Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.3 290
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 300
Pace 69.5 154
Improvement -2.0 265

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 295 D+ D D+ C C-
Defense C- 258 C- D+ C- B D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 249 C- 55% 251 -2.3 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 161 C- 36% 227 +0.4 152
Three Pointers 41% 178 C- 33% 235 -0.7 210
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 242 D+ -2.2 254
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 261
Second Chance C- 28.3% 244 D- 0.89 336 D 0.25 310
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 281
Freethrows C- 0.29 237 B 76% 48 C 0.22 176
Total Offense D+ -4.6 295

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 98 C 58% 172 +1.9 248
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 350 C- 40% 265 -2.3 26
Three Pointers 44% 85 C 33% 161 +1.3 250
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 350 C -0.1 183
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 215
Second Chance C- 32.2% 254 D+ 1.09 272 D+ 0.35 279
Turnovers C- 16.3% 211
Freethrows B 0.26 55 C 72% 184 B 0.19 68
Total Defense C- -2.7 258

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 232 16.9 109
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 356 0.17 162
Improvement +2.3 #73 -4.3 #346

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 99% 97% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Portland (Away) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 31 - 101 - 19
Quad 45 - 46 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 35 @UCLA L 63 - 74 2% -10  6% 0 - 1 B- +6 C+ +2 D- A+ C+ B- +2 B+ D- B
 Sat, Nov 15 158 Northern Colorado L 81 - 88 OT 34% -5  1% 0 - 2 D -10 F+ -9 D F+ C- C+ +0 C+ D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 222 New Orleans W 90 - 79 47% +6  87% 1 - 2 C+ +5 B- +5 B- F A+ C -1 C C- A-
 Fri, Nov 21 102 Stephen F. Austin L 60 - 63 20% +3  54% 1 - 3 C -1 F -10 D+ D F A- +9 A- F B-
 Wed, Nov 26 132 Fresno St. L 53 - 76 20% -7  53% 1 - 4 F -21 F -18 F C F D+ -4 D F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 214 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69 - 83 24% -5  24% 1 - 5 D- -14 D -6 F D- C+ D- -8 C- F D-
 Tue, Dec 2 243 Abilene Christian L 63 - 71 51% -8  4% 1 - 6 F+ -16 D -5 D- F A F -12 D- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 218 Vermont L 56 - 65 46% -1  44% 1 - 7 F+ -15 F -17 F F F C +0 D+ A B-
 Sat, Dec 13 321 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70 - 62 50% +4  86% 2 - 7 C +1 D -6 B+ F F B+ +7 A- A+ B+
 Thu, Dec 18 260 @Long Beach St. L 78 - 81 32% +2  60% 2 - 8 D+ -6 C+ +2 A A- F D -7 F C F
 Sat, Dec 20 231 Rice W 84 - 62 48% +8  93% 3 - 8 A- +15 C+ +3 A C+ F A +12 A+ C- C+
