West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.6 318
Expected Predictive Rating -7.9 293
Pace 70.8 117
Improvement +0.0 184

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 296 D- C C D F
Defense D 311 D C+ D C- F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 326 D- 50% 342 -5.9 348
2 Pt. Jumpers 65% 6 C 38% 183 +5.2 11
Three Pointers 33% 336 D 30% 313 -5.9 342
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.1 357 D -4.5 321
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 348
Second Chance C 29.8% 199 C+ 1.05 147 C 0.31 175
Turnovers C 16.7% 171
Freethrows D 0.27 299 C- 71% 239 D 0.19 301
Total Offense D+ -4.8 296

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 172 C+ 10.4% 139
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 200 B+ 2.4% 29
Three Pointers D- 76% 331 C 1.0% 211
Total D- 47% 327 B 4.6% 68

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 3 D+ 62% 286 +7.7 362
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 301 C- 40% 255 -1.2 98
Three Pointers 35% 338 D+ 36% 250 -2.3 84
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +1.2 354 D+ +2.8 290
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 313
Second Chance C- 31.2% 216 B- 0.98 100 C+ 0.30 160
Turnovers D 14.9% 299
Freethrows D+ 0.33 258 C 72% 172 C- 0.24 249
Total Defense D -4.8 311

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 216 B- 13.5% 80
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 119 C+ 5.8% 108
Three Pointers C 83% 153 C- 0.7% 204
Total C 55% 158 B 7.7% 46

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 236 16.3 28
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 240 0.25 358
Improvement -0.4 #209 +0.4 #159

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 328 316 302
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 9 7 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 5% 26% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Queens (Away) - 17.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  34% 0 - 1 D -11 F+ -10 F B A- C -1 A F C-
 Mon, Nov 10 39 @UCLA L 62 - 83 2% -11  0% 0 - 2 C- -5 C- -2 A C- F D+ -4 D B B+
 Fri, Nov 14 342 The Citadel W 100 - 92 71% +8  91% 1 - 2 D+ -7 A- +9 C+ A B+ F -17 F B- F
 Mon, Nov 17 314 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 38% +6  79% 2 - 2 C- -4 F -15 F F F A +11 A C+ B+
 Fri, Nov 21 302 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 55% +4  79% 3 - 2 C- -3 D- -8 D A- F B +4 A B F+
 Sun, Nov 23 141 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 11% -3  31% 3 - 3 D- -12 F+ -8 D- D A- D+ -3 D D- C
 Mon, Dec 1 146 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 11% -0  42% 4 - 3 B- +8 C+ +2 D D+ A+ B+ +5 D A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 314 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 61% -10  10% 4 - 4 F -40 F -23 F C+ F F -18 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 262 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 46% -9  0% 4 - 5 F+ -15 C +1 D- A+ F F -15 D- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 36 @Georgia L 74 - 103 2% -16  0% 4 - 6 D- -12 D- -7 F+ C C- C +0 A- F+ D
