Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +13.5 39
Expected Predictive Rating +13.4 43
Pace 80.4 7
Improvement -6.6 357

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 31 B B+ B B- B+
Defense B 56 B C+ B+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 83 B+ 66% 36 +5.3 27
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 313 B+ 45% 33 -2.1 281
Three Pointers 45% 96 C- 33% 225 +1.4 134
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.2 34 B- +3.2 75
1st FG Attempt B 1.11 58
Second Chance B+ 37.6% 19 C+ 1.06 132 B+ 0.40 42
Turnovers B 14.5% 43
Freethrows B- 0.33 98 B- 75% 92 B- 0.25 77
Total Offense A- +8.8 31

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 166 B+ 51% 25 -2.5 97
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 130 C+ 37% 137 +0.3 204
Three Pointers 39% 242 C+ 33% 122 -1.7 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 145 B -3.8 49
1st FG Attempt B 0.94 54
Second Chance C- 32.3% 262 B+ 0.90 30 C+ 0.29 116
Turnovers B+ 19.7% 38
Freethrows B+ 0.25 33 B+ 69% 28 B+ 0.17 26
Total Defense B +4.7 56

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 14.4 4 17.9 271
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.34 1 0.18 209
Improvement -2.7 #315 -3.9 #334

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 3% 7% 1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 66% 84% 59%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 66% 84% 59%
Average Seed 9.3 8.6 9.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 31% 61% 20%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four15% 8% 18%
First Round60% 81% 51%
Second Round29% 43% 23%
Sweet Sixteen6% 10% 5%
Elite Eight2% 4% 2%
Final Four1% 1% 1%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 26 - 210 - 11
Quad 32 - 112 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 291 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  93% 1 - 0 A+ +35 B+ +8 C+ D- A+ A+ +23 A A A+
 Wed, Nov 5 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  100% 2 - 0 A+ +49 B+ +8 F A+ B A+ +38 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 288 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  99% 3 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +23 A+ A+ B+ C+ +1 A F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 139 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 91% +3  71% 4 - 0 C+ +3 C+ +2 C- A C- C+ +1 C+ B C
 Mon, Nov 17 333 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  98% 5 - 0 A- +16 C- -0 F A+ B- A+ +14 C B A+
 Fri, Nov 21 85 Xavier W 78 - 77 74% +4  72% 6 - 0 B- +8 C+ +2 D+ B+ B+ B+ +5 A D+ C-
 Sun, Nov 23 35 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 48% +0  46% 6 - 1 B +11 A +13 A+ B- C+ C- -2 C+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 29 317 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 98% +23  99% 7 - 1 A+ +29 A+ +16 A+ C- B+ B +5 B B D-
 Tue, Dec 2 86 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 65% +19  94% 8 - 1 A+ +44 A+ +25 A+ A+ B A+ +15 A- A- C
 Sat, Dec 13 46 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 58% +1  44% 9 - 1 A+ +30 A +12 B- A+ C A+ +17 A+ B+ B
 Thu, Dec 18 261 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 97% +16  99% 10 - 1 A +21 A+ +15 A+ C B- B- +2 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 318 West Georgia W 103 - 74 98% +16  99% 11 - 1 A- +16 B- +4 D- A+ B+ A- +7 B+ C+ A-
