West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.6#349
Expected Predictive Rating-15.5#353
Pace68.6#192
Improvement-0.3#201

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#351
First Shot-8.7#357
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#104
Layup/Dunks-1.4#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#346
Freethrows-3.8#345
Improvement+0.3#147

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#332
First Shot-3.0#274
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#325
Layups/Dunks-1.6#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#263
Freethrows+1.0#121
Improvement-0.6#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.8% 6.0% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 43.8% 39.7% 48.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Tech (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 14
Quad 45 - 125 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 15   @ Mississippi St. L 60-95 1%     0 - 1 -16.8 -7.1 -8.3
  Nov 06, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech L 62-85 5%     0 - 2 -16.4 -12.1 -2.9
  Nov 12, 2024 330   @ Tennessee Tech L 73-76 29%     0 - 3 -9.8 -6.8 -2.9
  Nov 15, 2024 148   @ South Florida L 55-74 7%     0 - 4 -15.4 -12.2 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2024 125   Troy L 65-84 14%     0 - 5 -19.9 -1.7 -20.0
  Nov 23, 2024 235   @ Georgia Southern L 54-64 14%     0 - 6 -11.0 -19.3 +8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 184   Utah Valley L 74-77 14%     0 - 7 -4.1 +0.0 -4.0
  Nov 27, 2024 187   North Dakota St. L 61-73 15%     0 - 8 -13.3 -13.5 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2024 121   @ Samford L 65-86 6%     0 - 9 -15.5 -8.8 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2024 232   @ Mercer L 72-86 14%     0 - 10 -14.8 +2.2 -17.9
  Dec 07, 2024 330   Tennessee Tech W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 17, 2024 205   @ Charlotte L 60-74 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 188   Florida Gulf Coast L 63-71 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 329   Stetson L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 10, 2025 238   @ Austin Peay L 60-71 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 105   @ Lipscomb L 61-81 4%    
  Jan 16, 2025 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-74 9%    
  Jan 18, 2025 329   @ Stetson L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 212   Jacksonville L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 182   North Florida L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 29, 2025 337   @ Central Arkansas L 67-72 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 290   @ Queens L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 105   Lipscomb L 64-78 11%    
  Feb 08, 2025 214   North Alabama L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 207   @ Eastern Kentucky L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 333   @ Bellarmine L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 18, 2025 214   @ North Alabama L 65-78 12%    
  Feb 20, 2025 337   Central Arkansas W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 24, 2025 290   Queens L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 238   Austin Peay L 63-68 31%    
Projected Record 5 - 25 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.1 0.8 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.3 0.1 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.3 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 4.8 7.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 16.9 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 7.1 8.5 4.3 0.8 0.0 23.1 11th
12th 2.0 6.2 9.8 8.4 3.4 0.7 0.0 30.5 12th
Total 2.0 6.4 12.1 16.5 17.3 15.6 12.1 8.3 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 22.2% 0.0    0.0
13-5 15.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.2% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3
9-9 2.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.7
8-10 4.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.7
7-11 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
6-12 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-13 15.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
4-14 17.3% 17.3
3-15 16.5% 16.5
2-16 12.1% 12.1
1-17 6.4% 6.4
0-18 2.0% 2.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%