 Thu, Jan 1 287 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 52% +10  97% 5 - 6 1 - 0 D -8 C+ +2 F+ D- A+ F -10 F+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 278 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 51% -1  33% 6 - 6 2 - 0 C+ +2 B +6 D+ A- B D+ -3 D+ D+ F+
 Thu, Jan 8 339 @North Florida W 85 - 73 47% +6  98% 7 - 6 3 - 0 C+ +3 C- -1 D+ C- C- B +4 B+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 308 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 35% -17  1% 7 - 7 3 - 1 F -38 F -27 F F F F -17 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 327 @Stetson L 86 - 95 43% -4  6% 7 - 8 3 - 2 F+ -17 C+ +2 F+ B B+ F -18 F C B-
 Sat, Jan 17 253 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 24% -3  25% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -20 D- -6 D- F A- F -14 F F C-
 Thu, Jan 22 180 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 30% -9  24% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -25 F -10 D A+ F F -16 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 204 Queens W 74 - 66 35% +4  84% 8 - 10 4 - 4 C+ +2 D -6 B- F D- A +8 A D B
 Wed, Jan 28 287 @Bellarmine L 74 - 77 30% -5  0% 8 - 11 4 - 5 D+ -7 C -0 C- C- C- D- -7 F+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 154 Austin Peay L 78 - 81 26% -6  1% 8 - 12 4 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 D- D+ A+ D+ -3 B A D-
 Thu, Feb 5 339 North Florida L 73 - 81 69% +1  56% 8 - 13 4 - 7 F -23 F -19 F F+ A+ D+ -4 F A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 308 Jacksonville W 87 - 73 58% +6  94% 9 - 13 5 - 7 C+ +2 A- +10 F A+ B+ D- -7 C- D- D+
 Wed, Feb 11 340 @North Alabama W 82 - 73 48% +6  94% 10 - 13 6 - 7 C -0 B+ +8 C+ C A- D- -7 F A F
 Sat, Feb 14 180 @Central Arkansas L 62 - 79 14% -9  1% 10 - 14 6 - 8 F+ -15 F -12 D- D C- D+ -4 C C D-
 Wed, Feb 18 278 @Eastern Kentucky L 80 - 81 OT 29% -3  21% 10 - 15 6 - 9 C- -5 F+ -10 D D C- B +5 B C+ D
 Sat, Feb 21 204 @Queens L 77 - 87 18%
 Wed, Feb 25 190 Lipscomb L 75 - 80 34%
 Sat, Feb 28 340 North Alabama W 76 - 71 69%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 11 -10 D+ -5 C D F D -5 D C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C D D 33% 65% 33% F D- C C+ C C D C- D D D+ C- D+ D+ 49% 17% 35% F+ D C- B- C+ D D+ C C-
1.02 50% 38% 30% -5 -2 0.89 30% 1.0 .31 17% .27 71% .19 1.16 62% 40% 36% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.0 .30 15% .33 72% .19
Nov
3		 Nebraska F+ F+ F F F 14% 46% 40% F F C+ A+ B A- C A+ B C D C+ A+ A+ 40% 6% 54% D A F F+ F C- F A+ F+
0.75 50% 23% 17% -18 -5 0.56 26% 1.1 .28 17% .22 85% .19 1.22 70% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.3 .48 13% .41 64% .26
Nov
10		 UCLA C- F B A+ A+ 18% 32% 50% F A D+ B- C- F D- F F D+ C- F D+ D 44% 26% 30% D- D F A+ B B+ F F F
0.95 25% 43% 50% +8 -3 1.11 26% 1.0 .26 26% .23 45% .10 1.27 63% 55% 38% +9 0 1.19 48% 0.7 .33 17% .48 88% .42
Nov
14		 The Citadel A- B+ C A+ B 48% 32% 20% F+ C+ B+ A A B+ A+ D+ A F C- F F+ F 52% 14% 33% F F D+ A B- F D D+ D
