St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#304
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#287
Pace63.2#328
Improvement+1.1#109

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#320
First Shot-7.9#356
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#47
Layup/Dunks-7.3#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#184
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-1.1#267

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#256
First Shot-2.0#247
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks-2.3#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#30
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows-4.2#354
Improvement+2.2#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.5% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 21.5% 44.4% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 43.4% 56.4% 42.7%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 0.9% 2.9%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round1.4% 3.0% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 5.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 64 @Seton Hall L 50-77 4%     0 - 1 -15.4 -6.6 -13.1
  Sat, Nov 8 361 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93-83 83%     1 - 1 -8.0 +5.1 -13.6
  Wed, Nov 12 48 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61-78 3%     1 - 2 -3.1 -2.3 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 18 245 @Delaware L 70-81 27%     1 - 3 -12.8 +0.0 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 22 315 Umass Lowell W 68-66 63%     2 - 3 -9.6 -12.1 +2.4
  Sat, Nov 29 265 Dartmouth L 61-87 52%     2 - 4 -34.6 -11.8 -24.5
  Fri, Dec 5 354 Canisius W 69-57 78%     3 - 4 1 - 0 -4.3 -4.1 +0.9
  Sun, Dec 7 350 Niagara W 71-43 77%     4 - 4 2 - 0 +12.3 +3.4 +13.3
  Sat, Dec 13 91 @Georgetown L 62-79 5%    
  Mon, Dec 29 302 @Fairfield L 67-70 39%    
  Fri, Jan 2 162 Marist L 59-64 33%    
  Fri, Jan 9 306 @Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 40%    
  Sun, Jan 11 268 Merrimack W 65-64 53%    
  Wed, Jan 14 157 @Quinnipiac L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 344 Rider W 66-59 73%    
  Mon, Jan 19 170 Iona L 70-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 268 @Merrimack L 62-67 31%    
  Fri, Jan 30 306 Mount St. Mary's W 69-66 61%    
  Sun, Feb 1 344 @Rider W 63-62 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 314 @Manhattan L 71-74 41%    
  Sat, Feb 7 156 Siena L 63-68 32%    
  Fri, Feb 13 281 @Sacred Heart L 71-76 34%    
  Sun, Feb 15 302 Fairfield W 70-67 60%    
  Fri, Feb 20 170 @Iona L 67-77 18%    
  Sun, Feb 22 156 @Siena L 60-71 17%    
  Fri, Feb 27 314 Manhattan W 74-71 62%    
  Sun, Mar 1 162 @Marist L 56-67 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.4 3.4 0.9 0.0 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 4.3 1.0 0.0 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.5 4.7 1.3 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.2 5.0 1.5 0.1 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.1 1.6 0.1 0.0 12.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 4.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.9 1.1 0.1 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.4 4.8 8.3 11.5 14.0 14.5 13.4 11.3 7.8 5.4 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 74.4% 0.2    0.2 0.1
16-4 55.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 21.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.5% 13.5% 13.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4
14-6 3.1% 7.5% 7.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.9
13-7 5.4% 6.9% 6.9% 15.8 0.1 0.3 5.0
12-8 7.8% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 7.4
11-9 11.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.0
10-10 13.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.2
9-11 14.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.4
8-12 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.9
7-13 11.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.5
6-14 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.3
5-15 4.8% 4.8
4-16 2.4% 2.4
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%