 Mon, Dec 29 205 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 95% +1  41% 12 - 1 B +9 B +7 C+ A- C+ C+ +1 B- C C+
 Sat, Jan 3 30 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 56% +1  60% 13 - 1 1 - 0 A- +16 A+ +15 A+ B A+ C +0 B B+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 4 @Florida L 77 - 92 12% -6  13% 13 - 2 1 - 1 B+ +11 B+ +7 C A- A+ B+ +5 B B- B-
 Sat, Jan 10 94 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 69% -1  33% 14 - 2 2 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 B F A A- +8 B A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 14 74 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 80% -0  52% 14 - 3 2 - 2 C+ +3 A+ +15 A- B- A+ F -12 D- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 17 Arkansas W 90 - 76 43% +10  97% 15 - 3 3 - 2 A+ +29 B- +5 A B D A+ +22 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 20 54 @Missouri W 74 - 72 50% +2  65% 16 - 3 4 - 2 A- +16 B +6 C C B A +10 A- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 27 @Texas L 67 - 87 32% -3  49% 16 - 4 4 - 3 C -2 C +1 C A- F D+ -4 D- F B+
 Wed, Jan 28 19 Tennessee L 85 - 86 OT 44% +1  49% 16 - 5 4 - 4 B+ +14 A+ +19 A+ F+ A+ D+ -5 B D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 33 Texas A&M L 77 - 92 58% -11  0% 16 - 6 4 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 D C A+ C -1 C+ D- B+
 Sat, Feb 7 56 @LSU W 83 - 71 53% +1  52% 17 - 6 5 - 5 A+ +25 A+ +17 A+ A+ C- A +8 A+ C A+
 Wed, Feb 11 4 Florida L 66 - 86 26% -13  0% 17 - 7 5 - 6 C +0 D+ -4 C+ C- C+ B+ +5 D- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 51 @Oklahoma L 78 - 94 48% -4  44% 17 - 8 5 - 7 C- -2 A+ +15 A B+ C+ F -19 F A D
 Tue, Feb 17 24 @Kentucky L 81 - 87 29%
 Sat, Feb 21 27 Texas W 87 - 86 54%
 Wed, Feb 25 12 @Vanderbilt L 82 - 91 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 94 South Carolina W 86 - 75 86%
 Tue, Mar 3 18 Alabama L 94 - 96 44%
 Sat, Mar 7 75 @Mississippi St. W 84 - 81 60%
Totals 20 - 11 8 - 10 +14 A- +9 B+ B- B+ B +5 C- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- B+ B+ C- B- 42% 25% 45% B+ B B+ C+ B+ B B- B- B- B B+ C+ C+ B 39% 22% 39% C B C- B+ C+ B+ B+ B+ B+
1.21 66% 45% 33% +3 +1 1.11 38% 1.1 .40 15% .33 75% .25 1.02 51% 37% 33% -4 0 0.94 32% 0.9 .29 20% .25 69% .23
Nov
3		 Bellarmine B+ A- A+ D- C- 52% 2% 46% A+ C+ F+ C- D- A+ C- A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ 45% 2% 53% F A B- A+ A A+ A+ D- A+
1.36 72% 100% 32% +7 +3 1.23 28% 1.1 .31 8% .30 90% .27 0.77 54% 0% 29% -7 +3 0.94 17% 0.7 .11 29% .11 83% .09
Nov
5		 Maryland Eastern Shore B+ B- F F F 40% 2% 58% A F A+ B- A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 28% 30% 43% A- A+ F A+ B- A+ F A+ B-
1.27 63% 0% 20% -11 +3 0.85 54% 1.2 .65 14% .45 83% .38 0.39 45% 8% 6% -30 -2 0.38 40% 0.5 .21 42% .30 46% .14
Nov
9		 Morehead St. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 48% 5% 48% A- A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ B- C+ B C+ A+ B C+ A+ 44% 22% 35% D- A F F F B- C- A+ B-
1.50 72% 0% 45% +13 +3 1.33 43% 1.4 .59 11% .37 73% .27 1.01 38% 33% 32% -11 0 0.80 43% 1.3 .55 20% .31 65% .20
Nov
14		 Georgia Tech C+ A F F D+ 41% 17% 43% B+ C- A+ C- A C- A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ C F B- 49% 19% 32% F+ C+ D- A+ B C F A+ D
1.10 68% 11% 26% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.1 .44 17% .63 73% .46 1.04 45% 36% 47% 0 +1 1.03 37% 0.8 .31 18% .41 61% .25