1.32 70% 39% 45% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.3 .48 12% .40 67% .27 1.21 58% 56% 38% +4 +2 1.14 29% 0.7 .21 11% .31 71% .22
Nov
17		 Tennessee Tech F F F+ A+ F 16% 55% 29% F F C F F F C A+ B A F D+ A+ A 36% 22% 42% C A A F C+ B+ F F F
0.91 25% 30% 43% -6 -6 0.78 33% 0.6 .21 19% .30 88% .26 0.88 75% 40% 5% -12 0 0.78 23% 1.3 .29 22% .37 89% .33
Nov
21		 South Carolina Upstate D- D- A- F D+ 50% 35% 15% F+ D A C A- F F A+ D B A A+ A- A+ 48% 14% 38% F A D+ A+ B F+ B A- B+
1.01 50% 44% 25% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 22% .22 83% .18 0.90 44% 13% 29% -13 +2 0.79 31% 0.7 .20 14% .26 63% .16
Nov
23		 Georgia Tech F+ C+ C F D 25% 33% 42% F D- F A+ D A- C- F F+ D+ F+ F+ B+ D 50% 18% 32% F+ D F+ C- D- C D+ A+ B-
0.92 57% 37% 25% -6 -3 0.84 18% 1.4 .25 12% .27 53% .14 1.14 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.14 38% 1.2 .44 18% .32 58% .19
Dec
1		 Troy C+ F+ C- C+ D 42% 31% 28% D D C D D+ A+ C- F F B+ B- F D D 51% 7% 42% D- D B- A+ A+ B+ F A+ D-
1.08 47% 41% 35% -3 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .29 6% .27 50% .14 1.03 52% 75% 38% +2 +3 1.11 31% 0.6 .18 20% .42 62% .26
Dec
6		 Tennessee Tech F F D+ F F 25% 35% 40% F F F+ A+ C+ F B F C+ F F A- F F 50% 26% 24% D+ F A- A+ A+ D- C F+ C-
0.85 33% 35% 21% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.8 .42 20% .34 68% .23 1.25 78% 29% 62% +17 0 1.37 24% 0.3 .08 16% .27 81% .22
Dec
13		 Georgia Southern C D+ F C+ D 38% 27% 35% F D- A+ B+ A+ F C A+ A F C- F C- D- 45% 5% 49% F+ D- F F F D+ D+ F+ D-
1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34 1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29
Dec
22		 Georgia D- F F A F+ 34% 33% 33% F+ F+ F A+ C C- C- A+ A- C A- C+ B A 55% 8% 37% F A- F C- F+ D F A D-
0.88 33% 25% 40% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.3 .30 20% .24 94% .23 1.23 53% 40% 30% -5 +3 0.98 46% 1.1 .50 12% .45 67% .30
Jan
1		 Bellarmine C+ D A+ D D 13% 29% 59% F F+ B F D- A+ B- A B+ F F F B+ D- 61% 11% 28% F F+ C A+ B F F A+ F
1.27 57% 56% 33% +5 -3 1.05 39% 0.8 .30 7% .33 81% .27 1.24 71% 60% 31% +9 +3 1.26 20% 0.8 .16 10% .55 68% .37
Jan
3		 Eastern Kentucky B C- A+ F D+ 50% 30% 20% C- D+ A- B- A- B B- B B D+ C- F B C 33% 9% 58% F D+ B- F D+ F+ A A+ A+
1.26 59% 63% 18% +3 0 1.07 41% 1.1 .44 13% .36 77% .28 1.09 58% 60% 30% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.3 .39 13% .17 50% .08
Jan
8		 North Florida C- C+ B C- C+ 30% 36% 34% F D+ F+ A C- C- B A+ A B F A+ A+ A 41% 7% 52% F+ B+ D F F C- B A- B+
1.19 63% 47% 33% +4 -3 1.06 29% 1.4 .42 13% .32 85% .27 1.02 70% 25% 21% -7 +2 0.93 29% 1.6 .47 18% .19 73% .14
Jan
10		 Jacksonville F A- F F F 40% 31% 29% F+ F F F+ F F A+ F+ A- F A F F F 43% 26% 32% C+ F A+ F A F C F D+
0.73 71% 18% 10% -11 -1 0.77 19% 0.8 .15 25% .50 64% .32 1.27 45% 58% 60% +12 0 1.26 13% 1.3 .17 8% .28 80% .22
Jan
15		 Stetson C+ D- A+ F F+ 41% 22% 37% C- F+ B+ C- B B+ C- A+ B F F+ A+ F F 51% 11% 38% F F C- C+ C B- F D- F
1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23 1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36
