SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.8 248
Expected Predictive Rating -5.5 252
Pace 63.2 322
Improvement +2.6 88

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 338 D C- D+ D D-
Defense C+ 116 B C D+ D+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 310 D 52% 311 -4.7 334
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 40 D 34% 317 +2.3 64
Three Pointers 36% 280 C 33% 208 -2.8 274
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 339 D -3.6 304
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 330
Second Chance C- 28.1% 246 C 1.02 188 C- 0.29 238
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 276
Freethrows D+ 0.27 288 D 68% 303 D 0.19 314
Total Offense D -6.7 338

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 50% 159 C 11.3% 203
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 105 C+ 4.3% 129
Three Pointers D+ 81% 260 D+ 1.3% 292
Total C- 54% 210 C 5.6% 190

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 299 B 53% 58 -4.2 50
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 90 C 38% 177 +0.9 263
Three Pointers 43% 127 B- 32% 98 -0.3 162
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 74 B- -2.9 66
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 63
Second Chance D+ 32.8% 282 B- 0.96 85 C 0.32 200
Turnovers D+ 15.7% 248
Freethrows C- 0.32 239 D 74% 302 D+ 0.24 264
Total Defense C+ +1.9 116

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 196 B+ 16.0% 38
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 38 C- 4.3% 199
Three Pointers C- 86% 224 D+ 0.5% 258
Total C 55% 161 B- 6.7% 92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 301 17.7 253
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 335 0.19 256
Improvement +0.6 #152 +2.0 #77

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 273 248 215
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 6 5 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 14% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 99%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 1% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 3% 4%
First Round8% 12% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tennessee St. (Away) - 38.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 23 - 3
Quad 415 - 1017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 335 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 60 64% +3  60% 1 - 0 B +9 D -5 D- A- F+ A+ +13 A A F
 Mon, Nov 10 211 Indiana St. L 55 - 64 54% -6  4% 1 - 1 F+ -15 F -24 F F F A +9 A+ D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 194 @Drake W 61 - 59 29% +5  73% 2 - 1 C+ +3 D- -6 D+ D- C A +10 A+ F D+
 Mon, Nov 17 29 @Wisconsin L 69 - 94 3% -12  3% 2 - 2 D+ -7 B- +4 C A- C- F -12 D+ C+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 347 @Air Force L 63 - 77 69% -8  1% 2 - 3 F -24 F -14 F D F+ F -11 A- F F
 Sun, Nov 23 309 Alabama St. W 83 - 68 65% +2  45% 3 - 3 B- +6 A- +9 C C+ A+ C- -2 A- D+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 339 @North Florida W 72 - 63 65% +1  54% 4 - 3 C +0 D- -7 D- D+ D+ A- +8 A- C- C
 Sat, Dec 6 284 Western Michigan L 73 - 83 70% -8  0% 4 - 4 F -20 D- -8 F+ D A+ F -12 F F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 320 @Eastern Illinois L 72 - 76 OT 59% -0  42% 4 - 5 0 - 1 D -11 D+ -4 B- F C- D- -7 F D- A-