Nov
17		 Florida A&M C- A+ A+ F F 46% 10% 44% B F A+ C- A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A+ A F C+ C+ 39% 20% 41% D C F A+ B A+ B- A+ B+
1.14 82% 60% 5% -6 +2 0.94 53% 0.9 .47 17% .55 83% .46 0.75 44% 44% 32% -6 0 0.91 36% 0.5 .17 33% .27 57% .16
Nov
21		 Xavier C+ A+ D F C- 28% 26% 46% D D+ C A+ B+ B+ C+ B- B- B+ A C+ B A 25% 29% 45% B+ A D C D+ C- D A C
1.07 75% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.96 27% 1.2 .32 15% .29 72% .21 1.06 50% 38% 32% -4 -2 0.91 31% 1.0 .31 11% .29 63% .19
Nov
23		 Clemson A A+ B C- A+ 28% 25% 48% C- A+ C- A+ B- C+ A+ A- A+ C- B- C F C 37% 30% 33% A+ C+ F+ D- F C+ F+ D+ F+
1.13 82% 40% 31% +5 -1 1.10 21% 1.3 .26 18% .38 81% .31 1.17 57% 41% 42% +5 -1 1.09 36% 1.2 .43 16% .41 76% .31
Nov
29		 Tennessee Tech A+ B A+ A+ A+ 36% 6% 58% A- A+ C+ D- C- B+ A- F+ B B C A- A+ B+ 54% 22% 25% F+ B A+ F B D- C- C- C-
1.42 65% 75% 51% +20 +2 1.45 33% 1.1 .36 12% .38 69% .26 0.93 57% 29% 19% -8 +1 0.88 21% 1.2 .26 16% .29 76% .22
Dec
2		 Florida St. A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ 45% 5% 50% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B B B B+ A+ A+ C B A 46% 14% 40% C- A- B B+ A- C B- A+ A+
1.37 73% 67% 34% +9 +2 1.24 52% 1.4 .72 18% .33 76% .25 0.93 46% 38% 30% -8 +1 0.89 28% 1.0 .28 14% .27 50% .13
Dec
13		 Cincinnati A A+ C- F B- 37% 25% 38% C B- B A+ A+ C A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C+ A+ B- A- B+ B D- A+ C
1.10 74% 38% 20% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.7 .47 20% .42 77% .32 0.85 56% 25% 23% -11 -1 0.79 30% 0.9 .26 18% .34 57% .19
Dec
18		 Western Carolina A+ B A+ A+ A+ 49% 16% 35% B+ A+ C+ C- C B- A+ C+ A+ B- D- F+ D- F 38% 26% 36% B F A+ F C B C+ A+ B
1.39 64% 63% 56% +18 +1 1.41 31% 1.0 .31 14% .58 78% .45 1.02 64% 47% 38% +7 -1 1.14 18% 1.8 .32 20% .26 59% .15
Dec
22		 West Georgia B- D- C D- F 55% 8% 37% B+ D- A+ B A+ B+ A+ D- A- A- A+ A+ F B+ 34% 33% 33% C- B+ A F C+ A- B- F D
1.23 53% 40% 30% -5 +3 0.98 46% 1.1 .50 12% .45 67% .30 0.88 33% 25% 40% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.3 .30 20% .24 94% .23
Dec
29		 LIU Brooklyn B C B C+ B- 35% 14% 51% C C+ A- B A- C+ A+ B A+ C+ B- C A B+ 60% 19% 21% F B- D B C C+ F B- F
1.19 56% 43% 35% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .46 17% .47 72% .34 0.99 53% 40% 27% -5 +2 0.96 38% 0.9 .33 21% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Auburn A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 14% 45% B+ A+ C- A+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ C C+ F A+ B 47% 14% 40% D+ B F A+ B+ B F A D-
1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35 1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35
Jan
6		 Florida B+ F A+ F C 43% 30% 27% B- C B A+ A- A+ A- D B B+ B F A+ B 49% 16% 35% B- B D- A- B- B- C B- C+
0.99 37% 58% 24% -7 -1 0.86 24% 1.0 .24 12% .33 65% .22 1.18 57% 67% 25% -1 +1 1.04 48% 0.9 .41 17% .35 70% .25
Jan
10		 South Carolina B- A- A- D- B 40% 21% 40% B- B C+ F F A A A- A+ A- C+ C+ B- B 37% 19% 44% C B B A+ A+ D+ D+ A C+
1.09 67% 45% 29% +2 0 1.06 30% 0.4 .11 12% .36 77% .28 1.02 58% 40% 30% -2 0 0.98 25% 0.6 .14 13% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Mississippi A+ F F A+ A- 36% 13% 51% A- A- A+ F B- A+ A+ A A+ F B D- F F 23% 39% 38% B+ D- F+ F+ F D+ C+ C+ B-
1.25 35% 29% 50% +3 +1 1.09 46% 0.8 .35 12% .51 76% .39 1.27 57% 46% 48% +11 -4 1.16 36% 1.3 .45 12% .28 74% .21
