Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#161
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#236
Pace83.5#3
Improvement-0.5#222

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#112
First Shot-1.1#203
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#31
Layup/Dunks-7.2#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.6#9
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement+1.0#80

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#236
First Shot-0.1#170
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#281
Layups/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#59
Freethrows-1.9#285
Improvement-1.5#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.8% 24.0% 17.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 77.4% 87.9% 72.8%
.500 or above in Conference 88.1% 91.3% 86.6%
Conference Champion 24.0% 29.2% 21.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 0.8%
First Four2.7% 1.8% 3.1%
First Round18.7% 23.2% 16.7%
Second Round1.5% 2.0% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 30.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 413 - 417 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 267   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-71 62%     1 - 0 +3.4 +1.2 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2021 164   James Madison L 78-79 62%     1 - 1 -3.8 -5.9 +2.2
  Nov 20, 2021 297   Albany W 77-64 84%     2 - 1 +2.7 -1.4 +3.6
  Nov 22, 2021 346   Eastern Illinois W 82-43 94%     3 - 1 +22.2 -5.8 +23.8
  Nov 26, 2021 48   @ West Virginia L 77-80 13%     3 - 2 +9.6 +15.9 -6.6
  Nov 28, 2021 247   @ Radford L 75-88 58%     3 - 3 -14.6 -0.8 -13.1
  Dec 04, 2021 126   @ Western Kentucky L 78-83 31%    
  Dec 07, 2021 17   @ USC L 67-85 5%    
  Dec 11, 2021 114   Marshall W 91-90 50%    
  Dec 18, 2021 197   Northern Kentucky W 78-73 68%    
  Dec 22, 2021 238   @ Bryant W 85-84 54%    
  Jan 04, 2022 340   Central Arkansas W 92-76 93%    
  Jan 08, 2022 177   @ Bellarmine L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 11, 2022 307   @ North Alabama W 83-77 69%    
  Jan 15, 2022 147   Jacksonville St. W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 18, 2022 220   Lipscomb W 85-79 70%    
  Jan 22, 2022 287   North Florida W 87-77 83%    
  Jan 27, 2022 191   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 84-85 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 270   @ Stetson W 80-77 62%    
  Feb 03, 2022 277   Kennesaw St. W 83-73 80%    
  Feb 05, 2022 174   Liberty W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 09, 2022 259   @ Jacksonville W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 12, 2022 220   @ Lipscomb L 81-82 50%    
  Feb 16, 2022 307   North Alabama W 86-74 84%    
  Feb 19, 2022 340   @ Central Arkansas W 89-79 82%    
  Feb 23, 2022 147   @ Jacksonville St. L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 26, 2022 177   Bellarmine W 80-76 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 10 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.2 5.3 7.7 6.3 2.8 0.7 24.0 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 5.9 7.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 5.3 6.5 2.1 0.2 14.8 3rd
4th 0.5 3.8 5.5 2.1 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 5.1 2.1 0.2 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.1 2.6 0.2 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.3 5.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 4.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.4 5.9 9.9 12.6 14.4 15.8 14.5 10.6 6.8 2.8 0.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
15-1 99.6% 2.8    2.7 0.1
14-2 92.8% 6.3    5.3 0.9 0.1
13-3 72.3% 7.7    4.4 2.7 0.5
12-4 36.3% 5.3    1.5 2.6 1.1 0.2
11-5 7.4% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.0% 24.0 14.7 6.6 2.1 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.7% 44.3% 44.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-1 2.8% 48.8% 48.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 1.4
14-2 6.8% 39.5% 39.5% 14.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 0.8 0.0 4.1
13-3 10.6% 35.0% 35.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.7 0.4 6.9
12-4 14.5% 23.7% 23.7% 15.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 0.8 11.1
11-5 15.8% 20.2% 20.2% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.3 12.6
10-6 14.4% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6 0.1 0.7 1.5 12.2
9-7 12.6% 11.4% 11.4% 15.8 0.2 1.2 11.2
8-8 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 15.9 0.1 0.8 9.0
7-9 5.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.5
6-10 3.4% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.1 3.2
5-11 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-12 0.8% 0.8
3-13 0.2% 0.2
2-14 0.1% 0.1
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 19.8% 19.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.1 7.3 6.4 80.2 0.0%