Jan
17		 Florida Gulf Coast D- C D+ D+ D 26% 25% 49% F+ D- D F F A- D- F F F F A+ F F 43% 30% 26% C- F C- F F C- F D+ F
1.02 60% 36% 32% -1 -1 0.96 26% 0.7 .19 13% .31 58% .18 1.28 80% 21% 50% +11 -1 1.22 32% 1.5 .48 17% .61 75% .46
Jan
22		 Central Arkansas F D- A+ F D 40% 19% 42% C- D A A+ A+ F A+ D- A F D- F+ F F 44% 13% 43% D- F A+ F A+ F A D A-
0.96 53% 63% 28% -1 0 1.00 38% 1.5 .58 33% .40 67% .26 1.28 67% 43% 52% +16 +1 1.37 11% 1.3 .15 12% .19 73% .13
Jan
24		 Queens D C B- A+ A- 30% 38% 32% F B- B- F F D- B+ F C A A+ A+ C- A+ 56% 8% 35% F A F+ C D B C A+ B+
1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26 0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18
Jan
28		 Bellarmine C F B- A+ B- 20% 38% 42% F C- D+ B- C- C- F F F D- F D+ C D- 54% 10% 35% D- F+ F+ B D+ F A- D- B+
1.20 50% 42% 52% +12 -4 1.18 32% 1.2 .39 16% .15 38% .06 1.25 73% 40% 35% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.0 .26 11% .22 83% .18
Jan
31		 Austin Peay D+ D+ D C- D- 43% 31% 26% D D- F B D+ A+ A- C- B+ D+ C F A+ A- 44% 11% 44% F B A- A+ A D- F F F
1.04 56% 33% 33% -3 -1 0.95 21% 0.9 .18 11% .37 68% .25 1.08 55% 60% 20% -8 +2 0.89 22% 0.9 .19 13% .63 83% .53
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 North Florida F F+ F F F 27% 30% 42% F F D- D F+ A+ D C D D+ D F F+ F 45% 11% 43% D- F C- A+ A+ B+ F+ A- D
0.98 50% 20% 21% -16 -2 0.67 30% 1.1 .34 3% .24 71% .17 1.09 63% 50% 39% +7 +2 1.19 26% 0.6 .15 22% .31 72% .22
Feb
7		 Jacksonville A- D+ F+ D+ F 46% 28% 26% D F A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ D- C- A A C+ 56% 14% 30% F C- F+ C- D- D+ F B- F
1.29 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 47% 1.2 .58 12% .54 72% .39 1.08 57% 29% 27% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.1 .37 16% .44 68% .30
Feb
11		 North Alabama B+ D B- A+ B+ 33% 31% 37% F C+ D+ B+ C A- D A+ C- D- D C+ F F 53% 23% 25% C F A A A F B- C- C+
1.27 53% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.13 31% 1.3 .41 11% .24 86% .21 1.13 61% 33% 46% +5 +1 1.13 22% 0.9 .19 12% .28 69% .19
Feb
14		 Central Arkansas F F+ B C- D- 41% 29% 31% D- D- D+ D- D C- D+ F F D+ B A+ D- C+ 50% 10% 40% F C F+ A- C D- C- F D-
0.90 50% 43% 33% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.0 .25 20% .26 50% .13 1.15 54% 20% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 13% .28 82% .23
Feb
18		 Eastern Kentucky F+ C A+ F C 23% 40% 37% F D D- C D C- B- F F B D A+ A- B 30% 30% 40% B- B C+ C+ C+ D D- B D+
1.00 62% 57% 29% +5 -4 1.05 27% 1.0 .27 16% .36 50% .18 1.02 63% 26% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 1.1 .33 15% .31 67% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.6 9.2 3.8 13.5 5th
6th 10.3 16.3 0.9 27.5 6th
7th 1.1 26.4 3.6 31.1 7th
8th 5.9 10.2 16.1 8th
9th 8.7 1.1 9.8 9th
10th 2.1 2.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 17.7 48.6 29.0 4.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 4.7% 4.7
8-10 29.0% 29.0
7-11 48.6% 48.6
6-12 17.7% 17.7
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.7%
Lose Out 17.7%