South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#335
Expected Predictive Rating-17.5#344
Pace70.2#145
Improvement-0.3#209

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#318
First Shot-4.6#303
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#236
Layup/Dunks-4.0#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#90
Freethrows-3.3#337
Improvement+0.9#102

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#340
First Shot-3.8#290
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#331
Layups/Dunks-3.0#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#78
Freethrows-3.9#333
Improvement-1.3#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 1.9% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 8.8% 19.7% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 35.1% 18.1% 35.3%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 11
Quad 45 - 106 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 118   @ South Carolina L 60-78 5%     0 - 1 -11.5 -15.1 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2021 220   @ Charlotte L 64-76 11%     0 - 2 -11.4 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 18, 2021 131   @ East Tennessee St. L 43-56 6%     0 - 3 -7.7 -21.7 +12.5
  Nov 23, 2021 352   @ South Carolina St. W 82-78 52%     1 - 3 -9.1 -1.4 -7.9
  Nov 27, 2021 110   Furman L 77-87 11%     1 - 4 -9.1 +5.7 -15.3
  Dec 01, 2021 334   NC Central L 65-67 61%     1 - 5 -17.6 -13.6 -4.0
  Dec 04, 2021 296   Western Carolina L 73-78 42%     1 - 6 -15.6 -6.5 -9.2
  Dec 11, 2021 51   @ Wake Forest L 61-86 1%    
  Dec 14, 2021 13   @ Tennessee L 56-87 0.2%   
  Dec 21, 2021 89   @ Ohio L 63-85 2%    
  Jan 05, 2022 253   Radford L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 08, 2022 276   @ Presbyterian L 62-71 19%    
  Jan 12, 2022 263   High Point L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 15, 2022 255   @ UNC Asheville L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 19, 2022 216   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-76 11%    
  Jan 22, 2022 342   Charleston Southern W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 26, 2022 157   Winthrop L 73-83 18%    
  Jan 29, 2022 284   @ N.C. A&T L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 02, 2022 333   @ Hampton L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 05, 2022 171   Campbell L 61-70 20%    
  Feb 09, 2022 218   @ Longwood L 62-75 12%    
  Feb 12, 2022 255   UNC Asheville L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 16, 2022 276   Presbyterian L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 342   @ Charleston Southern L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 23, 2022 157   @ Winthrop L 70-86 7%    
  Feb 26, 2022 216   Gardner-Webb L 65-73 25%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 4 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.2 1.1 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.4 2.7 0.2 8.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 5.6 4.5 0.7 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 7.8 6.3 1.4 0.0 18.9 10th
11th 0.5 4.6 9.1 6.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 22.6 11th
12th 2.1 6.5 8.1 4.8 1.1 0.1 22.6 12th
Total 2.1 7.0 12.9 17.2 17.4 15.0 11.7 8.0 4.6 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 90.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 43.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 10.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-6 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-7 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.4
8-8 4.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.5
7-9 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.9
6-10 11.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.7
5-11 15.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-12 17.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.4
3-13 17.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.2
2-14 12.9% 12.9
1-15 7.0% 7.0
0-16 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%