Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#239
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#204
Pace70.4#136
Improvement-3.5#342

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#163
First Shot+4.4#57
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#342
Layup/Dunks+0.8#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#128
Freethrows+4.5#5
Improvement-1.4#296

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#314
First Shot-2.2#253
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#308
Layups/Dunks+3.7#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#332
Freethrows+0.7#155
Improvement-2.0#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 8.4% 5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 36.5% 60.3% 32.9%
.500 or above in Conference 60.0% 71.4% 58.3%
Conference Champion 5.0% 8.2% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.9% 3.9%
First Four2.1% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round5.1% 7.6% 4.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 13.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 185   @ College of Charleston L 77-86 27%     0 - 1 -6.9 -6.9 +1.4
  Nov 13, 2021 352   South Carolina St. W 93-81 87%     1 - 1 -4.1 +8.0 -12.7
  Nov 14, 2021 277   Loyola Maryland W 70-65 58%     2 - 1 -1.3 -7.3 +5.8
  Nov 17, 2021 98   @ Dayton W 78-59 13%     3 - 1 +27.2 +15.2 +13.5
  Nov 23, 2021 280   @ Tennessee Tech L 77-88 47%     3 - 2 -14.4 +2.0 -16.4
  Dec 02, 2021 57   @ Belmont L 65-94 8%     3 - 3 -17.9 -5.8 -11.3
  Dec 05, 2021 88   Chattanooga L 64-85 25%     3 - 4 -18.0 -5.3 -13.9
  Dec 08, 2021 100   @ Miami (FL) L 70-82 13%    
  Dec 12, 2021 327   Tennessee St. W 80-71 81%    
  Dec 15, 2021 38   @ Florida St. L 64-82 5%    
  Dec 22, 2021 11   @ LSU L 63-87 1%    
  Dec 30, 2021 341   Alabama A&M W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 04, 2022 311   North Alabama W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 08, 2022 338   @ Central Arkansas W 82-76 71%    
  Jan 11, 2022 164   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 15, 2022 195   Bellarmine W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 18, 2022 163   @ Eastern Kentucky L 79-86 25%    
  Jan 22, 2022 283   Kennesaw St. W 77-72 69%    
  Jan 27, 2022 251   @ Jacksonville L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 29, 2022 308   @ North Florida W 76-75 56%    
  Feb 03, 2022 275   Stetson W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 05, 2022 213   Florida Gulf Coast W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 08, 2022 134   @ Liberty L 63-72 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 163   Eastern Kentucky L 82-83 44%    
  Feb 16, 2022 164   Jacksonville St. L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 19, 2022 311   @ North Alabama W 75-73 55%    
  Feb 23, 2022 195   @ Bellarmine L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 338   Central Arkansas W 85-73 85%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.8 3.8 0.9 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.0 5.0 1.3 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.5 6.3 2.0 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.5 6.8 3.0 0.2 12.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.7 4.1 0.4 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.6 4.4 0.7 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.8 0.9 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.8 0.9 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.3 7.8 11.0 13.9 15.6 14.6 12.0 8.7 5.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 96.9% 0.3    0.2 0.0
14-2 90.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
13-3 65.3% 1.7    0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-4 30.4% 1.6    0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
11-5 6.3% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 31.8% 31.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 36.6% 36.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 23.2% 23.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.5% 20.4% 20.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.0
12-4 5.3% 16.2% 16.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 4.4
11-5 8.7% 12.1% 12.1% 15.5 0.1 0.5 0.6 7.7
10-6 12.0% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.9
9-7 14.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 13.6
8-8 15.6% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.9
7-9 13.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.5
6-10 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.9
5-11 7.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
4-12 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-13 2.0% 2.0
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.8 93.9 0.0%