San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#88
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#96
Pace65.5#284
Improvement+0.4#150

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#93
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#19
Layup/Dunks-3.5#300
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#63
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement-0.5#215

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#96
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#333
Layups/Dunks+0.4#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#114
Freethrows+2.1#46
Improvement+0.9#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 93.2% 96.5% 86.5%
.500 or above in Conference 87.8% 93.0% 77.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
First Round2.7% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Away) - 67.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 24 - 44 - 9
Quad 37 - 211 - 12
Quad 48 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 70 @Memphis L 70-76 33%     0 - 1 +4.9 +1.1 +4.2
  Wed, Nov 12 171 Portland St. W 80-70 84%     1 - 1 +5.9 +10.4 -4.3
  Sat, Nov 15 109 Bradley W 75-64 71%     2 - 1 +11.7 +5.9 +6.1
  Tue, Nov 18 297 Northwestern St. W 84-64 93%     3 - 1 +9.6 +15.1 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 22 94 Minnesota W 77-65 52%     4 - 1 +17.8 +16.3 +2.8
  Thu, Nov 27 83 Colorado L 69-79 49%     4 - 2 -3.3 -1.7 -1.9
  Fri, Nov 28 89 Nevada L 65-81 50%     4 - 3 -9.7 -0.2 -10.9
  Wed, Dec 3 246 North Alabama L 63-65 90%     4 - 4 -9.7 -8.0 -1.9
  Sun, Dec 7 72 Mississippi St. W 65-62 44%     5 - 4 +10.8 +4.6 +6.6
  Sat, Dec 13 38 @Saint Louis L 75-85 18%     5 - 5 +6.2 +9.5 -3.3
  Wed, Dec 17 265 Loyola Chicago W 85-71 87%     6 - 5 +8.2 +20.4 -9.9
  Sun, Dec 21 360 Morgan St. W 94-64 98%     7 - 5 +11.6 +14.3 -1.7
  Sun, Dec 28 121 @Seattle W 67-59 52%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +13.8 -0.1 +13.8
  Tue, Dec 30 180 @Oregon St. W 72-67 67%    
  Fri, Jan 2 239 San Diego W 81-67 90%    
  Sun, Jan 4 258 Portland W 80-65 92%    
  Thu, Jan 8 123 @Loyola Marymount W 70-69 54%    
  Sat, Jan 10 267 @Pepperdine W 74-65 81%    
  Tue, Jan 13 44 St. Mary's L 69-71 42%    
  Sun, Jan 18 147 Washington St. W 76-68 79%    
  Sat, Jan 24 5 @Gonzaga L 67-86 4%    
  Wed, Jan 28 64 @Santa Clara L 72-77 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 Pacific W 75-66 79%    
  Tue, Feb 3 123 Loyola Marymount W 73-66 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 44 @St. Mary's L 66-74 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 180 Oregon St. W 75-64 84%    
  Sun, Feb 15 239 @San Diego W 78-70 76%    
  Wed, Feb 18 5 Gonzaga L 70-83 12%    
  Sat, Feb 21 64 Santa Clara W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Feb 28 149 @Pacific W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 5.0 5.8 2.5 0.4 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.2 10.1 7.1 1.8 0.1 25.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.5 10.4 5.1 0.7 0.0 23.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.7 6.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.7 4.4 1.6 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.1 0.1 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.4 7.0 11.3 15.9 18.7 17.3 12.8 7.8 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 49.1% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 11.8% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
14-4 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 53.5% 25.6% 27.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 37.5%
16-2 0.8% 33.2% 11.5% 21.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 24.5%
15-3 3.0% 18.2% 10.1% 8.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.4 9.0%
14-4 7.8% 9.3% 7.0% 2.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 7.1 2.4%
13-5 12.8% 4.4% 3.7% 0.7% 11.1 0.0 0.5 0.1 12.3 0.8%
12-6 17.3% 2.8% 2.6% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 16.8 0.3%
11-7 18.7% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 18.5 0.0%
10-8 15.9% 0.7% 0.7% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.8
9-9 11.3% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.3
8-10 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 7.0
7-11 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 3.4
6-12 1.3% 1.3
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 96.9 0.8%