UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -16.3 360
Expected Predictive Rating -20.5 363
Pace 72.3 76
Improvement -2.7 289

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 F+ D D D- D
Defense D 307 D D C B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 275 D 52% 319 -4.1 320
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 45 C- 36% 252 +1.7 87
Three Pointers 38% 244 F+ 29% 349 -4.5 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 307 D- -5.9 349
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 351
Second Chance D+ 27.7% 260 F+ 0.86 350 D 0.24 324
Turnovers D 19.2% 318
Freethrows D- 0.25 329 D 68% 305 D- 0.17 344
Total Offense F -11.8 361

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 210 D+ 12.9% 284
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 245 D 7.8% 325
Three Pointers C- 81% 247 C- 1.1% 250
Total D+ 50% 299 D 7.1% 321

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 73 D+ 62% 294 +4.3 323
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 275 C- 39% 227 -0.9 113
Three Pointers 40% 230 D+ 36% 269 +0.5 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 300 D +3.1 299
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 307
Second Chance F+ 36.7% 352 C 1.02 165 D 0.37 317
Turnovers C 16.9% 183
Freethrows B- 0.27 85 B- 71% 83 B- 0.19 75
Total Defense D -4.6 307

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 293 D 7.2% 322
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 43 C 5.0% 167
Three Pointers C- 86% 236 C 0.9% 165
Total C- 58% 240 D+ 4.3% 289

