St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.1 235
Expected Predictive Rating -3.0 216
Pace 64.5 291
Improvement +2.3 97

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 273 D- C+ D+ B- C-
Defense C 177 C+ D- B F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 D- 50% 349 -4.8 336
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 143 C 38% 195 +0.6 143
Three Pointers 42% 153 D- 30% 326 -1.8 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 246 D- -5.6 343
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 344
Second Chance B 34.6% 61 C- 0.99 244 C+ 0.34 110
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 265
Freethrows C+ 0.32 130 B- 75% 98 B- 0.24 110
Total Offense D+ -3.8 273

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 221 F+ 15.5% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 112 C 5.1% 193
Three Pointers C 85% 180 B+ 0.1% 11
Total C 55% 188 D+ 6.7% 288

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 86 C+ 57% 154 +1.8 238
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 233 B 34% 53 -1.5 75
Three Pointers 39% 242 C 34% 167 -1.2 130
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 C+ -1.3 122
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 145
Second Chance D- 35.5% 339 D+ 1.08 262 D- 0.38 330
Turnovers B 19.6% 41
Freethrows F 0.41 361 D+ 74% 296 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C -0.2 177

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 247 C+ 12.2% 123
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 236 D+ 3.0% 298
Three Pointers D 89% 314 C 1.0% 136
Total D+ 59% 261 C+ 6.1% 136

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 332 16.7 87
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 72 0.20 292
Improvement +0.4 #161 +1.9 #82

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 259 231 197
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 15 - 5
Conference Finish 5 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 14% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 2%
First Round10% 13% 9%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 31.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 56 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 6% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -6 F C D+ F -12 C+ F D
 Sat, Nov 8 329 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 83% +7  95% 1 - 1 C- -4 B +6 B+ C+ C+ F -11 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- D- B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 263 @Delaware L 70 - 81 45% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D+ -4 C+ F+ B F -10 F B- B+
 Sat, Nov 22 310 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 77% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -10 F -14 F B+ F+ B +4 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 255 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 66% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -34 F -14 F C+ D F -22 F F F
 Fri, Dec 5 343 Canisius W 69 - 57 85% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A- C B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 337 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C -0 D A C A+ +18 A+ D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 74 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 9% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +3 D+ -4 D- D- C A- +7 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 266 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 45% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F D- C+ B+ +7 A- F B
 Fri, Jan 2 184 Marist W 69 - 59 51% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 B- +6 D+ -3 F A B- A +9 A+ A C+
 Fri, Jan 9 285 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 50% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -9 F+ -8 F D F+ C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 162 Merrimack W 76 - 63 47% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +10 A- +11 A+ A F+ C+ +1 A F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 193 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 31% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 B- +5 C+ +2 B F D+ B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D- -7 D- B+ C- C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 249 Iona W 77 - 63 64% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +1 B D D- B+ +6 A+ D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 162 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 25% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -5 D- -7 F B F C+ +1 C+ D- B-
 Fri, Jan 30 285 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 72% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C- -2 D+ -3 D C+ C- C+ +2 B D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 77% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +2 F+ A+ B- F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 321 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 62% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -2 B+ +8 F B A+ F+ -9 C+ F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 192 Siena W 70 - 65 54% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C +0 D- -6 C A- F B+ +7 B+ A D
 Fri, Feb 13 290 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 51% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D- -11 D+ -3 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 266 Fairfield W 83 - 74 68% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +0 C+ +3 A D F C- -3 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 249 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 41% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C- F A- +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 192 @Siena L 65 - 70 32%
 Fri, Feb 27 321 Manhattan W 78 - 69 80%
 Sun, Mar 1 184 @Marist L 61 - 67 30%
Totals 15 - 12 13 - 7 -4 D+ -4 C+ D- C- C +0 D- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C D- D- 35% 41% 42% C- D- B C- C+ D+ C+ B- B- C C+ B C C+ 42% 19% 39% D+ C+ D- D+ D- B F D+ F
1.03 50% 38% 30% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.0 .34 18% .32 75% .24 1.09 57% 34% 34% -1 +1 1.00 35% 1.1 .38 20% .41 74% .24
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A F C D+ A+ C+ A+ F C- A+ C C+ 45% 16% 39% D C+ D F F D F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B A+ F A+ B+ 37% 19% 44% C B+ B- C- C+ C+ A B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F+ F D+ F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D+ F A D- B- D- B+ A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D+ F A- A- C+ 28% 19% 53% C+ C+ F C F+ B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ B- B+ F A- F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ C+ D- B F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C A+ F A F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D B- A+ A F D+ D+ F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C F F F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A- C A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B- F+ C+ F B+ F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% B+ A+ F B- D A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F D- C A+ F A+ A- C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D C- D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F D- C+ F A F+ B+ A+ B A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A- B F F B F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -12 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D A+ B- A+ A C+ F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's F+ F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D F+ A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D- F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D+ A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A+ A B- A F+ A+ C- A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A F F+ F B+ F D+ F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C+ D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D+ A+ A A+ B- B- B D C- 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A F+
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D- B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C- D+ F F C+ B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C F A+ D D+ D-
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B- 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F+ F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack D- F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B F A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F D- B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's D+ D+ F B D 33% 24% 43% C- D A- F+ C+ C- B- C C+ C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D B+ F B F+
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B- D+ D+ D+ F F+ D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B+ A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ B+ A A F+ C D- B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C+ F F+ F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D- A+ B F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B+ A- F A+ F A+ B+ C D+ A+ A 44% 22% 34% F+ B+ A+ C- A D F C- F
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ C+ D C F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C- F B- F F+ D+ F C- F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield C+ C- C A+ A 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D F A+ A+ A+ C- C A+ D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D- F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F 27% 25% 47% F+ F C- C+ C- F F A+ D- A- C- B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D- F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 14.7 35.2 8.4 58.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 22.4 22.8 3rd
4th 3.1 9.1 12.2 4th
5th 6.6 6.6 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 10.1 46.3 35.2 8.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.7% 0.1    0.1
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 8.5% 16.5% 16.5% 14.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 7.1
14-6 35.2% 12.7% 12.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 2.3 1.9 30.7
13-7 46.3% 10.3% 10.3% 15.7 0.1 1.4 3.3 41.5
12-8 10.1% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 9.5
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.2% 11.2% 0.0% 15.4 88.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.4% 100.0% 14.7 2.4 33.9 58.5 5.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 6.0%