Eastern Kentucky
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#244
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#294
Pace69.3#193
Improvement+0.1#176

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#198
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#30
Layup/Dunks-11.4#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.2#11
Freethrows-2.9#328
Improvement-1.1#277

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#293
First Shot-3.5#297
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#194
Layups/Dunks-1.6#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#226
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement+1.2#97
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.9% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 17.5% 36.8% 15.0%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 73.4% 60.6%
Conference Champion 5.7% 10.3% 5.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.4% 3.4%
First Four3.3% 2.9% 3.4%
First Round5.7% 8.7% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wichita St. (Away) - 11.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 144 Western Kentucky L 79-87 39%     0 - 1 -9.8 -0.3 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 12 10 @Vanderbilt L 62-92 2%     0 - 2 -8.7 -3.9 -3.7
  Tue, Nov 18 130 @Kent St. L 78-93 19%     0 - 3 -10.3 -5.6 -2.5
  Sat, Nov 22 173 Mercer L 83-95 47%     0 - 4 -16.0 +6.1 -21.8
  Mon, Nov 24 196 @Northern Kentucky L 71-82 30%     0 - 5 -10.3 -2.2 -7.9
  Sat, Nov 29 220 Wofford L 77-83 57%     0 - 6 -12.6 -1.5 -11.0
  Wed, Dec 3 88 @Illinois St. L 78-89 10%     0 - 7 -1.8 +7.6 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 324 @Eastern Illinois W 68-59 58%     1 - 7 +2.3 +1.5 +1.7
  Sat, Dec 13 103 Miami (OH) L 69-79 27%     1 - 8 -8.4 -1.8 -7.0
  Wed, Dec 17 273 @Jacksonville St. W 62-59 43%     2 - 8 -0.1 -2.9 +3.2
  Sun, Dec 21 100 @Wichita St. L 66-79 12%    
  Thu, Jan 1 210 @Queens L 78-83 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 311 @West Georgia W 75-74 54%    
  Thu, Jan 8 247 North Alabama W 75-72 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 284 Central Arkansas W 77-72 67%    
  Thu, Jan 15 192 @Austin Peay L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 275 Bellarmine W 78-74 65%    
  Thu, Jan 22 350 @North Florida W 85-80 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 312 @Jacksonville W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Jan 28 192 Austin Peay W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 @Central Arkansas L 74-75 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 185 Florida Gulf Coast L 77-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 345 Stetson W 79-69 82%    
  Wed, Feb 11 137 @Lipscomb L 72-81 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 247 @North Alabama L 72-75 40%    
  Wed, Feb 18 311 West Georgia W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Feb 21 275 @Bellarmine L 75-77 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 210 Queens W 81-80 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 137 Lipscomb L 75-78 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.0 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.1 1.7 0.1 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 6.3 2.8 0.2 11.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 5.1 3.3 0.4 10.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.3 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.2 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 4.3 7.2 10.2 12.4 14.3 14.0 11.9 9.5 6.3 3.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.9% 0.6    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 81.8% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 48.7% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.8% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.8 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 35.7% 35.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 29.2% 29.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.6% 25.1% 25.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.2
14-4 3.7% 21.9% 21.9% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 2.9
13-5 6.3% 15.9% 15.9% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 5.3
12-6 9.5% 13.2% 13.2% 15.6 0.0 0.5 0.8 8.3
11-7 11.9% 9.4% 9.4% 15.9 0.1 1.0 10.8
10-8 14.0% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0 13.1
9-9 14.3% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.6 13.7
8-10 12.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.4 12.0
7-11 10.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.0
6-12 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.1
5-13 4.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.3
4-14 2.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.8 92.9 0.0%