00 16% .44 76% .33
Jan
2		 Loyola Marymount C+ B A+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 39% C A+ F F F D+ F+ A+ C- D+ A- C- C- B+ 44% 19% 37% F B- A F B- F D- D+ D-
1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21 1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23
Jan
4		 Oregon St. A- A+ A+ D A 39% 17% 43% C- A- A B- A F+ A C- A- C+ B+ F C+ B- 33% 13% 53% D+ C+ A- F C- D C- A+ B
1.24 72% 50% 30% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.1 .45 18% .41 73% .30 1.03 47% 50% 33% -3 +1 0.98 20% 1.7 .33 15% .38 67% .25
Jan
10		 St. Mary's A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 43% 12% 45% A A+ C+ B- C+ D- A C+ A D+ B C- F F 33% 15% 52% C F+ A A+ A+ A- C- F F
1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24 1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35
Jan
15		 Gonzaga C F D+ A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% A A+ B F D- F A+ F C D C A- C+ A- 50% 22% 28% F+ B+ F B- F+ D+ C C C
0.96 43% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 28% 0.4 .11 25% .39 50% .20 1.27 63% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 47% 1.1 .53 12% .28 71% .20
Jan
18		 San Francisco A A+ C A+ A+ 47% 15% 38% A- A+ D+ F F D F F+ F F C+ D F F 33% 25% 42% A- F D F F B+ C F D-
1.24 76% 38% 50% +17 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04 1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29
Jan
21		 San Diego A+ A- A C- B- 40% 16% 44% C B- B C B- A A- A+ A+ F F B- F F 26% 29% 45% A- F F C F F B A+ A
1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35 1.37 73% 35% 54% +17 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Pepperdine A A+ B- A+ A+ 31% 13% 56% D+ A+ A D B C- C- C+ C D- D F D+ F 31% 37% 33% A+ F A- A+ A B+ B- F C-
1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 +1 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19 1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23
Jan
28		 Seattle C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% D A+ D F F F A F B A B- A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ C+ D+ C D- C F D+
1.03 77% 64% 47% +21 -1 1.41 25% 0.3 .08 28% .39 63% .24 0.85 54% 13% 16% -16 +1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 15% .29 76% .22
Jan
31		 Portland A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% B A+ C A+ A A+ C A+ B C A+ F A+ A- 40% 26% 34% B+ A- D F F F F A+ F+
1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25 1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27
Feb
4		 Oregon St. D- F F F+ F 32% 6% 62% B- F F A+ D+ B- A+ B A+ C B+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 20% 27% D- A+ F+ B D+ F D- B- D
0.95 33% 0% 28% -16 +1 0.72 21% 1.4 .28 13% .44 77% .34 1.09 48% 27% 20% -13 +1 0.78 32% 1.2 .37 7% .43 74% .32
Feb
7		 Santa Clara A+ A- F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B A+ A A+ A+ B F A+ D+ F F F F F 43% 20% 38% C F B- A+ A+ D+ C- F D
1.30 68% 17% 48% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.3 .52 18% .26 87% .22 1.35 75% 64% 43% +17 0 1.38 34% 0.6 .22 14% .26 81% .21
Feb
10		 Gonzaga F A+ C+ F C 30% 17% 52% B+ C F F+ F F C+ A+ B+ B D+ F A+ C- 45% 36% 19% B- C- C+ A+ A B+ B+ F C
0.75 71% 38% 21% -6 0 0.89 10% 0.7 .07 30% .30 80% .24 1.17 67% 63% 20% +9 -1 1.17 36% 0.9 .32 17% .24 86% .20
Feb
18		 Pacific A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 28% 24% 48% C A+ C F F A F F F C A+ D D+ B 36% 28% 36% B+ B+ A- C B F A- B A
1.33 87% 46% 54% +24 -1 1.48 25% 0.3 .07 11% .14 63% .09 1.07 42% 47% 37% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 15% .20 73% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4.4 35.4 9.7 49.4 4th
5th 0.2 18.1 2.6 20.8 5th
6th 3.6 18.4 0.1 22.1 6th
7th 5.8 0.1 5.9 7th
8th 1.7 1.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 11.4 40.9 38.0 9.7 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
9-9 38.0% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 37.9
8-10 40.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 40.9
7-11 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.5 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.1%
Lose Out 4.5%