SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -7.2 289
Results Rating -8.4 301
Consistency 0.13 57
Pace 64.9 276
Improvement +1.0 150

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 335 D- D C- C- D+
Defense C 195 D+ D+ B F+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 295 C- 56% 230 -3.0 289
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 84 D+ 35% 284 +0.8 133
Three Pointers 40% 199 F+ 29% 350 -3.5 296
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 293 D- -4.7 329
1st FG Attempt D- 0.91 340
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 271 D 0.93 314 D 0.25 309
Opponents' Steals C 9.2% 159
Other Turnovers D 8.4% 312
Turnovers C- 17.6% 239
Freethrows C+ 0.31 152 D- 68% 328 C- 0.21 206
Total Offense D -6.6 335

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 47% 211 D+ 12.3% 263
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 178 C 5.0% 187
Three Pointers D- 76% 335 C 0.9% 202
Total D+ 50% 296 C- 5.9% 220


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 220 D+ 61% 265 +0.5 199
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 116 C 39% 205 +0.8 249
Three Pointers 40% 206 D+ 36% 272 +0.8 225
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 120 D+ +2.3 274
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 248
Second Chance C- 31.5% 240 D 1.12 295 D+ 0.35 282
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 76
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 57
Turnovers B 19.2% 47
Freethrows D- 0.37 343 D 75% 313 F+ 0.28 348
Total Defense C -0.6 195

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 247 C 10.9% 176
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 279 C+ 5.7% 118
Three Pointers C- 86% 235 D- -0.1% 362
Total C- 58% 247 C- 5.3% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 248 17.6 242
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 266 0.21 323
Consistency 0.09 7 0.13 248
Improvement +1.8 100 -0.8 231

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 291 288 285
Results Rating Rank 297 294 290
Conference Record 6 - 16 6 - 16 6 - 16
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 32 - 52 - 13
Quad 46 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 74 @Mississippi L 58 - 88 5% -12  32% 0 - 1 F -19 F+ -9 D F D+ F -11 F+ D+ B
 Fri, Nov 7 297 @Louisiana L 52 - 58 41% -9  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -14 F D C- C+ +2 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 148 @Georgia Tech L 60 - 70 15% -0  53% 0 - 3 D+ -6 F -17 D- F F A+ +12 B+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 93 @Mississippi St. L 68 - 75 7% -5  21% 0 - 4 C+ +2 D- -6 F+ F+ C+ A +9 B C+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 106 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 70 10% +1  59% 0 - 5 D+ -6 D- -8 D- F+ B+ C+ +1 B- B C+
 Fri, Nov 28 362 Gardner-Webb W 76 - 68 85% -2  36% 1 - 5 D -10 F+ -10 F F C- C -0 D+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 140 Navy W 69 - 65 21% +7  72% 2 - 5 B- +5 C+ +2 A+ C F B- +3 B+ C+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 278 Northwestern St. L 68 - 76 58% +3  70% 2 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -17 D- -7 F D+ C F -11 D- F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 290 @Houston Christian W 74 - 71 OT 39% +3  77% 3 - 6 1 - 1 C -1 D+ -4 F+ D C- B- +2 D+ C- A
 Mon, Dec 15 307 East Texas A&M L 69 - 70 67% +1  44% 3 - 7 1 - 2 D- -13 D -4 D F A+ F+ -8 F+ B C+
