Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.5 127
Expected Predictive Rating +1.9 136
Pace 64.0 304
Improvement +0.2 179

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 149 C+ C+ D- C- C
Defense C+ 121 B- B D+ C A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 95 D+ 55% 265 +0.4 158
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 121 B+ 44% 38 +2.1 72
Three Pointers 36% 285 B+ 38% 31 -0.3 193
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 191 B- +2.1 100
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 110
Second Chance B- 34.2% 74 C- 1.01 207 C+ 0.34 104
Turnovers D- 20.0% 338
Freethrows D+ 0.27 286 B 76% 51 C- 0.21 227
Total Offense C +0.6 149

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 72 C- 11.7% 225
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 190 C+ 4.5% 142
Three Pointers B 89% 67 B- 0.6% 102
Total C+ 58% 120 C- 6.1% 234

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 343 C 57% 155 -4.8 43
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 31 C 38% 178 +2.4 337
Three Pointers 42% 133 C+ 33% 126 +0.0 184
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.3 22 C+ -1.1 136
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 105
Second Chance A- 24.8% 22 C 1.01 160 B 0.25 42
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 283
Freethrows C- 0.32 230 B- 70% 76 C 0.22 206
Total Defense C+ +1.9 121

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 40% 32 C- 9.3% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 27 C+ 5.7% 116
Three Pointers C- 86% 251 C- 0.7% 201
Total B 49% 61 D+ 4.7% 250

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 323 17.3 184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 313 0.16 132
Improvement +0.3 #171 -0.1 #199

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 140 124 109
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 6 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 11.8 12.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 61% 100% 60%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 35 - 45 - 14
Quad 412 - 016 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 79 @Nevada L 77 - 78 23% -2  23% 0 - 1 B +9 B+ +9 A F A+ C+ +0 B- C- C
 Wed, Nov 12 264 Long Beach St. W 69 - 66 85% -3  21% 1 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -9 F A- F B- +3 A- D- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 205 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85 - 73 59% +14  98% 2 - 1 B+ +12 C +1 A D- F A +10 A+ B+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 118 @Florida Atlantic L 59 - 82 37% -11  1% 2 - 2 F+ -17 D- -8 C- D F F -11 F A+ B
 Mon, Nov 24 216 Stony Brook W 86 - 58 71% +17  95% 3 - 2 A+ +25 A +14 A+ F+ F A+ +12 A+ B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 308 Jacksonville W 68 - 53 85% +7  86% 4 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 D- C+ D+ A +9 A A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 271 Sacramento St. W 68 - 54 86% +6  78% 5 - 2 C+ +5 F -15 D+ F+ F A+ +19 A+ A- C
 Wed, Dec 3 347 @Air Force W 80 - 65 88% +9  90% 6 - 2 B- +5 A +14 C A+ A- D- -7 C- F+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 71 @California L 61 - 67 21% -9  0% 6 - 3 B- +5 C- -0 C- B- D- B +5 C+ C+ C
