SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.9 281
Expected Predictive Rating -8.6 308
Pace 64.7 284
Improvement +1.1 146

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 340 D- D D+ C- D+
Defense C 159 C- D+ B F+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 302 C- 55% 248 -3.3 295
2 Pt. Jumpers 46% 92 D 34% 316 +0.6 139
Three Pointers 41% 194 F+ 28% 353 -3.6 308
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.9 299 D- -5.4 342
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 346
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 273 D 0.94 303 D 0.26 307
Turnovers D+ 18.2% 271
Freethrows C+ 0.32 149 D 68% 318 C- 0.21 202
Total Offense D- -7.3 340

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 190 C- 11.9% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 177 C 4.9% 172
Three Pointers D- 76% 329 C 1.0% 206
Total D+ 51% 273 C 5.7% 200

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 243 D+ 61% 257 -0.1 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 122 C+ 36% 109 +0.2 209
Three Pointers 41% 167 C- 35% 224 +0.7 220
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 110 C- +1.1 225
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 204
Second Chance C- 31.4% 219 D+ 1.11 296 D+ 0.35 274
Turnovers B 19.6% 44
Freethrows F+ 0.38 344 D 74% 299 F+ 0.28 353
Total Defense C +0.4 159

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 194 C 10.9% 177
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 279 C+ 6.1% 98
Three Pointers D+ 86% 258 D- -0.1% 361
Total C- 58% 233 C- 5.3% 197

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.0 251 17.6 247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 272 0.21 317
Improvement +0.1 #179 +1.0 #127

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 302 280 256
Conference Record 5 - 17 6 - 16 8 - 14
Conference Finish 12 11 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 58% 32% 71%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 34.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 13
Quad 47 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 73 @Mississippi L 58 - 88 6% -12  32% 0 - 1 F -19 F+ -9 D+ F D+ F -12 F+ D+ B
 Fri, Nov 7 303 @Louisiana L 52 - 58 43% -9  0% 0 - 2 D -11 F -14 F D- C- C+ +1 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 141 @Georgia Tech L 60 - 70 15% -0  53% 0 - 3 D+ -6 F -17 D- F F A+ +12 B+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 69 @Mississippi St. L 68 - 75 6% -5  21% 0 - 4 C+ +4 D -5 D D- C+ A +9 B C A+
 Wed, Nov 26 111 @UNC Wilmington L 57 - 70 11% +1  59% 0 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -8 D- F+ B+ C+ +1 C+ B C+
 Fri, Nov 28 363 Gardner-Webb W 76 - 68 86% -2  36% 1 - 5 D -10 F -10 F F C- C -1 D+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 29 155 Navy W 69 - 65 25% +7  72% 2 - 5 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ C F B- +3 B+ C+ C
 Sun, Dec 7 280 Northwestern St. L 68 - 76 61% +3  70% 2 - 6 0 - 1 F -18 F+ -8 F D C+ F -10 D F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 294 @Houston Christian W 74 - 71 OT 41% +3  77% 3 - 6 1 - 1 C -2 D -4 F+ D C- B- +3 D+ D+ A
 Mon, Dec 15 304 East Texas A&M L 69 - 70 66% +1  44% 3 - 7 1 - 2 D- -12 D+ -3 D+ F A+ F+ -10 F B- C
