Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.9#21
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#32
Pace84.8#3
Improvement+0.9#118

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#21
First Shot+5.7#47
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#20
Layup/Dunks+5.8#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#311
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#195
Freethrows+2.5#46
Improvement+1.0#103

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#26
First Shot+6.8#21
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#203
Layups/Dunks+1.2#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#82
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement-0.1#191
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 4.7% 4.7% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 23.5% 23.6% 5.8%
Top 6 Seed 49.2% 49.3% 13.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.9% 88.0% 65.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.7% 86.8% 64.7%
Average Seed 6.2 6.2 8.1
.500 or above 99.7% 99.7% 95.6%
.500 or above in Conference 80.4% 80.5% 52.6%
Conference Champion 12.5% 12.5% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.9% 2.9%
First Four4.0% 4.0% 7.3%
First Round86.2% 86.3% 60.6%
Second Round62.5% 62.6% 41.6%
Sweet Sixteen28.6% 28.7% 13.1%
Elite Eight11.7% 11.7% 4.4%
Final Four4.7% 4.8% 0.0%
Championship Game1.7% 1.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.7% 0.7% 0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Home) - 99.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 7
Quad 26 - 213 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 276 Bellarmine W 104-59 98%     1 - 0 +35.9 +14.9 +17.2
  Wed, Nov 5 346 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94-29 99%     2 - 0 +50.1 +10.2 +36.4
  Sun, Nov 9 308 Morehead St. W 120-81 99%     3 - 0 +27.7 +27.9 -5.1
  Fri, Nov 14 126 Georgia Tech W 92-87 93%     4 - 0 +4.1 +5.9 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 17 343 Florida A&M W 87-57 99%     5 - 0 +15.5 +1.7 +11.3
  Fri, Nov 21 95 Xavier W 78-77 84%     6 - 0 +6.5 +5.6 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 23 40 Clemson L 94-97 OT 63%     6 - 1 +9.3 +12.7 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 29 286 Tennessee Tech W 123-81 98%     7 - 1 +32.4 +21.5 +2.7
  Tue, Dec 2 120 @Florida St. W 107-73 82%     8 - 1 +40.1 +26.0 +10.6
  Sat, Dec 13 67 Cincinnati W 84-65 77%     9 - 1 +27.1 +13.4 +12.1
  Thu, Dec 18 302 Western Carolina W 112-82 98%     10 - 1 +19.5 +20.1 -4.5
  Mon, Dec 22 316 West Georgia W 96-68 99.5%   
  Mon, Dec 29 203 LIU Brooklyn W 97-75 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 34 Auburn W 89-83 70%    
  Tue, Jan 6 13 @Florida L 82-87 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 89 @South Carolina W 83-76 72%    
  Wed, Jan 14 59 Mississippi W 85-75 82%    
  Sat, Jan 17 24 Arkansas W 91-87 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 47 @Missouri W 87-85 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 41 @Texas W 85-84 52%    
  Tue, Jan 27 16 Tennessee W 80-79 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 44 Texas A&M W 92-84 76%    
  Sat, Feb 7 38 @LSU W 85-84 51%    
  Wed, Feb 11 13 Florida W 85-84 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 46 @Oklahoma W 87-85 57%    
  Tue, Feb 17 19 @Kentucky L 82-86 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 41 Texas W 88-81 73%    
  Wed, Feb 25 10 @Vanderbilt L 85-90 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 89 South Carolina W 86-73 87%    
  Tue, Mar 3 15 Alabama W 97-96 55%    
  Sat, Mar 7 82 @Mississippi St. W 86-80 70%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 12.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 12.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.7 4.2 0.7 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.1 3.1 5.3 1.2 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.0 2.2 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 3.3 3.8 0.3 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.2 1.2 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.4 0.2 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.2 0.0 3.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 2.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.5 8.5 11.6 14.0 14.8 13.9 11.2 7.8 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.1% 2.0    1.7 0.3 0.0
15-3 80.8% 3.5    2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 51.0% 4.0    1.7 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.5% 2.0    0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.5% 12.5 6.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 35.4% 64.6% 1.8 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 2.0% 100.0% 30.2% 69.8% 2.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.4% 100.0% 20.9% 79.1% 3.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.8% 100.0% 19.4% 80.6% 3.7 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.2% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 4.5 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.6 3.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 13.9% 99.9% 12.2% 87.6% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 4.2 3.8 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 14.8% 99.3% 7.9% 91.4% 6.3 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 4.2 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 99.3%
10-8 14.0% 97.3% 4.7% 92.6% 7.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.2 3.6 3.7 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.4 97.2%
9-9 11.6% 91.3% 2.8% 88.5% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.9 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 1.0 91.1%
8-10 8.5% 73.6% 1.3% 72.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.2 1.4 0.0 2.2 73.3%
7-11 5.5% 42.9% 1.0% 41.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 0.0 3.1 42.3%
6-12 3.0% 13.8% 0.3% 13.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 13.5%
5-13 1.7% 1.8% 0.4% 1.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1.4%
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 87.9% 9.1% 78.8% 6.2 1.2 3.6 7.7 11.0 12.7 12.9 12.1 9.9 7.7 5.5 3.5 0.1 12.1 86.7%