Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.7 204
Expected Predictive Rating -2.8 214
Pace 72.0 87
Improvement +0.2 180

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 89 B- C C+ C+ B-
Defense D- 337 D D+ D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 199 B- 63% 77 +1.4 120
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 299 C 38% 165 -1.8 271
Three Pointers 47% 60 C+ 35% 140 +3.7 64
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 92 B- +2.2 97
1st FG Attempt B- 1.08 88
Second Chance C- 29.3% 218 B- 1.09 92 C 0.32 156
Turnovers C+ 15.9% 123
Freethrows C 0.30 190 B- 75% 89 C+ 0.23 145
Total Offense B- +3.7 89

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 325 D+ 12.9% 288
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 215 C+ 4.2% 117
Three Pointers A- 93% 15 B- 0.6% 115
Total C 55% 186 C 5.8% 210

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 62 C- 60% 234 +3.7 306
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 239 C 38% 199 -0.6 145
Three Pointers 38% 264 F+ 39% 359 +1.5 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 276 D +3.8 320
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 322
Second Chance D 33.8% 311 C- 1.05 218 D+ 0.35 290
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 291
Freethrows D 0.35 303 C- 73% 235 D 0.25 308
Total Defense D- -6.4 337

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 71 C- 9.9% 214
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 197 C- 4.5% 195
Three Pointers B- 80% 76 D- 0.1% 345
Total B- 52% 104 C- 5.1% 207

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 70 17.7 250
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 205 0.18 200
Improvement -0.6 #219 +0.8 #140