 Mon, Dec 22 362 @Western Illinois W 66 - 61 83% -3  23% 5 - 5 1 - 1 D -10 F -16 F A+ F B+ +6 C- C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 341 Southern Indiana W 59 - 55 83% +6  99% 6 - 5 2 - 1 D -11 F -17 F C+ F B+ +6 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 286 Morehead St. L 72 - 73 70% +2  54% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 C- C- C+ D- -8 F B- A
 Tue, Jan 6 260 Lindenwood W 66 - 62 64% +2  71% 7 - 6 3 - 2 C- -5 F -11 F+ D+ F+ A- +7 A+ F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 299 Arkansas Little Rock L 70 - 73 72% +6  92% 7 - 7 3 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 D A F F -11 C D+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 217 @Tennessee Martin L 59 - 65 33% -3  8% 7 - 8 3 - 4 D+ -6 D- -7 F D+ A+ C+ +0 B+ F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 227 @Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 55 34% +16  94% 8 - 8 4 - 4 B+ +12 C+ +2 C+ C+ C+ A+ +12 A A- B+
 Thu, Jan 22 247 Tennessee St. W 74 - 66 61% +2  52% 9 - 8 5 - 4 C +0 C +1 B+ F+ D+ C +0 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 314 Tennessee Tech W 62 - 58 76% +9  99% 10 - 8 6 - 4 D -8 D- -7 F C C+ C -0 A- C+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 286 @Morehead St. L 65 - 67 47% +2  65% 10 - 9 6 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -9 C+ F D B- +3 C A F
 Sat, Jan 31 341 @Southern Indiana W 58 - 46 66% +0  37% 11 - 9 7 - 5 C+ +3 F+ -9 D- C F A+ +14 A B B
 Tue, Feb 3 260 @Lindenwood W 78 - 72 42% -4  15% 12 - 9 8 - 5 C+ +3 C +0 B D D- B- +3 C+ B- C
 Sat, Feb 7 299 @Arkansas Little Rock W 71 - 61 51% +9  98% 13 - 9 9 - 5 B- +5 D -4 D- F B A +10 A- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 227 Southeast Missouri St. W 74 - 56 57% +1  38% 14 - 9 10 - 5 B+ +11 C+ +3 D+ A- B A +10 A- A+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 217 Tennessee Martin L 76 - 81 55% -2  37% 14 - 10 10 - 6 D -11 C+ +3 B A+ F F -15 F C C-
 Thu, Feb 19 314 @Tennessee Tech L 52 - 62 56% -1  42% 14 - 11 10 - 7 F+ -16 F -25 F D- B+ A- +8 A+ F+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 247 @Tennessee St. L 70 - 73 38%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 Western Illinois W 73 - 57 93%
 Sat, Feb 28 320 Eastern Illinois W 66 - 58 78%
Totals 16 - 12 12 - 8 -5 D -7 D D D- C+ +2 C D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D D C D 34% 52% 36% D- D C- C C- D+ D+ D D C+ B C B- B- 34% 23% 43% B- B D+ B- C D+ C- D D+
0.99 52% 34% 33% -4 -2 0.92 28% 1.0 .29 18% .27 68% .19 1.06 53% 38% 32% -3 -1 0.95 33% 1.0 .32 16% .32 74% .20
Nov
7		 Texas San Antonio D F C- A D- 46% 29% 25% D- D- D+ A+ A- F+ A+ F A A+ A+ F A- A 33% 21% 46% C+ A C- A+ A F F+ A+ D+
1.06 45% 36% 42% -4 -1 0.94 33% 1.5 .50 19% .44 58% .26 0.83 21% 50% 27% -15 0 0.72 31% 0.5 .15 12% .33 62% .20
Nov
10		 Indiana St. F C F F F 29% 45% 25% F F C F F F D+ F D A A+ F A A+ 37% 8% 55% B- A+ F A- D+ A D- F F
0.77 56% 28% 21% -10 -4 0.75 33% 0.4 .14 21% .23 62% .14 0.90 44% 50% 26% -11 +1 0.84 35% 0.9 .30 24% .31 76% .24
Nov
14		 Drake D- A+ B F C- 18% 31% 51% F D+ C+ F D- C F F F A A+ A A- A+ 29% 20% 51% C+ A+ D+ F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.00 89% 40% 28% +2 -3 1.00 32% 0.6 .18 15% .17 56% .10 0.97 43% 30% 28% -11 -1 0.80 28% 1.5 .41 13% .15 50% .08