 Fri, Dec 19 59 @LSU L 65 - 78 4% -12  1% 3 - 8 C -0 C+ +2 D A+ C+ D+ -5 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 265 @Incarnate Word L 70 - 79 33% -4  7% 3 - 9 1 - 3 D- -12 F -12 F F+ C- C +0 D+ F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 100 Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 73 20% -8  5% 3 - 10 1 - 4 D -8 D- -8 D- C+ D+ C -1 B- D+ A
 Mon, Jan 5 246 Lamar W 60 - 52 52% +9  90% 4 - 10 2 - 4 C +0 D- -6 C+ F A- A- +8 A+ F+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 83 @McNeese St. L 61 - 73 6% -7  13% 4 - 11 2 - 5 C- -2 C- -2 D- A D- C- -2 F+ A- B+
 Mon, Jan 12 197 New Orleans L 76 - 79 42% -1  29% 4 - 12 2 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -3 F C+ B D -6 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 187 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 56 - 68 21% -14  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 D -11 F -17 F+ D- F B+ +6 D+ F+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 144 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 68 15% -4  6% 4 - 14 2 - 8 C +1 D+ -4 C- F B- B +5 C+ B D+
 Sat, Jan 24 249 Nicholls St. W 67 - 61 53% +2  46% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C- -2 F -13 F F F A +11 A+ B A-
 Tue, Jan 27 83 McNeese St. L 66 - 76 15% -8  8% 5 - 15 3 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -3 C- C- D- D+ -3 F+ C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 100 @Stephen F. Austin L 58 - 85 9% -21  0% 5 - 16 3 - 10 F -19 D+ -4 D- B- F F -19 F F B-
 Mon, Feb 2 246 @Lamar L 54 - 73 29% -8  1% 5 - 17 3 - 11 F -21 F -12 F C B+ F -12 D F F
 Sat, Feb 7 290 Houston Christian W 55 - 47 62% +6  97% 6 - 17 4 - 11 C- -2 F -12 D+ D F A+ +12 A+ A- A-
 Mon, Feb 9 265 Incarnate Word W 74 - 62 56% +12  90% 7 - 17 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +3 D A- A B- +2 A- C B
 Sat, Feb 14 278 @Northwestern St. L 66 - 69 36% +2  70% 7 - 18 5 - 12 D+ -6 C- -2 D A+ F D+ -5 D C D
 Mon, Feb 16 307 @East Texas A&M L 53 - 70 44% -12  7% 7 - 19 5 - 13 F -23 F -21 F F B C- -2 D- D- C
 Sat, Feb 21 144 UT Rio Grande Valley L 75 - 96 30% -16  0% 7 - 20 5 - 14 F -23 B +6 C+ C A+ F -31 F F+ D+
 Mon, Feb 23 187 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68 - 73 41% -6  2% 7 - 21 5 - 15 D -10 C- -2 C+ C- C F+ -9 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 249 @Nicholls St. L 60 - 68 30% +2  49% 7 - 22 5 - 16 D -10 F -12 F+ F D C+ +1 B F+ C-
 Mon, Mar 2 197 @New Orleans W 82 - 78 22% +1  58% 8 - 22 6 - 16 C+ +5 C +1 C+ F+ A+ B +4 F+ B C
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 16 -7 D -7 A+ D- D+ C -1 F+ D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C- D+ F+ D- 35% 46% 40% D+ D- D+ D D C- C+ D- C- C D+ C D+ D+ 37% 22% 40% C+ D+ C- D D+ B D- D F+
0.99 56% 35% 29% -5 -1 0.91 27% 0.9 .25 18% .31 68% .21 1.10 61% 39% 36% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.1 .35 19% .37 75% .23
Nov
3		 Mississippi F+ B+ F F+ D- 30% 12% 58% A- D D+ F F D+ A+ F A- F D- F C- F+ 29% 29% 42% D+ F+ F A+ D+ B F F F
0.87 62% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.86 26% 0.6 .16 20% .47 60% .28 1.32 71% 57% 35% +10 -2 1.19 44% 0.8 .37 15% .53 83% .44
Nov
7		 Louisiana F D F F F 41% 8% 51% B- F C- F D C- A+ F A+ C+ C- F D- F 22% 46% 32% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C+
0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38 1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15
Nov
10		 Georgia Tech F F C- D D 26% 31% 43% F+ D- D- F F F D+ A C A+ B B+ C- B+ 36% 31% 33% A- B+ B- F F A+ F D+ F
0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21 0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34
Nov
15		 Mississippi St. D- B- C- F F+ 29% 33% 38% D+ F+ D+ F F+ C+ B- A+ A A F+ A- C B- 27% 31% 41% A B B D+ C+ A+ F D+ F
