St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#208
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace69.2#181
Improvement-0.9#252

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#320
First Shot-4.4#296
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#255
Layup/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#312
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-1.7#306

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#70
First Shot+1.1#138
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#40
Layups/Dunks+6.1#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#112
Freethrows-5.9#353
Improvement+0.8#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% 7.4% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 56.6% 59.2% 31.2%
.500 or above in Conference 66.0% 67.4% 52.4%
Conference Champion 4.2% 4.4% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 2.9% 5.6%
First Four1.2% 1.1% 1.5%
First Round6.6% 6.9% 3.7%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Home) - 90.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 43 - 9
Quad 412 - 515 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-57 15%     0 - 1 +6.3 -8.1 +14.5
  Nov 13, 2021 79   @ St. John's L 70-91 14%     0 - 2 -11.5 -3.9 -6.2
  Nov 23, 2021 268   LIU Brooklyn W 64-62 75%     1 - 2 -6.8 -21.0 +13.9
  Nov 27, 2021 47   @ Providence L 71-85 9%     1 - 3 -1.4 +10.1 -12.7
  Dec 03, 2021 273   @ Quinnipiac W 69-59 55%     2 - 3 1 - 0 +6.9 -6.2 +12.9
  Dec 05, 2021 279   Siena L 58-60 76%     2 - 4 1 - 1 -11.4 -17.5 +6.0
  Dec 08, 2021 337   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-60 91%    
  Dec 18, 2021 233   @ Stony Brook L 65-66 46%    
  Dec 22, 2021 326   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 31, 2021 290   Canisius W 73-65 78%    
  Jan 02, 2022 241   @ Marist L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 07, 2022 97   Iona L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 09, 2022 270   @ Manhattan W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 14, 2022 117   Monmouth L 66-68 41%    
  Jan 16, 2022 298   @ Rider W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 21, 2022 221   @ Niagara L 61-63 42%    
  Jan 23, 2022 290   @ Canisius W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 28, 2022 270   Manhattan W 67-60 74%    
  Jan 30, 2022 97   @ Iona L 61-71 18%    
  Feb 04, 2022 273   Quinnipiac W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 06, 2022 241   Marist W 66-61 68%    
  Feb 11, 2022 298   Rider W 69-60 78%    
  Feb 18, 2022 210   @ Fairfield L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 20, 2022 279   @ Siena W 63-61 55%    
  Feb 25, 2022 117   @ Monmouth L 63-71 23%    
  Feb 27, 2022 221   Niagara W 64-60 62%    
  Mar 05, 2022 210   Fairfield W 66-63 60%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 3.2 2.9 1.2 0.2 10.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 5.0 5.9 3.6 1.0 0.1 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 6.2 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 17.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 5.8 4.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 14.4 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 4.9 3.6 0.8 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.4 8.9 11.3 12.9 13.4 12.6 10.5 7.6 5.1 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 82.2% 0.9    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 50.0% 1.3    0.6 0.5 0.1
15-5 21.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 44.8% 41.4% 3.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9%
18-2 0.3% 39.4% 39.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.0% 32.1% 32.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
16-4 2.6% 24.7% 24.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.9
15-5 5.1% 20.0% 20.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 4.1
14-6 7.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 6.5
13-7 10.5% 11.0% 11.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 9.3
12-8 12.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 11.6
11-9 13.4% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 12.6
10-10 12.9% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.1 0.4 12.4
9-11 11.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.0
8-12 8.9% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.7
7-13 6.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 6.4
6-14 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.9
5-15 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.5 92.8 0.0%