 Fri, Dec 19 54 @LSU L 65 - 78 4% -12  1% 3 - 8 C +0 C+ +3 D A+ B- D+ -5 F A+ D+
 Tue, Dec 30 275 @Incarnate Word L 70 - 79 37% -4  7% 3 - 9 1 - 3 D- -13 F -12 F F+ C- C -0 D+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 98 Stephen F. Austin L 63 - 73 20% -8  5% 3 - 10 1 - 4 D+ -8 D- -7 D B- D+ C- -1 B- D A
 Mon, Jan 5 207 Lamar W 60 - 52 46% +9  90% 4 - 10 2 - 4 C+ +2 D- -7 C+ F B+ A +11 A+ D- A-
 Sat, Jan 10 83 @McNeese St. L 61 - 73 7% -7  13% 4 - 11 2 - 5 C- -2 D+ -3 D A- D- C -1 D- A- B
 Mon, Jan 12 209 New Orleans L 76 - 79 46% -1  29% 4 - 12 2 - 6 D -9 D+ -3 F C+ B D -6 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 199 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 56 - 68 23% -14  0% 4 - 13 2 - 7 D -11 F -16 D- D- F B +5 D F+ A+
 Mon, Jan 19 150 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 68 17% -4  6% 4 - 14 2 - 8 C +0 D+ -4 C- F B B +4 C B+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 265 Nicholls St. W 67 - 61 57% +2  46% 5 - 14 3 - 8 C- -3 F -14 F F F A+ +11 A+ B A-
 Tue, Jan 27 83 McNeese St. L 66 - 76 15% -8  8% 5 - 15 3 - 9 D+ -6 D -4 C C- D- C- -2 D- C+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 98 @Stephen F. Austin L 58 - 85 9% -21  0% 5 - 16 3 - 10 F -19 D+ -3 D B F F -20 F F B-
 Mon, Feb 2 207 @Lamar L 54 - 73 25% -8  1% 5 - 17 3 - 11 F -19 F -13 F C B F+ -9 D+ F F
 Sat, Feb 7 294 Houston Christian W 55 - 47 64% +6  97% 6 - 17 4 - 11 C- -3 F -13 D D F A+ +12 A+ B+ A-
 Mon, Feb 9 275 Incarnate Word W 74 - 62 60% +12  90% 7 - 17 5 - 11 C+ +2 C+ +2 D+ B+ A C+ +2 A- C B
 Sat, Feb 14 280 @Northwestern St. L 66 - 69 38% +2  70% 7 - 18 5 - 12 D+ -7 D+ -3 D- A+ F D+ -4 D C D
 Mon, Feb 16 304 @East Texas A&M L 53 - 70 44% -12  7% 7 - 19 5 - 13 F -22 F -20 F F B C- -3 D- F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 150 UT Rio Grande Valley L 65 - 69 35%
 Mon, Feb 23 199 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64 - 66 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 265 @Nicholls St. L 68 - 72 35%
 Mon, Mar 2 209 @New Orleans L 68 - 75 26%
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 16 -7 D- -7 B D- D+ C +0 F+ D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D F+ D- 34% 46% 41% D+ D- D+ D D D+ C+ D C- C D+ C+ C- C- 37% 22% 41% C+ C- C- D+ D+ B F+ D F+
0.98 55% 34% 28% -5 -1 0.90 27% 0.9 .26 18% .32 68% .21 1.08 61% 36% 35% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.1 .35 20% .38 74% .23
Nov
3		 Mississippi F+ B+ F F+ D- 30% 12% 58% B+ D+ D+ F F D+ A+ F A- F D- F C- F+ 29% 29% 42% D F+ F A+ D+ B F F F
0.87 62% 0% 28% -9 +1 0.86 26% 0.6 .16 20% .47 60% .28 1.32 71% 57% 35% +10 -2 1.19 44% 0.8 .37 15% .53 83% .44
Nov
7		 Louisiana F D F F F 41% 8% 51% B- F C- F D- C- A+ F A+ C+ C- F D- F 22% 46% 32% A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- D+ A+ C+
0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38 1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15
Nov
10		 Georgia Tech F F C D D 26% 31% 43% F+ D- D- F F F C- A C+ A+ B B C- B+ 36% 31% 33% A- B+ B- F F A+ F D+ F
0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21 0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34
Nov
