Idaho
Big Sky
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.7#345
Expected Predictive Rating-17.5#345
Pace74.3#62
Improvement+0.2#171

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#325
First Shot-4.3#291
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks-3.1#278
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#233
Freethrows+2.4#52
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense-8.0#348
First Shot-4.3#304
After Offensive Rebounds-3.7#339
Layups/Dunks-5.3#330
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#30
Freethrows-0.7#232
Improvement+0.1#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.0% 46.6% 60.7%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 44 - 124 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 286   Long Beach St. L 89-95 OT 36%     0 - 1 -15.9 -6.1 -8.7
  Nov 15, 2021 112   @ Fresno St. L 62-69 4%     0 - 2 -0.3 -1.8 +1.1
  Nov 18, 2021 49   Washington St. L 61-109 4%     0 - 3 -41.7 -9.4 -30.8
  Nov 22, 2021 132   Utah Valley L 45-83 8%     0 - 4 -35.7 -29.2 -3.6
  Nov 24, 2021 302   Cal Poly L 63-67 29%     0 - 5 -11.9 -10.0 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2021 194   @ North Dakota St. L 73-90 8%     0 - 6 -15.2 -4.7 -9.2
  Dec 04, 2021 133   Southern Utah L 75-81 12%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -6.7 +1.1 -7.9
  Dec 08, 2021 68   South Dakota St. L 75-93 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 214   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 62-77 8%    
  Dec 22, 2021 136   @ UC Riverside L 61-80 4%    
  Dec 30, 2021 310   @ Northern Arizona L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 01, 2022 260   @ Portland St. L 67-79 14%    
  Jan 06, 2022 192   Montana St. L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 08, 2022 222   @ Eastern Washington L 74-88 10%    
  Jan 13, 2022 96   @ Weber St. L 65-87 2%    
  Jan 15, 2022 322   @ Idaho St. L 65-72 26%    
  Jan 20, 2022 184   Northern Colorado L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 22, 2022 295   Sacramento St. L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 27, 2022 209   @ Montana L 64-79 9%    
  Jan 29, 2022 192   @ Montana St. L 67-83 8%    
  Feb 03, 2022 133   @ Southern Utah L 68-87 5%    
  Feb 10, 2022 322   Idaho St. L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 96   Weber St. L 68-84 8%    
  Feb 17, 2022 209   Montana L 67-76 22%    
  Feb 19, 2022 222   Eastern Washington L 77-85 23%    
  Feb 24, 2022 295   @ Sacramento St. L 68-77 21%    
  Feb 26, 2022 184   @ Northern Colorado L 68-84 8%    
  Mar 03, 2022 260   Portland St. L 70-76 31%    
  Mar 05, 2022 310   Northern Arizona L 73-75 44%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 4 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.2 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.2 2.0 6.7 8.9 5.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 25.5 10th
11th 4.0 10.7 14.4 11.6 5.2 1.1 0.1 47.2 11th
Total 4.0 10.9 16.4 18.7 16.6 13.0 8.9 5.4 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0
12-8 0.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
9-11 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6
8-12 3.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
6-14 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 13.0% 13.0
4-16 16.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-17 18.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.7
2-18 16.4% 16.4
1-19 10.9% 10.9
0-20 4.0% 4.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%