Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.8 30
Expected Predictive Rating +14.5 36
Pace 81.2 4
Improvement -3.8 330

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- #28 B B+ B+ B B
Defense B #44 B+ C+ B+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 65% 50 +4.9 31
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 314 45% 34 -1.6 266
Three Pointers 44% 119 33% 204 +1.3 132
1st FG Attempt 1.11 55 +4.6 56
Second Chance 37.5% 22 1.08 108 0.40 36
Turnovers 14.3% 36
Freethrows 0.34 73 75% 78 0.26 52
Total Offense +9.1 28

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 150 50% 19 +2.5 95
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 144 36% 103 +0.1 184
Three Pointers 39% 251 31% 63 +2.8 71
1st FG Attempt 0.91 40 +5.4 40
Second Chance 32.7% 275 0.91 40 0.30 137
Turnovers 19.9% 39
Freethrows 0.25 28 69% 37 0.17 24
Total Defense +5.7 44

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 46 +0.0 161
Shot Type Accuracy +3.3 72 -5.2 29
Possession Length 14.3 4 17.8 264
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.34 1 0.18 219
Improvement -1.9 #292 -2.0 #292

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.9% 4.6% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 13.6% 25.6% 8.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.0% 95.3% 81.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 85.6% 95.1% 81.3%
Average Seed 8.3 7.6 8.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.2% 87.4% 57.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.2% 3.2% 10.5%
First Round82.5% 94.1% 77.1%
Second Round46.0% 57.4% 40.7%
Sweet Sixteen12.8% 17.4% 10.7%
Elite Eight4.3% 6.2% 3.4%
Final Four1.4% 1.9% 1.1%
Championship Game0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 35 - 8
Quad 26 - 211 - 10
Quad 33 - 114 - 11
Quad 48 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 278 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  93% 1 - 0 A+ +35 B+ +9 C+ D- A+ A+ +22 A A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  100% 2 - 0 A+ +50 B+ +9 F A+ B A+ +38 A+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 9 292 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  99% 3 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +23 A+ A+ A- C+ +1 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 123 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 92% +3  71% 4 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +3 C A C- C+ +1 C+ B C
 Mon, Nov 17 328 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  98% 5 - 0 A- +16 C +0 F A+ B- A+ +14 C+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 21 83 Xavier W 78 - 77 78% +4  72% 6 - 0 B- +8 C+ +3 D+ B+ B+ B +5 A D+ D+
 Sun, Nov 23 31 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 50% +0  46% 6 - 1 B+ +12 A +14 A+ B- C+ C -1 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 29 320 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  99% 7 - 1 A+ +29 A+ +17 A+ D+ A- B +4 B B- F+
 Tue, Dec 2 95 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 73% +19  94% 8 - 1 A+ +42 A+ +25 A+ A+ B A+ +14 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 13 51 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 65% +1  44% 9 - 1 A+ +30 A +12 B- A+ C A+ +16 A+ B B
 Thu, Dec 18 282 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  99% 10 - 1 A +20 A+ +15 A+ C B- C+ +2 F C- B
 Mon, Dec 22 319 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +16  99% 11 - 1 A- +16 B- +4 D- A+ B+ B+ +7 B C+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 209 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 96% +1  41% 12 - 1 B +9 B +6 C+ A- C+ C+ +2 B- C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 28 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 60% +1  60% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 A+ B A+ C +0 B B+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 4 @Florida L 77 - 92 16% -6  13% 13 - 2 1 - 1 B +11 B +7 C A- A B +5 B B- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 93 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 73% -1  33% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B F A- A- +8 B A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 61 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 80% -0  52% 14 - 3 2 - 2 C+ +4 A+ +15 A B- A+ F -11 D- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 17 Arkansas W 90 - 76 49% +10  97% 15 - 3 3 - 2 A+ +29 B- +5 A B D A+ +22 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 20 49 @Missouri W 74 - 72 54% +2  65% 16 - 3 4 - 2 A- +16 B +7 C C B+ A- +9 A- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 32 @Texas L 67 - 87 39% -3  49% 16 - 4 4 - 3 C- -2 C +1 C- A- F D+ -4 D- F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 16 Tennessee L 85 - 86 OT 49% +1  49% 16 - 5 4 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +18 A+ F+ A+ D+ -4 B+ D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 29 Texas A&M L 77 - 92 61% -11  0% 16 - 6 4 - 5 C- -3 C -0 D C+ A+ C -2 C+ D- B+