 Tue, Dec 16 21 @BYU L 57 - 93 6% -18  0% 6 - 4 F+ -16 F -12 D- A- F C- -2 B D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 21 265 Nicholls St. W 95 - 82 85% +7  99% 7 - 4 C+ +4 A +12 A+ A+ F F+ -8 F A+ B+
 Sun, Dec 28 220 @San Diego L 54 - 66 61% -9  0% 7 - 5 0 - 1 D- -12 F -17 F F F B +4 A+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 153 @Loyola Marymount L 71 - 80 48% +1  55% 7 - 6 0 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 D- B- D- D -5 F+ A+ F+
 Fri, Jan 2 160 Oregon St. W 84 - 53 71% +17  96% 8 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ B- D+ A+ +14 A+ C B-
 Sun, Jan 4 276 Pepperdine W 74 - 69 87% +3  70% 9 - 6 2 - 2 C- -5 D+ -2 B- A+ F C- -2 C B D+
 Thu, Jan 8 219 @Portland L 89 - 90 OT 61% -4  13% 9 - 7 2 - 3 C -1 A- +10 B- C+ A- F -11 D F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 220 San Diego W 77 - 70 80% -6  13% 10 - 7 3 - 3 C +1 D+ -2 F C- A- B- +3 B B C-
 Wed, Jan 14 42 @Santa Clara L 69 - 85 12% -4  36% 10 - 8 3 - 4 C -1 B- +4 A+ B+ F D -6 B- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 160 @Oregon St. W 81 - 64 48% +6  82% 11 - 8 4 - 4 A +20 A+ +18 A+ C- A- B +4 B+ C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 126 Seattle W 56 - 54 61% +8  99% 12 - 8 5 - 4 C +2 D- -6 C C- F+ A- +8 C A+ B+
 Wed, Jan 28 219 Portland W 74 - 51 80% +15  96% 13 - 8 6 - 4 A- +17 C+ +3 C+ A+ D+ A+ +16 A+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 119 @San Francisco L 82 - 87 37% -4  7% 13 - 9 6 - 5 C +1 A- +11 C A+ D+ F -10 D- C F
 Wed, Feb 4 42 Santa Clara L 56 - 71 26% -4  30% 13 - 10 6 - 6 D+ -6 F -12 C- C- F B +4 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 276 @Pepperdine W 92 - 59 72% +14  92% 14 - 10 7 - 6 A+ +29 A +12 A A- B A+ +16 B A+ D+
 Wed, Feb 11 153 Loyola Marymount W 65 - 59 70% +2  43% 15 - 10 8 - 6 C+ +3 D+ -3 B+ C C B+ +6 B- A C+
 Sat, Feb 14 41 St. Mary's L 61 - 72 24% -2  46% 15 - 11 8 - 7 C -1 C- -2 C+ A F C -0 A+ D+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 122 @Washington St. L 70 - 87 37% -6  19% 15 - 12 8 - 8 D -11 C -0 C- C C- F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 10 @Gonzaga L 64 - 84 3%
 Sat, Feb 28 119 San Francisco W 72 - 69 60%
Totals 16 - 13 9 - 9 +2 C +1 B+ B- C C+ +2 B+ B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ B+ B+ B- 42% 42% 36% C C+ B- C- C+ D- D+ B C- C+ C C C+ C+ 31% 27% 42% A- B- A- C B D+ C- B- C
1.09 55% 44% 38% +2 0 1.06 34% 1.0 .34 20% .27 76% .21 1.06 57% 38% 33% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.0 .25 15% .32 70% .19
Nov
8		 Nevada B+ F C+ A+ A+ 33% 10% 58% B A F F F A+ F+ D- F C+ C+ F A+ B- 40% 30% 30% C+ B- F+ B+ C- C F A+ F
1.14 41% 40% 47% +6 +1 1.15 18% 1.0 .18 12% .25 67% .17 1.16 53% 54% 23% -2 -1 0.95 40% 0.9 .38 13% .67 62% .41
Nov
12		 Long Beach St. F+ C D- F F 47% 14% 40% B+ F B+ B A- F A+ D+ A+ B- B B- B+ A- 27% 31% 43% B- A- C- F D- B- F A+ C-
1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42 0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22
Nov
15		 Cal St. Fullerton C B- A+ A+ A+ 46% 26% 28% D+ A D F+ D- F D+ A+ C+ A A+ A A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% D+ A+ B- A+ B+ F C+ D- C-
1.09 65% 54% 50% +14 0 1.30 25% 0.9 .21 24% .29 82% .24 0.93 42% 29% 24% -14 +1 0.74 23% 0.8 .17 9% .31 77% .24
Nov
20		 Florida Atlantic D- F A+ F C 48% 33% 19% F+ C- B F D F A B A+ F F F F F 25% 25% 50% A F A- A+ A+ B C F D
