Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#304
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#346
Pace63.1#324
Improvement-0.9#241

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#284
First Shot-5.7#326
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#94
Layup/Dunks-6.3#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#244
Freethrows+0.5#152
Improvement-1.9#310

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#283
First Shot-3.3#287
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#180
Layups/Dunks-3.8#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#182
Freethrows+0.1#187
Improvement+0.9#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 0.4% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 18.4% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.4% 15.1% 32.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Home) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 32 - 102 - 16
Quad 45 - 77 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 120   @ South Dakota St. L 79-80 12%     0 - 1 +4.5 +9.3 -4.8
  Nov 13, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 54-84 5%     0 - 2 -17.9 -8.5 -11.3
  Nov 16, 2024 309   Portland L 61-63 62%     0 - 3 -12.6 -7.4 -5.5
  Nov 20, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 41-84 1%     0 - 4 -18.8 -18.3 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2024 255   Fresno St. L 69-72 53%     0 - 5 -11.2 -6.9 -4.2
  Nov 25, 2024 160   UNC Greensboro L 48-71 24%     0 - 6 -22.9 -18.9 -6.3
  Nov 26, 2024 158   UTEP L 44-70 23%     0 - 7 -25.8 -24.1 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2024 194   San Jose St. L 66-82 28%     0 - 8 -17.4 +0.1 -19.7
  Dec 05, 2024 307   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-56 39%     1 - 8 1 - 0 +12.5 +4.2 +9.2
  Dec 07, 2024 162   Hawaii L 64-68 36%    
  Dec 10, 2024 312   @ San Diego L 68-70 41%    
  Dec 19, 2024 258   @ Pepperdine L 66-71 32%    
  Jan 02, 2025 175   UC Riverside L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 04, 2025 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 63-69 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   @ UC Davis L 64-72 22%    
  Jan 16, 2025 102   UC San Diego L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 307   Cal St. Fullerton W 66-63 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 155   @ Cal St. Northridge L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 25, 2025 228   @ Cal Poly L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 60-74 10%    
  Feb 01, 2025 126   @ UC Santa Barbara L 63-75 13%    
  Feb 06, 2025 204   UC Davis L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 155   Cal St. Northridge L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 14, 2025 162   @ Hawaii L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 20, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 63-73 20%    
  Feb 22, 2025 126   UC Santa Barbara L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 244   Cal St. Bakersfield W 66-65 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 57-77 4%    
  Mar 06, 2025 102   @ UC San Diego L 59-74 9%    
  Mar 08, 2025 228   Cal Poly L 74-75 48%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 6.6 3.9 0.7 0.0 14.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.7 7.6 4.9 0.9 0.0 19.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 6.5 8.0 4.5 0.8 0.0 23.0 10th
11th 0.9 3.0 5.3 4.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 16.6 11th
Total 0.9 3.5 7.9 12.3 15.5 15.8 14.4 11.3 8.1 4.9 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 35.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 28.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 1.7% 1.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.2% 6.6% 6.6% 15.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-8 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.5
11-9 2.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.9
10-10 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.9
9-11 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
8-12 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
7-13 14.4% 14.4
6-14 15.8% 15.8
5-15 15.5% 15.5
4-16 12.3% 12.3
3-17 7.9% 7.9
2-18 3.5% 3.5
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%