Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#212
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#232
Pace72.2#108
Improvement-1.7#299

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#216
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#229
Layup/Dunks+3.7#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#295
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-2.4#338

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#224
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#163
Layups/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#92
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement+0.7#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.9% 10.7% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 37.7% 61.7% 34.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 62.3% 48.7%
Conference Champion 7.3% 11.4% 6.8%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 8.0% 12.5%
First Four1.2% 1.0% 1.2%
First Round6.4% 10.4% 5.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 10.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 120 @Utah L 89-92 OT 19%     0 - 1 +3.1 +1.4 +2.2
  Wed, Nov 12 46 @Utah St. L 73-83 6%     0 - 2 +4.3 +5.3 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 15 122 @UC Irvine L 70-79 19%     0 - 3 -3.1 -1.3 -0.9
  Wed, Nov 19 229 Campbell W 91-85 64%     1 - 3 -0.9 +10.7 -11.9
  Sat, Nov 22 177 Texas Arlington L 73-74 53%     1 - 4 -5.1 +4.4 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 347 UMKC W 82-61 86%     2 - 4 +6.1 +6.7 -0.2
  Wed, Dec 3 301 Oral Roberts W 92-66 76%     3 - 4 +15.2 +7.6 +6.3
  Sun, Dec 7 135 @St. Thomas L 65-88 22%     3 - 5 -18.3 -6.1 -12.1
  Wed, Dec 10 347 @UMKC W 64-60 71%     4 - 5 -4.9 -13.7 +8.5
  Wed, Dec 17 84 @Utah Valley L 67-80 11%    
  Sat, Dec 20 263 Utah Tech W 76-71 69%    
  Thu, Jan 1 178 Portland St. W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 279 Sacramento St. W 81-75 71%    
  Thu, Jan 8 271 @Northern Arizona L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 154 @Northern Colorado L 73-80 27%    
  Thu, Jan 15 242 Eastern Washington W 82-78 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 174 Idaho W 76-75 53%    
  Thu, Jan 22 202 @Montana L 77-80 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 173 @Montana St. L 69-74 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 162 Idaho St. L 70-71 49%    
  Mon, Feb 2 279 @Sacramento St. W 78-77 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 154 Northern Colorado L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 271 Northern Arizona W 76-70 70%    
  Thu, Feb 12 174 @Idaho L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 14 242 @Eastern Washington L 79-81 44%    
  Thu, Feb 19 173 Montana St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 202 Montana W 80-77 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 162 @Idaho St. L 68-74 30%    
  Mon, Mar 2 178 @Portland St. L 70-75 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.8 3.4 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.6 5.9 2.5 0.3 11.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 6.1 3.3 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.9 0.4 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.6 3.6 0.7 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.5 6.9 9.8 11.8 13.7 13.3 12.0 9.8 6.7 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 95.0% 1.0    0.9 0.1
14-4 79.4% 2.0    1.4 0.5 0.1
13-5 49.8% 2.2    1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 20.8% 1.4    0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 4.0 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 32.3% 32.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 30.8% 30.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7
14-4 2.5% 23.0% 23.0% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.4% 18.6% 18.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.7% 15.4% 15.4% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 5.7
11-7 9.8% 11.4% 11.4% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.2 8.7
10-8 12.0% 8.9% 8.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 10.9
9-9 13.3% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 12.5
8-10 13.7% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 13.1
7-11 11.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.6
6-12 9.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 9.7
5-13 6.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.8
4-14 4.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 2.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-16 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.9% 6.9% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.8 2.2 93.1 0.0%