 Sat, Feb 7 56 @LSU W 83 - 71 58% +1  52% 17 - 6 5 - 5 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ C- A- +8 A+ C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 11 4 Florida L 82 - 87 32%
 Sat, Feb 14 54 @Oklahoma W 86 - 84 57%
 Tue, Feb 17 25 @Kentucky L 81 - 85 35%
 Sat, Feb 21 32 Texas W 88 - 85 61%
 Wed, Feb 25 14 @Vanderbilt L 84 - 91 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 93 South Carolina W 86 - 74 87%
 Tue, Mar 3 19 Alabama W 96 - 95 50%
 Sat, Mar 7 79 @Mississippi St. W 85 - 80 67%
Totals 21 - 10 9 - 9 +15 A- +9 B B+ B+ B +6 B+ C+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ B+ C B- 42% 14% 44% B B B+ C+ B+ B+ B B- B B A- B- B B+ 40% 22% 39% C B+ D+ B C+ B+ B+ B+ B+
1.22 65% 45% 33% +3 +1 1.11 38% 1.1 .40 14% .34 75% .26 1.00 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 69% .24
Nov
3		 Bellarmine B+ B+ A+ D C- 52% 2% 46% A+ C+ D- C- D- A+ C A+ A- A+ B+ A+ A A+ 45% 2% 53% F A B- A+ A- A+ A+ D- A+
1.36 72% 100% 32% +7 +3 1.23 28% 1.1 .31 8% .30 90% .27 0.77 54% 0% 29% -7 +3 0.94 17% 0.7 .11 29% .11 83% .09
Nov
5		 Maryland Eastern Shore B+ B- F F F 40% 2% 58% A F A+ B- A+ B A+ A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 28% 30% 43% A- A+ F A+ B A+ F+ A+ B-
1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38 0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14
Nov
9		 Morehead St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 48% 5% 48% A- A+ B+ A+ A+ A- B B- B C+ A+ B B- A+ 44% 22% 35% F+ A F F F B- C- A C+
1.50 72% 0% 45% +13 +3 1.33 43% 1.4 .59 11% .37 73% .27 1.01 38% 33% 32% -11 0 0.80 43% 1.3 .55 20% .31 65% .20
Nov
14		 Georgia Tech C+ A F F C- 41% 17% 43% B+ C A+ C A C- A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ C F B- 49% 19% 32% F+ C+ D- A+ B C F A D
1.10 68% 11% 26% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.1 .44 17% .63 73% .46 1.04 45% 36% 47% 0 +1 1.03 37% 0.8 .31 18% .41 61% .25
Nov
17		 Florida A&M C A+ A+ F F 46% 10% 44% B F A+ C- A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A F+ C+ B- 39% 20% 41% D C+ F A+ B A+ C+ A B
1.14 82% 60% 5% -6 +2 0.94 53% 0.9 .47 17% .55 83% .46 0.75 44% 44% 32% -5 0 0.91 36% 0.5 .17 33% .27 57% .16
Nov
21		 Xavier C+ A+ D F C- 28% 26% 46% D D+ C A+ B+ B+ C+ B- C+ B A C+ B- A 25% 29% 45% B+ A D- C D+ D+ D A C
1.07 75% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 15% .29 72% .21 1.06 50% 38% 32% -3 -2 0.91 31% 1.0 .31 11% .29 63% .19
Nov
23		 Clemson A A+ B C- A+ 28% 25% 48% C- A+ C- A+ B- C+ A A- A+ C B- C+ F C 37% 30% 33% A+ B- F+ D- F C+ F+ D+ F+
1.13 82% 40% 31% +5 -1 1.10 21% 1.3 .26 18% .38 81% .31 1.17 57% 41% 42% +5 -1 1.09 36% 1.2 .43 16% .41 76% .31
Nov
29		 Tennessee Tech A+ B A+ A+ A+ 36% 6% 58% B+ A+ C+ D- D+ A- A F+ B B C- A- A+ B+ 54% 22% 25% F+ B A F B- F+ C D+ C-
1.42 65% 75% 51% +20 +2 1.45 33% 1.1 .36 12% .38 69% .26 0.93 57% 29% 19% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.2 .26 16% .29 76% .22
Dec
2		 Florida St. A+ A+ A+ C+ A 45% 5% 50% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B B B B+ A+ A C- B- A- 46% 14% 40% C- A- B+ B+ A- C B- A+ A
1.37 73% 67% 34% +9 +2 1.24 52% 1.4 .72 18% .33 76% .25 0.93 46% 38% 30% -8 +1 0.89 28% 1.0 .28 14% .27 50% .13
Dec
13		 Cincinnati A A+ C F B- 37% 25% 38% C B- B A+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C+ A+ C+ B+ B B D- A+ C
1.10 74% 38% 20% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.7 .47 20% .42 77% .32 0.85 56% 25% 23% -11 -1 0.79 30% 0.9 .26 18% .34 57% .19
Dec
18		 Western Carolina A+ B A+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 35% B+ A+ C+ C- C B- A+ B- A+ C+ D- F+ F+ F 38% 26% 36% B F A+ F C- B B- A+ B+
1.39 64% 63% 56% +18 +1 1.41 31% 1.0 .31 14% .58 78% .45 1.02 64% 47% 38% +7 -1 1.14 18% 1.8 .32 20% .26 59% .15
Dec
22		 West Georgia B- D- C D F+ 55% 8% 37% B+ D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ D- A- B+ A+ A+ F B+ 34% 33% 33% C- B A F C+ B+ B- F D+
1.23 53% 40% 30% -5 +3 0.98 46% 1.1 .50 12% .45 67% .30 0.88 33% 25% 40% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.3 .30 20% .24 94% .23