0.92 59% 37% 18% -9 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .16 14% .28 89% .25 1.02 71% 31% 33% +1 -2 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 22% .40 70% .28
Nov
26		 UNC Wilmington D- A+ B F D- 21% 27% 52% D+ D- D- F F+ B+ D F F C+ F D- A+ C+ 26% 28% 47% B+ B- B B- B C+ F F F
0.91 91% 43% 15% -7 -2 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 11% .22 50% .11 1.12 82% 42% 20% -3 -2 0.93 31% 1.0 .31 16% .57 77% .44
Nov
28		 Gardner-Webb F+ A+ C F F 29% 22% 49% F+ F D F F C- A+ B A+ C D+ A D+ D- 38% 20% 43% B D+ C+ F F A+ F D F
1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41 0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36
Nov
29		 Navy C+ A C+ A+ A+ 26% 42% 33% F A+ D- A C F B+ B+ A B- D+ A+ A+ A- 43% 29% 29% C+ B+ A F C+ C F B+ F
1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25 1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36
Dec
7		 Northwestern St. D- A+ D- F F 35% 28% 37% F+ F D- B D+ C A+ D+ A+ F F+ B F F+ 36% 38% 26% A- D- F F F A+ F D F
1.03 80% 33% 13% -6 -1 0.88 26% 1.2 .32 17% .55 70% .38 1.15 64% 33% 40% +3 -2 1.03 41% 1.6 .67 23% .53 78% .41
Dec
13		 Houston Christian D+ D+ D C- D- 39% 24% 37% D- F+ D+ D- D C- A+ C- A+ B- C- A+ D+ C- 48% 12% 40% F D+ F+ B- C- A D- B- D
1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31 1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22
Dec
15		 East Texas A&M D D- C- A D+ 39% 27% 33% F+ D F+ F F A+ C- B+ C F+ A+ F F F 30% 26% 43% A F+ B+ B B C+ F F F
1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23 1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27
Dec
19		 LSU C+ C A F D 33% 22% 45% C- D C+ A+ A+ C+ C- B+ C D+ F A F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F A+ A A+ D+ F A F
1.06 56% 45% 23% -7 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21 1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36
Dec
30		 Incarnate Word F D- F F F 50% 16% 34% B- F C+ F F+ C- D A C C B+ A+ F D+ 31% 22% 47% C D+ B+ F F+ C+ C D C-
0.96 54% 22% 21% -11 +1 0.82 34% 0.7 .24 17% .33 80% .26 1.09 47% 17% 46% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.5 .39 17% .26 75% .20
Jan
3		 Stephen F. Austin D- B- F F+ D 30% 34% 36% F D- D- A+ C+ D+ F A+ D+ C A D C C+ 28% 32% 40% B+ B- F A- D+ A F F F
0.95 60% 29% 28% -6 -2 0.86 23% 1.5 .34 18% .20 91% .18 1.10 43% 44% 35% -2 -2 0.94 42% 0.9 .37 18% .35 79% .27
Jan
5		 Lamar D- D+ F A- C- 49% 11% 41% A- C+ D- F F A- A+ F B+ A- A A+ A+ A+ 27% 34% 39% C+ A+ F C F+ B+ F F F
1.01 56% 25% 40% +1 +2 1.08 25% 0.5 .13 13% .60 52% .31 0.88 42% 20% 24% -17 -3 0.64 42% 0.9 .39 20% .44 86% .38
Jan
10		 McNeese St. C- F F D- F 49% 3% 49% A+ D- C+ A+ A D- A+ F A+ C- D+ A F+ D- 54% 14% 32% F F+ F A+ A- B+ C+ C+ C+
0.97 47% 0% 29% -10 +3 0.89 37% 1.4 .50 27% .61 64% .39 1.16 63% 29% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 0.6 .25 16% .28 73% .21
Jan
12		 New Orleans D+ D F F F 27% 36% 38% F F B- C- C+ B A+ F+ A+ D D- A+ B B 38% 27% 35% C+ B- D- F F A- F D- F
1.09 50% 31% 24% -11 -3 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 13% .64 67% .43 1.14 64% 20% 31% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.5 .60 23% .73 79% .58
Jan
17		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F D- F B F 57% 19% 23% B F+ F+ C- D- F F F F B+ A+ F F C 60% 12% 28% F D+ C- F F+ A+ F C F
0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16 0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31
Jan
19		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ B+ F C+ C- 37% 22% 41% C- C- F+ F F B- D+ D D B A- F B C+ 32% 18% 50% B- C+ C+ B+ B D+ F A F