 Sun, Dec 28 11 Gonzaga L 56 - 96 2% -22  0% 3 - 9 0 - 1 F -24 F -12 F B C+ F+ -11 D B C-
 Tue, Dec 30 41 St. Mary's L 45 - 72 6% -12  0% 3 - 10 0 - 2 F+ -17 F -18 D- C- F C- -3 D+ B C
 Fri, Jan 2 44 @Santa Clara L 63 - 82 3% -7  16% 3 - 11 0 - 3 C- -4 F -11 F+ C F A- +8 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 4 118 @Pacific L 69 - 74 11% -3  23% 3 - 12 0 - 4 C +1 C +1 C+ D+ D+ C -0 D+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 219 @San Diego L 63 - 83 25% -12  3% 3 - 13 0 - 5 F -20 F -11 D- F D- F+ -10 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 112 San Francisco L 60 - 80 24% -12  0% 3 - 14 0 - 6 F -20 F -14 F D A D- -7 F C B
 Wed, Jan 14 205 Portland W 67 - 63 44% +0  47% 4 - 14 1 - 6 C- -2 D- -7 D+ B D B +6 A- A D+
 Wed, Jan 21 11 @Gonzaga L 60 - 84 1% -15  0% 4 - 15 1 - 7 C- -2 D -4 D+ C+ C- B- +2 A+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 126 @Washington St. L 79 - 95 12% -12  0% 4 - 16 1 - 8 D -11 C+ +3 A F F F -13 F F D+
 Wed, Jan 28 219 San Diego L 88 - 92 OT 46% +3  75% 4 - 17 1 - 9 D -10 D+ -3 D+ D- A+ D -7 A F D
 Wed, Feb 4 127 @Seattle L 81 - 83 12% -1  37% 4 - 18 1 - 10 C+ +3 B+ +8 C+ A- B D+ -5 C- D C+
 Sat, Feb 7 118 Pacific L 59 - 92 24% -14  5% 4 - 19 1 - 11 F -33 F -18 D+ F D+ F -14 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 41 @St. Mary's L 60 - 88 2% -16  1% 4 - 20 1 - 12 D- -12 D- -8 D- C D+ C- -3 F D A
 Sat, Feb 14 154 Loyola Marymount W 90 - 89 33% -2  24% 5 - 20 2 - 12 C- -2 A +13 A+ C- C+ F -15 D- F F
 Wed, Feb 18 205 @Portland L 69 - 77 24%
 Sat, Feb 21 157 @Oregon St. L 66 - 76 17%
 Wed, Feb 25 127 Seattle L 64 - 70 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 126 Washington St. L 73 - 80 27%
Totals 6 - 23 3 - 15 -7 D+ -5 A+ D+ C- C- -3 C- B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C- C- D+ 36% 39% 41% C- D+ C- D- D D+ C- B C C- C C- C C 42% 14% 44% D- C- C- D+ D+ C- B C B
1.02 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.97 28% 0.9 .25 18% .29 76% .22 1.12 58% 40% 33% 0 +1 1.04 32% 1.1 .35 16% .26 72% .21
Nov
7		 UCLA C+ D- D F F+ 35% 13% 52% B+ D- A+ A A+ C+ D A+ B+ B- C+ F A+ A 38% 16% 47% F B+ F C+ D- B F B- F
1.00 50% 33% 25% -10 +1 0.83 42% 1.1 .47 19% .26 100% .26 1.18 59% 71% 24% -2 +1 1.00 41% 1.2 .47 16% .49 73% .36
Nov
15		 Northern Colorado F+ F+ A F D 46% 22% 32% C- D B- F F+ C- A F B- C+ B- F C+ B- 43% 13% 44% D- C+ F+ B- D A+ F D+ F
0.98 48% 50% 25% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.6 .18 13% .42 67% .28 1.07 57% 57% 33% +1 +1 1.07 34% 1.0 .34 24% .40 76% .30
Nov
18		 New Orleans B- B- B B- B 40% 24% 36% D+ B- D F F A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ F F B 51% 4% 45% F C D C+ C- A- D- B D+
1.22 59% 46% 35% +3 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .22 8% .41 89% .37 1.07 40% 50% 41% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.0 .38 23% .42 71% .30