0.91 45% 57% 25% -2 -1 0.95 32% 0.6 .19 23% .40 75% .30 1.26 75% 75% 42% +19 -2 1.38 27% 0.7 .19 20% .31 81% .25
Nov
24		 Stony Brook A A+ A A+ A+ 40% 33% 28% D- A+ F B F+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 23% 19% 58% B+ A+ A+ D B+ C+ C+ F D+
1.29 94% 46% 64% +29 -1 1.58 18% 1.0 .18 21% .45 83% .38 0.87 33% 50% 27% -10 -1 0.81 18% 1.0 .18 18% .24 85% .20
Nov
25		 Jacksonville C- A- A+ F D- 32% 18% 50% D+ D- A+ F C+ D+ A B A A F A+ A+ A- 30% 40% 30% A+ A A+ A A+ F D- D+ D-
1.12 71% 63% 23% 0 0 1.02 50% 0.6 .31 16% .45 74% .34 0.87 79% 21% 14% -10 -3 0.77 17% 0.8 .14 13% .34 72% .25
Nov
29		 Sacramento St. F F D- B+ D+ 36% 15% 49% D+ D+ C+ F F+ F F B- F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 29% 38% C+ A+ A+ D A- C A+ F A+
0.96 47% 38% 38% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .27 23% .15 75% .11 0.76 53% 13% 19% -18 -1 0.64 18% 1.3 .23 16% .20 92% .18
Dec
3		 Air Force A B+ A D- B- 34% 38% 28% F C A+ A A+ A- B+ A+ A+ D- F D+ A- D+ 33% 21% 46% B+ C- C- F F+ D- F B+ F
1.31 69% 50% 31% +7 -3 1.11 44% 1.3 .56 12% .37 90% .33 1.07 69% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 18% .64 59% .38
Dec
6		 California C- F F A+ C- 45% 23% 32% C C- A+ F B- D- F A+ D+ B D+ C+ F+ C 25% 36% 39% A+ C+ C B C+ C F A+ C+
1.00 43% 27% 40% -6 0 0.89 45% 0.7 .33 20% .20 80% .16 1.10 64% 38% 41% +5 -3 1.07 27% 1.0 .27 15% .44 57% .25
Dec
16		 BYU F A- F F D- 23% 36% 42% D+ D- C+ A+ A- F F F F C- F A- C- C+ 22% 33% 45% A+ B C- D+ D+ D+ F F F
0.80 67% 26% 23% -9 -3 0.77 28% 1.5 .40 25% .06 0% .00 1.30 83% 33% 36% +5 -3 1.07 38% 1.2 .47 13% .43 89% .38
Dec
21		 Nicholls St. A A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 35% 23% F A+ C A+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F+ F A F F 46% 8% 46% F F C+ A+ A+ B+ F A+ D+
1.32 82% 64% 44% +23 -2 1.45 35% 1.6 .55 25% .67 81% .54 1.14 77% 25% 45% +16 +2 1.38 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 52% .21
Dec
28		 San Diego F D- A+ F F 45% 10% 45% B+ F B- F F F F+ D- F B A- A+ B A+ 18% 23% 59% B+ A+ A+ F F+ F F C F
0.84 53% 75% 21% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .24 33% .28 67% .19 1.03 50% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.82 19% 2.0 .38 12% .43 75% .32
Dec
30		 Loyola Marymount C- F B- A+ F 52% 22% 26% B+ D- A- D+ B- D- A+ B- A+ D A- F F F 20% 33% 47% A+ F+ A- A+ A+ F+ F C- F
1.02 29% 40% 42% -12 +1 0.80 39% 0.9 .37 19% .46 77% .35 1.15 50% 59% 42% +11 -3 1.18 21% 0.7 .14 14% .39 70% .27
Jan
2		 Oregon St. A+ B- B+ A+ A+ 33% 20% 47% D A+ B- C B- D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 28% 28% 45% A A+ A- F C B- A+ A+ A+
1.35 60% 44% 52% +15 0 1.31 36% 1.0 .36 16% .46 75% .34 0.85 31% 23% 33% -12 -2 0.74 20% 1.6 .31 19% .22 64% .14
Jan
4		 Pepperdine D+ D F A+ B 36% 19% 45% D B- B A+ A+ F C A+ B C- A+ F C D+ 26% 35% 39% A+ C B+ B- B D+ B- F D
1.11 53% 25% 47% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.8 .64 27% .27 85% .23 1.04 36% 58% 33% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 17% .27 93% .25
Jan
8		 Portland A- D D A+ B- 45% 20% 35% C+ B- A+ F C+ A- A+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ F F 20% 39% 41% A+ D F D+ F C- C F D
1.21 52% 30% 44% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 14% .41 85% .35 1.23 64% 24% 55% +8 -4 1.11 37% 1.2 .46 19% .30 83% .25
Jan
10		 San Diego D+ D+ F+ F F 37% 12% 51% C+ F A+ F C- A- A+ A+ A+ B- C- C- B+ B- 25% 29% 45% A B A- C B C- F+ D F
