IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.4	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	-17.9	#356

Pace	72.2	#105
Improvement	-2.7	#328

Offense
Total Offense	-8.1	#350

First Shot	-4.0	#292
After Offensive Rebound	-4.2	#354

Layup/Dunks	-7.6	#358
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.4	#91
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.1	#111
Freethrows	+0.1	#167

Improvement	-0.1	#187

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#286

First Shot	-7.5	#358
After Offensive Rebounds	+4.3	#3

Layups/Dunks	-8.9	#363
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#103
3 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#91
Freethrows	-2.1	#312

Improvement	-2.6	#331

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	1.5%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.6%	1.9%	0.3%
.500 or above in Conference	8.5%	19.6%	5.9%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.9%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	36.8%	20.4%	40.6%

First Four	0.6%	1.4%	0.4%
First Round	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 7
Quad 4	6 - 15	7 - 21

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Wed, Nov 5	55 @Butler	L	58-88	2%	0 - 1			-17.3	-12.9	-2.4
Fri, Nov 7	331 VMI	L	74-78	57%	0 - 2			-17.2	-15.4	-1.4
Wed, Nov 12	289 @South Dakota	L	74-89	23%	0 - 3			-18.7	-15.1	-1.2
Thu, Nov 20	164 Incarnate Word	L	81-87	15%	0 - 4			-6.3	+1.9	-8.0
Sat, Nov 22	201 Illinois-Chicago	L	73-84	20%	0 - 5			-13.5	-5.0	-8.0
Wed, Nov 26	216 @Valparaiso	W	64-56	16%	1 - 5			+7.3	-8.1	+15.4
Wed, Dec 3	282 @Western Michigan	L	74-88	22%	1 - 6			-17.4	-4.2	-12.7
Sun, Dec 7	200 @Indiana St.	L	55-77	14%	1 - 7			-21.5	-12.2	-10.8
Thu, Dec 18	309 Arkansas Little Rock	L	62-77	51%	1 - 8	0 - 1		-26.5	-13.2	-14.0
Sat, Dec 20	307 Morehead St.	L	60-64 OT	50%	1 - 9	0 - 2		-15.4	-10.9	-4.9
Thu, Jan 1	248 @SIU Edwardsville	L	64-73	19%
Sat, Jan 3	224 @Lindenwood	L	70-81	16%
Thu, Jan 8	211 Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-78	32%
Sat, Jan 10	213 Tennessee Martin	L	68-73	33%
Thu, Jan 15	284 @Tennessee Tech	L	70-78	23%
Sat, Jan 17	238 @Tennessee St.	L	68-78	18%
Thu, Jan 22	325 Eastern Illinois	W	69-68	55%
Sat, Jan 24	355 Western Illinois	W	72-66	69%
Thu, Jan 29	224 Lindenwood	L	73-78	34%
Sat, Jan 31	248 SIU Edwardsville	L	67-70	38%
Thu, Feb 5	213 @Tennessee Martin	L	65-76	16%
Sat, Feb 7	211 @Southeast Missouri St.	L	70-81	16%
Thu, Feb 12	238 Tennessee St.	L	71-75	37%
Sat, Feb 14	284 Tennessee Tech	L	73-75	44%
Thu, Feb 19	355 @Western Illinois	L	68-69	48%
Sat, Feb 21	325 @Eastern Illinois	L	66-71	34%
Tue, Feb 24	307 @Morehead St.	L	67-73	29%
Sat, Feb 28	309 @Arkansas Little Rock	L	67-73	30%
Projected Record					7 - 21	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0							0.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0								1.2	3rd
4th										0.0	0.6	1.1	0.3	0.0									2.1	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	1.7	0.7	0.1										3.1	5th
6th								0.0	0.7	2.4	1.4	0.2											4.7	6th
7th							0.1	0.8	3.0	2.8	0.4	0.0											7.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.3	4.3	4.4	1.1	0.0												11.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.5	5.9	6.3	1.8	0.1													17.0	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	2.3	5.9	8.8	6.7	2.2	0.2														26.5	10th
11th	0.4	2.2	5.1	7.3	6.8	3.5	1.0	0.1															26.5	11th

Total	0.4	2.2	5.6	9.7	13.1	14.9	15.0	13.6	10.1	7.0	4.2	2.5	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0							Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-5	83.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-6	46.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	19.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	1.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
15-5	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
14-6	0.2%		18.4%	18.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	0.1
13-7	0.5%		12.2%	12.2%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.5
12-8	1.1%		10.2%	10.2%		16.0																	0.1	1.0
11-9	2.5%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.1	2.4
10-10	4.2%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.1	4.1
9-11	7.0%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
8-12	10.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
7-13	13.6%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.6
6-14	15.0%																							15.0
5-15	14.9%																							14.9
4-16	13.1%																							13.1
3-17	9.7%																							9.7
2-18	5.6%																							5.6
1-19	2.2%																							2.2
0-20	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	0.6	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%