SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#315
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#311
Pace70.1#153
Improvement-0.3#203

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#290
First Shot-8.3#346
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#9
Layup/Dunks-4.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#248
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#321
Freethrows+3.1#32
Improvement+0.5#130

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#317
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#240
Layups/Dunks-4.3#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#285
Freethrows+2.7#33
Improvement-0.8#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 14.7% 10.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.1 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 18.2% 31.2% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.1% 82.0% 74.6%
Conference Champion 17.5% 22.2% 15.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.2% 4.9%
First Four11.5% 13.6% 10.5%
First Round5.7% 7.1% 4.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Away) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 410 - 911 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 160   @ Tulane L 67-70 12%     0 - 1 +0.6 -1.2 +1.7
  Nov 18, 2021 87   @ SMU L 61-78 6%     0 - 2 -8.0 -12.6 +5.5
  Nov 26, 2021 271   Purdue Fort Wayne L 66-74 38%     0 - 3 -13.9 -15.0 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2021 213   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-90 17%     0 - 4 -17.9 -8.5 -7.7
  Nov 28, 2021 303   Western Michigan L 77-81 OT 45%     0 - 5 -11.9 -7.7 -4.0
  Dec 05, 2021 262   @ Troy W 72-68 26%     1 - 5 +1.7 +2.8 -1.0
  Dec 11, 2021 297   @ Southern L 71-75 34%    
  Dec 14, 2021 37   @ Louisville L 58-81 1%    
  Dec 19, 2021 58   @ Iowa St. L 61-81 3%    
  Dec 21, 2021 20   @ Iowa L 67-93 1%    
  Jan 06, 2022 354   Houston Baptist W 77-70 74%    
  Jan 15, 2022 340   Northwestern St. W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 20, 2022 282   @ New Orleans L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 22, 2022 230   @ Nicholls St. L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 27, 2022 299   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 29, 2022 351   Incarnate Word W 77-68 80%    
  Feb 03, 2022 328   @ McNeese St. L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 05, 2022 354   @ Houston Baptist W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 10, 2022 328   McNeese St. W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 12, 2022 354   Houston Baptist W 78-68 81%    
  Feb 17, 2022 299   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 19, 2022 351   @ Incarnate Word W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 24, 2022 282   New Orleans W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 26, 2022 230   Nicholls St. L 72-75 41%    
  Mar 05, 2022 340   @ Northwestern St. W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 8 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.2 5.2 3.0 0.9 17.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 5.0 7.8 4.3 1.0 0.0 19.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 6.4 7.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.3 6.9 1.9 0.1 16.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.2 4.9 1.0 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.2 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.8 6.6 9.9 13.0 15.3 15.4 13.4 9.8 6.2 3.0 0.9 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
13-1 98.7% 3.0    2.7 0.3
12-2 84.1% 5.2    3.7 1.5 0.1
11-3 52.9% 5.2    2.3 2.4 0.5 0.0
10-4 18.6% 2.5    0.5 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
9-5 3.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 17.3% 17.3 10.1 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.9% 44.5% 44.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 0.5
13-1 3.0% 36.5% 36.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1 1.9
12-2 6.2% 31.3% 31.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9 4.3
11-3 9.8% 24.8% 24.8% 16.0 2.4 7.4
10-4 13.4% 18.3% 18.3% 16.0 2.5 11.0
9-5 15.4% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 1.9 13.5
8-6 15.3% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.0 14.3
7-7 13.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.4 12.6
6-8 9.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.7
5-9 6.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.5
4-10 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-11 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-12 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.0% 12.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.0 88.0 0.0%