Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.0#44
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#38
Pace71.8#98
Improvement+2.4#41

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#63
First Shot+6.9#30
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#301
Layup/Dunks+2.5#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
Freethrows+5.7#2
Improvement+2.2#35

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#28
First Shot+6.1#25
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#164
Layups/Dunks+16.1#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#353
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#347
Freethrows+0.3#169
Improvement+0.2#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.9% 3.9% 0.9%
Top 4 Seed 8.7% 15.4% 5.6%
Top 6 Seed 21.0% 34.0% 15.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 55.1% 71.7% 47.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 53.7% 70.4% 46.3%
Average Seed 7.3 6.7 7.7
.500 or above 80.2% 91.2% 75.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 66.7% 41.2%
Conference Champion 3.3% 6.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 1.0% 4.3%
First Four6.1% 5.5% 6.3%
First Round51.8% 68.6% 44.1%
Second Round30.1% 42.5% 24.4%
Sweet Sixteen11.6% 17.5% 9.0%
Elite Eight4.5% 7.3% 3.3%
Final Four1.7% 2.9% 1.1%
Championship Game0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 31.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 9
Quad 23 - 29 - 12
Quad 33 - 113 - 12
Quad 45 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 166   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 91%     1 - 0 +16.4 +3.3 +11.4
  Nov 09, 2024 288   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 96%     2 - 0 -4.6 -15.4 +10.6
  Nov 13, 2024 341   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 98%     3 - 0 +11.7 +0.9 +10.0
  Nov 17, 2024 42   St. Mary's L 74-77 49%     3 - 1 +8.3 +13.1 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2024 40   @ Creighton W 74-63 36%     4 - 1 +25.7 +7.0 +18.4
  Nov 27, 2024 224   South Dakota W 96-79 94%     5 - 1 +10.5 +7.6 +1.6
  Dec 01, 2024 182   North Florida W 103-72 91%     6 - 1 +26.9 +14.9 +9.1
  Dec 07, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 69-74 31%    
  Dec 13, 2024 39   Indiana W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 22, 2024 117   Murray St. W 74-66 77%    
  Dec 30, 2024 234   Southern W 80-62 95%    
  Jan 04, 2025 18   UCLA L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 07, 2025 50   @ Iowa L 78-80 42%    
  Jan 12, 2025 21   @ Purdue L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 16, 2025 58   Rutgers W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 19, 2025 19   @ Maryland L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 22, 2025 106   USC W 78-68 81%    
  Jan 26, 2025 35   @ Wisconsin L 72-76 34%    
  Jan 30, 2025 14   Illinois L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 02, 2025 22   @ Oregon L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 05, 2025 75   @ Washington W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 29   Ohio St. W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 19   Maryland L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 16, 2025 66   @ Northwestern L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 31   @ Penn St. L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 24, 2025 16   Michigan L 72-73 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 112   Minnesota W 71-61 82%    
  Mar 04, 2025 29   @ Ohio St. L 71-76 33%    
  Mar 09, 2025 50   Iowa W 81-77 63%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 2.5 0.7 0.1 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.1 1.5 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.7 1.4 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 3.1 0.3 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.4 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.2 3.1 0.2 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.4 1.1 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.7 2.8 0.2 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 0.8 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.2 1.8 3.7 1.7 0.1 7.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 6.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.8 7.5 9.9 11.6 12.6 12.1 11.1 9.5 6.9 4.6 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 86.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
16-4 68.1% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 37.1% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
14-6 10.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 27.0% 73.0% 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 21.3% 78.7% 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.5% 100.0% 17.5% 82.5% 2.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.9% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 3.7 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.6% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 4.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 6.9% 99.6% 6.9% 92.7% 5.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.8 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 9.5% 98.4% 3.6% 94.8% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.1 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.2 98.3%
11-9 11.1% 94.8% 2.5% 92.3% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.6 94.6%
10-10 12.1% 82.8% 1.8% 81.0% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.1 2.1 82.5%
9-11 12.6% 50.9% 0.8% 50.1% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 0.3 6.2 50.5%
8-12 11.6% 18.3% 0.5% 17.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 0.3 9.4 17.9%
7-13 9.9% 1.7% 0.1% 1.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.7 1.6%
6-14 7.5% 7.5
5-15 4.8% 4.8
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 55.1% 2.9% 52.2% 7.3 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.1 5.5 6.8 7.2 7.6 6.8 6.0 5.7 0.8 0.0 44.9 53.7%