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Predictions by Percentile
5th 50th 95th
Predictive Rating Rank 233 204 174
Conference Record 11 - 7 13 - 5 14 - 4
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 16% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 97% 100% 86%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 2%
First Round15% 15% 12%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 417 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 136 Winthrop L 74 - 81 34% -2  16% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -4 D- B+ F C -1 A- F D+
 Sat, Nov 8 31 @Villanova L 74 - 94 4% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -2 B+ +9 A+ F D- F -11 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 11 110 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 19% -9  3% 0 - 3 C +1 D -6 C- F C- A- +8 B- B+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 290 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 77% +13  99% 1 - 3 B- +7 C- -2 A- C- F A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 300 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 78% +8  98% 2 - 3 C- -4 A+ +20 A+ B A F -24 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 181 @Furman L 79 - 90 33% -11  0% 2 - 4 D -9 A +14 C A A+ F -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 22 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3% -18  0% 2 - 5 C- -5 A- +10 C A+ C F -17 F B- D-
 Wed, Dec 3 363 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  98% 3 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +16 A+ A B- D -6 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 357 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 92% +19  99% 4 - 5 B- +6 A+ +17 B- C+ A+ F -12 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 61 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 9% -19  1% 4 - 6 F -26 C +1 B D+ B F -26 F D- C-
 Tue, Dec 16 17 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 2% -20  8% 4 - 7 D+ -6 C+ +2 C+ B F+ D -5 D- F A
 Mon, Dec 29 33 @Auburn L 65 - 106 4% -30  0% 4 - 8 F -23 F+ -10 F B- C F -12 F C+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 278 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 75% +1  53% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -8 B+ +8 C- A A+ F -16 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 287 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 76% +10  87% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B+ +12 B+ +9 B B D+ B- +3 D- A A-
 Thu, Jan 8 308 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 62% +15  96% 7 - 8 3 - 0 A +20 B- +5 A+ F D+ A+ +17 A D+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 339 @North Florida W 89 - 82 72% +2  66% 8 - 8 4 - 0 C- -2 C +1 D+ B+ C D+ -4 D C F
 Thu, Jan 15 253 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 48% +6  80% 9 - 8 5 - 0 B +9 B +6 D+ C+ A B- +3 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 327 @Stetson W 87 - 81 69% +8  98% 10 - 8 6 - 0 C- -2 B +7 C+ D- A F+ -9 F C- D
 Wed, Jan 21 340 North Alabama W 87 - 62 87% +10  92% 11 - 8 7 - 0 B +10 B +6 B A- D B +4 C+ B- A+
 Sat, Jan 24 318 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 65% -4  9% 11 - 9 7 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -10 F B D- D -6 F A- B-
 Wed, Jan 28 180 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 56% +1  53% 11 - 10 7 - 2 D- -14 B +7 A+ F A F -21 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 287 @Bellarmine L 75 - 78 56% -0  39% 11 - 11 7 - 3 D+ -7 C- -2 F A- B+ D -6 C- F C
 Thu, Feb 5 308 Jacksonville W 93 - 84 80% +11  96% 12 - 11 8 - 3 C- -3 A +12 B+ D+ A+ F -15 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 339 North Florida W 91 - 72 87% +5  68% 13 - 11 9 - 3 C+ +4 B- +5 C B- C+ C -0 C- B+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 154 Austin Peay L 87 - 95 51% -5  13% 13 - 12 9 - 4 D -11 B +7 A F A F -18 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 190 Lipscomb W 87 - 81 59% +11  91% 14 - 12 10 - 4 C +1 C +0 A+ D+ F C +0 C- D+ B
 Wed, Feb 18 340 @North Alabama W 85 - 78 73% -1  35% 15 - 12 11 - 4 C- -2 B+ +8 A F C+ F+ -9 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 318 West Georgia W 87 - 77 82%
 Wed, Feb 25 278 @Eastern Kentucky W 84 - 83 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 180 @Central Arkansas L 80 - 84 34%
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -3 B- +4 D+ B- B- D- -6 C+ B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B- C C+ B- 38% 27% 47% B- B- C- B- C C+ C B- C+ D- C- C F+ D 43% 19% 38% D+ D D C- D+ D+ D C- D
1.14 63% 38% 35% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .32 16% .30 75% .23 1.18 60% 38% 39% +4 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .35 15% .35 73% .22
Nov
3		 Winthrop D B- A+ F D- 35% 18% 47% C D- A- C- B+ F D A+ C+ C B+ A B A- 33% 22% 45% A- A- F+ F F D+ F F+ F
1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25 1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40
Nov
8		 Villanova B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% A+ A+ F F F D- A- A- A F F A+ A+ B 54% 14% 32% F+ C+ F B+ F D F C F
1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23 1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Duquesne D D- B C C- 32% 21% 47% C C- C+ F F C- B B- B+ A- F D A+ B- 52% 12% 37% D+ B- A C B+ C+ F+ A+ C+
0.94 50% 42% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.4 .13 19% .39 74% .29 1.01 71% 43% 18% -1 +2 1.03 22% 1.0 .22 19% .43 57% .24
Nov
15		 Sacred Heart C- C- F A+ A 30% 8% 62% C+ A- C D C- F F A+ F+ A- A C- C B 33% 15% 53% D+ B- D- A+ A+ D+ A B+ A
1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13 0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14
Nov
20		 UNC Greensboro A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 36% 9% 55% B+ A+ A D B A A+ A+ A+ F F+ F C F 58% 12% 30% F F C F F F F B- F
1.49 65% 40% 48% +15 +1 1.34 40% 1.0 .40 9% .37 87% .32 1.38 66% 50% 33% +5 +3 1.18 27% 1.6 .42 6% .56 67% .37
