SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#222
Pace69.1#178
Improvement+0.9#130

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#299
First Shot-3.2#269
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#259
Layup/Dunks-1.0#214
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#240
Freethrows-2.9#325
Improvement-0.3#211

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#139
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#61
Layups/Dunks-1.2#213
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#250
Freethrows+0.8#131
Improvement+1.2#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.2% 6.5% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 58.5% 71.4% 47.3%
.500 or above in Conference 72.1% 77.0% 67.9%
Conference Champion 3.6% 4.8% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.8% 1.5%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round5.0% 6.3% 3.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 46.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 413 - 616 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 124   @ UAB L 72-82 20%     0 - 1 -4.8 -2.4 -2.2
  Nov 12, 2024 15   @ Mississippi St. L 59-80 3%     0 - 2 -2.8 -7.4 +5.2
  Nov 18, 2024 332   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-67 62%     1 - 2 -3.8 -4.8 +1.0
  Nov 22, 2024 177   @ Wyoming L 61-64 29%     1 - 3 -0.9 -9.7 +8.7
  Nov 26, 2024 221   Gardner-Webb L 69-73 49%     1 - 4 -7.2 -7.1 +0.0
  Nov 27, 2024 289   North Dakota W 76-60 62%     2 - 4 +9.4 +3.3 +7.1
  Dec 02, 2024 220   @ Tulane W 71-67 37%     3 - 4 +3.8 +1.8 +2.2
  Dec 05, 2024 223   @ Nicholls St. L 64-67 38%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -3.4 -11.6 +8.3
  Dec 11, 2024 262   @ Louisiana L 72-73 47%    
  Dec 16, 2024 226   @ Grambling St. L 65-68 39%    
  Dec 30, 2024 95   @ McNeese St. L 62-74 13%    
  Jan 04, 2025 215   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 06, 2025 166   UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-74 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 344   @ New Orleans W 76-70 70%    
  Jan 13, 2025 197   @ Stephen F. Austin L 60-65 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 297   @ Northwestern St. W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 20, 2025 355   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 314   Incarnate Word W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 27, 2025 351   Houston Christian W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 344   New Orleans W 79-67 85%    
  Feb 03, 2025 280   Lamar W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   @ Incarnate Word W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 10, 2025 351   @ Houston Christian W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 223   Nicholls St. W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 17, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 355   Texas A&M - Commerce W 74-61 87%    
  Feb 24, 2025 297   Northwestern St. W 71-64 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 215   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 03, 2025 166   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-78 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.7 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.7 3.8 1.0 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.3 4.0 0.7 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 5.7 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.8 7.5 10.6 13.2 14.8 13.7 12.3 8.6 5.4 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 79.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 45.4% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.8% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 28.0% 28.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 30.5% 30.5% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.8% 23.1% 23.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1
15-5 5.4% 15.0% 15.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 4.6
14-6 8.6% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 7.5
13-7 12.3% 8.0% 8.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 11.4
12-8 13.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 13.0
11-9 14.8% 2.8% 2.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 14.4
10-10 13.2% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.0
9-11 10.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
8-12 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
7-13 4.8% 4.8
6-14 2.8% 2.8
5-15 1.5% 1.5
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.2% 5.2% 0.0% 14.9 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 1.6 94.8 0.0%