Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#181
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#206
Pace67.4#226
Improvement-0.6#218

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#208
First Shot-0.7#194
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#214
Layup/Dunks+0.9#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#85
Freethrows-0.8#230
Improvement+0.5#136

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#159
First Shot-0.5#190
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#128
Layups/Dunks+3.5#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#336
Freethrows+1.5#95
Improvement-1.1#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.1 12.7
.500 or above 23.0% 41.2% 17.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.7% 38.3% 27.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 3.0% 5.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nevada (Home) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 45 - 14
Quad 48 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 57   UC Irvine L 51-66 23%     0 - 1 -8.4 -14.7 +6.1
  Nov 16, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 30%     0 - 2 -1.6 -2.4 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2024 289   North Dakota L 73-77 79%     0 - 3 -13.6 -8.2 -5.3
  Nov 26, 2024 132   Belmont W 77-63 40%     1 - 3 +15.5 -0.2 +15.1
  Nov 27, 2024 177   Wyoming W 73-70 49%     2 - 3 +2.1 +4.0 -1.8
  Dec 04, 2024 99   @ Colorado St. L 54-83 19%     2 - 4 -20.6 -11.9 -9.3
  Dec 07, 2024 48   Nevada L 64-72 22%    
  Dec 14, 2024 357   Prairie View W 85-69 93%    
  Dec 18, 2024 126   UC Santa Barbara L 71-72 50%    
  Dec 20, 2024 234   Southern W 72-66 71%    
  Dec 22, 2024 214   North Alabama W 73-68 66%    
  Dec 28, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 63-76 11%    
  Dec 30, 2024 74   Washington St. L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 02, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 65-70 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 66-85 4%    
  Jan 07, 2025 42   @ St. Mary's L 59-74 8%    
  Jan 11, 2025 258   @ Pepperdine W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 15, 2025 84   Santa Clara L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 18, 2025 312   San Diego W 76-66 81%    
  Jan 22, 2025 277   @ Pacific W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 30, 2025 309   Portland W 76-66 80%    
  Feb 01, 2025 312   @ San Diego W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 63-88 1%    
  Feb 08, 2025 64   San Francisco L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 277   Pacific W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   @ Portland W 73-69 62%    
  Feb 19, 2025 84   @ Santa Clara L 67-77 18%    
  Feb 22, 2025 258   Pepperdine W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 27, 2025 42   St. Mary's L 62-71 21%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.8 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 4.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 6.2 6.8 2.4 0.2 0.0 17.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.7 11.3 8.8 2.6 0.2 29.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 5.2 7.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 17.1 8th
9th 0.4 3.5 4.6 1.3 0.2 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.2 6.6 11.1 14.5 17.0 16.2 12.8 8.4 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 8.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 15.0% 12.5% 2.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9%
14-4 0.3% 3.7% 3.7% 11.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 12.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 2.4
11-7 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
10-8 8.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
9-9 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 12.8
8-10 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.2
7-11 17.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 17.0
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 11.1% 11.1
4-14 6.6% 6.6
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%