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 233 16.1 21
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 127 0.23 336
Improvement -3.1 #324 +0.4 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 362 360 355
Conference Record 1 - 15 2 - 14 3 - 13
Conference Finish 9 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 79% 53% 80%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 41 - 132 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 128 @Southern Illinois L 78 - 101 3% -11  26% 0 - 1 F -18 B- +4 D- A B+ F -20 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 249 Iona L 91 - 105 21% -9  5% 0 - 2 F -22 D -4 C C F F -15 F C B+
 Sat, Nov 15 27 @Texas L 55 - 71 0% -11  0% 0 - 3 C+ +2 F+ -10 F C- A+ A +10 A+ A F
 Wed, Nov 19 50 @TCU L 45 - 81 1% -22  0% 0 - 4 F -22 F -23 F D F C+ +1 B+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 260 @Lindenwood L 67 - 80 11% -6  18% 0 - 5 F+ -16 F -12 D- F F C- -2 F A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 224 @Weber St. L 61 - 82 8% -10  0% 0 - 6 F -22 F -15 D F D- D- -6 F B A+
 Wed, Dec 3 261 Idaho St. L 59 - 68 23% -0  62% 0 - 7 F+ -18 F -14 D- F+ F D+ -5 B- F B
 Sat, Dec 6 201 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 90 7% -15  4% 0 - 8 F -23 F -17 F C F D+ -4 B F C
 Wed, Dec 10 224 Weber St. L 60 - 64 18% -3  10% 0 - 9 D -11 F -24 F D+ F A+ +14 A D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 16 51 @Oklahoma L 67 - 89 1% -19  4% 0 - 10 D -8 D -6 D+ C- F C- -3 B+ D- D
 Thu, Dec 18 62 @Oklahoma St. L 79 - 91 1% -6  5% 0 - 11 C -0 C +1 B- D- B+ C+ +1 F B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 236 @Denver L 74 - 87 9% -12  0% 0 - 12 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -8 F B+ D+ D -6 D+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 240 @Nebraska Omaha W 73 - 66 9% +2  56% 1 - 12 1 - 1 B- +6 D+ -3 D F+ A- A +8 C D+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 132 North Dakota St. L 73 - 97 9% -18  0% 1 - 13 1 - 2 F -25 D+ -3 B+ F+ F F -23 F B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 295 North Dakota L 79 - 81 29% +2  65% 1 - 14 1 - 3 D- -13 C+ +2 A+ F F F -15 D- D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 291 @South Dakota L 83 - 99 13% -17  1% 1 - 15 1 - 4 F -20 C- -2 C- F A+ F -17 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 206 @South Dakota St. L 62 - 90 7% -6  13% 1 - 16 1 - 5 F -28 F+ -9 F+ B D+ F -21 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 24 240 Nebraska Omaha L 60 - 77 20% -8  5% 1 - 17 1 - 6 F -24 F -24 F F F C+ +1 C F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 236 Denver L 61 - 69 19% +0  49% 1 - 18 1 - 7 F+ -15 F -21 F F C+ B+ +6 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Feb 1 121 @St. Thomas L 64 - 99 3% -23  4% 1 - 19 1 - 8 F -29 F -14 F C D+ F -13 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 4 291 South Dakota L 75 - 82 OT 28% +2  64% 1 - 20 1 - 9 F+ -17 F -16 D+ F F C -0 B+ C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 338 @Oral Roberts L 60 - 69 24% -4  27% 1 - 21 1 - 10 F -18 F -15 F D C- D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 121 St. Thomas L 64 - 104 8% -18  0% 1 - 22 1 - 11 F -40 F -16 D- F+ C+ F -23 F F F
 Thu, Feb 19 295 @North Dakota L 70 - 85 14% -7  9% 1 - 23 1 - 12 F -20 F -16 F F B- C- -2 B F A
 Sat, Feb 21 132 @North Dakota St. L 61 - 82 2%
 Thu, Feb 26 206 South Dakota St. L 67 - 78 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 338 Oral Roberts L 71 - 73 44%
Totals 2 - 25 2 - 14 -16 F -12 A+ D- D D -5 F+ D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F D C- F+ D- 35% 51% 38% D F+ D+ F+ D D D- D D- D D+ C- D+ D 43% 18% 40% D D F+ C D C B- B- B-
0.92 52% 36% 29% -6 -1 0.88 28% 0.9 .24 19% .25 68% .17 1.15 62% 39% 36% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.0 .37 17% .27 71% .18
Nov
7		 Southern Illinois B- F A- B+ D 38% 27% 35% D+ D- B+ A- A B+ A- F B- F F F F F 57% 25% 19% F F D F F C- F A- D-
1.02 29% 47% 37% -7 -1 0.85 34% 1.2 .40 16% .36 61% .22 1.33 77% 54% 40% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.4 .48 16% .41 62% .25
Nov
11		 Iona D A- A+ F B- 30% 33% 38% F C B- D C F B C+ B F F D F F 41% 22% 38% C+ F F A C B+ B+ B+ B+
1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22 1.22 73% 43% 54% +19 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Texas F+ D B F F 29% 48% 23% F F C D- C- A+ F B F A C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 12% 41% F+ A+ F+ A+ A F F A+ C+
0.87 50% 41% 8% -10 -4 0.73 24% 0.8 .20 10% .14 75% .11 1.13 61% 17% 15% -13 +2 0.80 44% 0.8 .37 8% .48 61% .29
Nov
19		 TCU F F F F F 28% 11% 61% B- F C+ F D F A F+ B+ C+ A+ A+ F B+ 41% 20% 39% C+ B+ F D F B+ A F B-
0.63 23% 0% 25% -22 +1 0.59 27% 0.8 .20 25% .36 63% .23 1.14 43% 20% 45% -3 0 0.96 41% 1.2 .49 18% .26 87% .22
Nov
24		 Lindenwood F C F C- D- 54% 26% 20% C- D- F F F F A+ A- A+ C- D- A+ D- F 60% 13% 27% F F C- A+ A+ C- F F F
0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35 1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32
Nov
29		 Weber St. F A- F+ F D 36% 26% 38% F+ D F F F D- F F F D- F F F F 48% 9% 43% D- F F A+ B A+ D C+ D+
