Preseason Rankings
California Baptist
Western Athletic
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#169
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#265
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#207
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#156
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.4% 18.3% 10.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.7 14.5
.500 or above 63.0% 66.3% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 69.4% 71.4% 53.9%
Conference Champion 20.5% 21.7% 11.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 6.6% 14.4%
First Four1.1% 1.0% 2.1%
First Round17.4% 18.4% 10.3%
Second Round1.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Home) - 88.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 11
Quad 413 - 418 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 336   South Carolina Upstate W 81-68 88%    
  Nov 07, 2025 93   @ UC Irvine L 64-73 19%    
  Nov 14, 2025 339   Western Illinois W 72-59 88%    
  Nov 18, 2025 258   UC Riverside W 72-65 74%    
  Nov 21, 2025 283   Grambling St. W 68-59 79%    
  Nov 25, 2025 183   San Diego W 74-73 52%    
  Nov 29, 2025 113   @ Oregon St. L 62-70 25%    
  Dec 01, 2025 82   @ Colorado L 62-73 17%    
  Dec 03, 2025 9   BYU L 62-81 5%    
  Dec 06, 2025 88   @ Utah L 65-75 20%    
  Dec 12, 2025 247   @ Eastern Washington W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 16, 2025 186   Southern W 70-66 63%    
  Dec 20, 2025 272   Sacramento St. W 70-62 76%    
  Dec 29, 2025 119   @ Utah Valley L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 01, 2026 202   @ Texas Arlington L 68-70 45%    
  Jan 03, 2026 274   @ Tarleton St. W 65-63 57%    
  Jan 08, 2026 271   Utah Tech W 73-65 75%    
  Jan 10, 2026 268   Southern Utah W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 15, 2026 175   @ Abilene Christian L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 21, 2026 271   Utah Tech W 73-65 74%    
  Jan 24, 2026 119   Utah Valley L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 31, 2026 202   @ Texas Arlington L 68-70 45%    
  Feb 05, 2026 274   Tarleton St. W 68-60 74%    
  Feb 07, 2026 175   Abilene Christian W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 12, 2026 268   @ Southern Utah W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 14, 2026 271   @ Utah Tech W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 19, 2026 119   @ Utah Valley L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 26, 2026 202   Texas Arlington W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 28, 2026 274   Tarleton St. W 68-60 74%    
  Mar 05, 2026 175   Abilene Christian W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 07, 2026 268   @ Southern Utah W 71-69 56%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.8 4.9 4.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 20.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 6.4 4.7 2.2 0.5 0.1 21.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.5 6.4 5.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 5.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 4.2 3.3 1.0 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.6 7th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.7 5.8 7.4 9.0 10.2 11.3 11.5 10.6 9.0 7.1 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.3    1.3
16-2 98.1% 3.0    2.9 0.1
15-3 90.1% 4.5    3.8 0.7 0.0
14-4 68.9% 4.9    3.4 1.4 0.1
13-5 42.4% 3.8    2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 19.1% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.0
11-7 4.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.5% 20.5 14.6 4.8 0.9 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 72.4% 72.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.3% 57.8% 57.5% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8%
16-2 3.1% 52.8% 52.8% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 0.0%
15-3 5.0% 44.5% 44.5% 12.9 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8
14-4 7.1% 36.9% 36.9% 13.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5
13-5 9.0% 30.0% 30.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 6.3
12-6 10.6% 24.4% 24.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 8.0
11-7 11.5% 17.6% 17.6% 15.6 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 9.5
10-8 11.3% 10.4% 10.4% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 10.1
9-9 10.2% 6.8% 6.8% 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 9.5
8-10 9.0% 4.7% 4.7% 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.6
7-11 7.4% 2.4% 2.4% 18.1 0.0 0.2 7.2
6-12 5.8% 1.3% 1.3% 17.7 0.1 5.7
5-13 3.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
4-14 2.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 17.4% 17.4% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.7 4.2 4.8 3.4 2.2 82.6 0.0%