Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.1 309
Results Rating -8.8 302
Consistency 0.15 137
Pace 67.1 217
Improvement +5.9 21

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 250 C- D+ D+ D C-
Defense D- 333 D- D D C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 317 C- 57% 197 -3.4 300
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 207 C- 37% 216 -0.1 187
Three Pointers 46% 88 C 34% 182 +2.5 98
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 234 C -0.6 193
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 211
Second Chance D 25.4% 313 C+ 1.05 141 D+ 0.27 279
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 323
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 201
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 298
Freethrows D+ 0.28 270 D+ 70% 269 D 0.19 291
Total Offense C- -2.9 250

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 54 C- 11.4% 206
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 167 B 2.8% 40
Three Pointers C+ 85% 155 C 1.0% 224
Total B 61% 61 B- 4.8% 95


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 127 F+ 66% 349 +4.4 323
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 264 D+ 41% 296 -0.5 151
Three Pointers 41% 155 C- 35% 236 +0.8 230
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 262 D- +4.1 334
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 332
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 278 D- 1.15 333 D 0.37 322
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 237
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 336
Turnovers D 14.7% 300
Freethrows C+ 0.28 117 D+ 74% 267 C+ 0.21 137
Total Defense D- -6.2 333

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 152 D- 5.4% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 330 D+ 2.9% 299
Three Pointers D 88% 304 D- 0.0% 353
Total C- 57% 229 F+ 2.7% 353

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 282 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 252 0.19 242
Consistency 0.13 226 0.13 256
Improvement +5.7 5 +0.2 177

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 310 309 309
Results Rating Rank 302 301 300
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 80 - 12
Quad 410 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 136 @Rhode Island L 62 - 93 11% -17  0% 0 - 1 F -27 F -11 D F F F -14 F F C-
 Mon, Nov 10 30 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 102 1% -18  22% 0 - 2 F -23 F -13 F C D D -5 F+ A C-
 Sun, Nov 16 225 @Western Carolina L 65 - 76 21% -8  9% 0 - 3 D- -12 F -15 F C- B- B +4 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 192 Howard W 64 - 60 33% +10  97% 1 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D- F F A +9 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 359 VMI W 99 - 80 84% +9  89% 2 - 3 C -1 A+ +18 A+ B+ C+ F -17 F F+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 144 Wright St. L 62 - 79 26% -15  7% 2 - 4 F -19 F -11 D- C+ F+ F -10 F F+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 264 Southern Utah L 68 - 70 37% +3  66% 2 - 5 D+ -8 F -10 D+ C F B- +3 C C+ C-
 Sun, Nov 30 161 @Robert Morris L 62 - 80 13% -12  5% 2 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -3 F+ C- B+ F -14 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 61 @Grand Canyon L 45 - 67 3% -4  11% 2 - 7 D -10 F -18 F+ D F A- +8 A- D+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 93 @South Carolina L 51 - 82 6% -15  9% 2 - 8 F -22 F -15 F D- A F -11 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 33 @Oklahoma L 54 - 107 2% -25  1% 2 - 9 F -36 F -15 F C- F+ F -22 F F D
