Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#211
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#232
Pace70.7#155
Improvement-1.5#281

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#92
First Shot+4.4#70
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#225
Layup/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#47
Freethrows+0.4#151
Improvement+2.9#17

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#350
First Shot-5.6#346
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#285
Layups/Dunks-4.1#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#201
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#232
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-4.4#360
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.3% 13.7% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 50.6% 76.7% 49.9%
.500 or above in Conference 80.9% 89.6% 80.6%
Conference Champion 13.3% 22.5% 13.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.4% 1.2%
First Four2.0% 0.4% 2.0%
First Round9.4% 13.6% 9.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Auburn (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 51 - 11
Quad 414 - 516 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 125 Winthrop L 74-81 29%     0 - 1 -4.7 -3.8 -0.6
  Sat, Nov 8 38 @Villanova L 74-94 5%     0 - 2 -4.6 +9.5 -14.6
  Tue, Nov 11 141 @Duquesne L 81-87 OT 23%     0 - 3 -1.8 -5.4 +4.8
  Sat, Nov 15 270 Sacred Heart W 81-64 70%     1 - 3 +8.1 +2.3 +5.9
  Thu, Nov 20 293 UNC Greensboro W 101-94 74%     2 - 3 -3.1 +25.1 -28.0
  Sun, Nov 23 152 @Furman L 79-90 25%     2 - 4 -7.4 +16.3 -24.9
  Fri, Nov 28 25 @Virginia L 69-94 3%     2 - 5 -7.1 +8.5 -17.7
  Wed, Dec 3 362 Gardner-Webb W 107-74 91%     3 - 5 +14.5 +20.5 -7.6
  Fri, Dec 12 360 South Carolina St. W 102-78 91%     4 - 5 +6.1 +18.8 -13.2
  Sun, Dec 14 52 @Wake Forest L 73-111 7%     4 - 6 -24.8 +5.2 -29.1
  Tue, Dec 16 21 @Arkansas L 80-108 3%     4 - 7 -9.4 +5.5 -11.4
  Mon, Dec 29 28 @Auburn L 72-93 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 241 Eastern Kentucky W 83-79 65%    
  Sat, Jan 3 274 Bellarmine W 84-78 70%    
  Thu, Jan 8 311 @Jacksonville W 78-76 59%    
  Sat, Jan 10 350 @North Florida W 91-85 71%    
  Thu, Jan 15 183 @Florida Gulf Coast L 79-84 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 346 @Stetson W 82-77 69%    
  Wed, Jan 21 214 North Alabama W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Jan 24 312 @West Georgia W 81-79 59%    
  Wed, Jan 28 283 Central Arkansas W 82-76 71%    
  Sat, Jan 31 274 @Bellarmine L 80-81 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 311 Jacksonville W 81-73 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 350 North Florida W 94-82 86%    
  Wed, Feb 11 190 Austin Peay W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 142 Lipscomb L 81-83 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 214 @North Alabama L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 312 West Georgia W 84-76 77%    
  Wed, Feb 25 241 @Eastern Kentucky L 80-82 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 283 @Central Arkansas W 80-79 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.2 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.1 13.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.0 5.8 3.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 15.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.9 6.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 13.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.8 5.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.2 5.2 8.3 11.3 13.4 14.9 13.7 11.4 8.4 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.5% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 92.9% 2.0    1.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 74.2% 3.6    2.3 1.1 0.1
14-4 49.4% 4.2    2.0 1.7 0.4 0.0
13-5 19.3% 2.2    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.3% 13.3 7.3 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 43.5% 43.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 37.6% 37.6% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.2% 29.8% 29.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.5
15-3 4.8% 24.2% 24.2% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.7
14-4 8.4% 20.1% 20.1% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 6.7
13-5 11.4% 14.8% 14.8% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.6 9.7
12-6 13.7% 12.2% 12.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 12.1
11-7 14.9% 9.0% 9.0% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 13.6
10-8 13.4% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.5
9-9 11.3% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 10.8
8-10 8.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 8.1
7-11 5.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.1
6-12 3.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 3.1
5-13 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.2 4.4 89.7 0.0%