IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.7	#270
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.0	#244

Pace	71.4	#128
Improvement	-1.2	#259

Offense
Total Offense	-4.3	#287

First Shot	-3.2	#267
After Offensive Rebound	-1.0	#250

Layup/Dunks	-1.4	#236
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.2	#107
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.6	#272
Freethrows	-0.4	#208

Improvement	-0.8	#239

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#210

First Shot	+0.0	#166
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.4	#291

Layups/Dunks	-1.6	#242
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#179
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#123
Freethrows	-0.3	#205

Improvement	-0.4	#209

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	4.2%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	26.8%	35.0%	14.4%
.500 or above in Conference	49.0%	59.9%	32.5%
Conference Champion	2.4%	3.6%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	3.9%	1.9%	6.9%

First Four	1.5%	1.5%	1.7%
First Round	3.0%	3.6%	2.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 7	13 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 3	131 @California Baptist	L	75-87	16%	0 - 1			-7.2	+3.9	-10.9
Wed, Nov 5	186 @Fresno St.	W	67-66	25%	1 - 1			+2.2	-5.6	+7.8
Sat, Nov 15	120 @UNC Wilmington	L	60-73	14%	1 - 2			-7.1	-2.9	-6.1
Wed, Nov 19	284 Tennessee Tech	L	84-88	65%	1 - 3			-13.6	-1.2	-12.0
Fri, Nov 21	316 @West Georgia	L	64-72	51%	1 - 4			-14.0	-12.6	-1.3
Tue, Nov 25	349 NC Central	W	82-67	82%	2 - 4			-0.3	+5.3	-5.3
Sat, Nov 29	25 @Nebraska	L	63-72	2%	2 - 5			+8.9	-3.1	+12.2
Wed, Dec 3	250 Coastal Carolina	W	85-78 OT	59%	3 - 5			-1.0	+0.2	-2.1
Sat, Dec 6	301 Western Carolina	W	78-67	68%	4 - 5			+0.4	-1.3	+1.4
Sat, Dec 13	22 @North Carolina	L	62-80	2%	4 - 6			+0.3	+4.2	-5.6
Tue, Dec 16	357 @South Carolina St.	W	78-72	72%	5 - 6			-5.9	+3.1	-8.7
Sat, Dec 20	165 @Youngstown St.	L	65-74	21%	5 - 7			-6.4	-5.6	-0.6
Wed, Dec 31	263 Radford	W	82-79	60%
Sat, Jan 3	285 @Presbyterian	L	67-69	42%
Sat, Jan 10	124 Winthrop	L	76-81	33%
Wed, Jan 14	240 @Charleston Southern	L	74-78	34%
Sat, Jan 17	107 @High Point	L	73-86	12%
Wed, Jan 21	231 UNC Asheville	W	73-71	56%
Sat, Jan 24	362 @Gardner-Webb	W	80-73	73%
Thu, Jan 29	298 Longwood	W	78-73	67%
Wed, Feb 4	231 @UNC Asheville	L	70-74	34%
Sat, Feb 7	240 Charleston Southern	W	77-75	57%
Thu, Feb 12	107 High Point	L	76-83	26%
Sat, Feb 14	298 @Longwood	L	75-76	45%
Thu, Feb 19	124 @Winthrop	L	73-84	16%
Sat, Feb 21	285 Presbyterian	W	70-66	64%
Thu, Feb 26	263 @Radford	L	79-82	39%
Sat, Feb 28	362 Gardner-Webb	W	83-70	88%
Projected Record					12 - 16	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd									0.0	0.6	2.3	3.0	1.6	0.3	0.0				7.8	2nd
3rd								0.1	2.0	6.2	5.8	2.0	0.3	0.0					16.5	3rd
4th							0.1	2.7	8.0	6.0	1.3	0.1							18.1	4th
5th						0.1	2.3	7.8	5.5	0.9	0.0								16.7	5th
6th					0.1	2.0	6.8	5.3	0.7	0.0									15.0	6th
7th			0.0	0.2	2.0	5.6	4.2	0.7	0.0										12.8	7th
8th		0.0	0.4	1.9	3.5	2.7	0.5												9.0	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0													1.8	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	1.0	2.8	5.9	10.4	14.0	16.6	16.2	13.7	9.5	5.6	2.6	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	93.2%	0.3		0.3	0.0
13-3	68.1%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
12-4	30.0%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1
11-5	8.2%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.1	1.0	0.3	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																	0.0		0.0				0.0
15-1	0.1%		33.3%	33.3%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.3%		25.2%	25.2%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-3	1.0%		16.9%	16.9%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.8
12-4	2.6%		10.5%	10.5%		15.0															0.1	0.2	0.1	2.4
11-5	5.6%		8.7%	8.7%		15.3															0.0	0.3	0.2	5.1
10-6	9.5%		5.8%	5.8%		15.6															0.0	0.2	0.3	8.9
9-7	13.7%		5.1%	5.1%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	13.0
8-8	16.2%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																0.0	0.5	15.6
7-9	16.6%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.4	16.2
6-10	14.0%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	13.7
5-11	10.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
4-12	5.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
3-13	2.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.8
2-14	1.0%																							1.0
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.6												0.0		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.4	96.3		0.0%