Nov
17		 Wisconsin B- F A B+ C- 41% 27% 31% C+ C C+ A+ A- C- D- A+ C F C+ C+ F D+ 28% 9% 63% C+ D+ F+ A+ C+ F D- F F
1.04 38% 50% 38% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.4 .34 17% .20 91% .18 1.42 60% 40% 41% +8 +1 1.19 38% 0.9 .35 6% .39 88% .34
Nov
21		 Air Force F C D+ F F 32% 34% 34% F F D- B- D F+ A+ D A F A+ F B A 40% 14% 47% C- A- F F F F F F F
0.92 60% 38% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 19% .43 67% .29 1.12 35% 50% 30% -10 +1 0.84 33% 1.4 .47 15% .56 73% .41
Nov
23		 Alabama St. A- A+ F B+ C+ 33% 31% 37% F C A- F+ C+ A+ A+ F A C- A F A+ A 35% 22% 43% C A- F B D+ F F F F
1.25 75% 27% 39% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.9 .38 12% .51 67% .34 1.02 44% 50% 20% -11 0 0.78 39% 0.8 .29 14% .54 81% .43
Dec
2		 North Florida D- F C B D- 45% 15% 40% C+ D- B F D+ D+ B+ F C+ A- A D+ B A 35% 14% 51% C A- C+ D- C- C A+ F A-
1.10 48% 43% 37% -2 +1 1.00 42% 0.9 .39 14% .34 63% .21 0.97 44% 43% 31% -7 +1 0.90 24% 1.3 .30 18% .13 100% .13
Dec
6		 Western Michigan D- C- B F F+ 34% 21% 45% D F+ F+ B- D A+ D+ F F+ F B- F F F 27% 30% 43% A F D F F A+ F F F
1.07 58% 42% 28% -3 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 7% .27 59% .16 1.22 50% 54% 58% +18 -2 1.34 33% 1.3 .43 28% .39 89% .35
Dec
18		 Eastern Illinois D+ D+ F A+ B 32% 22% 46% D- B- F F F C- D- B D D- F F+ C+ F 34% 28% 38% C- F D- D D- A- D+ C- D
1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23 1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23
Dec
22		 Western Illinois F F F D F 27% 38% 36% F F D- A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ B+ C+ B- C+ D+ 39% 33% 28% C+ C- A+ F C+ B- F C- F
0.93 50% 29% 31% -7 -3 0.82 28% 2.1 .60 24% .43 78% .34 0.86 50% 33% 31% -6 -1 0.87 14% 1.5 .21 18% .38 68% .26
Jan
1		 Southern Indiana F F D+ A F 40% 33% 27% F F B C- C+ F A+ F A- B+ A- A A B+ 44% 19% 37% D- B F+ C- D A+ F A+ F
0.89 28% 33% 42% -11 -2 0.78 38% 0.9 .36 23% .51 58% .29 0.83 42% 25% 25% -14 +1 0.74 34% 0.9 .29 26% .51 52% .26
Jan
3		 Morehead St. D+ D A+ C- C 38% 20% 42% D+ C- B- D C- C+ D B C- D- F F B- F 43% 19% 38% F+ F B C B- A F D F
1.13 53% 60% 33% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.8 .33 14% .29 75% .22 1.15 72% 50% 31% +7 +1 1.17 31% 0.9 .27 24% .45 77% .35
Jan
6		 Lindenwood F D F A D 32% 36% 32% F F+ D- B- D+ F+ A- B- A- A- A- A+ A+ A+ 43% 23% 34% C+ A+ D- F+ F C- B C B
0.95 53% 24% 40% -4 -2 0.89 26% 1.1 .29 21% .40 73% .29 0.89 48% 17% 11% -21 0 0.60 36% 1.3 .44 19% .26 67% .18
Jan
8		 Arkansas Little Rock D+ F B A C- 23% 28% 49% F D A B- A F B+ D+ B F D C+ C+ C- 29% 40% 31% A- C F A D+ F F D+ F
1.12 50% 42% 43% +6 -2 1.09 45% 1.0 .45 26% .34 69% .24 1.16 64% 32% 33% -1 -3 0.94 42% 0.8 .34 11% .45 68% .31
Jan
15		 Tennessee Martin D- F A+ F F+ 22% 41% 37% F F F+ B+ D+ A+ D- F F C+ C F A B 15% 17% 67% B+ B+ D+ F F+ F+ F C F
0.93 42% 55% 15% -7 -4 0.80 25% 1.1 .27 9% .28 44% .12 1.02 57% 50% 26% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 17% .50 65% .32
Jan
17		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ F B A+ C+ 43% 24% 33% D+ C+ C- B+ C+ C+ F+ D F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 24% 31% B- A A C+ A- B+ F B- F
1.07 45% 45% 47% +2 0 1.07 27% 1.3 .35 17% .32 71% .23 0.87 37% 50% 23% -12 0 0.79 20% 1.2 .23 20% .46 65% .30
