UTEP
Conference USA
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#173
Pace67.9#221
Improvement-1.1#263

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#252
First Shot-2.5#255
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#182
Layup/Dunks-3.0#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#272
Freethrows+3.1#25
Improvement-1.9#331

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#85
First Shot-1.3#222
After Offensive Rebounds+4.3#6
Layups/Dunks-0.6#211
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#116
Freethrows-4.5#348
Improvement+0.8#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 7.5% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 13.8
.500 or above 57.9% 73.1% 47.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.8% 68.0% 54.1%
Conference Champion 5.2% 7.3% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.8% 5.3%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round5.0% 7.3% 3.3%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 49 - 215 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 94   @ New Mexico St. L 71-77 22%     0 - 1 +2.7 +1.1 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 189   @ Pacific W 73-64 45%     1 - 1 +10.8 +2.2 +8.6
  Nov 22, 2021 138   UC Riverside L 40-52 56%     1 - 2 -13.0 -26.9 +13.0
  Nov 24, 2021 305   Florida A&M W 67-53 86%     2 - 2 +3.0 -6.9 +10.2
  Dec 03, 2021 94   New Mexico St. L 64-66 41%    
  Dec 07, 2021 9   @ Kansas L 62-82 3%    
  Dec 12, 2021 230   @ New Mexico W 73-72 52%    
  Dec 16, 2021 327   McNeese St. W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 21, 2021 337   NC Central W 74-58 92%    
  Dec 30, 2021 52   @ UAB L 62-73 15%    
  Jan 01, 2022 181   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 06, 2022 108   Louisiana Tech L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 08, 2022 246   Southern Miss W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 13, 2022 198   @ Charlotte L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 15, 2022 234   @ Old Dominion W 62-61 53%    
  Jan 20, 2022 299   Texas San Antonio W 76-65 84%    
  Jan 23, 2022 299   @ Texas San Antonio W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 27, 2022 222   Florida Atlantic W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 29, 2022 225   Florida International W 67-61 71%    
  Feb 03, 2022 107   @ North Texas L 56-63 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 170   @ Rice L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 13, 2022 114   Marshall W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 17, 2022 108   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 246   @ Southern Miss W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 26, 2022 52   UAB L 65-70 32%    
  Mar 03, 2022 170   Rice W 74-70 63%    
  Mar 05, 2022 107   North Texas L 59-60 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.3 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.5 3.7 4.7 1.1 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 5.0 1.8 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.8 2.5 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 8.2 9th
10th 0.3 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 2.8 1.3 0.1 6.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 2.0 1.4 0.2 4.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 14th
Total 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.1 7.6 9.9 12.0 12.8 12.4 11.4 9.6 6.1 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4
16-2 95.1% 1.0    0.8 0.1
15-3 69.0% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
14-4 42.6% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.8 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 50.0% 40.0% 10.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16.7%
16-2 1.0% 30.1% 24.3% 5.8% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 7.7%
15-3 2.1% 25.2% 24.8% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.6%
14-4 3.9% 16.6% 16.6% 12.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.2
13-5 6.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 5.3
12-6 9.6% 9.5% 9.5% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 8.7
11-7 11.4% 6.2% 6.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.7
10-8 12.4% 2.6% 2.6% 14.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.1
9-9 12.8% 2.0% 2.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.5
8-10 12.0% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-11 9.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.8
6-12 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.6
5-13 5.1% 5.1
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 4.9% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.2 94.9 0.1%