North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#197
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace66.6#232
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#200
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.9% 27.7% 16.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 13.3 14.4
.500 or above 64.1% 87.9% 63.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.6% 94.7% 84.2%
Conference Champion 21.9% 34.2% 21.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.2% 1.0%
First Four1.9% 0.5% 2.0%
First Round16.9% 27.6% 16.4%
Second Round0.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi St. (Away) - 4.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 32   @ Mississippi St. L 63-81 4%    
  Nov 11, 2025 252   Northwestern St. W 69-63 70%    
  Nov 15, 2025 148   East Tennessee St. W 68-67 52%    
  Nov 17, 2025 41   @ Clemson L 57-75 6%    
  Nov 22, 2025 137   @ Chattanooga L 68-75 29%    
  Dec 01, 2025 158   @ Jacksonville St. L 64-69 34%    
  Dec 03, 2025 73   @ San Francisco L 64-77 13%    
  Dec 15, 2025 313   @ Alabama A&M W 75-72 61%    
  Dec 19, 2025 132   @ Loyola Marymount L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 01, 2026 354   Stetson W 78-65 88%    
  Jan 03, 2026 177   Florida Gulf Coast W 69-67 56%    
  Jan 08, 2026 173   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 10, 2026 328   @ Bellarmine W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 15, 2026 337   North Florida W 83-72 82%    
  Jan 17, 2026 247   Jacksonville W 71-66 68%    
  Jan 21, 2026 245   @ Queens L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 24, 2026 360   Central Arkansas W 77-62 90%    
  Jan 29, 2026 177   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 31, 2026 354   @ Stetson W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 04, 2026 360   @ Central Arkansas W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 07, 2026 267   @ Austin Peay W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 11, 2026 341   West Georgia W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 14, 2026 173   Eastern Kentucky W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 18, 2026 245   Queens W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 21, 2026 244   @ Lipscomb L 68-69 48%    
  Feb 25, 2026 328   Bellarmine W 77-67 80%    
  Feb 28, 2026 341   @ West Georgia W 74-69 67%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 4.3 6.1 5.6 3.1 1.0 21.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.7 5.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 17.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.7 4.5 1.5 0.1 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.1 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.3 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.8 1.9 0.4 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.5 4.0 6.2 8.0 9.9 11.6 12.4 12.5 11.4 8.9 6.0 3.1 1.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
17-1 99.7% 3.1    2.9 0.2
16-2 94.0% 5.6    4.6 1.0 0.0
15-3 68.6% 6.1    3.7 2.0 0.3
14-4 37.8% 4.3    1.7 1.9 0.7 0.0
13-5 12.1% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 21.9% 21.9 14.3 5.8 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.0% 69.5% 69.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-1 3.1% 47.4% 47.4% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.6
16-2 6.0% 42.6% 42.6% 13.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 3.4
15-3 8.9% 33.7% 33.7% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 0.2 5.9
14-4 11.4% 28.1% 28.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.5 8.2
13-5 12.5% 17.7% 17.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 10.3
12-6 12.4% 13.6% 13.6% 17.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.8 10.7
11-7 11.6% 8.6% 8.6% 17.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 10.6
10-8 9.9% 6.6% 6.6% 17.9 0.1 0.7 9.3
9-9 8.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.7
8-10 6.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.1
7-11 4.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
6-12 2.5% 2.5
5-13 1.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 16.9% 16.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.8 4.6 4.8 3.9 83.1 0.0%