Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#123
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#138
Pace67.7#232
Improvement+0.6#142

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#231
First Shot-1.6#217
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#231
Layup/Dunks-0.7#212
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#69
Freethrows-4.3#358
Improvement-0.6#221

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#54
First Shot+4.7#46
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#187
Layups/Dunks+2.9#77
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#54
Freethrows-0.4#212
Improvement+1.2#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 11.9
.500 or above 78.8% 90.8% 74.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.2% 75.0% 50.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.7% 2.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Home) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 258 Eastern Washington W 70-62 84%     1 - 0 -0.4 -10.6 +10.1
  Sat, Nov 8 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-72 94%     2 - 0 +6.2 +13.6 -7.6
  Tue, Nov 11 202 @UTEP W 71-58 58%     3 - 0 +13.3 +8.2 +6.5
  Fri, Nov 14 139 Troy W 74-63 65%     4 - 0 +9.5 +1.6 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 17 150 @UC Santa Barbara W 78-74 OT 45%     5 - 0 +7.7 +0.1 +7.3
  Mon, Nov 24 114 Florida Atlantic L 65-76 46%     5 - 1 -7.6 -2.4 -6.1
  Tue, Nov 25 189 Ohio W 70-58 66%     6 - 1 +10.1 -6.3 +16.1
  Fri, Nov 28 246 Stony Brook L 68-71 83%     6 - 2 -10.9 -6.0 -5.1
  Tue, Dec 2 37 Saint Louis L 70-91 23%     6 - 3 -10.9 -4.6 -4.3
  Tue, Dec 16 83 UC San Diego L 57-67 44%     6 - 4 -6.1 -15.1 +9.1
  Fri, Dec 19 244 North Alabama W 91-57 83%     7 - 4 +26.2 +16.2 +10.5
  Tue, Dec 23 360 Morgan St. W 83-56 96%     8 - 4 +8.5 +0.4 +8.3
  Sun, Dec 28 44 St. Mary's L 64-70 27%    
  Tue, Dec 30 138 Pacific W 70-66 63%    
  Fri, Jan 2 149 @Washington St. L 70-71 44%    
  Sun, Jan 4 6 @Gonzaga L 63-85 2%    
  Thu, Jan 8 95 San Francisco L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 86 @Santa Clara L 68-75 25%    
  Wed, Jan 14 154 @Oregon St. L 66-67 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 256 Portland W 76-65 84%    
  Wed, Jan 21 112 @Seattle L 65-69 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 154 Oregon St. W 69-64 67%    
  Sat, Jan 31 86 Santa Clara L 71-72 45%    
  Tue, Feb 3 95 @San Francisco L 65-71 28%    
  Sat, Feb 7 260 San Diego W 78-67 84%    
  Wed, Feb 11 138 @Pacific L 67-69 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 262 @Pepperdine W 69-64 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 260 @San Diego W 75-70 67%    
  Wed, Feb 25 149 Washington St. W 73-68 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 112 Seattle W 68-66 57%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.9 2.3 0.5 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.9 5.6 1.8 0.2 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.4 1.7 0.1 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.1 7.1 2.1 0.1 13.9 6th
7th 0.2 3.2 6.3 2.5 0.2 12.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 5.9 2.7 0.2 11.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.1 2.5 0.3 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.8 8.2 12.2 14.2 15.7 14.5 11.4 8.0 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 50.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 34.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 11.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 3.8% 3.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.4%
14-4 2.1% 3.8% 3.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.4% 2.3% 2.3% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.3
12-6 8.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.9
11-7 11.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.3
10-8 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
9-9 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 15.7
8-10 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 14.2
7-11 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 8.2% 8.2
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.0%