Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.2 310
Results Rating -8.7 303
Consistency 0.15 143
Pace 67.1 217
Improvement +6.0 19

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense C- 249 C- D+ D+ D C-
Defense D- 336 D- D D C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 318 C- 57% 199 -3.4 300
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 204 C- 37% 210 -0.1 189
Three Pointers 46% 86 C 34% 180 +2.4 101
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 237 C -0.7 192
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 209
Second Chance D 25.4% 314 C+ 1.05 146 D+ 0.27 279
Opponents' Steals D 11.1% 320
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 203
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 295
Freethrows D+ 0.28 266 D+ 70% 270 D 0.19 289
Total Offense C- -2.9 249

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 57 C- 11.4% 204
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 163 B 2.8% 33
Three Pointers C+ 85% 155 C 1.0% 219
Total B 61% 62 B- 4.8% 95


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 127 D- 66% 349 +4.4 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 265 D+ 41% 297 -0.5 148
Three Pointers 41% 157 C- 35% 232 +0.8 232
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 D- +4.1 333
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 334
Second Chance D+ 32.5% 278 D- 1.15 326 D 0.37 323
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.7% 238
Other Turnovers D- 6.0% 334
Turnovers D 14.7% 304
Freethrows C+ 0.28 115 D+ 74% 264 C+ 0.21 133
Total Defense D- -6.2 336

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 155 D- 5.4% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 329 D+ 2.9% 301
Three Pointers D 88% 300 D- 0.0% 354
Total C- 57% 223 F+ 2.7% 353

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 282 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 252 0.19 240
Consistency 0.13 226 0.13 263
Improvement +5.7 4 +0.3 176

