Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.5 224
Expected Predictive Rating -3.6 222
Pace 70.6 121
Improvement -2.3 277

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 153 C C C+ B- B
Defense D+ 288 D+ C C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 16 C- 56% 240 +3.5 65
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 205 D- 32% 342 -2.8 309
Three Pointers 37% 259 B- 35% 113 -1.0 220
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 C- -1.3 220
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 183
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 158 D+ 0.96 281 C 0.30 194
Turnovers C+ 16.2% 142
Freethrows B- 0.34 76 C- 71% 219 B- 0.24 108
Total Offense C +0.3 153

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 243 D 13.5% 317
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 333 D 7.6% 320
Three Pointers C+ 85% 160 B- 0.6% 112
Total C- 53% 229 F+ 7.8% 347

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 74 D- 66% 343 +5.8 347
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 288 C 38% 169 -1.5 77
Three Pointers 40% 216 C+ 33% 113 -1.3 124
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 308 D+ +2.3 264
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 283
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 118 D 1.12 303 C 0.32 214
Turnovers C- 16.2% 213
Freethrows D+ 0.33 260 C- 73% 228 D+ 0.24 266
Total Defense D+ -3.8 288

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 137 F 3.5% 365
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 25% 171 D+ 3.3% 272
Three Pointers C 83% 154 C- 0.6% 219
Total C+ 54% 135 F+ 2.3% 360

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 173 16.9 109
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 88 0.18 214
Improvement +0.0 #185 -2.2 #295

