California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#134
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#74
Pace65.1#297
Improvement-3.1#339

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#148
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#122
Layup/Dunks+4.5#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows+1.8#82
Improvement-0.5#214

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot+2.1#111
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#262
Layups/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#114
Freethrows+0.1#171
Improvement-2.6#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.3% 26.8% 17.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 99.0% 99.8% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 86.5% 95.5% 83.9%
Conference Champion 19.5% 41.6% 12.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 1.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round19.2% 26.8% 17.0%
Second Round1.4% 2.4% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 23.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 37 - 9
Quad 416 - 222 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 264 South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 84%     1 - 0 +3.3 +10.2 -7.0
  Fri, Nov 7 131 @UC Irvine W 69-61 38%     2 - 0 +12.8 +1.3 +11.3
  Fri, Nov 14 356 Western Illinois W 69-59 95%     3 - 0 -6.8 -3.1 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 18 272 UC Riverside W 80-57 84%     4 - 0 +14.0 -4.6 +16.8
  Fri, Nov 21 245 Grambling St. W 72-59 82%     5 - 0 +5.2 +2.9 +3.4
  Tue, Nov 25 260 San Diego W 76-61 75%     6 - 0 +9.5 -1.0 +10.4
  Sat, Nov 29 154 @Oregon St. W 75-69 44%     7 - 0 +9.4 +6.8 +2.8
  Mon, Dec 1 73 @Colorado L 70-78 20%     7 - 1 +2.7 +2.0 +0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 11 BYU L 44-66 6%     7 - 2 -2.4 +1.0 -14.2
  Sat, Dec 6 111 @Utah L 85-91 32%     7 - 3 +0.6 +12.3 -11.6
  Fri, Dec 12 258 @Eastern Washington W 88-83 66%     8 - 3 +2.6 +10.2 -7.6
  Tue, Dec 16 222 Southern W 75-67 79%     9 - 3 +1.2 +0.5 +0.8
  Sat, Dec 20 276 Sacramento St. W 74-67 85%     10 - 3 -2.2 +0.0 -2.0
  Mon, Dec 29 85 @Utah Valley L 66-74 23%    
  Thu, Jan 1 167 @Texas Arlington L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 180 @Tarleton St. W 73-72 51%    
  Thu, Jan 8 251 Utah Tech W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 319 Southern Utah W 78-64 91%    
  Thu, Jan 15 204 @Abilene Christian W 69-67 56%    
  Wed, Jan 21 251 Utah Tech W 76-66 82%    
  Sat, Jan 24 85 Utah Valley L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 167 @Texas Arlington L 66-67 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 180 Tarleton St. W 75-69 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 204 Abilene Christian W 72-64 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 319 @Southern Utah W 75-67 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 251 @Utah Tech W 73-69 64%    
  Thu, Feb 19 85 @Utah Valley L 66-74 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 167 Texas Arlington W 69-64 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 180 Tarleton St. W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Mar 5 204 Abilene Christian W 72-64 75%    
  Sat, Mar 7 319 @Southern Utah W 75-67 76%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 5.7 4.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 19.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.7 7.8 11.1 8.9 4.1 0.9 0.1 35.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.8 7.8 6.9 2.8 0.5 0.0 22.4 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.4 5.0 2.8 0.7 0.0 12.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.2 0.9 0.1 6.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.8 6.4 10.0 13.4 15.6 15.6 13.2 9.8 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
16-2 97.9% 2.5    2.3 0.2
15-3 83.1% 4.6    3.7 1.0
14-4 57.9% 5.7    3.5 2.0 0.1
13-5 29.1% 3.9    1.8 1.8 0.3
12-6 11.2% 1.8    0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 12.4 6.0 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 62.5% 59.4% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7%
17-1 0.7% 49.5% 49.5% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3
16-2 2.5% 42.0% 42.0% 12.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.5
15-3 5.6% 38.8% 38.8% 0.1% 12.5 0.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.4 0.1%
14-4 9.8% 31.4% 31.4% 12.7 0.0 1.1 1.7 0.3 6.7
13-5 13.2% 26.5% 26.5% 13.0 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 9.7
12-6 15.6% 21.6% 21.6% 13.3 0.3 1.9 1.0 0.1 12.3
11-7 15.6% 16.4% 16.4% 13.4 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.1 13.1
10-8 13.4% 11.8% 11.8% 13.7 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.8
9-9 10.0% 8.1% 8.1% 14.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.2
8-10 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.0
7-11 3.8% 5.5% 5.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3.6
6-12 1.9% 4.4% 4.4% 15.3 0.1 0.0 1.8
5-13 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 19.3% 19.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.3 9.1 4.5 0.9 0.1 80.7 0.0%