Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#151
Pace65.3#274
Improvement-1.4#283

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#79
First Shot+2.8#97
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#118
Layup/Dunks+7.8#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#357
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement+0.9#100

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#234
First Shot-3.0#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#114
Layups/Dunks-2.1#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#12
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#267
Freethrows-2.0#294
Improvement-2.4#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.8% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.4 11.1 12.0
.500 or above 33.3% 48.6% 23.6%
.500 or above in Conference 32.8% 39.1% 28.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 5.2% 7.9%
First Four0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 38.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 43 - 10
Quad 33 - 46 - 14
Quad 47 - 113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 88   Chattanooga L 64-75 46%     0 - 1 -8.0 -1.8 -7.5
  Nov 17, 2021 288   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-63 87%     1 - 1 +9.0 -2.2 +9.5
  Nov 21, 2021 38   Florida St. L 45-73 20%     1 - 2 -17.1 -20.7 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2021 87   SMU W 76-70 35%     2 - 2 +12.0 +14.6 -1.8
  Nov 27, 2021 249   Prairie View W 83-80 82%     3 - 2 -4.5 +3.3 -7.9
  Nov 29, 2021 123   Grand Canyon L 72-78 58%     3 - 3 -6.0 +2.9 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2021 286   @ Long Beach St. W 77-74 72%     4 - 3 -0.9 +4.9 -5.7
  Dec 07, 2021 138   @ Tulsa L 68-71 39%    
  Dec 11, 2021 104   New Mexico St. W 71-70 53%    
  Dec 18, 2021 93   @ Nevada L 72-79 27%    
  Dec 21, 2021 195   @ Bellarmine W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 01, 2022 2   Gonzaga L 72-87 8%    
  Jan 06, 2022 269   Portland W 79-68 84%    
  Jan 08, 2022 217   @ Pacific W 68-67 54%    
  Jan 13, 2022 42   @ San Francisco L 65-76 16%    
  Jan 15, 2022 178   @ San Diego L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 20, 2022 229   Pepperdine W 77-69 77%    
  Jan 22, 2022 41   St. Mary's L 61-66 32%    
  Jan 27, 2022 2   @ Gonzaga L 69-90 3%    
  Jan 29, 2022 178   San Diego W 70-64 69%    
  Feb 03, 2022 83   @ Santa Clara L 72-79 26%    
  Feb 05, 2022 41   @ St. Mary's L 58-69 16%    
  Feb 10, 2022 27   BYU L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 12, 2022 269   @ Portland W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 17, 2022 83   Santa Clara L 75-76 46%    
  Feb 24, 2022 27   @ BYU L 63-77 11%    
  Feb 26, 2022 217   Pacific W 71-64 74%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 4.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.4 7.8 3.8 0.4 17.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 7.2 10.1 4.2 0.4 0.0 23.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 7.3 8.6 2.6 0.2 0.0 20.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.4 5.3 1.4 0.0 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.0 5.2 9.8 14.4 17.8 17.5 14.5 9.6 5.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 74.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 25.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 9.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-3 0.2% 58.9% 4.5% 54.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 57.0%
12-4 0.9% 22.3% 2.1% 20.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 20.7%
11-5 2.3% 9.8% 3.3% 6.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0 6.8%
10-6 5.3% 3.3% 2.0% 1.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.1 1.3%
9-7 9.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.4 0.4%
8-8 14.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.0%
7-9 17.5% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.4
6-10 17.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.8
5-11 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 14.3
4-12 9.8% 9.8
3-13 5.2% 5.2
2-14 2.0% 2.0
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9 0.6%