South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.0 302
Expected Predictive Rating -8.3 300
Pace 69.8 138
Improvement -3.6 313

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 335 D+ D+ C- D+ C
Defense C- 221 C D+ D+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 114 D 52% 313 -1.1 223
2 Pt. Jumpers 42% 122 D+ 35% 268 +0.2 166
Three Pointers 36% 278 C- 33% 216 -2.7 273
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 206 D -3.5 301
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 290
Second Chance C- 28.2% 243 D 0.93 306 D+ 0.26 286
Turnovers C- 17.9% 255
Freethrows C 0.30 206 D+ 69% 278 D+ 0.21 248
Total Offense D -6.5 335

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 186 D+ 12.8% 280
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 340 D+ 7.1% 304
Three Pointers D 77% 315 C- 1.1% 238
Total D 50% 305 D- 7.2% 328

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 29 C+ 56% 125 +2.8 277
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 237 B- 36% 90 -1.2 96
Three Pointers 37% 301 C- 35% 237 -1.5 115
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 299 C+ -0.7 153
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 178
Second Chance C- 31.1% 214 D 1.13 310 D+ 0.35 281
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 251
Freethrows C 0.30 193 B- 71% 101 C 0.22 168
Total Defense C- -1.5 221

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 54 C+ 12.5% 114
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 19% 66 B+ 8.7% 31
Three Pointers C+ 82% 109 D 0.2% 320
Total B 50% 71 B 7.3% 62

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 113 17.0 132
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 182 0.16 122
Improvement -2.7 #314 -0.9 #241

