IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.7	#290
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.6	#276

Pace	77.4	#22
Improvement	+0.5	#155

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#272

First Shot	-4.4	#298
After Offensive Rebound	+0.8	#134

Layup/Dunks	+1.3	#134
2 Pt Jumpshots	-5.3	#362
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.1	#86
Freethrows	-3.5	#340

Improvement	+2.6	#21

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#279

First Shot	-0.2	#180
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.9	#340

Layups/Dunks	-7.3	#354
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#68
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.8	#39
Freethrows	+0.7	#138

Improvement	-2.1	#339

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.3%	2.9%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	17.5%	23.6%	8.7%
.500 or above in Conference	42.2%	47.0%	35.3%
Conference Champion	1.7%	2.0%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	7.2%	5.9%	9.0%

First Four	1.0%	1.1%	0.8%
First Round	1.9%	2.3%	1.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Away) - 59.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	10 - 7	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	263	Western Carolina	W	67-54	58%	1 - 0			+4.2	-15.7	+18.6
Nov 12, 2024	60	@ Utah	L	65-96	5%	1 - 1			-18.7	-7.5	-8.6
Nov 13, 2024	49	@ BYU	L	55-99	4%	1 - 2			-30.7	-16.3	-12.2
Nov 19, 2024	163	@ Appalachian St.	L	53-65	19%	1 - 3			-9.5	-13.2	+2.8
Nov 23, 2024	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	98-74	68%	2 - 3			+12.4	+11.6	-0.9
Nov 24, 2024	135	@ East Tennessee St.	L	67-82	15%	2 - 4			-10.6	-2.8	-8.1
Dec 03, 2024	179	Winthrop	L	78-86	40%	2 - 5			-12.0	-2.3	-9.1
Dec 07, 2024	346	@ VMI	W	78-75	59%
Dec 14, 2024	221	@ Gardner-Webb	L	74-80	27%
Dec 18, 2024	232	Mercer	W	79-78	51%
Dec 21, 2024	26	@ Mississippi	L	66-89	2%
Jan 02, 2025	329	Stetson	W	81-75	70%
Jan 04, 2025	188	Florida Gulf Coast	L	70-72	41%
Jan 09, 2025	105	@ Lipscomb	L	69-83	10%
Jan 11, 2025	238	@ Austin Peay	L	67-73	31%
Jan 16, 2025	329	@ Stetson	L	78-79	50%
Jan 18, 2025	188	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	67-75	22%
Jan 23, 2025	182	North Florida	L	82-85	40%
Jan 25, 2025	212	Jacksonville	L	74-75	46%
Jan 29, 2025	214	North Alabama	L	76-77	47%
Feb 01, 2025	349	West Georgia	W	79-70	79%
Feb 05, 2025	337	@ Central Arkansas	W	75-74	52%
Feb 08, 2025	105	Lipscomb	L	72-80	24%
Feb 13, 2025	333	@ Bellarmine	W	77-76	51%
Feb 15, 2025	207	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	75-82	26%
Feb 18, 2025	337	Central Arkansas	W	78-71	72%
Feb 20, 2025	238	Austin Peay	W	71-70	52%
Feb 24, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	W	76-73	61%
Feb 26, 2025	214	@ North Alabama	L	73-80	27%
Projected Record						11 - 18	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.5	0.8	0.2	0.0				3.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.8	2.4	0.9	0.1	0.0					5.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.5	3.5	1.4	0.2							8.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.5	4.7	2.0	0.2								9.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.8	5.4	2.8	0.4	0.0								11.5	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.6	5.8	3.9	0.5	0.0									13.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.6	6.2	4.5	0.7	0.0										14.5	8th
9th					0.3	2.2	5.4	3.8	0.7	0.0											12.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.0	2.9	0.6	0.0												9.5	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.4	2.4	1.9	0.4	0.0													6.4	11th
12th	0.0	0.3	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.2															3.7	12th

Total	0.0	0.3	1.3	3.0	5.3	8.7	11.6	13.5	14.1	12.9	10.9	7.9	5.3	3.0	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	92.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	69.0%	0.4		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	36.8%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.9%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		42.4%	42.4%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		20.3%	20.3%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-3	0.6%		12.9%	12.9%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
14-4	1.5%		13.7%	13.7%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.3
13-5	3.0%		10.0%	10.0%		15.3															0.0	0.2	0.1	2.7
12-6	5.3%		6.5%	6.5%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	4.9
11-7	7.9%		5.1%	5.1%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	7.5
10-8	10.9%		3.5%	3.5%		15.9																0.1	0.3	10.5
9-9	12.9%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.3	12.6
8-10	14.1%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.2	13.9
7-11	13.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	13.4
6-12	11.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
5-13	8.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
4-14	5.3%																							5.3
3-15	3.0%																							3.0
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		2.3%	2.3%	0.0%	15.6														0.0	0.2	0.6	1.6	97.7		0.0%