Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.4#320
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#294
Pace71.8#102
Improvement+1.5#75

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#337
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#324
Layup/Dunks-2.9#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#236
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement+0.6#124

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#266
First Shot+2.4#103
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#354
Layups/Dunks+0.7#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#214
Freethrows+0.8#144
Improvement+0.9#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.8% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.6% 18.2% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 63.6% 52.9%
Conference Champion 3.2% 3.8% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four3.8% 4.5% 2.9%
First Round2.0% 2.4% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Away) - 62.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 411 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 123   @ Grand Canyon L 53-74 8%     0 - 1 -15.0 -14.9 -0.8
  Nov 12, 2021 19   @ Texas Tech L 62-88 2%     0 - 2 -9.0 -2.6 -6.2
  Nov 15, 2021 200   @ New Mexico L 61-86 15%     0 - 3 -23.4 -19.2 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2021 58   @ Iowa St. L 47-82 4%     0 - 4 -23.9 -14.5 -12.3
  Nov 28, 2021 314   Morgan St. W 74-59 49%     1 - 4 +6.0 -5.6 +11.0
  Nov 30, 2021 252   Norfolk St. L 63-70 33%     1 - 5 -11.7 -11.7 +0.1
  Dec 04, 2021 23   @ Connecticut L 59-88 2%     1 - 6 -12.5 -4.2 -9.3
  Dec 11, 2021 351   @ Incarnate Word W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 14, 2021 46   @ UAB L 58-80 2%    
  Dec 18, 2021 160   @ Tulane L 62-75 11%    
  Dec 21, 2021 91   @ TCU L 59-77 5%    
  Jan 03, 2022 249   Prairie View L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 05, 2022 176   Texas Southern L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 08, 2022 348   @ Bethune-Cookman W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 10, 2022 301   @ Florida A&M L 64-69 34%    
  Jan 15, 2022 297   Southern W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 22, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 83-65 95%    
  Jan 24, 2022 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-63 88%    
  Jan 29, 2022 244   @ Jackson St. L 60-68 24%    
  Jan 31, 2022 321   @ Alcorn St. L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 05, 2022 344   Alabama St. W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 07, 2022 341   Alabama A&M W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 12, 2022 176   @ Texas Southern L 63-75 14%    
  Feb 14, 2022 249   @ Prairie View L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 19, 2022 297   @ Southern L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 26, 2022 301   Florida A&M W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 28, 2022 348   Bethune-Cookman W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 03, 2022 341   @ Alabama A&M W 69-68 52%    
  Mar 05, 2022 344   @ Alabama St. W 71-70 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.6 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.3 4.4 0.6 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.9 4.8 0.9 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.0 4.7 0.9 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 3.8 0.9 0.0 10.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.7 11.1 13.7 14.4 13.9 11.9 8.8 5.5 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 92.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 69.1% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 35.3% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.2% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.9% 25.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.5% 26.2% 26.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.4% 19.2% 19.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.1
14-4 3.2% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.7
13-5 5.5% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 0.7 4.8
12-6 8.8% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.7 8.1
11-7 11.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.7 11.2
10-8 13.9% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.3
9-9 14.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 14.0
8-10 13.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.6
7-11 11.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1 95.9 0.0%