UTEP
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#192
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#333
Pace70.4#160
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#253
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 7.2% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 12.8 13.8
.500 or above 28.7% 55.1% 26.5%
.500 or above in Conference 41.4% 59.4% 39.9%
Conference Champion 3.6% 7.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.8% 6.5% 14.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round3.6% 7.1% 3.3%
Second Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah St. (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 85 - 14
Quad 46 - 312 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2025 108   Loyola Marymount L 58-71 41%     0 - 1 -12.9 -7.4 -7.0
  Nov 15, 2025 59   @ Utah St. L 65-80 8%    
  Nov 23, 2025 191   William & Mary L 77-78 50%    
  Nov 24, 2025 131   UAB L 73-77 36%    
  Dec 07, 2025 123   @ Seattle L 67-74 25%    
  Dec 14, 2025 100   @ Hawaii L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 21, 2025 249   Norfolk St. W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 29, 2025 180   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 02, 2026 176   @ Missouri St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 04, 2026 223   @ Florida International L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 08, 2026 143   Middle Tennessee W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 10, 2026 142   Western Kentucky W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 15, 2026 252   @ Delaware L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 17, 2026 77   @ Liberty L 64-77 14%    
  Jan 22, 2026 223   Florida International W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 24, 2026 176   Missouri St. W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 28, 2026 180   Louisiana Tech W 68-65 58%    
  Jan 31, 2026 252   Delaware W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 04, 2026 201   @ Sam Houston St. L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 07, 2026 136   New Mexico St. L 67-68 49%    
  Feb 11, 2026 157   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-69 35%    
  Feb 14, 2026 77   Liberty L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 21, 2026 136   @ New Mexico St. L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 26, 2026 143   @ Middle Tennessee L 68-74 32%    
  Feb 28, 2026 142   @ Western Kentucky L 72-78 31%    
  Mar 05, 2026 128   Kennesaw St. L 74-75 46%    
  Mar 07, 2026 157   Jacksonville St. W 67-66 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 7.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.4 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.1 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.5 5.3 7.0 8.7 10.2 10.4 10.4 9.9 8.6 7.4 5.7 4.0 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.8% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 79.5% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.9% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
15-5 29.1% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 47.8% 41.8% 6.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3%
18-2 0.3% 27.7% 27.7% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.9% 27.0% 27.0% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 1.7% 22.6% 22.6% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3
15-5 2.8% 16.8% 16.8% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-6 4.0% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.5
13-7 5.7% 9.7% 9.7% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 5.1
12-8 7.4% 6.8% 6.8% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.9
11-9 8.6% 4.2% 4.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.3
10-10 9.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 9.7
9-11 10.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3
8-12 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.4
7-13 10.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.1
6-14 8.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-15 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
4-16 5.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-17 3.5% 3.5
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.8% 0.8
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 96.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%