0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13 1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26
Dec
3		 Idaho St. F D+ A F D- 43% 26% 31% D+ D- C- F F+ F C+ D+ C D+ F A+ A+ B- 37% 11% 52% D+ B- F C- F B A- C- B+
0.97 56% 55% 23% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.8 .23 21% .34 75% .25 1.12 76% 20% 25% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.0 .45 20% .25 75% .18
Dec
6		 Eastern Washington F C+ D- F F 48% 29% 23% D- F D+ A- C F B F C- D+ C C- A A- 43% 9% 47% F B F F F C F C+ F
0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24 1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31
Dec
10		 Weber St. F F B F F 38% 13% 48% C F C+ F D+ F B- F+ C A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 50% 17% 33% C- A C+ D- D+ A+ C+ A+ A+
0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24 0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16
Dec
16		 Oklahoma D F F A+ D+ 36% 26% 38% C D+ D B C- F A+ C- A+ C- F+ C A+ A- 44% 12% 44% D- B+ D- C- D- D C+ A+ A-
0.95 41% 25% 44% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .29 23% .41 73% .29 1.27 69% 43% 23% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .51 11% .31 58% .18
Dec
18		 Oklahoma St. C D+ F A B- 38% 13% 49% B- B- C- F D- B+ A- A+ A+ C+ F B- F F 62% 17% 21% C- F F+ A+ B+ A+ B C B
1.02 52% 14% 41% 0 +1 1.04 27% 0.8 .22 16% .34 82% .28 1.18 76% 33% 45% +14 +2 1.34 38% 0.6 .24 21% .31 74% .23
Dec
31		 Denver D- A- F F F 52% 15% 33% B F C A+ B+ D+ A- C- B+ D D C- C C- 40% 23% 38% F+ D+ B+ D B- F F D F
1.06 70% 13% 12% -8 +2 0.88 34% 1.4 .47 14% .38 70% .27 1.24 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.2 .31 9% .41 81% .33
Jan
3		 Nebraska Omaha D+ F D- A D 38% 29% 33% D- D F B+ F+ A- A- A A A D- A+ D C- 42% 25% 33% C C A- F D+ A A A A
1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30 0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13
Jan
8		 North Dakota St. D+ B A+ B+ A- 39% 22% 39% C B+ A- F F+ F A- F B- F F F F F 34% 19% 47% D F F A+ B D- D D+ D
1.06 67% 60% 39% +11 0 1.24 38% 0.4 .16 25% .33 65% .21 1.42 72% 50% 52% +20 0 1.42 44% 0.6 .26 13% .32 74% .24
Jan
10		 North Dakota C+ F A+ A+ A+ 19% 40% 40% F A+ B F F F F A+ C F B F F F+ 43% 20% 37% B- D- D- C- D- F D- A+ C
1.21 50% 59% 65% +26 -4 1.45 39% 0.6 .22 27% .29 93% .27 1.24 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 8% .40 58% .23
Jan
15		 South Dakota C- C+ F+ C+ C- 48% 20% 33% D+ C- D+ F F A+ C- F F F B- F F F 46% 13% 41% F+ F F F F F C- F D-
1.09 62% 33% 35% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.8 .22 10% .26 56% .15 1.30 52% 57% 45% +7 +2 1.19 38% 1.3 .50 13% .38 84% .32
Jan
17		 South Dakota St. F+ C+ F C F+ 35% 24% 41% D+ F+ C+ A- B D+ D- D- F+ F F F F F 49% 20% 31% D+ F F B- D- D C A+ B
0.95 61% 8% 33% -6 -1 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 17% .24 69% .17 1.38 72% 80% 44% +20 +1 1.43 37% 1.0 .37 14% .27 60% .16
Jan
24		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F F+ 15% 32% 53% F F D- F F F D F F C+ D F A- C 28% 24% 48% B+ C F C- F A+ F B F+
0.81 50% 53% 25% -4 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14 1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26
Jan
28		 Denver F A- C- F F 24% 36% 40% F F F+ F F C+ D F F B+ A+ B A+ A+ 35% 33% 31% C+ A+ F A+ D+ C D B C-
0.91 69% 35% 23% -5 -3 0.85 26% 0.7 .19 12% .27 50% .13 1.03 39% 35% 25% -12 -2 0.75 44% 0.9 .38 15% .33 74% .24
Feb
1		 St. Thomas F F F F F 43% 18% 39% C F B+ F C D+ F+ C F+ F F F F F 34% 3% 62% D+ F F F+ F B- A+ F A+
0.87 46% 20% 18% -18 +1 0.68 36% 0.9 .34 19% .20 75% .15 1.34 80% 50% 44% +18 +2 1.41 30% 1.1 .33 16% .15 78% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 South Dakota F A F C C 47% 32% 21% F D+ F F F F F+ F+ F C C+ A+ A A 44% 15% 41% D B+ B+ F C- D F D- F
0.93 70% 28% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.0 .18 22% .21 69% .14 1.02 54% 13% 27% -10 +1 0.85 23% 1.3 .29 15% .51 80% .41
Feb
12		 Oral Roberts F F F D F 50% 9% 41% B F C+ F D C- D+ F D- D+ B F D D- 44% 13% 42% D D- F A+ A+ F C F D+
0.92 37% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.76 35% 0.9 .30 15% .29 63% .18 1.06 48% 57% 36% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.3 .11 14% .29 81% .23
Feb
14		 St. Thomas F B A+ F F+ 45% 14% 41% B- D- F A- F+ C+ F A+ F F D F F F 52% 6% 42% F+ F F F F F B+ A A-
0.88 65% 50% 17% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.3 .24 16% .03 100% .03 1.43 69% 50% 50% +16 +3 1.40 34% 1.3 .45 10% .24 63% .15
Feb
19		 North Dakota F F F F F 48% 14% 38% C+ F F C- F B- F B+ F C- A+ A+ D+ A- 47% 6% 47% F B D- F F A F F F
0.91 44% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.82 24% 1.1 .26 18% .27 76% .21 1.10 39% 0% 35% -11 +2 0.86 33% 1.5 .50 21% .52 81% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 33.6 8.3 0.3 42.2 8th
9th 46.7 11.1 0.0 57.8 9th
Total 46.7 44.7 8.4 0.3 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 0.3% 0.3
3-13 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.4
2-14 44.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 44.7
1-15 46.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 46.7
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 32.8%