Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.2 255
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 287
Pace 69.0 172
Improvement +2.0 109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 229 C D+ C C- D-
Defense D+ 262 C- D+ C D- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 300 B 63% 70 -0.6 202
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 26 C- 37% 205 +3.4 37
Three Pointers 35% 299 C- 33% 222 -3.4 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 339 C+ +0.9 139
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 196
Second Chance D 26.2% 299 C+ 1.05 141 D+ 0.27 261
Turnovers C 17.1% 189
Freethrows D+ 0.28 276 C+ 74% 122 C- 0.20 247
Total Offense C- -2.3 229

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 116 D+ 61% 276 -2.9 280
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 144 D 42% 305 -1.1 273
Three Pointers 37% 278 C 34% 171 +1.9 100
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 180 D+ +1.9 256
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 244
Second Chance B- 28.4% 95 F 1.25 364 D+ 0.36 290
Turnovers C 17.0% 175
Freethrows D- 0.36 325 D- 76% 337 D- 0.27 341
Total Defense D+ -2.9 262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 197 16.8 96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 261 0.19 241
Improvement +0.1 #177 +1.8 #83

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 5% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 6% 1% 7%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 32 - 102 - 17
Quad 47 - 59 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 43 @San Diego St. L 45 - 77 4% -13  7% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -20 F D+ F B +4 A- F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 142 @Fresno St. L 62 - 82 19% -10  13% 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -10 D- F+ D- D+ -5 F B A-
 Wed, Nov 12 115 @Pacific L 66 - 69 15% +3  64% 0 - 3 C+ +3 D -4 D- B+ D- B+ +8 A+ F B+
 Sun, Nov 16 90 Illinois St. L 80 - 82 22% -4  8% 0 - 4 C +1 A- +9 A- C+ A+ D- -9 C+ A- F
 Fri, Nov 21 157 Montana St. L 72 - 78 42% -3  5% 0 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 C D+ C D -6 C D- D-
 Wed, Nov 26 209 @Portland L 73 - 93 30% -11  0% 0 - 6 F -20 D+ -3 D+ D+ C- F -16 F C B-
 Sun, Nov 30 215 San Diego W 76 - 72 53% -1  26% 1 - 6 C- -2 B- +5 C+ A+ A+ D -7 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 4 135 @UC Santa Barbara L 77 - 84 OT 17% -1  25% 1 - 7 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 F A+ C C+ +1 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 140 UC San Diego L 74 - 80 36% -4  13% 1 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -7 C+ +2 B D- B+ F+ -10 F A C
 Tue, Dec 9 237 @San Jose St. L 83 - 89 OT 35% -1  28% 1 - 9 D+ -7 B- +4 D+ A- D- F -12 F F C+
 Thu, Dec 18 294 Pepperdine W 81 - 78 70% -2  28% 2 - 9 D+ -8 C+ +2 B+ D A- F+ -10 F F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 8 @Iowa St. L 60 - 91 1% -29  0% 2 - 10 D+ -7 D -5 C- F A- C -0 C- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 259 Cal Poly W 74 - 66 62% +10  95% 3 - 10 1 - 2 C -0 D- -7 C- D C- B+ +7 A+ D F
 Thu, Jan 8 123 @UC Irvine L 64 - 74 16% -7  17% 3 - 11 1 - 3 C- -5 D -5 B- F C- C+ +0 C+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 325 Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 75 78% +5  71% 4 - 11 2 - 3 D+ -7 D- -7 C C- F+ C -1 D- A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 296 UC Riverside W 88 - 73 70% +10  92% 5 - 11 3 - 3 C+ +4 A- +11 A+ C- A- D -6 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 185 @Cal St. Northridge W 87 - 80 26% +0  54% 6 - 11 4 - 3 B +8 C+ +2 B D- C- B +6 A+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 22 207 @Cal St. Fullerton L 61 - 71 30% -11  0% 6 - 12 4 - 4 D -10 F -11 D- F F C+ +1 F A- B+