 Thu, Jan 1 343 @North Alabama W 70 - 67 53% +0  53% 3 - 9 1 - 0 D+ -7 D -6 B F F C -1 B- D- C
 Sat, Jan 3 169 @Central Arkansas L 73 - 93 14% -13  7% 3 - 10 1 - 1 F+ -17 C +1 B C- D- F -19 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 217 Lipscomb W 91 - 83 39% +11  96% 4 - 10 2 - 1 C+ +2 B- +5 A F B+ D+ -4 D- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 185 Austin Peay L 69 - 81 32% -7  5% 4 - 11 2 - 2 F+ -16 F+ -8 F+ B- D- D- -8 C+ F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 302 West Georgia W 95 - 86 60% +4  91% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 A+ D+ F F -13 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 193 Queens L 81 - 87 33% -8  0% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D -11 C- -1 C+ D C- F+ -10 D C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 217 @Lipscomb L 74 - 79 OT 20% -5  11% 5 - 13 3 - 4 D+ -5 F -11 D- F F B+ +6 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 185 @Austin Peay L 65 - 73 16% -0  54% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D+ -6 D -6 D F+ C- C -0 C+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 340 @North Florida W 84 - 77 51% +6  93% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C- -2 C +0 C F A- C- -3 C+ F+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 343 North Alabama L 66 - 68 74% -3  10% 6 - 15 4 - 6 F+ -18 F+ -10 F B D- F+ -8 F C- C-
 Thu, Feb 5 282 @Bellarmine L 71 - 92 32% -11  5% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -25 D -5 D+ B+ D- F -23 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 298 @Eastern Kentucky L 88 - 100 35% -0  40% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F+ -17 B- +6 C+ B- C- F -23 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 296 Jacksonville W 67 - 62 57% +5  87% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D+ -6 D -6 D+ F+ C C+ +0 A D D-
 Sat, Feb 14 255 @Florida Gulf Coast L 76 - 78 25% -0  48% 7 - 18 5 - 9 C- -4 C+ +2 C+ B C D- -6 D D C-
 Thu, Feb 19 169 Central Arkansas L 76 - 88 29% -15  0% 7 - 19 5 - 10 F+ -15 C+ +3 A+ B- F F -19 F F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 340 North Florida W 76 - 71 73% -3  29% 8 - 19 6 - 10 D -10 D+ -4 A- F F D -6 D+ F D
 Thu, Feb 26 296 @Jacksonville L 85 - 89 34% -7  1% 8 - 20 6 - 11 D -9 A- +11 A+ F+ B+ F -20 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 255 Florida Gulf Coast W 78 - 63 47% +7  95% 9 - 20 7 - 11 B- +7 C +2 A+ A+ F B+ +6 C A+ D-
 Wed, Mar 4 298 Eastern Kentucky W 92 - 76 46% +15  95% 10 - 20 B- +8 A+ +15 C+ A+ A+ D -6 F B C-
 Fri, Mar 6 185 Austin Peay L 60 - 69 23% +1  49% 10 - 21 D -10 F+ -9 C- D- B- C- -3 C- C C+
Totals 10 - 21 7 - 11 -9 C- -3 F C C- D- -6 C D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C 33% 36% 46% C- C- D C+ D+ D+ D+ D+ D D- F+ D+ C- D- 41% 18% 41% D+ D- D+ D- D D C+ D+ C+
1.04 57% 37% 34% -1 0 1.00 25% 1.0 .27 18% .28 70% .19 1.18 66% 41% 35% +4 0 1.12 33% 1.2 .37 15% .28 74% .20
Nov
3		 Rhode Island F F A- D- D- 38% 15% 48% C+ D D+ F F F B+ F D F F F A F 40% 16% 44% C F F F F C- D- F+ F
0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22 1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32
Nov
10		 Miami (FL) F A F F F 20% 29% 51% F+ F D A C D A+ F A D F+ F D+ F+ 52% 12% 37% D- F+ A- A- A C- D- C D
0.77 70% 7% 27% -12 -2 0.73 19% 1.3 .24 22% .42 58% .24 1.29 71% 57% 36% +10 +2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 15% .39 69% .27
Nov
16		 Western Carolina F F C+ F F 31% 29% 40% F+ F D+ B- C- B- C- D- D+ B D F F F 40% 8% 52% F F A+ C A A+ A+ C- A
0.89 39% 41% 26% -10 -2 0.79 24% 1.1 .27 14% .30 68% .21 1.04 60% 50% 42% +8 +2 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 25% .20 73% .15