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile
Expected
50th Percentile
Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 311 310 309
Results Rating Rank 303 302 300
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 80 - 12
Quad 410 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 133 @Rhode Island L 62 - 93 10% -17  0% 0 - 1 F -26 F -11 D F F F -14 F F C-
 Mon, Nov 10 30 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 102 2% -18  22% 0 - 2 F -23 F -14 F C D D -5 F+ A C-
 Sun, Nov 16 224 @Western Carolina L 65 - 76 21% -8  9% 0 - 3 D- -12 F -15 F C- B- B +4 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 190 Howard W 64 - 60 33% +10  97% 1 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D- F F A +9 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 359 VMI W 99 - 80 84% +9  89% 2 - 3 C -1 A+ +18 A+ B+ C+ F -17 F F+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 144 Wright St. L 62 - 79 25% -15  7% 2 - 4 F -19 F -11 D- C+ F+ F+ -9 F F+ A-
 Sat, Nov 29 263 Southern Utah L 68 - 70 36% +3  66% 2 - 5 D+ -8 F -11 D C F B- +3 C C+ C-
 Sun, Nov 30 164 @Robert Morris L 62 - 80 13% -12  5% 2 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -3 F+ C- B+ F -15 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 58 @Grand Canyon L 45 - 67 3% -4  11% 2 - 7 D -9 F -18 F+ D- F A- +7 B+ D+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 96 @South Carolina L 51 - 82 6% -15  9% 2 - 8 F -22 F -14 F F+ A F -11 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 42 @Oklahoma L 54 - 107 2% -25  1% 2 - 9 F -37 F -16 F D+ F F -23 F F D
 Thu, Jan 1 342 @North Alabama W 70 - 67 52% +0  53% 3 - 9 1 - 0 D+ -7 D -6 B F F C -1 B- D- C
 Sat, Jan 3 168 @Central Arkansas L 73 - 93 14% -13  7% 3 - 10 1 - 1 F+ -17 C +1 B C- D- F -19 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 216 Lipscomb W 91 - 83 39% +11  96% 4 - 10 2 - 1 C+ +2 B- +5 A F B+ D+ -4 D- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 183 Austin Peay L 69 - 81 32% -7  5% 4 - 11 2 - 2 F+ -16 F+ -8 F+ B- D- D- -8 C F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 301 West Georgia W 95 - 86 59% +4  91% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C- -3 A- +10 A+ D+ F F -13 D F F
 Sat, Jan 17 192 Queens L 81 - 87 33% -8  0% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D -11 C- -1 C+ D C- F+ -10 D C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 216 @Lipscomb L 74 - 79 OT 20% -5  11% 5 - 13 3 - 4 D+ -5 F -11 D- F F B+ +6 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 183 @Austin Peay L 65 - 73 16% -0  54% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D+ -6 D -6 D F+ C- C -1 C+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 341 @North Florida W 84 - 77 51% +6  93% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C- -2 C +0 C F A- C- -3 C+ F+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 342 North Alabama L 66 - 68 74% -3  10% 6 - 15 4 - 6 F+ -18 F+ -10 F B D- F+ -8 F C- C-
 Thu, Feb 5 282 @Bellarmine L 71 - 92 31% -11  5% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -25 D -5 D+ B+ D- F -23 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 298 @Eastern Kentucky L 88 - 100 34% -0  40% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F+ -17 B +6 C+ B- C- F -23 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 296 Jacksonville W 67 - 62 57% +5  87% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D+ -6 D -6 D+ F+ C C+ +0 A D D-
 Sat, Feb 14 252 @Florida Gulf Coast L 76 - 78 25% -0  48% 7 - 18 5 - 9 C- -4 C+ +2 C+ B C D- -6 D D C-
 Thu, Feb 19 168 Central Arkansas L 76 - 88 29% -15  0% 7 - 19 5 - 10 F+ -15 C+ +3 A+ B- F F -19 F F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 341 North Florida W 76 - 71 73% -3  29% 8 - 19 6 - 10 D -10 D+ -4 A- F F D -6 D+ F D
 Thu, Feb 26 296 @Jacksonville L 85 - 89 34% -7  1% 8 - 20 6 - 11 D -9 A- +11 A+ F+ B+ F -20 C+ F F
 Sat, Feb 28 252 Florida Gulf Coast W 78 - 63 46% +7  95% 9 - 20 7 - 11 B- +7 C+ +2 A+ A+ F B+ +6 C A+ D-
 Wed, Mar 4 298 Eastern Kentucky W 92 - 76 46% +15  95% 10 - 20 B- +8 A+ +15 C+ A+ A+ D -6 F B C-