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 251 223 191
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 15% 23% 5%
.500 or above in Conference 81% 100% 58%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 3%
First Round5% 6% 4%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Montana (Home) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 13
Quad 410 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 102 @Utah L 89 - 92 OT 14% +3  66% 0 - 1 B- +5 C +0 D A D B+ +5 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 28 @Utah St. L 73 - 83 3% -4  27% 0 - 2 B +8 B- +4 F+ A+ B+ B +4 A+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 15 116 @UC Irvine L 70 - 79 19% -8  5% 0 - 3 C- -3 D+ -4 D- D C+ B- +2 C B- C-
 Wed, Nov 19 191 Campbell W 91 - 85 56% +5  60% 1 - 3 C +1 B +7 A- C B- D -6 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 22 176 Texas Arlington L 73 - 74 52% -0  43% 1 - 4 D+ -5 C+ +3 C+ B+ C D- -8 D- B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 360 UMKC W 82 - 61 92% +10  93% 2 - 4 C+ +2 C+ +2 A+ F F C -0 D- A C
 Wed, Dec 3 338 Oral Roberts W 92 - 66 85% +17  94% 3 - 4 B +11 B- +5 A D- B+ B +5 C- A+ B-
 Sun, Dec 7 121 @St. Thomas L 65 - 88 19% -18  0% 3 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -10 D- C- F D- -7 D F C-
 Wed, Dec 10 360 @UMKC W 64 - 60 82% +3  83% 4 - 5 D -9 F -18 F D+ F A +9 A D+ B
 Wed, Dec 17 95 @Utah Valley L 74 - 90 13% -9  1% 4 - 6 D+ -7 B+ +9 D+ A- A+ F -18 F F C-
 Sat, Dec 20 198 Utah Tech L 80 - 82 56% -1  27% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B +6 A+ F C- F -13 F A D-
 Thu, Jan 1 142 Portland St. L 90 - 95 OT 44% -0  45% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -7 C+ +2 C D+ A+ F+ -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 271 Sacramento St. W 95 - 82 71% +10  97% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +4 B- +4 C+ C+ C+ C- -2 F+ B+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 311 @Northern Arizona W 78 - 65 59% +5  81% 6 - 8 2 - 1 B- +7 B +6 C- B- A+ B- +3 B+ F+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 156 @Northern Colorado W 76 - 71 27% +1  51% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B- +8 B- +5 B- D+ C- B- +3 A F+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 201 Eastern Washington W 91 - 80 57% +1  42% 8 - 8 4 - 1 B- +6 B- +4 C+ B- C- C+ +1 B F B-
 Sat, Jan 17 186 Idaho L 67 - 75 55% -9  0% 8 - 9 4 - 2 D- -13 F -17 F B F B +4 B F+ A
 Thu, Jan 22 183 @Montana L 65 - 81 31% -2  46% 8 - 10 4 - 3 D- -14 D+ -3 B+ F D+ F -13 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 147 @Montana St. L 88 - 91 25% -2  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C +0 A +14 A+ D A F -14 F F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 31 261 Idaho St. W 81 - 79 69% -4  11% 9 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +2 C- B D+ F+ -8 F A+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 271 @Sacramento St. L 90 - 104 49% -12  4% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -17 C+ +2 D+ B- B F -18 F A B
 Thu, Feb 5 156 Northern Colorado L 74 - 88 48% -10  4% 9 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -17 C- -1 D+ F A- F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 311 Northern Arizona W 72 - 53 79% +7  68% 10 - 13 6 - 6 B- +7 C+ +2 C B- B- A +9 B A C-
 Thu, Feb 12 186 @Idaho W 83 - 72 32% +15  99% 11 - 13 7 - 6 B+ +12 A+ +15 B B A+ C- -2 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 201 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 84 34% -20  0% 11 - 14 7 - 7 F+ -17 F -11 F F B- D- -7 F A C
 Thu, Feb 19 147 Montana St. W 82 - 79 OT 46% -0  43% 12 - 14 8 - 7 C +0 C+ +2 C+ C A- C- -2 D- A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 183 Montana W 78 - 77 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 261 @Idaho St. L 76 - 77 47%
 Mon, Mar 2 142 @Portland St. L 70 - 78 24%
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -4 C +0 A C- B D+ -4 B- C- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D- B- C- 46% 35% 37% B C C+ D+ C C+ B- C- B- D+ D- C C+ D+ 43% 17% 40% D D+ C+ D C C- D+ C- D+
1.09 56% 32% 35% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .30 16% .34 71% .24 1.14 66% 38% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 16% .33 73% .25
Nov
8		 Utah C D+ F F F+ 60% 12% 28% A D B+ A- A D A+ F A- B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 52% 8% 40% F A+ D F F C- F A F+
1.04 54% 14% 25% -9 +3 0.90 36% 1.2 .43 18% .40 61% .24 1.08 50% 20% 24% -12 +3 0.84 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 66% .29
Nov
12		 Utah St. B- F C+ F F 37% 16% 47% B F+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ B F B A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% B A+ A- F C- F F D F
1.03 39% 38% 26% -13 0 0.78 33% 1.6 .54 18% .48 75% .36 1.17 74% 33% 13% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.5 .46 8% .45 76% .34
Nov
15		 UC Irvine D+ B- F F F+ 48% 23% 29% B D- C F+ D C+ A+ C A+ B- D- A- A C 48% 28% 24% D+ C C B B- C- F C- F
0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26 1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40
Nov
19		 Campbell B A+ D B A 37% 23% 40% D+ A- B+ F+ C B- A- F B- D B+ F A+ A 62% 10% 28% F B+ D F F C F F F
1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24 1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46
Nov
22		 Texas Arlington C+ B F+ D+ C+ 40% 26% 34% C+ C+ D+ A+ B+ C F+ A+ C D- F+ A+ C+ D 58% 12% 31% F D- A F+ B- D A+ F A
1.10 65% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.7 .41 17% .31 88% .27 1.11 63% 17% 31% -1 +3 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 18% .22 83% .18
Nov
29		 UMKC C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% B+ A+ B- F F F A+ C A C F B+ A- D- 36% 26% 38% C D- A+ A- A C C A+ B+
1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26 0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13
Dec