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 316 299 275
Conference Record 4 - 12 5 - 11 6 - 10
Conference Finish 8 8 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 1% 0% 1%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 42 - 11
Quad 49 - 810 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 139 @California Baptist L 75 - 87 13% -8  1% 0 - 1 D+ -8 C+ +4 B- C+ F F -11 F B+ F
 Wed, Nov 5 133 @Fresno St. W 67 - 66 12% -4  23% 1 - 1 B- +6 D -5 B C+ F A +11 A+ F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 111 @UNC Wilmington L 60 - 73 9% -8  11% 1 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -4 D B- F+ D+ -4 C F B-
 Wed, Nov 19 314 Tennessee Tech L 84 - 88 66% -3  15% 1 - 3 F+ -16 D -6 C+ F B+ F -10 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 318 @West Georgia L 64 - 72 45% -4  15% 1 - 4 F+ -15 F -16 F F+ C+ C+ +1 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 350 NC Central W 82 - 67 79% +10  96% 2 - 4 C -1 C -0 A D F C -1 A F+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 13 @Nebraska L 63 - 72 1% -2  41% 2 - 5 B+ +13 C- -1 C+ C- A A+ +14 A B- A
 Wed, Dec 3 238 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 78 OT 47% -7  9% 3 - 5 C -0 C- -2 C D- D+ C+ +1 C A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 254 Western Carolina W 78 - 67 51% +4  87% 4 - 5 C+ +3 D -6 D- C- D- A +8 A+ B D-
 Sat, Dec 13 30 @North Carolina L 62 - 80 2% -8  5% 4 - 6 C -0 C -0 C B- A- C- -2 C C+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 357 @South Carolina St. W 78 - 72 65% +6  94% 5 - 6 D+ -6 C +1 C+ C- C+ D- -7 F D- D-
 Sat, Dec 20 196 @Youngstown St. L 65 - 74 20% -8  2% 5 - 7 D -8 F -11 F C- D+ B- +3 C- A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 234 Radford L 69 - 76 46% -4  14% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D- -14 F -14 F C C- C+ +0 C D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 272 @Presbyterian L 77 - 86 33% -4  16% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D- -12 C +1 B D D- F -13 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 136 Winthrop L 50 - 71 27% -15  6% 5 - 10 0 - 3 F -23 F -25 F D F C+ +2 C- C+ B
 Wed, Jan 14 258 @Charleston Southern W 86 - 81 OT 30% -1  25% 6 - 10 1 - 3 C+ +3 C +0 F+ A- B B- +2 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 89 @High Point L 69 - 89 6% -7  1% 6 - 11 1 - 4 D -11 C- -2 F B C F+ -9 C+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 226 UNC Asheville L 69 - 83 44% -6  0% 6 - 12 1 - 5 F -21 D -5 B- F A- F -16 F C F+
 Fri, Jan 23 363 @Gardner-Webb L 65 - 67 76% +3  70% 6 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -17 F -14 F F D+ D+ -3 C+ F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 270 Longwood W 65 - 60 54% +2  68% 7 - 13 2 - 6 C- -4 F -14 C F F A +10 B B- A-
 Wed, Feb 4 226 @UNC Asheville L 67 - 76 24% -0  48% 7 - 14 2 - 7 D -10 D -5 D+ F B+ D+ -5 F C C
 Sat, Feb 7 258 Charleston Southern W 100 - 94 OT 52% -0  41% 8 - 14 3 - 7 C- -2 A +12 A D- A+ F -15 D+ F A-
 Thu, Feb 12 89 High Point L 70 - 95 14% -15  1% 8 - 15 3 - 8 F -22 F -11 B- D- F F+ -9 A- F D-
 Sat, Feb 14 270 @Longwood L 75 - 82 OT 32% -3  9% 8 - 16 3 - 9 D -10 F -13 F A+ F B +4 C+ C- D-
 Thu, Feb 19 136 @Winthrop L 64 - 68 12% -2  28% 8 - 17 3 - 10 C +0 D- -8 F D B+ A- +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 272 Presbyterian W 68 - 67 55%
 Thu, Feb 26 234 @Radford L 74 - 81 25%
 Sat, Feb 28 363 Gardner-Webb W 81 - 68 89%
Totals 10 - 18 5 - 11 -8 D -7 D- D C C- -2 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D D+ C- D 41% 42% 36% C D+ C- D D+ C- C D+ D+ C- C+ B- C- C+ 45% 19% 37% D C C- D D+ D+ C B- C
0.99 52% 35% 33% -3 0 0.95 28% 0.9 .26 18% .30 69% .21 1.11 56% 36% 35% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.1 .35 16% .30 71% .21
Nov
3		 California Baptist C+ B B- F B- 44% 25% 31% C B- C- A C+ F A+ D A+ F D- F F F 58% 13% 28% F F C A B+ F D+ A+ B-
1.06 62% 42% 27% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.1 .27 20% .51 69% .35 1.23 61% 71% 40% +9 +2 1.25 37% 0.7 .26 10% .33 57% .19
Nov
5		 Fresno St. D D+ A+ D B 43% 25% 32% C B C+ C+ C+ F A F B A A+ B A+ A+ 41% 12% 47% D- A+ D F F C- F+ A D+
0.95 58% 55% 29% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 31% .35 65% .23 0.93 43% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.73 33% 1.4 .44 17% .37 68% .26
Nov
15		 UNC Wilmington D+ F+ D+ C- D+ 27% 38% 36% F+ D A- D- B- F+ A+ D+ A D+ C B D C 52% 30% 18% D+ C F B F B- F D- F
0.98 50% 35% 31% -5 -3 0.87 35% 0.9 .32 18% .36 72% .26 1.19 57% 31% 38% -2 0 0.98 50% 1.0 .50 16% .54 75% .41
Nov
19		 Tennessee Tech D B- A+ F C- 53% 11% 37% A C+ F+ F F B+ A+ F B- F D- A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F D F F B+ F F+ F
1.09 63% 83% 24% +2 +2 1.11 24% 0.8 .19 12% .40 63% .25 1.14 65% 20% 44% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.3 .45 22% .53 81% .43
Nov
21		 West Georgia F F F F+ F 48% 14% 38% C+ F C F F+ C+ F+ F F C+ B- D- A+ C 50% 35% 15% D- C- F D F A+ B+ F C+
0.90 44% 13% 29% -13 +2 0.79 31% 0.7 .20 14% .26 63% .16 1.01 50% 44% 25% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 22% .22 83% .18
Nov
25		 NC Central C A- F A+ A 48% 16% 36% B- A C+ F D F A+ C A+ C A+ A+ D+ A+ 51% 20% 29% F+ A F C F+ F F C- F
1.19 71% 29% 50% +14 +1 1.32 39% 0.8 .29 23% .49 73% .36 0.97 36% 20% 36% -14 +1 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 13% .54 75% .40