Nov
21		 Stephen F. Austin F F D+ B- D+ 38% 24% 38% D+ D+ F+ B D F D+ A+ B A- C F A+ A+ 33% 11% 56% F A- C+ F F B- A+ F A+
0.89 41% 36% 35% -6 -1 0.89 21% 1.2 .25 22% .27 93% .25 0.94 56% 50% 23% -9 +1 0.85 31% 1.5 .47 15% .02 100% .02
Nov
26		 Fresno St. F F F F F 30% 24% 46% D F A+ F C F F+ D+ F+ D+ F A+ B- D+ 44% 7% 48% F D A F F+ F A+ A+ A+
0.77 47% 25% 22% -15 -1 0.70 40% 0.7 .29 25% .19 70% .14 1.11 75% 0% 31% +2 +2 1.11 22% 1.7 .38 10% .16 50% .08
Nov
29		 Cal St. Fullerton D B- F F F 36% 15% 49% C F F B+ D- C+ A+ A+ A+ D- F+ D+ B+ C- 37% 17% 46% C- C- F F F D- A+ B A+
0.98 65% 29% 22% -8 +1 0.87 18% 1.2 .21 18% .45 88% .40 1.18 68% 40% 30% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.2 .41 13% .15 67% .10
Dec
2		 Abilene Christian D B F B- D- 44% 17% 39% C D- D F F A B+ B A- F D F C- F+ 33% 24% 43% C+ D- B- F D+ F F D+ F
1.02 67% 0% 38% -1 +1 1.02 23% 0.7 .15 18% .49 76% .37 1.15 60% 45% 35% +3 -1 1.07 30% 1.1 .33 13% .43 74% .32
Dec
6		 Vermont F D+ F D- F 28% 15% 58% C+ F D+ F F F A- A+ A+ C D A+ D C- 38% 6% 56% F D+ C+ A+ A B- A- A+ A
0.90 55% 17% 30% -7 0 0.88 24% 0.5 .12 19% .40 85% .34 1.04 67% 0% 37% +3 +2 1.13 23% 0.6 .13 18% .21 64% .14
Dec
13		 Cal St. Bakersfield D B- A+ A- A- 44% 19% 38% C+ B+ C- F F F C- D D+ B+ A C A+ A+ 40% 24% 36% F A- F A+ A+ B+ F F F
1.04 62% 56% 39% +8 +1 1.19 35% 0.2 .06 22% .36 68% .25 0.92 44% 36% 19% -14 0 0.73 40% 0.4 .18 22% .48 96% .46
Dec
18		 Long Beach St. C+ A+ A+ C A+ 29% 29% 43% F+ A D A+ A- F F B F D C- A- F F 50% 33% 17% D F A+ F C F D D- D-
1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15 1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25
Dec
20		 Rice C+ D- D- A+ A 31% 20% 49% B A C+ C- C+ F D A C- A A+ B- A+ A+ 51% 13% 36% F A+ D C+ C- C+ F C F+
1.19 53% 30% 54% +12 -1 1.24 34% 1.0 .34 23% .29 81% .24 0.88 42% 33% 18% -18 +2 0.70 40% 0.9 .36 18% .38 68% .26
Dec
28		 Gonzaga F F D F F 34% 32% 34% C- F C+ A B C+ A- D- B F+ F A+ F D 42% 25% 33% D+ D C- A B C- C- D D+
0.79 41% 31% 24% -13 -2 0.72 24% 1.1 .27 20% .35 65% .23 1.36 79% 29% 42% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 13% .31 74% .23
Dec
30		 St. Mary's F C- D+ F F+ 35% 19% 46% B- D- C- D+ C- F F B- F C- F+ F+ B+ C- 47% 19% 34% D+ D+ A+ F B C A+ F A
0.73 53% 33% 18% -14 0 0.75 22% 0.9 .19 21% .08 75% .06 1.17 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.13 28% 1.3 .36 16% .19 100% .19
Jan
2		 Santa Clara F D F D F+ 40% 23% 36% D+ F+ D+ B C F B+ C B+ A- F F A- C 41% 12% 47% D C- A+ A+ A+ C+ B+ A- B+
0.84 53% 18% 29% -9 0 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 25% .40 73% .29 1.10 75% 57% 30% +6 +1 1.17 26% 0.7 .18 16% .19 67% .13
Jan
4		 Pacific C F A+ C B- 26% 35% 39% D- C+ C- F+ D+ D+ D- A+ B- C B- A+ F D+ 36% 19% 45% C D+ C- F F A+ C+ F C-
