IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.8	#211
Expected Predictive Rating	+3.4	#109

Pace	66.6	#245
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.6	#214

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.2	#196

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.3%	17.2%	10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	15.1

.500 or above	60.9%	68.6%	42.8%
.500 or above in Conference	82.8%	86.1%	75.2%
Conference Champion	19.4%	22.1%	13.1%
Last Place in Conference	1.1%	0.8%	1.9%

First Four	2.2%	2.0%	2.7%
First Round	14.3%	16.3%	9.5%
Second Round	0.7%	0.8%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern St. (Home) - 70.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	3 - 9
Quad 4	13 - 5	15 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2025	31	@ Mississippi St.	L	62-86	5%	0 - 1			-7.6	-4.8	-2.3
Nov 11, 2025	265	Northwestern St.	W	73-67	70%
Nov 15, 2025	147	East Tennessee St.	W	68-67	51%
Nov 17, 2025	40	@ Clemson	L	57-75	5%
Nov 22, 2025	133	@ Chattanooga	L	67-74	27%
Dec 01, 2025	160	@ Jacksonville St.	L	64-69	33%
Dec 03, 2025	71	@ San Francisco	L	64-77	12%
Dec 15, 2025	322	@ Alabama A&M	W	75-72	61%
Dec 19, 2025	130	@ Loyola Marymount	L	65-72	26%
Jan 01, 2026	357	Stetson	W	77-64	86%
Jan 03, 2026	178	Florida Gulf Coast	W	68-66	56%
Jan 08, 2026	171	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	69-74	35%
Jan 10, 2026	333	@ Bellarmine	W	73-69	62%
Jan 15, 2026	346	North Florida	W	81-70	82%
Jan 17, 2026	256	Jacksonville	W	71-66	67%
Jan 21, 2026	242	@ Queens	L	72-73	46%
Jan 24, 2026	362	Central Arkansas	W	75-62	87%
Jan 29, 2026	178	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	65-69	36%
Jan 31, 2026	357	@ Stetson	W	74-67	71%
Feb 04, 2026	362	@ Central Arkansas	W	72-65	74%
Feb 07, 2026	263	@ Austin Peay	L	68-69	48%
Feb 11, 2026	336	West Georgia	W	76-66	79%
Feb 14, 2026	171	Eastern Kentucky	W	72-71	55%
Feb 18, 2026	242	Queens	W	75-70	65%
Feb 21, 2026	251	@ Lipscomb	L	68-69	47%
Feb 25, 2026	333	Bellarmine	W	76-66	79%
Feb 28, 2026	336	@ West Georgia	W	73-69	63%
Projected Record						14 - 13	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.8	4.3	5.6	4.4	2.2	0.7		19.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.8	5.7	4.8	2.1	0.4				16.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.5	3.0	5.9	4.0	1.0	0.1					14.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.9	5.2	3.3	0.6	0.0						12.5	4th
5th									0.2	2.1	4.8	3.0	0.5	0.0							10.8	5th
6th								0.1	1.4	3.7	2.5	0.4	0.0								8.1	6th
7th							0.1	1.0	2.8	2.3	0.4	0.0									6.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	1.9	1.8	0.3	0.0										4.6	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0											3.3	9th
10th				0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0												2.3	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0													1.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0														0.5	12th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.6	2.9	4.6	6.6	8.9	11.1	12.2	12.9	12.1	10.1	7.8	4.8	2.2	0.7			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	2.2		2.1	0.1
16-2	92.3%	4.4		3.8	0.7	0.0
15-3	72.4%	5.6		3.5	1.9	0.2	0.0
14-4	42.6%	4.3		1.8	1.9	0.6	0.0
13-5	14.7%	1.8		0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	19.4%	19.4		12.3	5.3	1.4	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		62.1%	61.1%	1.0%	12.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.3		2.5%
17-1	2.2%		50.4%	50.4%		13.0												0.0	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1		1.1
16-2	4.8%		41.8%	41.8%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.4	0.0	2.8
15-3	7.8%		33.5%	33.5%		14.2													0.1	0.5	1.0	0.9	0.1	5.2
14-4	10.1%		25.2%	25.2%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.4	7.6
13-5	12.1%		19.4%	19.4%		15.0													0.0	0.2	0.4	1.0	0.7	9.8
12-6	12.9%		13.2%	13.2%		15.3														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	11.2
11-7	12.2%		9.5%	9.5%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	11.0
10-8	11.1%		6.9%	6.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	10.4
9-9	8.9%		4.4%	4.4%		15.9																0.0	0.4	8.5
8-10	6.6%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	6.5
7-11	4.6%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	4.6
6-12	2.9%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
5-13	1.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
4-14	0.9%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	0.9
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		15.3%	15.3%	0.0%	14.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	2.1	3.5	4.5	4.2	84.7		0.0%