Nov
19		 Howard F+ F D- C- D- 37% 17% 46% D+ D- F A+ F F A+ B+ A+ A A+ A- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% B- A+ B A+ A+ F B+ C- B+
0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40 0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21
Nov
22		 VMI A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 17% 13% 70% D+ A+ D+ A+ B+ C+ F F F F D C- C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F F+ F+ F+ F B- B+ B
1.50 89% 57% 50% +25 -1 1.50 35% 1.4 .50 15% .16 67% .11 1.21 60% 38% 33% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .33 9% .25 67% .17
Nov
25		 Wright St. F F+ B D- D- 40% 18% 42% C+ D- C- B+ C+ F+ F F F F A+ F F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F F+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.96 50% 44% 29% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10 1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06
Nov
29		 Southern Utah F B- A F D+ 36% 28% 36% D D+ C- C C F F A+ D- B- F A+ A+ C 52% 20% 28% D- C A+ F C+ C- D F F
0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15 1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27
Nov
30		 Robert Morris D+ F A+ F D 24% 35% 41% F F+ F A+ C- B+ C+ C- C+ F B- F F F 27% 25% 48% B+ F C F F F C- A+ A-
1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28 1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11
Dec
2		 Grand Canyon F D+ F F F 43% 17% 40% A- F+ C F D F F F F A- F F A+ B+ 28% 24% 48% A A- C D- D+ A F A- F+
0.68 50% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.74 24% 0.8 .18 26% .20 40% .08 1.01 77% 45% 18% -4 -1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 21% .44 70% .31
Dec
6		 South Carolina F C F F F 29% 31% 40% F+ F D- D- D- A B+ F C+ F F F F F 26% 20% 54% B F F D- F A+ A D- A
0.80 57% 27% 16% -15 -2 0.69 21% 0.9 .18 11% .32 61% .19 1.29 75% 56% 44% +16 -1 1.33 45% 1.2 .55 20% .24 83% .20
Dec
22		 Oklahoma F A+ B F F 16% 34% 50% F F D B+ C- F+ D- B- D F F A F F 45% 12% 43% F F D- F F D D A- C
0.79 75% 41% 12% -13 -3 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 21% .22 75% .17 1.57 87% 33% 55% +26 +2 1.57 39% 1.7 .65 12% .37 68% .25
Jan
1		 North Alabama D A+ A+ F B 44% 16% 40% C B F F F F A C- A- C C- C+ A+ B+ 45% 6% 49% F B- F+ C- D- C C+ C- C
1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27 1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20
Jan
3		 Central Arkansas C B- A+ A- B+ 24% 13% 62% D+ B C+ D- C- D- A+ F+ A F F A+ D- F 40% 8% 52% F+ F F F+ F C F F F
1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26 1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32
Jan
8		 Lipscomb B- A+ A+ B- A 34% 13% 53% B A F F F B+ A+ A A+ D+ D- F B+ D- 50% 12% 38% D D- A F C+ B- F B F
1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35 1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27
Jan
10		 Austin Peay F+ C+ D F F+ 30% 17% 54% D+ F+ C+ B+ B- D- F F+ F D- B- F A C- 40% 31% 29% A C+ A- F F+ F F A+ D-
0.98 63% 33% 28% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.9 .29 20% .20 64% .12 1.15 52% 50% 27% -2 -1 0.96 22% 1.9 .42 7% .49 56% .28
Jan
15		 West Georgia A- B+ F A+ A+ 51% 11% 38% B A+ D+ C D+ F A+ B- A+ F C F A- D+ 41% 22% 37% F D F D F F C F F+
1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36 1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23
Jan
17		 Queens C- B+ F+ B+ C+ 43% 20% 37% C- C+ C F D C- A+ F A+ F+ F F A+ D+ 38% 9% 54% D D F+ A+ C+ F C+ D C
1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36 1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24
Jan
22		 Lipscomb F D+ D- C- D 36% 28% 36% D+ D- C- F F F D A+ C+ B+ D+ A B B- 41% 19% 41% B B A- A+ A+ F D D- D-
