Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.4 #153
Expected Predictive Rating +0.8 #152
Pace 66.4 #262
Improvement -2.9 #331

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #167 C+ C C F C-
Defense #144 C+ D+ B D+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #141 1.15 #194 +0.6 #150
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #102 0.94 #15 +3.7 #33
Three Pointers 36% #285 1.01 #189 -2.7 #268
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #135 +1.7 #135
Freethrows 16.5 #226 77% #59 12.7 #169
Second Chance 34.5% #78 0.89 #325 0.31 #194
Turnovers 19.8% #326
Total Offense -0.1 #167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #335 1.24 #269 +3.2 #78
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #36 0.75 #179 -2.1 #319
Three Pointers 43% #141 0.93 #88 +0.9 #157
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #122 +2.0 #121
Freethrows 19.8 #300 71% #121 14.0 #276
Second Chance 25.2% #29 1.03 #177 0.26 #53
Turnovers 15.3% #266
Total Defense +0.4 #144

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #237 -2.6% #27
Shot Type Make Effect 4% #119 -1.2% #157
Possession Length 18.5 #306 17.1 #166
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #296 0.19 #217
Improvement -0.6 #237 -2.3 #329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 n/a
.500 or above 50.5% 60.6% 32.6%
.500 or above in Conference 30.8% 39.2% 15.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.2% 3.7% 10.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oregon St. (Home) - 64.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 410 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 78 @Nevada L 77-78 17%     -1.7   0 - 1 +9.4 +11.4 -2.0
  Wed, Nov 12 270 Long Beach St. W 69-66 81%     -3.4   1 - 1 -6.1 -8.4 +2.4
  Sat, Nov 15 260 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 62%     14.1   2 - 1 +9.3 +1.7 +6.3
  Thu, Nov 20 105 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 25%     -11.2   2 - 2 -15.5 -7.0 -10.2
  Mon, Nov 24 257 Stony Brook W 86-58 71%     17.0   3 - 2 +22.6 +16.2 +7.7
  Tue, Nov 25 316 Jacksonville W 68-53 82%     7.1   4 - 2 +5.6 +1.6 +6.2
  Sat, Nov 29 276 Sacramento St. W 68-54 82%     5.7   5 - 2 +4.6 -9.4 +13.8
  Wed, Dec 3 324 @Air Force W 80-65 75%     9.5   6 - 2 +8.2 +18.6 -8.2
  Sat, Dec 6 76 @California L 61-67 17%     -8.8   6 - 3 +4.6 +2.6 +1.1
  Tue, Dec 16 10 @BYU L 57-93 3%     -17.6   6 - 4 -13.3 -7.5 -5.0
  Sun, Dec 21 215 Nicholls St. W 95-82 74%     6.9   7 - 4 +6.6 +16.7 -10.4
  Sun, Dec 28 208 @San Diego L 54-66 52%     -9.2   7 - 5 0 - 1 -12.1 -14.2 +1.0
  Tue, Dec 30 119 @Loyola Marymount L 71-80 29%     1.5   7 - 6 0 - 2 -3.0 +3.6 -6.7
  Fri, Jan 2 163 Oregon St. W 72-68 64%    
  Sun, Jan 4 277 Pepperdine W 74-64 82%    
  Thu, Jan 8 253 @Portland W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 208 San Diego W 78-72 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 66 @Santa Clara L 70-81 15%    
  Sat, Jan 17 163 @Oregon St. L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 117 Seattle W 69-68 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 253 Portland W 78-69 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 96 @San Francisco L 66-74 21%    
  Wed, Feb 4 66 Santa Clara L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 277 @Pepperdine W 71-67 63%    
  Wed, Feb 11 119 Loyola Marymount W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 42 St. Mary's L 65-74 21%    
  Wed, Feb 18 150 @Washington St. L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 6 @Gonzaga L 65-89 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 96 San Francisco L 69-71 42%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.5 2.7 0.5 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.3 0.6 0.1 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.5 6.1 1.0 0.0 13.2 6th
7th 0.4 5.0 7.1 2.0 0.1 14.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.8 8.1 2.8 0.2 15.1 8th
9th 0.1 3.1 7.3 3.6 0.2 14.3 9th
10th 0.2 2.1 5.6 2.9 0.3 11.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.9 0.1 6.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.3 10.9 14.6 17.7 16.5 14.2 9.2 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.6% 0.6
12-6 1.9% 1.9
11-7 4.7% 4.7
10-8 9.2% 9.2
9-9 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 14.1
8-10 16.5% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 16.5
7-11 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 17.6
6-12 14.6% 14.6
5-13 10.9% 10.9
4-14 6.3% 6.3
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%