Dec
29		 LIU Brooklyn B C- B C+ C+ 35% 14% 51% C C+ A- B- A- C+ A+ B- A+ C+ B- C A B+ 60% 19% 21% F B- D+ B C C+ F B- F
1.19 56% 43% 35% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .46 17% .47 72% .34 0.99 53% 40% 27% -5 +2 0.96 38% 0.9 .33 21% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Auburn A+ B- A+ B+ A+ 41% 14% 45% B+ A+ C- A+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ C C+ F A+ B 47% 14% 40% C- B F A+ B+ B F A D-
1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35 1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35
Jan
6		 Florida B F A+ F C 43% 30% 27% B- C B A+ A- A B+ D B- B B F A B- 49% 16% 35% B- B D A- B- B- C B- C+
0.99 37% 58% 24% -7 -1 0.86 24% 1.0 .24 12% .33 65% .22 1.18 57% 67% 25% -1 +1 1.04 48% 0.9 .41 17% .35 70% .25
Jan
10		 South Carolina B- A- A- D- B 40% 21% 40% B- B C+ F F A- A A- A+ A- C+ C+ B- B 37% 19% 44% C B B+ A+ A+ D+ D+ A C+
1.09 67% 45% 29% +2 0 1.06 30% 0.4 .11 12% .36 77% .28 1.02 58% 40% 30% -2 0 0.98 25% 0.6 .14 13% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Mississippi A+ F F+ A+ A- 36% 13% 51% A- A A+ F B- A+ A+ A A+ F B D- F F 23% 39% 38% B D- D- F+ F C- B- C+ B-
1.25 35% 29% 50% +3 +1 1.09 46% 0.8 .35 12% .51 76% .39 1.27 57% 46% 48% +11 -4 1.16 36% 1.3 .45 12% .28 74% .21
Jan
17		 Arkansas B- C A+ B- A- 43% 10% 47% A- A D+ A+ B D C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 18% 31% D A+ D C D+ A+ A F+ B+
1.08 56% 50% 33% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.7 .42 20% .24 88% .21 0.91 48% 27% 26% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.3 .48 22% .25 81% .20
Jan
20		 Missouri B D- B- B- C+ 29% 29% 42% C- C A+ F C B+ A- A+ A+ A- C+ A+ C- A 44% 17% 38% C A- C- A+ A+ C- A+ F A-
1.09 47% 40% 36% -1 -2 0.96 44% 0.6 .26 15% .36 86% .31 1.06 61% 11% 35% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.7 .25 18% .21 92% .20
Jan
24		 Texas C B+ F F+ D+ 43% 18% 39% B+ C- A B- A- F A+ D A+ D+ F F B- F 33% 35% 31% A+ D- D- D- F B+ A+ C A+
1.02 63% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .47 68% .32 1.32 82% 56% 31% +13 -2 1.24 44% 1.4 .60 18% .22 75% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Tennessee A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D+ F F+ A+ B- B B D+ A- D- D+ B- 32% 30% 38% A+ B+ F B+ D+ C- D- A+ C
1.23 70% 58% 38% +11 0 1.23 21% 0.6 .12 9% .32 70% .22 1.24 50% 47% 37% +2 -2 1.02 57% 0.9 .52 17% .44 60% .26
Jan
31		 Texas A&M C D B- F+ D- 41% 19% 40% B- D B D C+ A+ F A F C B F D+ B- 45% 4% 51% D C+ D D+ D- B+ C+ F D-
1.00 50% 42% 28% -6 0 0.90 33% 0.8 .27 13% .15 80% .12 1.20 54% 100% 37% +3 +3 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 18% .32 95% .30
Feb
7		 LSU A+ A B- A A+ 40% 11% 49% A- A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ F B+ A- D A+ A+ A+ 39% 17% 43% C A+ F+ A C+ A+ F F+ F
1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24 1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 1.7 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 1.5 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.1 0.4 6.1 5th
6th 0.1 4.2 4.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 9.0 1.1 11.7 7th
8th 0.6 7.7 7.1 0.1 15.5 8th
9th 0.2 4.5 10.8 1.6 17.1 9th
10th 0.0 2.2 9.7 5.3 0.1 17.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 6.1 5.5 0.9 13.4 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 1.0 0.2 2.6 12th
13th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.1 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.3 2.5 9.5 20.5 26.4 22.7 13.3 4.2 0.6 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 25.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.6% 100.0% 18.6% 81.4% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.2% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 5.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 13.3% 99.4% 6.3% 93.1% 6.6 0.2 0.4 1.7 3.6 4.0 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.1 99.4%
10-8 22.7% 98.0% 2.7% 95.3% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 5.7 7.7 4.7 1.3 0.1 0.5 98.0%
9-9 26.4% 93.3% 2.0% 91.3% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.5 6.5 8.6 5.2 1.0 1.8 93.2%
8-10 20.5% 76.7% 0.9% 75.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 3.4 6.1 4.5 0.0 4.8 76.5%
7-11 9.5% 52.0% 0.4% 51.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.6 2.8 0.1 4.6 51.8%
6-12 2.5% 17.9% 17.9% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 2.1 17.9%
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 86.0% 2.6% 83.4% 8.3 14.0 85.6%