1.04 36% 58% 33% +1 -3 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 17% .27 93% .25 1.11 53% 25% 47% +5 0 1.12 36% 1.8 .64 27% .27 85% .23
Jan
8		 San Diego F A+ F F D- 32% 17% 51% D+ D- F F F D- A+ D A+ F+ C- F F F 40% 19% 42% D F D+ D- D- D+ B- A B
0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38 1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14
Jan
10		 San Francisco F C F F F 33% 33% 33% F+ F C+ F D A A+ C- A+ D- D+ F F+ F 36% 8% 57% D- F F A+ C B A+ A+ A+
0.91 56% 25% 13% -16 -2 0.67 28% 0.8 .22 9% .48 72% .35 1.21 63% 50% 40% +8 +1 1.21 44% 0.8 .36 18% .18 50% .09
Jan
14		 Portland D- B- F D- D+ 36% 18% 45% C D+ D A+ B D A- F C B D- A+ A+ A 38% 9% 53% D- A- D A+ A D+ A+ A A+
0.99 63% 25% 30% -3 0 0.95 27% 1.4 .39 19% .37 60% .22 0.93 67% 20% 21% -9 +1 0.87 34% 0.7 .24 18% .16 67% .11
Jan
21		 Gonzaga D D A+ F D+ 31% 33% 37% C- D+ B D+ C+ C- D+ A+ B B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% F+ A+ C- F F F+ F C- F
0.86 50% 53% 16% -8 -2 0.83 27% 0.8 .22 22% .26 93% .24 1.21 62% 27% 21% -7 +1 0.89 38% 1.5 .56 10% .38 71% .27
Jan
24		 Washington St. C+ B A+ B- A+ 31% 37% 33% F A D+ F F F D+ A+ C+ F F D+ F F 31% 13% 56% C F F C F D+ B C B
1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23 1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 San Diego D+ D- D B+ D+ 36% 19% 46% C- D+ C- F D- A+ A- D B D A+ F C- A+ 46% 7% 47% F A F F F D F F F
1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29 1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32
Feb
4		 Seattle B+ F+ C A C+ 39% 25% 35% D+ C+ C- A+ A- B A+ A+ A+ D+ F C A+ C- 49% 21% 30% C- C- C+ F D C+ F D- F
1.06 45% 38% 39% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .38 18% .42 88% .37 1.08 69% 36% 25% +1 +1 1.06 23% 1.1 .27 18% .50 74% .37
Feb
7		 Pacific F F D A+ D+ 34% 34% 32% D+ D+ F F F D+ C+ F D F A- F F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A F F F B D B-
0.81 39% 33% 41% -5 -2 0.89 10% 0.3 .03 17% .35 57% .20 1.27 48% 54% 55% +11 0 1.23 27% 1.8 .47 14% .24 80% .19
Feb
11		 St. Mary's D- D F D- F+ 38% 20% 42% B- D- C+ D C D+ D+ F F+ C- A+ F F F 32% 20% 48% B- F F A- D A D- A+ B
0.84 48% 8% 28% -14 0 0.75 26% 0.8 .22 17% .20 58% .12 1.23 44% 50% 54% +12 0 1.26 49% 0.9 .46 21% .39 59% .23
Feb
14		 Loyola Marymount A B C+ A+ A+ 44% 25% 31% B- A+ C- C C- C+ A+ D+ A+ F B- F+ F D- 40% 23% 37% D D- D+ F F F D B- D+
1.26 61% 38% 56% +12 0 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 15% .42 72% .30 1.25 57% 46% 43% +6 0 1.14 29% 1.5 .44 10% .31 65% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.2 9th
10th 0.8 0.1 0.9 10th
11th 2.1 2.6 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 35.3 40.8 17.0 0.9 94.0 12th
Total 35.3 40.8 19.1 4.4 0.5 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 19.1% 19.1
3-15 40.8% 40.8
2-16 35.3% 35.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 35.3%