 Sat, Jan 24 135 UC Santa Barbara L 71 - 74 35% -8  0% 6 - 13 4 - 5 C- -4 C +0 B- F A D+ -5 C+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 296 @UC Riverside L 61 - 71 48% -0  47% 6 - 14 4 - 6 F+ -15 F -15 F C F C+ +0 C+ F+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 102 Hawaii L 82 - 89 25% -4  28% 6 - 15 4 - 7 D+ -5 B+ +8 D+ A+ C+ F -13 F C+ C-
 Thu, Feb 5 140 @UC San Diego L 74 - 77 18% +1  52% 6 - 16 4 - 8 C +2 C- -1 B F C B- +3 C+ F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 207 Cal St. Fullerton L 82 - 86 52% +4  71% 6 - 17 4 - 9 D -10 C +0 A F D+ F+ -10 C- F D
 Sat, Feb 14 187 @UC Davis L 72 - 78 27%
 Thu, Feb 19 123 UC Irvine L 69 - 74 34%
 Sat, Feb 21 185 Cal St. Northridge L 81 - 82 49%
 Thu, Feb 26 259 @Cal Poly L 81 - 84 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 325 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 77 - 75 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 187 UC Davis L 74 - 75 48%
 Sun, Mar 8 102 @Hawaii L 67 - 80 11%
Totals 9 - 21 7 - 13 -5 F -2 C+ C+ D- C- -3 C- C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- B C- C- C+ 34% 30% 35% D- C D C+ D+ C D+ C+ C- D+ D+ D C D+ 41% 21% 37% C C- B- F D+ C D- D- D-
1.05 63% 37% 33% +1 -2 1.01 26% 1.0 .27 17% .28 74% .20 1.13 61% 42% 34% +2 0 1.06 28% 1.2 .36 17% .36 76% .21
Nov
4		 San Diego St. F D D- F F 37% 22% 41% C F B F D+ F F F F B A A+ F A 43% 20% 37% F A- D+ F F A- D+ C+ C-
0.63 50% 27% 20% -14 0 0.73 32% 0.6 .18 29% .10 40% .04 1.08 50% 0% 47% -3 0 0.96 34% 1.5 .51 21% .34 74% .25
Nov
8		 Fresno St. F D+ B F D- 30% 26% 43% D- D- D- F+ F+ D- A+ A- A+ D+ F F F F 40% 9% 51% D- F F+ A+ B A- F C+ F
0.87 57% 42% 20% -8 -1 0.83 22% 0.9 .19 22% .41 78% .32 1.15 71% 50% 41% +11 +2 1.28 36% 0.6 .21 22% .50 75% .38
Nov
12		 Pacific D D+ D D- D 27% 31% 43% D+ D- B- A B+ D- B F D+ B+ D+ A- A+ A+ 47% 14% 40% F+ A+ C- F F B+ F B- F
0.96 54% 33% 29% -6 -2 0.86 28% 1.3 .35 19% .38 57% .22 1.01 60% 33% 12% -13 +1 0.79 35% 1.3 .46 23% .57 73% .42
Nov
16		 Illinois St. A- A D+ A+ A 29% 35% 36% D- A- C+ C+ C+ A+ C- F F+ D- D+ F+ A B- 43% 24% 33% C- C+ A+ F A- F F F F
1.18 69% 32% 45% +7 -2 1.11 28% 1.0 .28 9% .29 56% .16 1.21 65% 45% 27% +1 0 1.04 16% 1.4 .23 9% .63 79% .50
Nov
21		 Montana St. D+ A- D+ B B 28% 46% 26% F C C- D- D+ C B- C+ B- D F B+ B C 32% 32% 36% B C A F D- D- D- C D-
1.04 67% 36% 36% +2 -4 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 16% .29 76% .22 1.13 71% 35% 32% +2 -2 1.02 22% 1.7 .38 13% .32 74% .23
Nov
26		 Portland D+ C+ C F D 34% 17% 49% C D+ D B- D+ C- B D+ B- F F F F F 70% 11% 19% F F A+ F C B- D F F
1.02 61% 33% 27% -5 0 0.92 27% 1.1 .30 18% .34 70% .24 1.30 76% 80% 44% +20 +4 1.49 18% 2.0 .35 21% .33 89% .30
Nov
30		 San Diego B- B- B+ C B- 34% 30% 36% F C+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F F D F F+ B D- 35% 24% 41% C+ D F F F A+ A F B+
1.21 65% 47% 33% +5 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09 1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12
Dec
4		 UC Santa Barbara D+ D F C- F 16% 40% 44% F F A A A+ C B A- A- C+ C+ F D- D 15% 43% 43% A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.04 56% 23% 33% -7 -4 0.80 39% 1.3 .50 18% .40 79% .31 1.14 57% 50% 40% +9 -5 1.11 28% 0.4 .13 19% .64 84% .54
Dec
6		 UC San Diego C+ B A- C A- 29% 23% 48% D B D D- D- B+ F C+ F+ F+ D- B- F F 45% 13% 43% C- F A A A C F F F
1.09 63% 46% 33% +3 -1 1.05 25% 0.9 .22 13% .17 70% .12 1.18 67% 33% 45% +10 +1 1.26 18% 0.8 .14 16% .44 76% .33
Dec
9		 San Jose St. B- B C F D+ 40% 25% 35% D D+ A+ D A- D- D+ A+ C F C F F F 36% 28% 36% D+ F A F F C+ F C F
1.17 67% 38% 28% 0 0 1.02 50% 1.1 .53 21% .25 86% .21 1.25 56% 64% 44% +12 -1 1.24 26% 1.9 .48 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 Pepperdine C+ B- F A+ A 50% 33% 17% F+ B+ F A+ D A- B A- A- F+ F F C F 29% 29% 43% A- F B+ F F A+ A D A
1.16 62% 29% 67% +7 -1 1.15 17% 1.6 .28 13% .31 79% .25 1.12 86% 57% 33% +13 -2 1.24 24% 2.0 .48 26% .19 80% .15
