California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.8 #134
Expected Predictive Rating +6.5 #86
Pace 65.1 #298
Improvement -2.4 #319

Overall 1st FG Attempt Freethrows Second Chance Turnovers Shot Selection
Offense #151 C- C+ C+ C- A-
Defense #124 B- C- A- C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 49% #6 1.06 #283 +3.5 #74
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #268 0.86 #73 -0.8 #224
Three Pointers 35% #294 0.93 #269 -4.4 #311
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #221 -1.7 #220
Freethrows 18.2 #133 74% #130 13.6 #119
Second Chance 38.4% #24 0.89 #324 0.34 #134
Turnovers 17.8% #244
Total Offense +0.3 #151

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #95 1.05 #63 +0.5 #166
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #149 0.89 #326 -1.8 #302
Three Pointers 37% #284 0.93 #90 +3.6 #58
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #116 +2.3 #113
Freethrows 17.7 #207 74% #244 13.1 #219
Second Chance 24.6% #22 0.96 #89 0.24 #31
Turnovers 15.7% #239
Total Defense +1.4 #124

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.7% #32 0.3% #189
Shot Type Make Effect -5.8% #267 -4.8% #104
Possession Length 18.1 #271 16.9 #147
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #319 0.15 #122
Improvement -0.6 #227 -1.9 #314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.8% 21.2% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.3
.500 or above 98.9% 99.6% 98.2%
.500 or above in Conference 85.5% 92.1% 78.8%
Conference Champion 15.0% 20.5% 9.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.5% 2.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round18.8% 21.2% 16.4%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Arlington (Away) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 36 - 47 - 9
Quad 415 - 222 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 265 South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 84%     8.3   1 - 0 +3.2 +10.1 -7.1
  Fri, Nov 7 136 @UC Irvine W 69-61 39%     2.7   2 - 0 +12.7 +1.2 +11.3
  Fri, Nov 14 355 Western Illinois W 69-59 95%     5.7   3 - 0 -6.8 -3.2 -2.5
  Tue, Nov 18 266 UC Riverside W 80-57 84%     14.7   4 - 0 +14.1 -4.6 +16.9
  Fri, Nov 21 248 Grambling St. W 72-59 82%     13.5   5 - 0 +5.2 +2.8 +3.5
  Tue, Nov 25 209 San Diego W 76-61 68%     2.2   6 - 0 +11.8 +0.4 +11.2
  Sat, Nov 29 166 @Oregon St. W 75-69 48%     1.8   7 - 0 +8.3 +5.9 +2.6
  Mon, Dec 1 86 @Colorado L 70-78 23%     2.2   7 - 1 +1.5 +1.1 +0.2
  Wed, Dec 3 10 BYU L 44-66 6%     7 - 2 -2.4 +0.9 -14.2
  Sat, Dec 6 111 @Utah L 85-91 32%     -4.4   7 - 3 +0.6 +12.6 -12.0
  Fri, Dec 12 259 @Eastern Washington W 88-83 66%     4.8   8 - 3 +2.5 +10.1 -7.6
  Tue, Dec 16 236 Southern W 75-67 80%     4.2   9 - 3 +0.9 +0.2 +0.7
  Sat, Dec 20 278 Sacramento St. W 74-67 85%     1.7   10 - 3 -2.4 +0.0 -2.1
  Mon, Dec 29 87 @Utah Valley L 66-73 23%     -0.2   10 - 4 0 - 1 +2.5 -0.5 +3.0
  Thu, Jan 1 179 @Texas Arlington W 66-65 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 164 @Tarleton St. L 71-72 47%    
  Thu, Jan 8 245 Utah Tech W 75-66 81%    
  Sat, Jan 10 328 Southern Utah W 79-64 92%    
  Thu, Jan 15 202 @Abilene Christian W 68-66 55%    
  Wed, Jan 21 245 Utah Tech W 75-66 81%    
  Sat, Jan 24 87 Utah Valley L 69-71 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 179 @Texas Arlington W 66-65 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 164 Tarleton St. W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 202 Abilene Christian W 71-63 75%    
  Thu, Feb 12 328 @Southern Utah W 76-67 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 245 @Utah Tech W 72-69 62%    
  Thu, Feb 19 87 @Utah Valley L 66-74 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 179 Texas Arlington W 69-63 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 164 Tarleton St. W 74-69 68%    
  Thu, Mar 5 202 Abilene Christian W 71-63 75%    
  Sat, Mar 7 328 @Southern Utah W 76-67 78%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 4.4 3.4 1.1 0.3 15.0 1st
2nd 0.3 2.3 8.3 11.8 8.9 4.1 0.8 0.0 36.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.0 8.3 7.7 2.9 0.4 23.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.5 5.9 3.1 0.6 14.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.9 1.0 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.2 3.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 7th
Total 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 3.9 7.1 11.2 13.8 16.9 16.3 13.1 8.5 4.3 1.2 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 97.4% 1.1    1.0 0.1
15-3 80.5% 3.4    2.6 0.9
14-4 51.5% 4.4    2.5 1.8 0.1
13-5 29.1% 3.8    1.5 2.0 0.4
12-6 10.0% 1.6    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1
11-7 1.8% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 15.0% 15.0 8.2 5.7 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.3% 43.3% 43.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.2% 50.4% 50.4% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 4.3% 36.5% 36.5% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.7
14-4 8.5% 31.7% 31.7% 12.8 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.2 5.8
13-5 13.1% 30.0% 30.0% 13.0 0.9 2.2 0.8 9.2
12-6 16.3% 22.7% 22.7% 13.2 0.5 2.0 1.1 0.1 12.6
11-7 16.9% 16.7% 16.7% 13.5 0.2 1.3 1.3 0.1 14.1
10-8 13.8% 11.9% 11.9% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 12.1
9-9 11.2% 8.5% 8.5% 13.9 0.2 0.6 0.2 10.3
8-10 7.1% 6.6% 6.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.6
7-11 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
6-12 2.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
5-13 0.9% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.9
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.6 8.7 5.2 0.9 0.1 81.2 0.0%