Pacific
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#138
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Pace66.4#265
Improvement+0.0#178

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#137
First Shot+3.0#87
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#311
Layup/Dunks+1.7#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#254
Freethrows+0.1#173
Improvement+1.7#67

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#141
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#58
Layups/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#104
Freethrows-2.2#322
Improvement-1.7#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 12.2
.500 or above 76.0% 84.1% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 69.3% 41.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.8% 5.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 35 - 46 - 13
Quad 411 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 89 @Nevada L 77-78 23%     0 - 1 +8.2 +10.5 -2.3
  Wed, Nov 12 275 Long Beach St. W 69-66 84%     1 - 1 -6.2 -8.4 +2.3
  Sat, Nov 15 242 @Cal St. Fullerton W 85-73 63%     2 - 1 +10.3 +2.3 +6.8
  Thu, Nov 20 114 @Florida Atlantic L 59-82 32%     2 - 2 -16.6 -7.7 -10.6
  Mon, Nov 24 246 Stony Brook W 86-58 74%     3 - 2 +23.1 +15.7 +8.7
  Tue, Nov 25 317 Jacksonville W 68-53 84%     4 - 2 +5.9 +1.7 +6.5
  Sat, Nov 29 276 Sacramento St. W 68-54 85%     5 - 2 +4.8 -9.4 +14.0
  Wed, Dec 3 322 @Air Force W 80-65 79%     6 - 2 +8.2 +18.1 -7.6
  Sat, Dec 6 65 @California L 61-67 18%     6 - 3 +5.3 +3.0 +1.4
  Tue, Dec 16 11 @BYU L 57-93 4%     6 - 4 -13.4 -7.4 -5.1
  Sun, Dec 21 234 Nicholls St. W 95-82 80%     7 - 4 +5.6 +16.9 -11.6
  Sun, Dec 28 260 @San Diego W 78-74 65%    
  Tue, Dec 30 123 @Loyola Marymount L 66-70 37%    
  Fri, Jan 2 154 Oregon St. W 72-68 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 262 Pepperdine W 75-65 83%    
  Thu, Jan 8 256 @Portland W 76-72 65%    
  Sat, Jan 10 260 San Diego W 81-71 83%    
  Wed, Jan 14 86 @Santa Clara L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 154 @Oregon St. L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 24 112 Seattle W 71-70 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 256 Portland W 79-69 82%    
  Sat, Jan 31 95 @San Francisco L 68-75 25%    
  Wed, Feb 4 86 Santa Clara L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 262 @Pepperdine W 72-68 65%    
  Wed, Feb 11 123 Loyola Marymount W 69-67 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 44 St. Mary's L 66-73 26%    
  Wed, Feb 18 149 @Washington St. L 72-74 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 6 @Gonzaga L 65-88 2%    
  Sat, Feb 28 95 San Francisco L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.7 5.1 2.7 0.7 0.1 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.0 6.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.3 4th
5th 0.7 4.7 6.6 1.9 0.1 14.1 5th
6th 0.4 4.3 6.7 2.4 0.1 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.2 3.0 6.3 2.5 0.2 12.2 7th
8th 0.1 2.1 5.3 2.7 0.2 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.2 0.2 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.5 0.2 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.3 7.6 11.0 14.2 15.1 15.1 12.1 8.6 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 55.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 24.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 6.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2 1.9%
15-3 0.9% 3.7% 3.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
13-5 5.1% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
12-6 8.6% 1.1% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.5
11-7 12.1% 0.6% 0.6% 12.2 0.1 0.0 12.0
10-8 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 15.0
9-9 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 15.1
8-10 14.2% 14.2
7-11 11.0% 11.0
6-12 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 4.3% 4.3
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%