 Fri, Mar 6 183 Austin Peay L 60 - 69 23% +1  49% 10 - 21 D -10 F+ -9 C- D- B- C- -3 C- C C+
Totals 10 - 21 7 - 11 -9 C- -3 F C C- D- -6 C D+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C C 33% 36% 46% C- C- D C+ D+ D+ D+ D+ D D- D- D+ C- D- 41% 18% 41% D+ D- D+ D- D D C+ D+ C+
1.04 57% 37% 34% -1 0 1.00 25% 1.0 .27 18% .28 70% .19 1.18 66% 41% 35% +4 0 1.12 33% 1.1 .37 15% .28 74% .20
Nov
3
Rhode Island F F A- D- D- 38% 15% 48% C+ D D+ F F F B+ F D F F F A- F 40% 16% 44% C F F F F C- D- F+ F
0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22 1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32
Nov
10
Miami (FL) F A+ F F F 20% 29% 51% F+ F D A C D A+ F A D F+ F D+ F+ 52% 12% 37% D- F+ A B+ A C- D- C D
0.77 70% 7% 27% -12 -2 0.73 19% 1.3 .24 22% .42 58% .24 1.29 71% 57% 36% +10 +2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 15% .39 69% .27
Nov
16
Western Carolina F F C+ F F 31% 29% 40% F+ F D+ B- C- B- C- D- D+ B D F F F 40% 8% 52% F F A+ C A A+ A+ C- A
0.89 39% 41% 26% -10 -2 0.79 24% 1.1 .27 14% .30 68% .21 1.04 60% 50% 42% +8 +2 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 25% .20 73% .15
Nov
19
Howard F+ F D- C- D- 37% 17% 46% D+ D- F A+ F F A+ B A+ A A+ A- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ F B+ C- B+
0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40 0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21
Nov
22
VMI A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 17% 13% 70% D+ A+ D+ A+ B+ C+ F F F F D C- C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F F+ F+ F+ F B- B B
1.50 89% 57% 50% +25 -1 1.50 35% 1.4 .50 15% .16 67% .11 1.21 60% 38% 33% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .33 9% .25 67% .17
Nov
25
Wright St. F F+ B D- F+ 40% 18% 42% C+ D- C- B+ C+ F+ F F F F+ A+ F F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F+ F+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.96 50% 44% 29% -6 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10 1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06
Nov
29
Southern Utah F C+ A F D+ 36% 28% 36% D D C C C F F A+ D- B- F A+ A+ C+ 52% 20% 28% D- C A+ F C+ C- D F F
0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15 1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27
Nov
30
Robert Morris D+ F A+ F D 24% 35% 41% F F+ F A+ C- B+ C+ C- C+ F B- F F F 27% 25% 48% B+ F C F F F C- A+ A-
1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28 1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11
Dec
2
Grand Canyon F D+ F F F 43% 17% 40% A- F+ C F D- F F F F A- F F A+ B+ 28% 24% 48% A B+ C D D+ A- F A F+
0.68 50% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.74 24% 0.8 .18 26% .20 40% .08 1.01 77% 45% 18% -4 -1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 21% .44 70% .31
Dec
6
South Carolina F C F F F 29% 31% 40% F+ F F+ D- F+ A B+ F C+ F F F F F 26% 20% 54% B F F D F A+ A D A
0.80 57% 27% 16% -15 -2 0.69 21% 0.9 .18 11% .32 61% .19 1.29 75% 56% 44% +16 -1 1.33 45% 1.2 .55 20% .24 83% .20
Dec
22
Oklahoma F A+ B F F 16% 34% 50% F F D B- D+ F D- C+ D F F A- F F 45% 12% 43% F F D- F F D D A C
0.79 75% 41% 12% -13 -3 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 21% .22 75% .17 1.57 87% 33% 55% +26 +2 1.57 39% 1.7 .65 12% .37 68% .25
Jan
1
North Alabama D A+ A+ F B 44% 16% 40% C B F F F F A C- A- C C- C+ A+ B+ 45% 6% 49% F B- F+ C- D- C C+ C- C
1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27 1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20
Jan
3
Central Arkansas C B- A+ A- B+ 24% 13% 62% D+ B C+ D- C- D- A+ F+ A F F A+ D- F 40% 8% 52% F+ F F F+ F C F F F
1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26 1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32
Jan
8
Lipscomb B- A+ A+ B- A 34% 13% 53% B A F F F B+ A+ A A+ D+ D- F B+ D- 50% 12% 38% D D- A F C+ B- F B F
1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35 1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27
Jan
10
Austin Peay F+ C+ D F F+ 30% 17% 54% D+ F+ C+ B+ B- D- F F+ F D- B- F A C- 40% 31% 29% A C A- F F+ F F A+ D-
0.98 63% 33% 28% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.9 .29 20% .20 64% .12 1.15 52% 50% 27% -2 -1 0.96 22% 1.9 .42 7% .49 56% .28