15		 Mississippi St. D B- C- F D 29% 33% 38% D+ D D+ F D- C+ B- A+ A- A F+ A C B- 27% 31% 41% A B B D C A+ F C- F
0.92 59% 37% 18% -9 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .16 14% .28 89% .25 1.02 71% 31% 33% +1 -2 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 22% .40 70% .28
Nov
26		 UNC Wilmington F+ A+ B F D- 21% 27% 52% D+ D- D- F+ F+ B+ D F F C+ F D- A+ C+ 26% 28% 47% B+ C+ B- B B C+ F F+ F
0.91 91% 43% 15% -7 -2 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 11% .22 50% .11 1.12 82% 42% 20% -3 -2 0.93 31% 1.0 .31 16% .57 77% .44
Nov
28		 Gardner-Webb F A+ C F F 29% 22% 49% D- F D F F C- A+ B A+ C D+ A D+ D 38% 20% 43% B D+ B- F F A+ F D F
1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41 0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36
Nov
29		 Navy C+ A C A+ A+ 26% 42% 33% F A+ D A C F A- B+ A B- D+ A+ A+ B+ 43% 29% 29% C+ B+ A- F C+ C F A- F
1.07 73% 39% 57% +15 -4 1.26 25% 1.2 .29 26% .31 80% .25 1.00 61% 25% 25% -6 -1 0.88 24% 1.3 .29 19% .53 68% .36
Dec
7		 Northwestern St. F+ A+ F+ F F 35% 28% 37% F+ F F+ B- D C+ A+ D+ A+ F F+ B+ F F+ 36% 38% 26% A- D F F F A+ F D F
1.03 80% 33% 13% -6 -1 0.88 26% 1.2 .32 17% .55 70% .38 1.15 64% 33% 40% +3 -2 1.03 41% 1.6 .67 23% .53 78% .41
Dec
13		 Houston Christian D D+ D C- F+ 39% 24% 37% D- F+ D+ D+ D C- A+ C- A+ B- C- A+ C- C 48% 12% 40% F D+ F+ C+ D+ A D- B- D+
1.05 58% 33% 33% -2 0 0.98 30% 1.0 .30 19% .44 72% .31 1.01 58% 17% 35% -2 +2 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 23% .33 67% .22
Dec
15		 East Texas A&M D+ D- C- A C- 39% 27% 33% F+ D+ D- F F A+ D+ A- C F+ A+ F F F 30% 26% 43% A F B B- B- C F F F
1.07 50% 36% 41% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 11% .30 76% .23 1.08 43% 50% 45% +6 -1 1.11 20% 0.8 .17 19% .32 82% .27
Dec
19		 LSU C+ C A F D 33% 22% 45% C- D C+ A+ A+ B- C- A- C+ D+ F A F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F A+ A A+ D+ F A- F
1.06 56% 45% 23% -6 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21 1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36
Dec
30		 Incarnate Word F D F F F 50% 16% 34% C+ F C+ F F+ C- D- A C- C B+ A+ F D+ 31% 22% 47% C D+ B+ F F C+ C D- C-
0.96 54% 22% 21% -11 +1 0.82 34% 0.7 .24 17% .33 80% .26 1.09 47% 17% 46% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.5 .39 17% .26 75% .20
Jan
3		 Stephen F. Austin D- B- F F+ D+ 30% 34% 36% F D D- A+ B- D+ F A+ D+ C- A D C B- 28% 32% 40% B+ B- F B D A F F F
0.95 60% 29% 28% -6 -2 0.86 23% 1.5 .34 18% .20 91% .18 1.10 43% 44% 35% -2 -2 0.94 42% 0.9 .37 18% .35 79% .27
Jan
5		 Lamar D- D+ F A- C 49% 11% 41% A C+ D F F B+ A+ F B+ A A A+ A+ A+ 27% 34% 39% C+ A+ F C+ D- A- F F F
1.01 56% 25% 40% +1 +2 1.08 25% 0.5 .13 13% .60 52% .31 0.88 42% 20% 24% -17 -3 0.64 42% 0.9 .39 20% .44 86% .38
Jan
10		 McNeese St. D+ F F D- F 49% 3% 49% A+ D C+ A+ A- D- A+ F A+ C D+ A D- D 54% 14% 32% F D- F+ A+ A- B C+ B- C+
0.97 47% 0% 29% -10 +3 0.89 37% 1.4 .50 27% .61 64% .39 1.16 63% 29% 38% +3 +2 1.12 41% 0.6 .25 16% .28 73% .21
Jan
12		 New Orleans D+ D F F F 27% 36% 38% F F B- C- C+ B A+ F+ A+ D D- A+ B B 38% 27% 35% C+ B- F+ F F A- F D- F
1.09 50% 31% 24% -10 -3 0.76 38% 1.0 .38 13% .64 67% .43 1.14 64% 20% 31% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.5 .60 23% .73 79% .58
