Pacific
West Coast
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#189
Expected Predictive Rating-12.5#325
Pace66.0#261
Improvement+0.8#111

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#229
First Shot-3.6#283
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#74
Layup/Dunks-2.7#267
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#245
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement+1.1#70

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#148
First Shot-3.8#290
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#5
Layups/Dunks-1.4#236
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#288
Freethrows+2.8#29
Improvement-0.4#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 13.6 11.5
.500 or above 13.1% 20.9% 7.6%
.500 or above in Conference 14.0% 17.9% 11.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.4% 16.8% 22.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 41.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 21 - 31 - 9
Quad 33 - 64 - 15
Quad 47 - 311 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 179   Northern Colorado L 65-67 48%     0 - 1 -2.7 -9.9 +7.2
  Nov 13, 2021 186   @ Hawaii L 61-73 38%     0 - 2 -10.2 -12.2 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2021 160   UTEP L 64-73 55%     0 - 3 -11.5 -7.4 -4.1
  Nov 22, 2021 355   Chicago St. W 74-58 96%     1 - 3 -5.2 -7.2 +2.2
  Nov 26, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 74-50 97%     2 - 3 +1.3 -1.1 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2021 211   @ UC Davis L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 04, 2021 208   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 66-68 42%    
  Dec 11, 2021 294   @ San Jose St. W 71-68 60%    
  Dec 14, 2021 119   UC Santa Barbara L 65-66 45%    
  Dec 17, 2021 166   North Dakota St. W 65-63 56%    
  Dec 19, 2021 211   UC Davis W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 22, 2021 121   @ California L 59-66 26%    
  Dec 30, 2021 79   Santa Clara L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 01, 2022 236   Pepperdine W 71-66 69%    
  Jan 06, 2022 20   @ BYU L 59-78 5%    
  Jan 08, 2022 129   Loyola Marymount L 68-69 46%    
  Jan 13, 2022 79   @ Santa Clara L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 15, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 53-68 9%    
  Jan 20, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 65-85 4%    
  Jan 22, 2022 154   San Diego W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 27, 2022 255   @ Portland W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 29, 2022 20   BYU L 62-75 14%    
  Feb 05, 2022 236   @ Pepperdine L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 10, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-88 1%    
  Feb 12, 2022 154   @ San Diego L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 17, 2022 50   San Francisco L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 24, 2022 255   Portland W 72-65 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 129   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-72 29%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.0 1.7 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.5 6.4 1.9 0.2 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 7.5 8.4 2.0 0.1 19.8 7th
8th 0.0 2.4 9.3 7.5 1.6 0.1 20.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 7.7 5.8 1.1 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.6 3.1 4.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.6 10th
Total 0.6 3.2 7.5 12.8 17.2 17.2 16.0 11.5 7.5 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 0.0%
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.2% 0.0 0.2
11-5 0.7% 3.0% 3.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 1.7% 1.2% 1.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 1.7
9-7 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 4.0
8-8 7.5% 7.5
7-9 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-10 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 16.0
5-11 17.2% 17.2
4-12 17.2% 17.2
3-13 12.8% 12.8
2-14 7.5% 7.5
1-15 3.2% 3.2
0-16 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%