North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#244
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#209
Pace66.6#255
Improvement-1.3#265

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#249
First Shot-6.3#342
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#26
Layup/Dunks-1.3#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#235
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#261
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement-1.2#271

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#231
First Shot+1.5#120
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#352
Layups/Dunks+0.4#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
Freethrows+1.5#85
Improvement-0.1#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.0% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 43.1% 47.1% 22.1%
.500 or above in Conference 68.3% 72.5% 46.0%
Conference Champion 6.9% 7.8% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.3% 6.6%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 1.5%
First Round6.7% 7.3% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Home) - 84.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 411 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 80 @Mississippi St. L 62-86 9%     0 - 1 -14.1 -7.3 -6.2
  Tue, Nov 11 273 Northwestern St. W 87-83 OT 66%     1 - 1 -5.0 +2.4 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 141 East Tennessee St. L 74-78 38%     1 - 2 -5.7 +0.8 -6.6
  Mon, Nov 17 40 @Clemson L 61-81 4%     1 - 3 -4.8 +3.0 -10.0
  Sat, Nov 22 235 @Chattanooga L 57-71 37%     1 - 4 -15.4 -8.9 -8.7
  Mon, Dec 1 236 @Jacksonville St. W 73-66 37%     2 - 4 +5.5 +5.5 +0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 95 @San Francisco W 65-63 11%     3 - 4 +10.8 +0.8 +10.2
  Mon, Dec 15 293 @Alabama A&M L 60-68 47%     3 - 5 -12.1 -9.1 -3.6
  Fri, Dec 19 123 @Loyola Marymount L 57-91 17%     3 - 6 -28.6 -8.7 -20.5
  Thu, Jan 1 349 Stetson W 77-66 84%    
  Sat, Jan 3 186 Florida Gulf Coast L 74-75 50%    
  Thu, Jan 8 259 @Eastern Kentucky L 72-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 10 267 @Bellarmine L 72-74 43%    
  Thu, Jan 15 350 North Florida W 85-74 84%    
  Sat, Jan 17 317 Jacksonville W 72-65 75%    
  Wed, Jan 21 211 @Queens L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Jan 24 282 Central Arkansas W 74-69 66%    
  Thu, Jan 29 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 349 @Stetson W 74-69 66%    
  Wed, Feb 4 282 @Central Arkansas L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 195 @Austin Peay L 66-72 31%    
  Wed, Feb 11 316 West Georgia W 76-69 74%    
  Sat, Feb 14 259 Eastern Kentucky W 75-71 63%    
  Wed, Feb 18 211 Queens W 78-77 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 144 @Lipscomb L 69-78 21%    
  Wed, Feb 25 267 Bellarmine W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 316 @West Georgia W 73-72 54%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.1 5.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.4 6.3 2.5 0.2 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 5.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.1 3.4 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.4 0.5 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.7 8.9 11.7 13.8 14.6 13.4 10.9 7.7 4.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 92.7% 0.8    0.8 0.1
15-3 77.0% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.1
14-4 45.9% 2.1    0.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 20.2% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.5 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 37.3% 37.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 32.2% 32.2% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.2% 25.1% 25.1% 14.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.7
14-4 4.6% 19.3% 19.3% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.7
13-5 7.7% 14.9% 14.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 6.5
12-6 10.9% 12.5% 12.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.5 9.5
11-7 13.4% 7.9% 7.9% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 12.3
10-8 14.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.2 0.7 13.6
9-9 13.8% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 13.2
8-10 11.7% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 11.5
7-11 8.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 8.7
6-12 5.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 5.6
5-13 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-14 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.1 92.6 0.0%