1.10 58% 33% 23% -9 +1 0.86 48% 0.7 .34 16% .48 82% .39 1.00 62% 40% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 78% .24
Jan
14		 Santa Clara B- F C- A+ A+ 41% 7% 51% B+ A+ A+ D B+ F D B+ D+ D F D- B- C 24% 27% 49% A+ B- A+ F D+ F F F F
1.05 47% 33% 52% +9 +2 1.24 42% 0.9 .38 32% .29 77% .22 1.30 75% 50% 32% +6 -2 1.10 28% 1.6 .44 11% .32 89% .29
Jan
17		 Oregon St. A+ B+ F A+ A+ 55% 10% 35% A- A+ C- C C- A- D- F F+ B B F A+ B- 29% 33% 38% A+ B+ A F C+ D- F D- F
1.31 64% 20% 44% +7 +3 1.22 31% 1.0 .31 11% .27 67% .18 1.03 50% 50% 25% -3 -2 0.90 19% 1.6 .30 15% .51 81% .42
Jan
24		 Seattle D- F A+ F C 48% 25% 27% C C C+ D C- F+ C F F+ A- A A F C 32% 17% 51% B- C A+ A+ A+ B+ A A+ A
0.89 38% 73% 25% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.8 .26 24% .29 50% .15 0.86 47% 25% 42% 0 0 1.02 13% 0.5 .06 21% .20 60% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Portland C+ B- A+ F B- 44% 25% 31% C- C+ B- A+ A+ D+ D- D D- A+ A+ C- A- A+ 31% 13% 56% C A+ A+ A+ A+ B F B+ F
1.16 62% 50% 27% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.5 .55 19% .25 69% .17 0.80 33% 40% 27% -13 0 0.77 19% 0.7 .13 22% .56 68% .38
Jan
31		 San Francisco A- D D B- D+ 54% 18% 28% A- C B A+ A+ D+ C- A+ B+ F C- B- F D- 46% 18% 36% D+ D- C C C F F D+ F
1.21 52% 33% 36% -3 +1 0.98 31% 2.1 .66 15% .26 93% .24 1.28 61% 33% 44% +6 +1 1.16 33% 1.1 .36 10% .43 73% .31
Feb
4		 Santa Clara F F A+ D+ D+ 60% 16% 23% B+ C- C+ D C- F B- F C- B C F B B+ 35% 14% 51% C B A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C-
0.87 46% 57% 30% -5 +2 0.95 31% 0.9 .28 27% .36 65% .23 1.11 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.06 28% 0.7 .20 11% .33 58% .19
Feb
7		 Pepperdine A F A+ A+ A+ 41% 23% 36% D- A D A+ A- B D+ A C A+ A+ B F B- 34% 34% 32% A B A+ A+ A+ D+ D- A+ B-
1.27 48% 54% 55% +11 0 1.23 27% 1.8 .47 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 39% 33% 41% -5 -2 0.89 10% 0.3 .03 17% .35 57% .20
Feb
11		 Loyola Marymount D+ A C+ F B+ 49% 27% 24% B- B+ B- D C C F D F B+ D- F A C- 12% 43% 45% A+ B- A+ F A C+ B+ F C
1.03 67% 38% 25% +1 0 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 16% .19 70% .13 0.94 67% 52% 27% +3 -5 0.98 14% 1.3 .17 19% .22 82% .18
Feb
14		 St. Mary's C- F F A+ C 50% 20% 30% B+ C+ B- A+ A F C- A+ C+ C F A+ A A+ 31% 25% 44% A- A+ B+ F D+ F A D A
0.96 43% 22% 43% -6 +1 0.91 27% 1.3 .36 24% .23 82% .19 1.13 71% 7% 29% -7 -1 0.85 33% 1.4 .45 6% .24 86% .20
Feb
18		 Washington St. C F B+ B C- 36% 28% 36% D+ C- C+ D C C- F C- F F F D- F F 28% 24% 48% A F B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.07 42% 47% 37% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 15% .20 73% .14 1.33 87% 46% 54% +24 -1 1.48 25% 0.3 .07 11% .14 63% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 5.6 50.5 2.0 58.1 4th
5th 15.9 8.2 24.1 5th
6th 14.0 0.2 14.2 6th
7th 3.6 3.6 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 39.2 58.9 2.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.0% 1.2% 1.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 1.9
9-9 58.9% 0.4% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 58.7
8-10 39.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 39.1
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.4 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 17.4%