Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#226
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#194
Pace74.2#62
Improvement-1.5#293

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#223
First Shot-3.5#273
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#86
Layup/Dunks+1.8#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#347
Freethrows+2.9#39
Improvement-1.4#302

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#231
First Shot-1.6#227
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#208
Layups/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#100
Freethrows-2.2#309
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 17.7% 21.3% 6.5%
.500 or above in Conference 39.3% 42.2% 30.0%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.6% 9.2% 14.7%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round2.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 64 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 40 @Wisconsin L 64-96 5%     0 - 1 -17.3 -3.4 -13.5
  Thu, Nov 6 67 @West Virginia L 65-73 9%     0 - 2 +3.4 +0.9 +2.2
  Sun, Nov 9 244 Western Michigan W 91-82 65%     1 - 2 +1.3 +1.7 -1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 215 @Weber St. L 85-91 37%     1 - 3 -6.3 +7.8 -13.8
  Fri, Nov 21 175 Texas Arlington W 71-67 40%     2 - 3 +2.9 -3.2 +5.9
  Tue, Nov 25 49 @Wake Forest L 51-99 6%     2 - 4 -34.2 -16.5 -16.5
  Tue, Dec 2 111 @Penn St. L 76-87 16%     2 - 5 -4.3 +0.6 -4.4
  Sun, Dec 14 309 Ball St. W 75-68 76%    
  Wed, Dec 17 4 @Gonzaga L 65-93 0.4%   
  Sun, Dec 21 102 @Minnesota L 65-76 15%    
  Tue, Dec 23 277 Green Bay W 77-71 70%    
  Mon, Dec 29 123 @Hofstra L 69-78 19%    
  Wed, Dec 31 203 @Monmouth L 73-77 36%    
  Sat, Jan 3 212 Northeastern W 77-74 59%    
  Thu, Jan 8 213 Hampton W 75-72 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 181 @Elon L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 107 @UNC Wilmington L 68-79 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 174 @College of Charleston L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 203 Monmouth W 76-74 58%    
  Thu, Jan 29 207 Stony Brook W 75-73 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 121 @William & Mary L 78-88 19%    
  Thu, Feb 5 270 Drexel W 74-69 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 313 @N.C. A&T W 77-75 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 174 College of Charleston W 76-75 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 121 William & Mary L 81-85 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 107 UNC Wilmington L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 270 @Drexel L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 28 137 @Towson L 67-75 23%    
  Tue, Mar 3 313 N.C. A&T W 80-72 75%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.0 0.5 10.0 7th
8th 0.5 3.9 5.1 1.2 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.6 2.2 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.7 5.0 2.9 0.2 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 8.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.0 5.9 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.4 9.1 11.9 13.8 13.9 12.8 10.0 7.7 4.5 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 84.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 59.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 27.1% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 31.5% 31.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 17.8% 17.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 13.5% 13.5% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.5% 11.3% 11.3% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
12-6 4.5% 8.3% 8.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.1
11-7 7.7% 5.7% 5.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 7.2
10-8 10.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.6
9-9 12.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.5
8-10 13.9% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.7
7-11 13.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.6
6-12 11.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.9
5-13 9.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.4% 6.4
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.5 97.7 0.0%