SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.5 262
Results Rating -6.4 260
Consistency 0.16 225
Pace 62.7 328
Improvement +2.2 110

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 337 D C- D+ D- D-
Defense C+ 131 B- C C- C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 309 D+ 53% 293 -4.3 325
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 49 D 34% 310 +1.9 77
Three Pointers 37% 260 C 34% 172 -1.8 243
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.4 331 D+ -2.8 280
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 308
Second Chance D+ 27.5% 260 C 1.02 193 C- 0.28 247
Opponents' Steals D 10.9% 312
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 211
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 286
Freethrows D- 0.26 328 F+ 67% 341 D- 0.17 350
Total Offense D -6.9 337

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 144 C- 11.4% 208
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 134 C+ 4.2% 131
Three Pointers C- 81% 246 D+ 1.3% 291
Total C 55% 196 C 5.6% 191


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 297 B- 54% 68 -3.9 57
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 103 D+ 40% 265 +1.2 291
Three Pointers 43% 111 B- 33% 107 +0.1 190
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 82 B- -1.9 100
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 96
Second Chance D+ 32.4% 272 B- 0.98 91 C 0.32 205
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 169
Other Turnovers D 6.3% 310
Turnovers C- 16.0% 222
Freethrows C- 0.32 239 C 72% 181 C- 0.23 238
Total Defense C+ +1.4 131

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 198 B+ 15.5% 39
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 48 C- 4.2% 211
Three Pointers C- 85% 234 D+ 0.4% 296
Total C 55% 164 C+ 6.4% 111

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 303 17.7 248
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 341 0.19 260
Consistency 0.12 191 0.13 255
Improvement +1.0 132 +1.2 131

