Washington St.
Pac-12
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#49
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#93
Pace68.2#211
Improvement-0.2#199

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#85
First Shot+1.9#121
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#89
Layup/Dunks-6.6#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#72
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#97
Freethrows+4.0#12
Improvement-4.0#356

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#46
First Shot+8.3#14
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#311
Layups/Dunks+5.7#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#51
Freethrows+0.7#152
Improvement+3.8#4
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.0% 4.8% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.5% 37.9% 20.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.9% 35.2% 18.3%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.7
.500 or above 92.6% 95.3% 84.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.7% 80.2% 70.2%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.6% 1.1%
First Four7.6% 8.2% 5.8%
First Round29.8% 33.9% 17.6%
Second Round14.7% 16.9% 7.9%
Sweet Sixteen4.8% 5.6% 2.5%
Elite Eight1.8% 2.1% 0.8%
Final Four0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 6
Quad 25 - 37 - 9
Quad 38 - 215 - 11
Quad 46 - 121 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 321   Alcorn St. W 85-67 97%     1 - 0 +5.5 +8.6 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2021 199   Seattle W 79-61 89%     2 - 0 +13.6 +8.4 +6.4
  Nov 15, 2021 115   UC Santa Barbara W 73-65 80%     3 - 0 +8.6 +2.3 +6.7
  Nov 18, 2021 345   @ Idaho W 109-61 96%     4 - 0 +37.3 +26.4 +9.4
  Nov 22, 2021 157   Winthrop W 92-86 86%     5 - 0 +3.7 +9.9 -6.7
  Nov 27, 2021 222   Eastern Washington L 71-76 91%     5 - 1 -10.5 -10.8 +0.7
  Dec 01, 2021 105   @ Arizona St. W 51-29 57%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +29.4 -13.4 +44.3
  Dec 04, 2021 14   USC L 61-63 38%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +10.5 +1.4 +8.8
  Dec 08, 2021 96   Weber St. W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 11, 2021 68   South Dakota St. W 79-77 58%    
  Dec 15, 2021 104   New Mexico St. W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 18, 2021 184   Northern Colorado W 77-64 89%    
  Dec 22, 2021 78   Boise St. W 66-63 60%    
  Dec 29, 2021 148   Washington W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 06, 2022 81   @ Colorado L 67-68 50%    
  Jan 08, 2022 66   @ Utah L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 12, 2022 95   Stanford W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 15, 2022 121   California W 68-59 80%    
  Jan 20, 2022 53   @ Oregon L 67-69 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 149   @ Oregon St. W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 26, 2022 66   Utah W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 30, 2022 81   Colorado W 70-64 70%    
  Feb 03, 2022 95   @ Stanford W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 121   @ California W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 10, 2022 5   Arizona L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 12, 2022 105   Arizona St. W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 17, 2022 9   @ UCLA L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 20, 2022 14   @ USC L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 26, 2022 148   @ Washington W 73-68 67%    
  Mar 03, 2022 149   Oregon St. W 72-61 83%    
  Mar 05, 2022 53   Oregon W 70-66 62%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 5.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.9 8.6 6.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 25.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.2 6.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.8 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.7 6.3 9.2 12.2 14.2 14.8 13.3 10.7 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.3 0.1 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 88.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 61.0% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1
16-4 25.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 6.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 48.1% 51.9% 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.5% 99.0% 17.1% 81.9% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
16-4 3.7% 95.6% 12.2% 83.4% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 95.0%
15-5 7.0% 88.0% 9.3% 78.8% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.8 86.8%
14-6 10.7% 71.6% 6.6% 65.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.0 69.6%
13-7 13.3% 50.4% 4.5% 45.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.4 0.8 0.0 6.6 48.0%
12-8 14.8% 30.8% 3.2% 27.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.9 1.0 0.1 10.2 28.5%
11-9 14.2% 15.2% 2.2% 13.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.1 12.0 13.3%
10-10 12.2% 6.0% 1.1% 4.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 11.5 4.9%
9-11 9.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.7% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.0 0.7%
8-12 6.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.1%
7-13 3.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
6-14 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 1.9
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 33.5% 3.8% 29.7% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.9 5.2 6.2 8.0 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 66.5 30.9%