Nov
29		 Nebraska C- F D B B- 15% 32% 53% D C+ D C+ C- A F F F A+ F A+ A- A 28% 18% 54% A A C B+ B- A D C- D
0.88 44% 32% 35% -3 -3 0.90 20% 0.9 .18 15% .13 38% .05 1.00 79% 22% 30% -1 0 1.00 27% 1.0 .27 18% .31 78% .24
Dec
3		 Coastal Carolina C- C- C- C- C- 47% 22% 31% A C C- F D- D+ A+ D- A+ C+ B A+ F C+ 41% 19% 41% F C C A+ A- D- A- D- B+
1.06 52% 38% 33% -3 0 0.97 26% 0.7 .19 14% .52 67% .35 0.97 50% 8% 42% -4 0 0.95 25% 0.6 .15 12% .19 77% .14
Dec
6		 Western Carolina D A+ D F+ D 24% 24% 51% D- D- D- A+ C- D- A+ B A+ A A A+ A+ A+ 46% 20% 34% D+ A+ A+ F B D- F F F
1.09 73% 36% 30% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.3 .28 18% .51 80% .41 0.93 43% 10% 24% -18 +1 0.68 21% 1.3 .29 14% .45 82% .37
Dec
13		 North Carolina C D- D+ B+ B- 19% 39% 42% F C C+ B B- A- F D F C- B B+ F C+ 46% 12% 42% D- C A+ F C+ D- D+ A- C
0.97 45% 32% 38% -3 -4 0.89 27% 1.0 .27 11% .05 67% .04 1.25 57% 33% 43% +4 +2 1.14 23% 1.6 .37 9% .38 64% .24
Dec
16		 South Carolina St. C D+ A+ B+ B- 42% 22% 36% D- C+ D B C- C+ B F C D- F F D F 20% 47% 33% A+ F A+ F D- D- A D- B
1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28 1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16
Dec
20		 Youngstown St. F D- F F F 36% 34% 30% F+ F F+ A+ C- D+ A C+ A B- C- A D- C- 39% 15% 46% C C- B- A+ A+ C- F B- F
0.92 53% 25% 29% -9 -2 0.81 23% 1.3 .29 20% .44 76% .33 1.04 61% 29% 38% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.6 .17 18% .50 69% .35
Dec
31		 Radford F F C+ F F 60% 9% 30% A F B- D C C- F+ B D C+ C B C C 44% 19% 38% C- C C+ F D+ B- D- B- D+
0.95 44% 40% 25% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.0 .36 19% .27 75% .20 1.04 57% 33% 33% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.2 .33 19% .41 71% .29
Jan
3		 Presbyterian C A+ F A+ A 32% 34% 34% F B F A+ D D- A F B F F C- F+ F 37% 44% 20% A+ F C F D- F F D- F
1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23 1.23 80% 39% 38% +9 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51
Jan
10		 Winthrop F F F F F 55% 22% 22% B- F F A+ D F F+ D+ F+ C+ B+ A+ D- C 42% 6% 52% D- C- F A+ C+ B C+ A+ A
0.75 44% 0% 18% -21 +1 0.61 18% 1.4 .26 21% .26 71% .19 1.06 48% 0% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.8 .33 18% .35 58% .20
Jan
14		 Charleston Southern C F C+ F F+ 46% 37% 17% D F+ B- A A- B C F+ D+ B- F F+ C- F 44% 16% 40% C+ F A+ A+ A+ D- F A+ D+
1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -2 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22 1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19
Jan
17		 High Point C- F F C+ F 38% 16% 46% C F A- D+ B C C- B C F+ C+ F A- B- 47% 15% 38% C- C+ D+ F F F C+ B B-
1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23 1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24
Jan
21		 UNC Asheville D F+ A+ B C+ 52% 12% 37% B+ B- D F F A- D- F F F C- A F F 45% 29% 27% F F C+ C- C F+ D- F F
1.03 48% 83% 37% +2 +2 1.10 27% 0.4 .11 12% .26 53% .14 1.24 59% 29% 62% +9 -1 1.18 28% 1.0 .28 13% .38 77% .29
Jan
23		 Gardner-Webb F F F A+ F 43% 23% 34% D+ F F+ F F D+ A+ C- A D+ B+ A+ C B 60% 12% 29% F C+ F C+ F+ D+ B- F C
0.98 40% 27% 44% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.7 .21 17% .40 73% .29 1.01 48% 17% 33% -9 +3 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 18% .24 77% .18
Jan
29		 Longwood F C+ F B- D+ 52% 8% 40% A- C C- F F F D F F A C D A+ B 41% 22% 37% C- B D+ A- B- A- A+ A+ A+
0.92 64% 0% 37% +2 +3 1.10 27% 0.5 .14 26% .31 44% .13 0.85 59% 42% 20% -7 0 0.89 34% 0.8 .26 24% .17 44% .07
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 UNC Asheville D B F D D+ 40% 24% 36% D D+ D F F B+ C- D D+ D+ F B- D F 32% 23% 45% F F B+ F+ C C C- A- C+
0.99 64% 31% 30% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.3 .08 13% .29 65% .19 1.13 80% 36% 38% +9 -1 1.19 25% 1.1 .29 18% .34 63% .22
Feb
7		 Charleston Southern A F+ A+ A+ A 45% 23% 32% B- A B- F D- A+ C- A+ B- F F+ F B C- 37% 5% 58% D D+ F F F A- D+ F F
1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27 1.22 67% 67% 30% +1 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23
Feb
12		 High Point F B F C+ C+ 45% 11% 45% B B- B- F D- F A+ C- A+ F+ B+ B- A- A 47% 5% 48% F+ A- D+ F F D- C- C C-
0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44 1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28
Feb
14		 Longwood F D- F F F 50% 25% 25% D+ F B+ A+ A+ F C+ F D B A+ A+ F B 57% 20% 23% F C+ B- D- C- D- D+ A- C
0.90 54% 29% 21% -9 0 0.84 35% 1.3 .46 25% .37 57% .21 0.98 38% 25% 57% -6 +1 0.93 30% 1.1 .33 17% .34 67% .23
Feb
19		 Winthrop D- F A F F 31% 12% 57% C+ F D- C D B+ B+ B B+ A- A+ F A A+ 50% 5% 45% F A+ D F F A+ F A+ C-
0.95 40% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 23% 1.1 .25 13% .38 77% .29 1.01 33% 100% 26% -15 +3 0.79 37% 1.5 .55 21% .47 60% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 3.6 3.6 6th
7th 6.0 27.9 9.2 43.2 7th
8th 3.9 29.7 19.1 0.6 53.3 8th
9th 9th
Total 3.9 35.7 47.0 13.4 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 13.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.2
5-11 47.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.4 46.6
4-12 35.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 35.6
3-13 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 16.0 99.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%
Lose Out 0.7%