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 263 262 261
Results Rating Rank 262 261 260
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 22 - 3
Quad 414 - 1016 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 335 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 63% +3  60% 1 - 0 B- +8 D -6 D- B+ F A+ +13 A A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 199 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 48% -6  4% 1 - 1 D- -14 F -23 F F F A +9 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 186 @Drake W 61 - 59 25% +5  73% 2 - 1 C+ +3 D -6 C- F+ C A +10 A+ F D+
 Mon, Nov 17 23 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 2% -12  3% 2 - 2 D+ -6 B- +3 C A- C- F -10 C- C+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 345 @Air Force L 63 - 77 67% -8  1% 2 - 3 F -24 F -14 F D+ F+ F -11 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 324 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 68% +2  45% 3 - 3 C+ +5 B+ +9 C C+ A+ D+ -3 A- D+ F+
 Tue, Dec 2 340 @North Florida W 72 - 63 65% +1  54% 4 - 3 C -0 D- -7 D- D+ D+ A- +7 B+ C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 277 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 65% -8  0% 4 - 4 F -20 D- -7 F+ D+ A+ F -13 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 322 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 57% -0  42% 4 - 5 0 - 1 D -11 D -5 B- F D+ D -6 F F+ A
 Mon, Dec 22 364 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 84% -3  23% 5 - 5 1 - 1 D -11 F -17 F A+ F B+ +5 C- C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 337 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 82% +6  99% 6 - 5 2 - 1 D -11 F -18 F C+ F B+ +7 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 284 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 67% +2  54% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 C- C- C D- -8 F B A+
 Tue, Jan 6 271 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 64% +2  71% 7 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -5 F -11 F+ D+ F B+ +6 A+ F C
 Thu, Jan 8 304 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 72% +6  92% 7 - 7 3 - 3 D- -15 D+ -3 D+ A- F F -12 C D F
 Thu, Jan 15 234 @Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 34% -3  8% 7 - 8 3 - 4 D+ -7 D- -7 F D+ A+ C -1 B F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 232 @Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 55 34% +16  94% 8 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +12 C+ +2 C+ B- C A +11 A A- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 179 Tennessee St. W 74 - 66 45% +2  52% 9 - 8 5 - 4 C+ +4 B- +4 A- D- D+ C+ +1 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 313 Tennessee Tech W 62 - 58 74% +9  99% 10 - 8 6 - 4 D -8 D- -7 F C+ C+ C -1 A- C F
 Thu, Jan 29 284 @Morehead St. L 65 - 67 45% +2  65% 10 - 9 6 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 C+ F D B- +3 C- A F
 Sat, Jan 31 337 @Southern Indiana W 58 - 46 65% +0  37% 11 - 9 7 - 5 C+ +3 F+ -10 F+ C F A+ +15 A B+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 271 @Lindenwood W 78 - 72 41% -4  15% 12 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +3 C +1 B D D- C+ +2 C B C
 Sat, Feb 7 304 @Arkansas Little Rock W 71 - 61 51% +9  98% 13 - 9 9 - 5 C+ +4 D -4 D F B- A +9 A- A- F
 Thu, Feb 12 232 Southeast Missouri St. W 74 - 56 57% +1  38% 14 - 9 10 - 5 B +11 C+ +3 C- A- B- A +9 B+ A D+
 Sat, Feb 14 234 Tennessee Martin L 76 - 81 57% -2  37% 14 - 10 10 - 6 D- -12 B- +4 B A+ F F -17 F C C
 Thu, Feb 19 313 @Tennessee Tech L 52 - 62 53% -1  42% 14 - 11 10 - 7 F+ -16 F -25 F D B A- +8 A+ F+ F+
 Sat, Feb 21 179 @Tennessee St. L 53 - 80 24% -16  1% 14 - 12 10 - 8 F -25 F -17 F F+ F F -11 F F+ B
 Thu, Feb 26 364 Western Illinois W 67 - 47 93% +11  95% 15 - 12 11 - 8 C- -2 F -15 D F F+ A+ +14 A C+ C+
 Sat, Feb 28 322 Eastern Illinois W 77 - 50 77% +14  99% 16 - 12 12 - 8 B+ +14 A- +11 A+ C C A- +7 C- A+ B-
 Wed, Mar 4 322 Eastern Illinois L 71 - 77 OT 68% +0  53% 16 - 13 F+ -16 D -5 F C B- F -11 F+ F F+
Totals 16 - 13 12 - 8 -6 D -7 D- D+ D- C+ +1 C F+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ D C D+ 34% 50% 37% D- D D+ C C- D+ D- F+ D- C+ B- D+ B- B- 34% 23% 43% B- B- D+ B- C C- C- C C-
0.99 53% 34% 34% -3 -1 0.94 28% 1.0 .28 18% .26 67% .17 1.07 54% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.97 32% 1.0 .32 16% .32 72% .19
Nov
7		 Texas San Antonio D F D+ A+ D- 46% 29% 25% D D- D+ A+ B+ F A+ F A A+ A+ F A- A 33% 21% 46% B- A C- A+ A+ F F+ A+ D+
1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26 0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20
Nov
10		 Indiana St. F C F F F 29% 45% 25% F F C F F F D+ F D- A A+ F A A+ 37% 8% 55% C+ A+ F A- D+ A F+ F F
0.77 56% 28% 21% -10 -4 0.75 33% 0.4 .14 21% .23 62% .14 0.90 44% 50% 26% -11 +1 0.84 35% 0.9 .30 24% .31 76% .24
Nov
14		 Drake D A+ B F C 18% 31% 51% F C- C+ F F+ C F F F A A+ A A- A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ D+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 89% 40% 28% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .18 15% .17 56% .10 0.97 43% 30% 28% -11 -1 0.80 28% 1.5 .41 13% .15 50% .08
Nov
17		 Wisconsin B- F A B+ C- 41% 27% 31% C+ C C+ A+ A- C- D- A+ C F C+ C F D+ 28% 9% 63% C+ C- F+ A+ C+ F D- F F
1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18 1.42 60% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34
Nov
21		 Air Force F C D+ F F 32% 34% 34% F+ F D- B- D+ F+ A+ D- A F A+ F B A 40% 14% 47% C- A- F F F F F F F
0.92 60% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 19% .43 67% .29 1.12 35% 50% 30% -10 +1 0.84 33% 1.4 .47 15% .56 73% .41
Nov
23		 Alabama St. B+ A+ F B+ B- 33% 31% 37% F C A- F+ C+ A+ A+ F A D+ A F A+ A- 35% 22% 43% C A- F A- D+ F+ F F F
1.25 75% 27% 39% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .38 12% .51 67% .34 1.02 44% 50% 20% -12 0 0.78 39% 0.8 .29 14% .54 81% .43
Dec