Jan
15
West Georgia A- B+ F A+ A+ 51% 11% 38% B A+ D+ C D+ F A+ B- A+ F C F A- D+ 41% 22% 37% F D F D F F C F D-
1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36 1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23
Jan
17
Queens C- B+ F+ B+ C+ 43% 20% 37% C- C+ C F D C- A+ F A+ F+ F F A+ D+ 38% 9% 54% D D F+ A+ C+ F C+ D C
1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36 1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24
Jan
22
Lipscomb F D+ D- C- D 36% 28% 36% D+ D- C- F F F D A+ C+ B+ D+ A B B- 41% 19% 41% B B A- A+ A+ F D D D-
0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21 0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21
Jan
23
Austin Peay D B C- F+ D 32% 23% 45% D- D D F F+ C- A- C B+ C F D+ A+ C 33% 31% 37% A+ C+ F+ F F B- C+ C- C+
0.97 67% 36% 29% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 18% .36 70% .25 1.09 69% 40% 22% -2 -2 0.94 34% 1.7 .57 18% .29 75% .22
Jan
29
North Florida C D+ C B C- 43% 13% 44% B- C D+ F F A- B- F+ C C- F+ C A+ B- 44% 10% 46% F+ C+ D+ F F+ D D- D D-
1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21 1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31
North Alabama F+ B+ F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F C A B D- B- A+ A- F+ F B+ B- F 40% 16% 44% C- F C+ D C- C- D C+ D+
1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27 1.08 72% 29% 30% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23
Feb
5
Bellarmine D A+ A C- D+ 13% 18% 69% D- D+ D- A+ B+ D- D D+ D F F+ D+ F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F F+ F F F A+ F+ A+
1.15 83% 50% 35% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.8 .50 18% .28 71% .20 1.50 70% 40% 58% +22 +2 1.50 27% 1.5 .41 10% .13 86% .11
Feb
7
Eastern Kentucky B F A+ A+ C+ 39% 18% 43% C+ C+ C- A- B- C- C A+ B F F F B- F 35% 15% 51% F F D- F F F F F F
1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29 1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35
Feb
11
Jacksonville D F B+ A C- 35% 23% 43% D D+ D- F+ F+ C A+ F A C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% C+ A F C+ D D- F+ D+ F+
1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34 0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26
Feb
14
Florida Gulf Coast C+ F A+ A+ C 52% 15% 33% B C+ D+ A+ B C F B F D- C- B+ F+ D+ 43% 21% 36% F+ D C- F+ D C- A B- A
1.12 41% 63% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.5 .39 16% .23 77% .18 1.15 60% 33% 38% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .36 16% .18 70% .12
Feb
19
Central Arkansas C+ A+ F A+ A+ 20% 22% 59% F A+ F+ A+ B- F F A+ F F F F D- F 31% 15% 54% C+ F F B+ F+ C- F D- F
1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14 1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27
Feb
21
North Florida D+ A F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C- A- B- F F F D+ F F D B+ F C- D 33% 20% 47% B+ D+ F F+ F D C- A+ B-
1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13 1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17
Feb
26
Jacksonville A- A+ A+ C A 57% 7% 37% A+ A+ D- F F+ B+ A D+ B+ F B+ A F B- 56% 23% 21% D- C+ F F F F F F F
1.26 77% 67% 35% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.7 .17 12% .46 67% .30 1.32 48% 27% 40% -6 +1 0.92 45% 1.4 .65 9% .51 97% .49
Feb
28
Florida Gulf Coast C+ D A+ A+ A+ 46% 17% 37% C+ A+ C- A+ A+ F F F F B+ C- A B B- 48% 19% 33% F C A+ A+ A+ D- C- D+ D+
1.15 52% 63% 53% +12 +1 1.28 28% 1.7 .48 24% .27 64% .17 0.93 60% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.98 17% 0.3 .06 13% .27 75% .20
Mar
4
Eastern Kentucky A+ C C+ A C+ 34% 17% 49% C+ C+ C- A+ A+ A+ D+ B C- D C- B F F 35% 13% 52% F F A+ F B C- D+ D D
1.40 61% 44% 42% +8 0 1.19 32% 1.8 .58 9% .30 78% .23 1.16 59% 33% 44% +7 +1 1.19 21% 1.3 .29 17% .29 75% .22
Mar
6
Austin Peay F+ D A+ D+ D+ 41% 14% 45% C+ C- F A D- B- F A+ F C- D- A+ A- C+ 53% 9% 38% F C- D A- C C+ F F+ F
0.95 55% 57% 32% 0 +1 1.04 17% 1.0 .17 16% .13 86% .11 1.10 64% 0% 28% -4 +3 1.00 32% 1.0 .32 17% .39 80% .31




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%