Jan
17		 Arkansas B- C A+ B- A- 43% 10% 47% A A D+ A+ B D C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 51% 18% 31% D A+ D C+ D+ A+ A- F+ B
1.08 56% 50% 33% 0 +2 1.05 25% 1.7 .42 20% .24 88% .21 0.91 48% 27% 26% -10 +1 0.84 38% 1.3 .48 22% .25 81% .20
Jan
20		 Missouri B D- B- B- C 29% 29% 42% C- C A+ F C B A A+ A+ A C+ A+ C- A 44% 17% 38% C A- C- A+ A+ C A+ F A-
1.09 47% 40% 36% -1 -2 0.96 44% 0.6 .26 15% .36 86% .31 1.06 61% 11% 35% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.7 .25 18% .21 92% .20
Jan
24		 Texas C B+ F F+ D+ 43% 18% 39% B+ C A C+ A- F A+ D A D+ F F B- F 33% 35% 31% A+ D- D- D- F B+ A+ C+ A+
1.02 63% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 34% 1.0 .34 20% .47 68% .32 1.32 82% 56% 31% +13 -2 1.24 44% 1.4 .60 18% .22 75% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Tennessee A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 36% 21% 43% C A+ D+ F F+ A+ B- B B D+ A- F+ D+ B- 32% 30% 38% A+ B F B+ D+ C- F+ A+ C
1.23 70% 58% 38% +11 0 1.23 21% 0.6 .12 9% .32 70% .22 1.24 50% 47% 37% +2 -2 1.02 57% 0.9 .52 17% .44 60% .26
Jan
31		 Texas A&M C- D B- F+ D- 41% 19% 40% B- D B D C A+ F A F C B F D+ B- 45% 4% 51% D C+ D D D- B+ C F F+
1.00 50% 42% 28% -6 0 0.90 33% 0.8 .27 13% .15 80% .12 1.20 54% 100% 37% +3 +3 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 18% .32 95% .30
Feb
7		 LSU A+ A B- A A+ 40% 11% 49% A- A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ F B+ A D A+ A+ A+ 39% 17% 43% C A+ F+ A C A+ F F+ F
1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24 1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39
Feb
11		 Florida D+ B- F D- C- 44% 11% 44% A+ C+ A- F C- C+ F B F+ B+ D C- F F+ 45% 13% 42% C+ D- A+ C+ A+ B+ A+ F A
0.87 56% 0% 30% -8 +2 0.89 28% 0.4 .11 16% .17 73% .13 1.14 68% 43% 39% +8 +2 1.22 29% 1.0 .29 19% .24 80% .19
Feb
14		 Oklahoma A+ A+ A+ F+ A 40% 10% 50% A A A C- B+ C+ C- D+ D+ F B- F F F 33% 21% 46% B F F+ A+ A D F A+ D+
1.25 79% 60% 29% +7 +1 1.19 40% 1.0 .40 16% .27 71% .19 1.50 56% 60% 64% +24 0 1.50 41% 0.8 .33 11% .40 64% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 0.3 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 3.3 0.1 5.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 7.3 1.8 10.1 8th
9th 0.3 6.6 8.9 0.3 16.1 9th
10th 0.1 5.3 14.7 3.5 0.0 23.7 10th
11th 0.0 4.3 17.4 9.8 0.5 32.0 11th
12th 0.5 4.5 2.0 0.1 7.1 12th
13th 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 13th
14th 0.4 0.1 0.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 1.4 9.9 25.1 32.2 22.4 7.9 1.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.2% 98.3% 6.6% 91.7% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.2%
10-8 7.9% 97.6% 2.9% 94.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 97.5%
9-9 22.4% 91.9% 1.0% 90.8% 8.6 0.1 0.6 2.3 5.8 6.9 4.3 0.6 1.8 91.8%
8-10 32.2% 72.3% 0.9% 71.4% 9.8 0.1 0.4 1.9 5.4 8.7 6.8 0.0 8.9 72.1%
7-11 25.1% 46.8% 0.4% 46.3% 10.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 3.3 7.2 0.2 13.4 46.5%
6-12 9.9% 17.2% 0.2% 17.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 0.1 8.2 17.1%
5-13 1.4% 3.6% 3.6% 11.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.6%
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 66.2% 1.0% 65.2% 9.3 33.8 65.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 5.8 42.9 38.1 19.0
Lose Out 0.7% 1.4% 12.0 1.4