Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#255
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#336
Pace71.8#130
Improvement-0.2#215

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#270
First Shot-5.1#321
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#106
Layup/Dunks-2.6#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#297
Freethrows+0.5#139
Improvement-0.7#297

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#208
First Shot-0.7#198
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#228
Layups/Dunks-1.9#250
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#139
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#87
Freethrows-2.8#307
Improvement+0.5#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 13.0
.500 or above 8.3% 13.1% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 10.9% 5.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 29.7% 23.9% 35.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 49.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 33 - 84 - 16
Quad 46 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63-74 3%     0 - 1 +5.8 +5.8 -1.2
  Sat, Nov 15 159 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 44%     0 - 2 -10.7 -6.4 -3.2
  Tue, Nov 18 184 New Orleans L 74-75 49%    
  Fri, Nov 21 122 Stephen F. Austin L 69-73 35%    
  Wed, Nov 26 211 Fresno St. L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Nov 29 339 @Cal St. Fullerton W 79-77 58%    
  Tue, Dec 2 195 Abilene Christian W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Dec 6 150 Vermont L 68-70 43%    
  Sat, Dec 13 248 @Cal St. Bakersfield L 70-73 39%    
  Thu, Dec 18 281 @Long Beach St. L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Dec 20 177 Rice L 71-72 49%    
  Sun, Dec 28 4 Gonzaga L 64-87 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 32 St. Mary's L 61-77 9%    
  Fri, Jan 2 68 @Santa Clara L 68-85 7%    
  Sun, Jan 4 167 @Pacific L 69-76 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 199 @San Diego L 74-80 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 77 San Francisco L 68-77 20%    
  Wed, Jan 14 304 Portland W 76-70 69%    
  Wed, Jan 21 4 @Gonzaga L 61-90 1%    
  Sat, Jan 24 163 @Washington St. L 73-80 26%    
  Wed, Jan 28 199 San Diego W 77-76 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 126 @Seattle L 68-78 19%    
  Sat, Feb 7 167 Pacific L 72-73 46%    
  Wed, Feb 11 32 @St. Mary's L 58-80 3%    
  Sat, Feb 14 103 Loyola Marymount L 68-74 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 304 @Portland L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Feb 21 120 @Oregon St. L 65-75 19%    
  Wed, Feb 25 126 Seattle L 71-75 36%    
  Sat, Feb 28 163 Washington St. L 76-77 46%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.5 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.8 6.4 1.9 0.1 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.4 5.7 7.2 2.5 0.2 16.9 10th
11th 0.3 3.0 7.9 7.5 2.5 0.2 21.3 11th
12th 1.6 5.2 7.1 4.6 1.2 0.1 19.7 12th
Total 1.6 5.5 10.1 13.8 15.2 15.2 13.6 10.1 6.8 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 16.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.2% 3.9% 3.9% 12.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 13.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.1% 1.1
10-8 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 2.2
9-9 4.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 4.1
8-10 6.8% 6.8
7-11 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.1
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 15.2% 15.2
4-14 15.2% 15.2
3-15 13.8% 13.8
2-16 10.1% 10.1
1-17 5.5% 5.5
0-18 1.6% 1.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%