Pacific
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#277
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#253
Pace70.3#150
Improvement-0.6#219

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#296
First Shot-4.8#307
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#168
Layup/Dunks+0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#324
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement-0.1#200

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot-4.6#320
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#30
Layups/Dunks-2.6#269
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows-1.5#272
Improvement-0.5#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.5% 4.2% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 4.9% 7.7% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.2% 20.0% 26.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 61 - 12
Quad 32 - 52 - 17
Quad 47 - 510 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 194   San Jose St. W 80-67 32%     1 - 0 +11.6 +2.3 +8.9
  Nov 11, 2024 162   @ Hawaii L 66-76 20%     1 - 1 -7.5 -3.4 -4.3
  Nov 14, 2024 301   Northern Arizona L 57-60 65%     1 - 2 -13.3 -18.6 +5.1
  Nov 18, 2024 33   @ Arkansas L 72-91 3%     1 - 3 -3.3 +2.5 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2024 63   @ Missouri L 56-91 5%     1 - 4 -22.9 -9.7 -15.4
  Nov 27, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-71 90%     2 - 4 -8.4 -1.8 -6.5
  Nov 30, 2024 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 66%     3 - 4 -1.5 -6.1 +5.4
  Dec 02, 2024 85   @ Colorado L 66-75 8%     3 - 5 +0.3 -2.2 +2.6
  Dec 07, 2024 170   @ Illinois St. L 66-75 21%    
  Dec 14, 2024 104   @ UNLV L 63-77 10%    
  Dec 18, 2024 256   Portland St. W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 21, 2024 265   Idaho W 73-70 60%    
  Dec 28, 2024 42   @ St. Mary's L 56-77 3%    
  Dec 30, 2024 312   @ San Diego L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 64   San Francisco L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 258   Pepperdine W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 09, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 65-82 6%    
  Jan 11, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 16, 2025 309   @ Portland L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 22, 2025 181   Loyola Marymount L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 258   @ Pepperdine L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 30, 2025 74   Washington St. L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 84   @ Santa Clara L 65-81 8%    
  Feb 06, 2025 312   San Diego W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 64-88 1%    
  Feb 12, 2025 181   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 60-77 7%    
  Feb 20, 2025 64   @ San Francisco L 61-79 5%    
  Feb 22, 2025 309   Portland W 74-70 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 84   Santa Clara L 68-78 20%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.8 5th
6th 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.4 2.9 0.6 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.8 7.9 8.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 21.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 9.6 8.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 22.3 9th
10th 0.1 3.0 9.1 6.4 1.1 0.1 19.8 10th
11th 0.9 3.8 6.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 14.8 11th
Total 0.9 4.0 9.3 15.0 18.3 17.7 14.6 9.6 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 28.6% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.4% 0.4
10-8 1.2% 1.2
9-9 3.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 3.1
8-10 5.7% 5.7
7-11 9.6% 9.6
6-12 14.6% 14.6
5-13 17.7% 17.7
4-14 18.3% 18.3
3-15 15.0% 15.0
2-16 9.3% 9.3
1-17 4.0% 4.0
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%