West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#312
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#206
Pace69.5#184
Improvement-2.0#311

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#291
First Shot-4.9#316
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#142
Layup/Dunks-3.7#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#320
Freethrows-1.8#293
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#319
First Shot-3.1#286
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#276
Layups/Dunks-5.9#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#56
Freethrows-0.9#242
Improvement-1.9#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 20.4% 51.7% 20.3%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 51.7% 31.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 0.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.5% 6.0% 13.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 49 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 24 @Nebraska L 53-86 2%     0 - 1 -15.0 -12.1 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 10 30 @UCLA L 62-83 2%     0 - 2 -3.8 +0.8 -6.1
  Fri, Nov 14 354 The Citadel W 100-92 77%     1 - 2 -8.6 +9.2 -18.5
  Mon, Nov 17 240 @Tennessee Tech W 61-59 25%     2 - 2 +0.3 -9.2 +9.5
  Fri, Nov 21 260 South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 49%     3 - 2 -0.5 -5.1 +4.5
  Sun, Nov 23 127 @Georgia Tech L 66-82 10%     3 - 3 -10.9 -3.4 -7.1
  Mon, Dec 1 143 @Troy W 93-89 2OT 12%     4 - 3 +8.1 +4.7 +2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 240 Tennessee Tech L 59-87 46%     4 - 4 -35.7 -16.9 -18.9
  Sat, Dec 13 219 Georgia Southern L 85-91 41%     4 - 5 -12.5 +4.0 -16.3
  Mon, Dec 22 19 @Georgia L 69-97 0.4%   
  Thu, Jan 1 274 Bellarmine W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 241 Eastern Kentucky L 74-75 46%    
  Thu, Jan 8 350 @North Florida W 82-81 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 311 @Jacksonville L 70-73 39%    
  Thu, Jan 15 346 @Stetson W 74-73 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 183 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-81 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 283 Central Arkansas W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 211 Queens L 79-81 41%    
  Wed, Jan 28 274 @Bellarmine L 72-78 31%    
  Sat, Jan 31 190 Austin Peay L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Feb 5 350 North Florida W 85-78 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 311 Jacksonville W 73-70 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 214 @North Alabama L 68-76 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 283 @Central Arkansas L 71-76 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 241 @Eastern Kentucky L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 @Queens L 76-84 23%    
  Wed, Feb 25 142 Lipscomb L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 28 214 North Alabama L 71-73 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.0 1.7 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.6 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.9 4.1 0.5 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.6 4.8 0.8 0.0 13.1 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 5.1 4.8 1.1 0.0 13.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.4 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.4 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.8 12th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.7 8.4 11.4 13.4 14.2 13.1 11.3 8.1 5.8 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 85.7% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 81.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 49.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.4% 0.4
14-4 0.8% 0.8
13-5 1.8% 1.8
12-6 3.4% 3.4
11-7 5.8% 5.8
10-8 8.1% 8.1
9-9 11.3% 11.3
8-10 13.1% 13.1
7-11 14.2% 14.2
6-12 13.4% 13.4
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 8.4% 8.4
3-15 4.7% 4.7
2-16 2.3% 2.3
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%