Dec
21		 Iowa St. D A+ B F C- 28% 35% 37% D C- F+ F F A- F+ C F+ C F+ A- F D 35% 31% 35% A+ C- C+ D C- C+ B A+ A+
0.81 75% 40% 14% -5 -3 0.86 18% 0.6 .10 19% .17 70% .12 1.24 74% 29% 53% +12 -2 1.24 38% 1.2 .44 16% .29 44% .13
Jan
3		 Cal Poly D- A+ F F C- 47% 26% 26% D+ C- F A D C- C D+ C B+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 8% 56% C+ A+ A+ F D F F B+ F+
1.04 76% 29% 21% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .27 17% .29 71% .20 0.93 35% 0% 30% -15 +1 0.75 22% 1.6 .36 15% .42 72% .30
Jan
8		 UC Irvine D C- A- C B+ 37% 41% 22% F B- F F F C- D B+ C- C+ C D- A+ C+ 46% 32% 22% C C+ A C+ A- F F F F
0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17 1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35
Jan
10		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C F+ A+ C+ 35% 31% 33% F C F A+ C- F+ A+ B A+ C F A+ C- D- 45% 26% 28% F D- A+ A+ A+ C- B- F D+
1.07 59% 33% 44% +4 -2 1.06 23% 1.6 .37 21% .49 76% .37 0.99 71% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.6 .14 19% .32 85% .28
Jan
15		 UC Riverside A- B+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% F A+ D+ C C- A- C C+ C D C A+ A+ A+ 48% 22% 30% C- A+ F+ F F F F F+ F
1.30 67% 53% 54% +16 -1 1.31 29% 1.0 .29 12% .33 70% .23 1.07 58% 17% 19% -12 +1 0.80 33% 1.2 .38 10% .39 79% .31
Jan
17		 Cal St. Northridge C+ A+ C- C+ B+ 26% 20% 54% D+ B F B+ D- C- A+ A- A+ B A- B- A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% F+ A+ D F F B- F F F
1.10 79% 36% 34% +5 -1 1.11 18% 1.3 .24 16% .42 82% .35 1.01 47% 33% 22% -13 +2 0.81 37% 1.3 .46 19% .45 72% .33
Jan
22		 Cal St. Fullerton F B D- D- D- 27% 20% 53% D D- D+ F F F B- B+ B C+ F F A+ F 34% 27% 39% A- F A- A- A- B+ C- F D
0.90 67% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.96 26% 0.6 .14 25% .33 76% .25 1.04 73% 75% 24% +9 -1 1.18 19% 0.8 .15 19% .35 79% .27
Jan
24		 UC Santa Barbara C B B B- B- 38% 23% 40% C- B- F D+ F A D- A+ C D+ B+ B F B- 52% 19% 29% D- C+ B- F D+ F C+ A B
1.13 67% 45% 37% +7 0 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 13% .29 88% .26 1.18 52% 33% 50% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.2 .37 13% .29 69% .20
Jan
29		 UC Riverside F F+ A- F F 48% 26% 26% C- F B- D+ C F B F C C+ F C- A+ C+ 37% 20% 43% C C+ F D+ F+ C- F B+ F
0.88 50% 50% 17% -7 0 0.87 34% 0.9 .32 23% .38 60% .23 1.03 68% 40% 23% -3 0 0.96 36% 0.9 .33 19% .48 67% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Hawaii B+ B- F+ D- C 31% 36% 33% F D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B- A+ A- F C+ F F F 40% 30% 30% A+ F A+ F C+ C- F F+ F
1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26 1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39
Feb
5		 UC San Diego C- A+ D- B+ A- 28% 36% 36% F B F A+ F C B+ A+ A+ B- A D+ F+ B- 47% 11% 43% D C+ F+ D F+ A+ F D- F
0.99 73% 32% 37% +4 -3 1.04 3% 2.0 .06 16% .32 85% .27 1.03 45% 40% 40% -2 +2 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 24% .51 72% .37
Feb
12		 Cal St. Fullerton C A+ A+ C- A+ 33% 24% 43% D- A F A+ F D+ A B- A F+ C- A+ D- C 45% 18% 38% D+ C- F+ F F D C- F D-
1.11 81% 58% 33% +12 -1 1.24 12% 1.3 .15 20% .39 74% .29 1.16 60% 20% 38% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.5 .46 13% .34 82% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.0 1.4 6th
7th 1.3 3.1 0.5 4.8 7th
8th 0.9 8.0 11.8 3.1 0.1 23.9 8th
9th 0.9 11.2 23.9 19.0 4.3 0.2 59.5 9th
10th 2.5 4.8 1.4 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.7 0.2 1.0 11th
Total 4.2 16.2 26.3 27.2 17.4 7.1 1.6 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5
9-11 7.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.0
8-12 17.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.3
7-13 27.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.1
6-14 26.3% 26.3
5-15 16.2% 16.2
4-16 4.2% 4.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2%