Jan
17		 TX A&M Corpus Christi F D- F B F 57% 19% 23% B D- F+ C D- F F F F B A+ F F C- 60% 12% 28% F D C- F F+ A+ F C F
0.80 52% 11% 36% -8 +2 0.89 21% 1.0 .21 27% .25 62% .16 0.97 38% 80% 42% -4 +3 1.00 30% 1.2 .37 26% .46 67% .31
Jan
19		 UT Rio Grande Valley D+ B+ F C+ C- 37% 22% 41% C C- D- F F B C- D D+ B B+ F B- C 32% 18% 50% B- C B- B+ B+ D F A F
0.99 67% 18% 35% -1 0 1.00 24% 0.6 .14 15% .32 67% .22 1.03 50% 63% 32% 0 0 1.02 26% 0.9 .23 15% .45 68% .31
Jan
24		 Nicholls St. F C- B- F F 33% 27% 40% F+ F B F F F A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 33% 14% 53% C A+ C A+ B A- F F F
0.95 60% 42% 28% -2 -1 0.96 41% 0.5 .19 26% .55 76% .42 0.86 38% 43% 23% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .20 20% .42 75% .32
Jan
27		 McNeese St. D B F B+ C+ 22% 22% 57% D- C F A+ C- D- A+ B A+ C- F+ F A+ D- 48% 23% 30% C D- A- D- C+ A F B- F
0.99 63% 13% 38% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.4 .36 27% .74 78% .58 1.14 68% 56% 25% +5 0 1.13 29% 1.1 .32 18% .53 72% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Stephen F. Austin D+ F+ F B D+ 33% 33% 35% F D C A B F A- B A F F A+ F F 24% 22% 53% C F D- F F B- C+ B- B-
0.96 46% 31% 36% -5 -2 0.88 30% 1.3 .37 21% .36 76% .27 1.40 73% 20% 58% +19 -1 1.38 38% 1.8 .67 15% .21 64% .14
Feb
2		 Lamar F F B F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F F A+ C B F F F F+ D C+ C- D+ 29% 31% 39% C- D+ F+ F+ F F B+ A+ A
0.89 42% 40% 29% -9 0 0.85 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 25% .08 1.20 60% 38% 35% +1 -2 1.00 39% 1.1 .45 10% .18 50% .09
Feb
7		 Houston Christian F C+ A- D D+ 34% 27% 39% F D B F D F F F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 23% 31% C- A+ F A+ B+ A- F F+ F
0.97 64% 45% 31% +3 -1 1.05 37% 0.8 .30 28% .17 57% .10 0.83 50% 11% 25% -14 0 0.74 37% 0.5 .17 21% .36 75% .27
Feb
9		 Incarnate Word C+ D A C+ C- 32% 26% 43% F D+ C+ A B+ A F F F C+ C- A+ C+ A- 29% 33% 38% A A- D B- C B D- F F
1.21 53% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.4 .45 11% .30 63% .18 1.01 57% 19% 33% -7 -2 0.83 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 94% .30
Feb
14		 Northwestern St. D+ B- A+ F D+ 35% 38% 28% F D- A+ B A+ F B D- C+ D+ D- B- D- D- 33% 35% 33% B+ D C+ D+ C D F+ F F
1.06 64% 53% 18% +1 -2 1.00 46% 1.2 .57 26% .39 67% .26 1.10 63% 35% 38% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.2 .27 14% .37 85% .32
Feb
16		 East Texas A&M F F F F+ F 42% 13% 44% C F F D F B C F D C- D+ F A- F+ 39% 22% 39% B- D- B F F+ C- F A+ F+
0.78 27% 14% 30% -19 +1 0.67 20% 1.0 .20 15% .31 61% .19 1.03 61% 60% 28% +2 0 1.07 19% 1.5 .29 18% .41 52% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 1.0 0.9 1.9 7th
8th 1.3 6.8 0.9 9.1 8th
9th 11.6 3.5 0.1 15.1 9th
10th 6.2 13.9 0.4 20.5 10th
11th 3.0 22.5 2.7 0.0 28.2 11th
12th 16.2 8.9 0.1 25.2 12th
Total 19.3 37.6 29.6 11.7 1.9 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
8-14 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
7-15 29.6% 29.6
6-16 37.6% 37.6
5-17 19.3% 19.3
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 4.4% 16.0 4.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 19.3%