Pepperdine
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#258
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#291
Pace70.2#151
Improvement-1.4#263

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#268
First Shot+1.4#140
After Offensive Rebound-4.8#359
Layup/Dunks+0.0#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#28
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#287
Freethrows+1.2#109
Improvement-2.4#330

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#238
First Shot-2.8#268
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#125
Layups/Dunks-0.7#194
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#190
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement+1.0#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.7% 2.8% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.7% 7.3% 3.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 18.0% 24.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 61 - 12
Quad 31 - 42 - 16
Quad 48 - 610 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 324   Western Illinois W 77-64 74%     1 - 0 +0.9 +0.4 +0.9
  Nov 09, 2024 102   @ UC San Diego L 76-94 12%     1 - 1 -10.4 +4.0 -13.9
  Nov 16, 2024 57   @ UC Irvine L 62-80 6%     1 - 2 -5.4 -1.4 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2024 104   @ UNLV L 59-80 12%     1 - 3 -13.6 -5.6 -9.9
  Nov 22, 2024 66   @ Northwestern L 50-68 6%     1 - 4 -6.0 -12.4 +5.4
  Nov 26, 2024 307   Cal St. Fullerton L 63-72 69%     1 - 5 -19.5 -7.0 -13.3
  Nov 29, 2024 218   New Mexico St. W 82-70 41%     2 - 5 +8.9 +3.8 +4.4
  Nov 30, 2024 210   Weber St. L 53-68 38%     2 - 6 -17.3 -20.8 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2024 226   Grambling St. W 70-69 54%    
  Dec 14, 2024 301   Northern Arizona W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 19, 2024 304   Long Beach St. W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 21, 2024 204   UC Davis L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 28, 2024 84   @ Santa Clara L 66-81 9%    
  Dec 30, 2024 1   Gonzaga L 65-89 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 42   @ St. Mary's L 57-77 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 277   @ Pacific L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 11, 2025 181   Loyola Marymount L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 16, 2025 64   San Francisco L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 42   St. Mary's L 60-74 11%    
  Jan 23, 2025 76   @ Oregon St. L 61-77 8%    
  Jan 25, 2025 277   Pacific W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 30, 2025 312   @ San Diego L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 309   Portland W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 74   @ Washington St. L 66-82 8%    
  Feb 13, 2025 312   San Diego W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-92 0.4%   
  Feb 20, 2025 76   Oregon St. L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 181   @ Loyola Marymount L 67-74 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 309   @ Portland L 73-74 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 74   Washington St. L 69-79 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.3 6.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 8.6 9.3 3.7 0.6 0.0 24.2 8th
9th 0.0 2.2 9.5 8.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 22.2 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 7.7 5.8 1.1 0.0 17.1 10th
11th 0.7 2.7 4.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.8 11th
Total 0.7 2.9 7.3 13.0 17.5 18.6 15.8 11.5 6.9 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 1.5% 1.5
9-9 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 3.6
8-10 6.9% 6.9
7-11 11.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 15.8% 15.8
5-13 18.6% 18.6
4-14 17.5% 17.5
3-15 13.0% 13.0
2-16 7.3% 7.3
1-17 2.9% 2.9
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%