Jan
22		 Tennessee St. C A+ F A+ A- 41% 24% 34% F+ B+ B- F F+ D+ A+ F+ A- C B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 24% 33% F+ A F A D+ F F F F
1.17 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 34% 0.7 .24 21% .50 68% .34 1.04 55% 25% 18% -13 0 0.76 46% 0.8 .37 11% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Tennessee Tech D- A F F F 37% 26% 37% D+ F B- D- C C+ C B+ C+ C C B+ A+ B+ 38% 33% 29% A- A- D- A C+ F C- C+ C
1.07 71% 17% 24% -7 -1 0.87 35% 1.1 .38 14% .30 80% .24 1.00 56% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.81 35% 0.8 .30 10% .29 73% .21
Jan
29		 Morehead St. F+ C F A B- 33% 20% 47% D C+ F F F D F F F B- D+ B+ C C 45% 34% 20% C+ C A B A F F B- F
1.01 59% 30% 42% +4 0 1.10 23% 0.5 .11 17% .19 60% .11 1.04 60% 33% 33% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.8 .20 12% .42 71% .30
Jan
31		 Southern Indiana F+ D+ A F D- 49% 27% 24% D+ D- F+ A+ C F B+ B A- A+ F A+ A+ A- 17% 38% 46% A+ A C+ A B B B F C-
0.96 55% 45% 20% -5 0 0.93 26% 1.3 .33 22% .38 78% .30 0.76 63% 17% 23% -15 -4 0.65 28% 0.6 .18 20% .27 77% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Lindenwood C A F A+ B+ 47% 27% 27% D B D D+ D D- B- D C+ B- B+ C- C C 40% 31% 29% A C+ F A+ B- C C- A+ B-
1.07 70% 8% 54% +5 0 1.12 27% 1.0 .27 21% .36 67% .24 0.99 50% 35% 31% -5 -1 0.89 42% 0.7 .29 19% .32 58% .19
Feb
7		 Arkansas Little Rock D A+ F B+ D 33% 27% 39% F D- F B- F B C- A+ B- A D- A F B- 11% 54% 35% A+ A- D+ A+ A F A- D- B
1.05 76% 14% 40% +3 -1 1.06 17% 1.0 .17 16% .27 87% .23 0.90 67% 23% 40% -4 -6 0.81 33% 0.6 .20 12% .17 70% .12
Feb
12		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ D B D D+ 42% 26% 32% D D+ B B+ A- B F+ F F A A+ A+ F B+ 29% 27% 45% A+ A- A A A+ D B- A+ A
1.13 52% 46% 31% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 15% .32 67% .22 0.85 36% 15% 41% -8 -1 0.84 20% 1.0 .20 15% .29 50% .14
Feb
14		 Tennessee Martin C+ F F A+ B- 36% 11% 53% B+ B B+ A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ F F+ C+ F F 27% 18% 55% C+ F A+ F C C- F F F
1.12 44% 20% 46% +2 +1 1.09 41% 1.3 .51 27% .48 71% .34 1.20 67% 38% 46% +12 0 1.25 27% 1.1 .31 21% .43 78% .34
Feb
19		 Tennessee Tech F F D- F F 35% 28% 37% D- F F A D- B+ F F F A- A+ F A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% A A+ D- D- F+ F F F F
0.77 45% 31% 14% -17 -1 0.65 21% 1.4 .31 12% .10 50% .05 0.92 41% 47% 6% -16 -2 0.66 35% 1.1 .40 15% .37 86% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.4 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 4.9 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 13.7 14.0 3rd
4th 7.6 9.7 17.4 4th
5th 0.1 3.7 31.6 35.3 5th
6th 0.8 12.9 14.2 27.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.0 16.6 53.8 28.6 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 1.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 28.6% 16.2% 16.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.0 24.0
12-8 53.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.6 49.8
11-9 16.6% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.8 15.7
10-10 1.0% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 15.8 90.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 15.6 0.1 1.6 34.6 63.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.7%
Lose Out 0.4%