Nov
23		 Furman A C+ B+ D+ C+ 27% 25% 48% D C D- A+ A A+ B A+ A- F F F F F 41% 6% 53% F+ F F A+ B F F+ C+ D-
1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24 1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Virginia A- D C F+ C- 34% 22% 44% B C A+ A A+ C B+ F+ B- F F+ F F F 33% 10% 57% C F D A- B- D- F B- D-
1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22 1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27
Dec
3		 Gardner-Webb A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% D+ A+ D A+ A B- D+ F F+ D A+ B- B A+ 40% 24% 36% B+ A+ F F F F C- F F
1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16 1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25
Dec
12		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A- C B- 35% 8% 58% C B- B- C- C+ A+ B B B+ F A+ F F C- 50% 23% 27% F D F F F D+ C D+ C-
1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34 1.09 35% 50% 50% -2 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21
Dec
14		 Wake Forest C A+ F D+ B 25% 10% 65% C+ B F A+ D+ B D- C D F F+ F F F 25% 14% 61% C+ F D D+ D- C- F+ F F
1.02 85% 20% 30% +1 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19 1.55 69% 100% 52% +27 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36
Dec
16		 Arkansas C+ A- A+ F B- 31% 30% 39% D- C+ A+ F B F+ A- B- A- D C- F F D+ 47% 7% 45% F D- C- F F A F F+ F
1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22 1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34
Dec
29		 Auburn F+ C F F F 55% 18% 27% A- F D+ A+ B- C A+ B A+ F F+ A+ F F 38% 13% 48% C F D A- C+ C F+ B+ D+
0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35 1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33
Jan
1		 Eastern Kentucky B+ A+ F F D 53% 8% 40% A+ C- C- A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C+ C- F F 38% 9% 53% F F A+ F C F F+ C D-
1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38 1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23
Jan
3		 Bellarmine B+ A+ A+ B+ B 16% 2% 82% B- B C A- B D+ F F F B- D+ A+ F D- 50% 9% 41% D- D- A+ B A A- F A+ F
1.37 78% 100% 40% +12 +1 1.28 35% 1.3 .46 17% .22 62% .13 1.06 65% 0% 47% +9 +2 1.24 10% 1.0 .10 20% .43 68% .30
Jan
8		 Jacksonville B- D+ A+ A+ A 44% 4% 52% A A+ D F F D+ D- F F A+ A A A A+ 48% 16% 36% F+ A D- C+ D+ B F A+ B-
1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18 0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17
Jan
10		 North Florida C B+ F D- D 45% 5% 49% A- D+ C+ A B+ C A B A+ D+ F D B- D 38% 15% 47% C D B- D- C F B D- B
1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28 1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
15		 Florida Gulf Coast B C+ A+ F D 40% 8% 53% B+ D+ C C+ C+ A A B A+ B- B+ C A+ A+ 42% 25% 32% D A+ C+ F D+ F F F F
1.20 62% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 11% .45 79% .35 1.04 52% 40% 16% -11 0 0.80 29% 1.3 .36 10% .34 100% .34
Jan
17		 Stetson B A+ A+ F C 38% 9% 54% B C+ C+ F D- A B- A- B+ F+ F+ B+ F+ F 43% 20% 37% D F F A C- D F A F
1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24 1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36
Jan
21		 North Alabama B A- A+ F B- 58% 11% 31% B+ B A+ D+ A- D A+ A+ A+ B C+ A+ A B 54% 13% 33% F+ C+ D- A B- A+ F F+ F
1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42 0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31
Jan
24		 West Georgia F+ F F C+ F 56% 8% 35% A- F B- B B D- C- F F+ D D D F F 30% 38% 32% B- F F A+ A- B- F A- F
0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18 1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Central Arkansas B A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 9% 68% C- A+ F B- F A B+ C- B F F F F F 29% 20% 51% B F B+ F D F+ F F F
1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24 1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43
Jan
31		 Bellarmine C- C- D+ D F 25% 22% 53% D F C+ A A- B+ D- F F D C F D- D+ 39% 22% 39% A- C- F F F C D F F
1.18 62% 36% 33% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.4 .50 13% .25 57% .14 1.23 61% 50% 39% +7 0 1.15 31% 1.5 .46 16% .34 89% .30
Feb
5		 Jacksonville A A F A+ A- 43% 26% 30% D+ B+ D C+ D+ A+ B- B B F B- F F F 38% 27% 36% B F B F D- C- F F F
1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29 1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43
Feb
7		 North Florida B- A A- D C 33% 15% 53% C- C B- C B- C+ D A+ B+ C B+ A+ F D+ 26% 19% 55% A- C- B- A+ B+ B- F A- F
1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25 1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33
Feb
11		 Austin Peay B B A+ A+ A 47% 16% 37% B A F F F A A+ F+ A+ F F F A F 52% 25% 23% C- F F+ F F D+ F F F
1.18 67% 50% 42% +10 +1 1.25 22% 0.4 .08 14% .53 62% .33 1.29 68% 50% 27% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 15% .51 81% .41
Feb
14		 Lipscomb C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% A- A+ F A+ D+ F A+ D- A- C D+ F A C 54% 7% 39% F C- F A D+ B D- A+ C-
1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26 1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19
Feb
18		 North Alabama B+ B- F+ A+ A- 49% 7% 44% B+ A F B F C+ A+ A- A+ F+ D+ A+ F F 60% 10% 29% F F D+ F F D- D A+ B
1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39 1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 0.3 1st
2nd 5.1 13.0 18.1 2nd
3rd 1.2 22.1 39.5 2.5 65.3 3rd
4th 4.6 11.7 16.3 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 5.8 33.8 44.6 15.8 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.7% 0.3    0.3
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 15.8% 20.7% 20.7% 14.5 0.2 1.5 1.6 0.0 12.5
13-5 44.6% 15.8% 15.8% 15.1 0.0 0.9 4.3 1.8 37.6
12-6 33.8% 12.9% 12.9% 15.5 0.1 1.9 2.4 29.4
11-7 5.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.8 0.1 0.5 5.2
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 15.1 84.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 14.5 5.1 46.1 47.5 1.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.2%
Lose Out 2.5%