Seattle
Western Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#176
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#131
Pace71.5#117
Improvement+1.9#40

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#159
First Shot+2.0#124
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#266
Layup/Dunks-1.2#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.1#17
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+0.3#141

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#209
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-1.6#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#60
Freethrows-4.0#344
Improvement+1.6#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 7.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.8
.500 or above 89.4% 91.2% 75.7%
.500 or above in Conference 76.9% 78.3% 66.9%
Conference Champion 7.4% 7.8% 4.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round7.1% 7.5% 3.9%
Second Round0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 88.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 44 - 9
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 316   Alcorn St. W 69-66 85%     1 - 0 -8.8 -9.2 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2021 60   @ Washington St. L 61-79 15%     1 - 1 -7.3 -3.8 -4.7
  Nov 14, 2021 309   Idaho St. W 77-51 84%     2 - 1 +14.8 +3.6 +12.5
  Nov 18, 2021 315   Morgan St. W 93-80 85%     3 - 1 +1.2 +7.2 -7.0
  Nov 22, 2021 357   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-56 97%     4 - 1 -1.7 -7.3 +5.2
  Nov 27, 2021 330   St. Thomas W 81-64 89%     5 - 1 +3.0 +0.3 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2021 327   McNeese St. W 83-70 88%    
  Dec 05, 2021 257   VMI W 76-68 77%    
  Dec 08, 2021 145   @ UNLV L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 12, 2021 193   UC San Diego W 75-71 64%    
  Dec 18, 2021 144   @ Washington L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 30, 2021 94   New Mexico St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 01, 2022 218   @ California Baptist L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 06, 2022 355   @ Chicago St. W 81-66 91%    
  Jan 12, 2022 151   Utah Valley W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 15, 2022 308   Dixie St. W 85-74 83%    
  Jan 20, 2022 143   @ Abilene Christian L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 22, 2022 153   @ Tarleton St. L 62-66 34%    
  Jan 26, 2022 158   Stephen F. Austin W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 29, 2022 217   Sam Houston St. W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 03, 2022 110   @ Grand Canyon L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 05, 2022 94   @ New Mexico St. L 65-74 21%    
  Feb 10, 2022 284   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-73 79%    
  Feb 12, 2022 320   Lamar W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 16, 2022 284   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 19, 2022 218   California Baptist W 78-73 68%    
  Feb 24, 2022 151   @ Utah Valley L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 308   @ Dixie St. W 82-77 66%    
  Mar 05, 2022 355   Chicago St. W 84-63 96%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.0 1.0 0.1 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.8 1.3 0.1 10.8 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 4.7 5.3 1.2 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.7 4.1 6.6 1.7 0.1 13.1 5th
6th 0.4 2.8 6.4 2.6 0.2 12.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 5.2 3.2 0.3 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.4 3.1 0.4 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.3 4.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.0 3.5 6.5 9.9 12.3 14.9 15.4 12.9 9.4 6.6 3.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 91.8% 1.5    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 69.7% 2.4    1.4 0.8 0.2
14-4 34.9% 2.3    0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1
13-5 7.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 35.9% 35.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.6% 31.6% 31.6% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-3 3.5% 32.3% 32.3% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 2.4
14-4 6.6% 21.9% 21.9% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 5.2
13-5 9.4% 12.2% 12.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 8.3
12-6 12.9% 9.5% 9.5% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 11.7
11-7 15.4% 5.1% 5.1% 15.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 14.6
10-8 14.9% 3.0% 3.0% 15.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 14.4
9-9 12.3% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.1
8-10 9.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 9.8
7-11 6.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.5
6-12 3.5% 3.5
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.3 2.4 0.8 92.9 0.0%