0.99 67% 18% 35% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .14 15% .32 67% .22 1.03 50% 63% 32% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 15% .45 68% .31
Jan
24		 Nicholls St. F C- B- F F+ 33% 27% 40% F F B+ F F F A+ D+ A+ A A+ F+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ C+ A B A- F F F
0.95 60% 42% 28% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.5 .19 26% .55 76% .42 0.86 38% 43% 23% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .20 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
27		 McNeese St. D+ B F B+ C 22% 22% 57% D- C- F A+ C- D- A+ B A+ D+ F+ F A+ F 48% 23% 30% C F+ B+ D C+ A F B- F
0.99 63% 13% 38% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.4 .36 27% .74 78% .58 1.14 68% 56% 25% +5 0 1.13 29% 1.1 .32 18% .53 72% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Stephen F. Austin D+ F F B D+ 33% 33% 35% F D- C A- B- F A B- A F F A+ F F 24% 22% 53% C F D- F F B- C+ B B-
0.96 46% 31% 36% -5 -2 0.88 30% 1.3 .37 21% .36 76% .27 1.40 73% 20% 58% +19 -1 1.38 38% 1.8 .67 15% .21 64% .14
Feb
2		 Lamar F F B- F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F F A+ C B+ F F F F D C+ D+ D 29% 31% 39% C- D F+ F F F B A+ A
0.89 42% 40% 29% -9 0 0.85 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 25% .08 1.20 60% 38% 35% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.1 .45 10% .18 50% .09
Feb
7		 Houston Christian F C+ A- D C- 34% 27% 39% F D+ B- F D F F F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 23% 31% C- A+ F A+ A- A- F F+ F
0.97 64% 45% 31% +2 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10 0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27
Feb
9		 Incarnate Word C+ D- A C D+ 32% 26% 43% F+ D C+ A+ A- A F+ F F B- C- A+ C+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- D- B+ C B D- F F
1.21 53% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.4 .45 11% .30 63% .18 1.01 57% 19% 33% -7 -2 0.83 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 94% .30
Feb
14		 Northwestern St. C- B A+ F C- 35% 38% 28% F D A+ B A+ F B+ D- B- D+ F+ B- D- F+ 33% 35% 33% B+ D C+ D+ C D F+ F F
1.06 64% 53% 18% +1 -2 1.00 46% 1.2 .57 26% .39 67% .26 1.10 63% 35% 38% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 14% .37 85% .32
Feb
16		 East Texas A&M F F F F+ F 42% 13% 44% C F F D- F B C F D C- D+ F A- F+ 39% 22% 39% C+ D- B+ F D- C F A+ F+
0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19 1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22
Feb
21		 UT Rio Grande Valley B B- A+ F C 46% 21% 33% B- C+ A- D- C A+ A+ D- A+ F F C- F F 26% 17% 57% B F A- F F+ D+ F F F
1.18 64% 50% 25% +1 0 1.04 39% 0.7 .27 9% .61 66% .40 1.50 83% 38% 56% +25 0 1.51 21% 1.8 .37 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
23		 TX A&M Corpus Christi C- A+ A+ F B+ 27% 34% 39% F C+ C+ D- C- C A+ D- A- F+ B F F F 54% 32% 15% B- F F F F A+ F F F
1.05 82% 50% 25% +5 -3 1.07 31% 0.9 .28 20% .52 67% .35 1.13 50% 54% 50% +4 0 1.10 38% 1.5 .58 25% .41 75% .31
Feb
28		 Nicholls St. F D- C+ D- F 47% 11% 43% B F+ F D F D F A+ F C+ B+ F A+ A 51% 8% 41% F B F C F+ C- F A+ C-
0.92 55% 40% 30% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.0 .25 23% .18 89% .16 1.04 50% 50% 24% -9 +3 0.88 34% 1.0 .34 15% .36 55% .20
Mar
2		 New Orleans C C F A C+ 40% 19% 40% C C+ F C- F+ A+ C+ D- C- B F+ F C F 42% 34% 24% B+ F+ C+ B+ B C D+ A+ B-
1.10 57% 27% 39% 0 0 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 9% .37 68% .25 1.05 67% 47% 33% +6 -1 1.12 33% 0.9 .30 19% .38 65% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16 100.0% 100.0
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%