0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21 0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21
Jan
23		 Austin Peay D B C- F D 32% 23% 45% D- D D F F+ C- B+ C B+ C F D+ A+ C 33% 31% 37% A+ C+ F+ F F B- C+ C- C+
0.97 67% 36% 29% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 18% .36 70% .25 1.09 69% 40% 22% -2 -2 0.94 34% 1.7 .57 18% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 North Florida C D+ C B C- 43% 13% 44% B- C D+ F F A- B- F+ C C- F+ C A+ B- 44% 10% 46% F+ C+ D+ F F+ D D- D F+
1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21 1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Alabama F+ B+ F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F C A B D- B- A+ A- F+ F B+ B- F 40% 16% 44% C- F C+ D C- C- D C+ D+
1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27 1.08 72% 29% 30% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23
Feb
5		 Bellarmine D A+ A C- D+ 13% 18% 69% D- D+ D- A+ B+ D- D D+ D F F+ D+ F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F F+ F F F A+ F+ A+
1.15 83% 50% 35% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.8 .50 18% .28 71% .20 1.50 70% 40% 58% +22 +2 1.50 27% 1.5 .41 10% .13 86% .11
Feb
7		 Eastern Kentucky B- F A+ A+ C+ 39% 18% 43% C+ C+ C- A- B- C- C A+ B F F F B- F 35% 15% 51% F F D- F F F F F F
1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29 1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35
Feb
11		 Jacksonville D F B+ A C- 35% 23% 43% D D+ D- F+ F+ C A+ F A C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% C+ A F C+ D D- F+ C- F+
1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34 0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26
Feb
14		 Florida Gulf Coast C+ F A+ A+ C 52% 15% 33% B C+ D+ A+ B C F B F D- C- B+ F+ D+ 43% 21% 36% F+ D C- F+ D C- A B- A
1.12 41% 63% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.5 .39 16% .23 77% .18 1.15 60% 33% 38% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .36 16% .18 70% .12
Feb
19		 Central Arkansas C+ A+ F A+ A+ 20% 22% 59% F A+ F+ A+ B- F F A+ F F F F D- F 31% 15% 54% C+ F F B+ F+ C- F D- F
1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14 1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27
Feb
21		 North Florida D+ A F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C- A- B- F F F D+ F F D B+ F C- D 33% 20% 47% B+ D+ F F+ F D C- A+ B-
1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13 1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17
Feb
26		 Jacksonville A- A+ A+ C A 57% 7% 37% A+ A+ D- F F+ B+ A D+ B+ F B+ A F B- 56% 23% 21% D- C+ F F F F F F F
1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30 1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49
Feb
28		 Florida Gulf Coast C D A+ A+ A+ 46% 17% 37% C+ A+ C- A+ A+ F F F F B+ C- A B B- 48% 19% 33% F C A+ A+ A+ D- C- D+ D+
1.15 52% 63% 53% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.7 .48 24% .27 64% .17 0.93 60% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.98 17% 0.3 .06 13% .27 75% .20
Mar
4		 Eastern Kentucky A+ C C+ A+ C+ 34% 17% 49% C+ C+ C- A+ A+ A+ D B C- D C- B F F 35% 13% 52% F F A+ F B C- D+ D D
1.40 61% 44% 42% +8 0 1.19 32% 1.8 .58 9% .30 78% .23 1.16 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 21% 1.3 .29 17% .29 75% .22
Mar
6		 Austin Peay F+ D A+ D+ D+ 41% 14% 45% C+ C- F A D- B- F A+ F C- D- A+ A- C+ 53% 9% 38% F C- D A- C C+ F F+ F
0.95 55% 57% 32% 0 +1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 16% .13 86% .11 1.10 64% 0% 28% -4 +3 1.00 32% 1.0 .32 17% .39 80% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%