2		 North Florida D- F C B D- 45% 15% 40% C+ D- B F D+ D+ B+ F C+ A- A D+ B A- 35% 14% 51% C B+ C+ D- C- C A+ F A-
1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21 0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Western Michigan D- C- B F F+ 34% 21% 45% D F+ D- B D+ A+ D F F F B- F F F 27% 30% 43% A- F D F F A+ F F F
1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16 1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35
Dec
18		 Eastern Illinois D D+ F A+ B 32% 22% 46% D- B- F F F D+ D B D+ D F+ F+ C+ F 34% 28% 38% C- F D- D- F+ A D+ D+ D
1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23 1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23
Dec
22		 Western Illinois F F F D F 27% 38% 36% F F D- A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ B+ C+ B- C+ D+ 39% 33% 28% C+ C- A+ F C+ B- F D+ F
0.93 50% 29% 31% -7 -3 0.82 28% 2.1 .60 24% .43 78% .34 0.86 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 14% 1.5 .21 18% .38 68% .26
Jan
1		 Southern Indiana F F D+ A F 40% 33% 27% F F B C- C+ F A+ F A- B+ A- A A B+ 44% 19% 37% F+ B D- C D A+ F A+ F
0.89 28% 33% 42% -11 -2 0.78 38% 0.9 .36 23% .51 58% .29 0.83 42% 25% 25% -15 +1 0.74 34% 0.9 .29 26% .51 52% .26
Jan
3		 Morehead St. D+ D A+ C- C 38% 20% 42% D+ C- B- D- C- C D+ B- C- D- F F B- F 43% 19% 38% F F B B- B A+ F D F
1.13 53% 60% 33% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.8 .33 14% .29 75% .22 1.15 72% 50% 31% +7 +1 1.17 31% 0.9 .27 24% .45 77% .35
Jan
6		 Lindenwood F D F A D 32% 36% 32% F F+ D- B D+ F A- C+ A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 23% 34% C+ A+ D- F+ F C B C B
0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29 0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18
Jan
8		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ F B+ A+ C 23% 28% 49% F D+ A B- A- F B D+ B- F D+ B- C+ C 29% 40% 31% B+ C F A D F F D+ F
1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24 1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31
Jan
15		 Tennessee Martin D- F A+ F F+ 22% 41% 37% F F F+ A- D+ A+ D F F C C F A B 15% 17% 67% B+ B D F F F+ F C+ F
0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12 1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32
Jan
17		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ F B A+ B- 43% 24% 33% C- C+ C- A B- C F D F A A+ F A+ A 45% 24% 31% C A A C A- A- F B F
1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23 0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30
Jan
22		 Tennessee St. B- A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% D- A- B F D- D+ A+ F+ A C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% F+ A+ F A D+ F F F+ F
1.17 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 34% 0.7 .24 21% .50 68% .34 1.04 55% 25% 18% -13 0 0.76 46% 0.8 .37 11% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Tennessee Tech D- A F F F 37% 26% 37% D+ F B D- C+ C+ C+ B B- C C B+ A+ B+ 38% 33% 29% A- A- F+ A C F C B C+
1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24 1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21
Jan
29		 Morehead St. F+ C F A C+ 33% 20% 47% D+ C+ F F F D F F F B- C- B C C- 45% 34% 20% C+ C- A A- A F F B- F
1.01 59% 30% 42% +4 0 1.10 23% 0.5 .11 17% .19 60% .11 1.04 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.8 .20 12% .42 71% .30
Jan
31		 Southern Indiana F+ D+ A- F F+ 49% 27% 24% D+ F+ F+ A+ C F B+ B A- A+ F A+ A+ A- 17% 38% 46% A+ A C+ A+ B+ B+ B F C
0.96 55% 45% 20% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 22% .38 78% .30 0.76 63% 17% 23% -15 -4 0.65 28% 0.6 .18 20% .27 77% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Lindenwood C A F A+ B+ 47% 27% 27% D+ B D C- D D- B- D C C+ B+ C- C C- 40% 31% 29% A C F A+ B C C- A B-
1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24 0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19
Feb
7		 Arkansas Little Rock D A+ F A- C- 33% 27% 39% F D F B- F B- D+ A+ B- A D- A+ F B- 11% 54% 35% A+ A- D+ A+ A- F A- D B
1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23 0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12
Feb
12		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ D+ B+ D+ C- 42% 26% 32% D+ C- B A- A- B- F F F A A+ A+ F B 29% 27% 45% A B+ A A- A D+ B- A+ A
1.13 52% 46% 31% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 15% .32 67% .22 0.85 36% 15% 41% -8 -1 0.84 20% 1.0 .20 15% .29 50% .14
Feb
14		 Tennessee Martin B- F F A+ B- 36% 11% 53% A- B A- A+ A+ F A+ C A+ F F+ C F F 27% 18% 55% C+ F A F C C F F F
1.12 44% 20% 46% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.3 .51 27% .48 71% .34 1.20 67% 38% 46% +12 0 1.25 27% 1.1 .31 21% .43 78% .34
Feb
19		 Tennessee Tech F F D- F F 35% 28% 37% D F F A+ D B F F F A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% A A+ F+ D F+ F+ F F F
0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05 0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31
Feb
21		 Tennessee St. F B- F D- F+ 28% 22% 50% F F F B F+ F F F F F D- F F F 42% 21% 38% F F D- D F+ B C+ C- C+
0.83 62% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 18% 1.2 .21 24% .23 27% .06 1.26 65% 60% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 19% .25 77% .19
Feb
26		 Western Illinois F B+ A- F D+ 46% 26% 28% D D F F F F+ D- C- D- A+ A+ A+ C- A 30% 32% 38% B A A- F C+ C+ F A+ C+
1.00 70% 46% 21% +2 0 1.06 20% 0.7 .13 18% .25 71% .18 0.70 29% 20% 33% -15 -2 0.68 18% 1.3 .22 18% .42 43% .18
Feb
28		 Eastern Illinois A- A+ B- A+ A+ 34% 14% 52% C- A+ C C+ C C F D+ F A- B- F A+ D 21% 36% 44% A C- B- A+ A+ B- F A+ D+
1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06 0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23
Mar
4		 Eastern Illinois D F F A F+ 26% 21% 53% F+ F C C- C B- B- F D+ F D- D B- F 39% 37% 24% B- F+ C- F F F+ C B+ B-
1.03 36% 18% 39% -6 -1 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 17% .35 65% .23 1.12 62% 40% 31% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.4 .39 14% .27 69% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%