3		 Oral Roberts B- A+ F C+ A- 65% 11% 25% A- A D+ D- D- B+ D A- C- B A+ B F C- 36% 11% 53% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ B- D+ B+ C-
1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22 0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22
Dec
7		 St. Thomas F+ F+ F C F+ 51% 17% 32% B- D- C+ F+ C- F A+ F B- D- F F B D+ 47% 6% 47% D- D B- F F C- C+ F+ C-
0.92 50% 25% 33% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 24% .38 60% .23 1.25 76% 67% 32% +9 +3 1.25 19% 2.2 .41 14% .28 76% .22
Dec
10		 UMKC F F+ D F F 50% 17% 33% B- F D- B- D+ F B F D A B D- A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% F A D+ D+ D+ B F C+ F
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16 0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24
Dec
17		 Utah Valley B+ C- F C D- 60% 16% 24% A D+ A+ C- A- A+ B F+ C+ F D- F F F 47% 9% 45% D+ F F F F C- D+ F D-
1.13 53% 13% 33% -7 +2 0.92 42% 1.0 .42 14% .37 67% .25 1.37 68% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.30 50% 1.4 .69 20% .32 76% .25
Dec
20		 Utah Tech B C+ F A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F F F C- A+ B- A+ F F F D+ F 28% 28% 44% A+ F C A+ A D- F B+ F
1.20 64% 0% 53% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40 1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26
Jan
1		 Portland St. C+ C+ F D- C- 42% 14% 44% B C C- D+ D+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F+ B A+ F C 45% 16% 39% D+ C C- C- D+ F F B D-
1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39 1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26
Jan
3		 Sacramento St. B- F D- A+ C+ 49% 16% 35% C C+ C+ B- C+ C+ A+ B A+ C- F A+ D- F 21% 37% 42% A+ F+ D+ A+ B+ A- D A+ B-
1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40 1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24
Jan
8		 Northern Arizona B F+ F A D+ 44% 7% 48% B C- C B+ B- A+ F F F B- C- D+ A+ A 43% 11% 47% F B+ C F F+ F+ D B- D+
1.24 50% 25% 42% +1 +2 1.09 33% 1.2 .41 8% .12 43% .05 1.04 60% 40% 23% -7 +2 0.91 24% 1.4 .32 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
10		 Northern Colorado B- D+ A D+ C- 73% 4% 22% A+ B- B F D+ C- A+ F+ A+ B- D A- A+ A+ 55% 21% 23% D A F B+ F+ C- F F+ F
1.14 55% 50% 30% -3 +5 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .57 70% .40 1.07 65% 30% 9% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 17% .36 80% .29
Jan
15		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A+ C 56% 10% 34% A- C+ B C B- C- A+ B A+ C+ C+ C- B- B- 45% 31% 24% B B B F F B- F F F
1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39 1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37
Jan
17		 Idaho F F F F F 44% 16% 40% A F A- C- B F A+ C- A+ B C F A+ A- 44% 13% 44% D- B A F F+ A F A F
0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47 0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28
Jan
22		 Montana D+ A F C- B+ 51% 15% 34% A B+ D F F D+ A F B- F F A+ F F 45% 13% 43% D- F D+ F F B+ A+ D A
1.01 71% 29% 31% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.4 .10 17% .37 60% .22 1.25 81% 17% 50% +18 +1 1.40 25% 1.6 .40 23% .20 80% .16
Jan
24		 Montana St. A D- A A+ A 61% 4% 35% A+ A+ D C- D A B B- B F F+ F F F 35% 18% 47% F+ F F C+ F+ C+ F F F
1.25 48% 50% 58% +7 +4 1.24 25% 1.0 .25 11% .30 79% .24 1.29 67% 56% 46% +15 0 1.31 38% 1.0 .38 17% .36 90% .32
Jan
31		 Idaho St. C+ F F+ A+ C- 40% 22% 38% C- C- B+ C- B D+ B- B- B F+ D F F F 47% 12% 41% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- B F+ C+
1.20 45% 36% 47% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 16% .36 80% .28 1.17 63% 67% 43% +11 +2 1.27 19% 0.4 .08 16% .27 80% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Sacramento St. C+ C+ C F+ D 47% 12% 42% C+ D+ D+ A+ B- B C B C+ F F B+ F F 42% 21% 38% F+ F B- A+ A B F C F
1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24 1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44
Feb
5		 Northern Colorado C- D+ A+ F D 54% 15% 31% B D+ B- F F A- B+ A A F F+ F F F 44% 15% 41% D F B F F F+ B+ B A-
1.10 54% 75% 13% -7 +2 0.92 30% 0.5 .15 9% .39 83% .32 1.30 71% 50% 41% +12 +1 1.28 24% 2.0 .48 13% .17 70% .12
Feb
7		 Northern Arizona C+ D A+ B- D+ 56% 7% 37% A C B C B- B- A+ D- A+ A C A C+ B 27% 25% 48% B B C+ A+ A C- F+ A D+
1.23 54% 67% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 15% .52 69% .36 0.90 58% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 23% 0.5 .11 15% .34 59% .20
Feb
12		 Idaho A+ B F A+ B+ 44% 34% 22% C- B C+ B+ B A+ C A+ A- C- D- A+ C+ C 42% 6% 52% F C- A- A+ A+ F C D C-
1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31 1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22
Feb
14		 Eastern Washington F D- A- F F 48% 21% 31% C- F F F F B- A+ B+ A+ D- F B F+ F 62% 6% 32% F F A+ F+ A C F+ F+ F
0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36 1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +4 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31
Feb
19		 Montana St. C+ B C+ D- B- 46% 30% 25% D C+ B+ F+ C A- B- D+ C+ C- F C- A D- 34% 26% 40% C D- A+ A A+ C+ D D D
1.13 62% 41% 29% +1 -1 1.02 37% 0.9 .33 12% .30 74% .22 1.09 83% 43% 29% +7 -1 1.13 19% 0.8 .16 16% .30 78% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 1.3 2.3 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 11.6 4.0 16.0 3rd
4th 6.8 14.9 0.4 22.1 4th
5th 1.4 23.5 3.1 27.9 5th
6th 11.6 12.2 0.0 23.8 6th
7th 6.5 0.2 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 19.4 43.0 30.9 6.7 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 6.1
10-8 30.9% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.0 1.8 0.4 28.7
9-9 43.0% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.2 2.3 40.5
8-10 19.4% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 18.7
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 15.5 94.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.6% 100.0% 14.5 1.7 42.8 54.9 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 11.0%