Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.8 #25
Expected Predictive Rating +15.7 #28
Pace 84.9 #1
Improvement -1.3 #256

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #25 B A A A B+
Defense #31 A- C+ B+ A- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #105 1.29 #58 +4.5 #44
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #324 0.90 #39 -2.0 #281
Three Pointers 46% #90 0.97 #237 +1.3 #139
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #72 +3.9 #72
Freethrows 20.3 #39 79% #24 16.0 #16
Second Chance 37.1% #28 1.17 #42 0.43 #26
Turnovers 13.3% #22
Total Offense +9.0 #25

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #104 0.96 #12 +2.5 #94
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #159 0.71 #102 +0.3 #166
Three Pointers 38% #274 0.94 #85 +3.2 #65
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #29 +6.0 #29
Freethrows 14.8 #53 66% #7 9.7 #27
Second Chance 31.6% #228 0.94 #55 0.30 #125
Turnovers 19.0% #60
Total Defense +6.8 #31

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.4% #38 0.3% #192
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.1% #95 -12.1% #17
Possession Length 14.2 #4 17.4 #200
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.36 #1 0.17 #186
Improvement -1.4 #269 +0.1 #169

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.7% 2.6% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 16.3% 21.5% 8.9%
Top 6 Seed 51.2% 60.5% 37.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 94.2% 97.0% 90.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.7% 96.7% 89.6%
Average Seed 6.4 6.0 7.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 89.4% 71.6%
Conference Champion 6.7% 9.6% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four2.7% 1.5% 4.5%
First Round93.1% 96.3% 88.4%
Second Round65.5% 71.0% 57.5%
Sweet Sixteen26.5% 30.4% 20.9%
Elite Eight10.2% 11.8% 8.0%
Final Four3.7% 4.4% 2.8%
Championship Game1.3% 1.4% 1.0%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 37 - 8
Quad 26 - 113 - 9
Quad 32 - 015 - 10
Quad 48 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 307 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 99% +18  1 - 0 +34 +12 C+ F A+ +18 A+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 332 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  2 - 0 +51 +12 F A+ A +36 A+ B A+
 Sun, Nov 9 296 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  3 - 0 +28 +25 A+ A+ A -2 A+ F B
 Fri, Nov 14 112 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 91% +3  4 - 0 +6 +6 C A+ D+ -2 B- C+ C
 Mon, Nov 17 313 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  5 - 0 +18 +3 F A+ C +13 C+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 85 Xavier W 78 - 77 80% +4  6 - 0 +8 +6 C- A- A- +2 A+ D C
 Sun, Nov 23 28 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 55% +0  6 - 1 +11 +16 A+ C+ B- -4 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 333 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  7 - 1 +28 +20 A+ C- A -1 B B- F
 Tue, Dec 2 116 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 82% +19  8 - 1 +40 +24 A+ A+ A- +12 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 49 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 67% +1  9 - 1 +30 +14 C+ A+ B- +14 A+ B A-
 Thu, Dec 18 288 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  10 - 1 +20 +18 A+ C+ B- -3 F D+ B
 Mon, Dec 22 326 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +20  11 - 1 +16 +6 F A+ B+ +5 A+ C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 223 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 97% +1  12 - 1 +8 +7 C- A- C +0 B+ B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 30 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 67% +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +15 +18 A+ C+ A+ -4 B B+ B-
 Tue, Jan 6 9 @Florida L 77 - 92 24% -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +8 +8 C A- A+ +2 B- A- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 77 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 70% -1  14 - 2 2 - 1 +15 +9 A- F A- +7 A A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 59 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 81% -0  14 - 3 2 - 2 +4 +18 A B A+ -13 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 23 Arkansas W 90 - 76 61% +10  15 - 3 3 - 2 +27 +7 B A+ D- +18 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 52 @Missouri W 86 - 84 59%
 Sat, Jan 24 38 @Texas L 85 - 86 49%
 Tue, Jan 27 22 Tennessee W 82 - 80 59%
 Sat, Jan 31 37 Texas A&M W 92 - 87 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 42 @LSU W 86 - 85 53%
 Wed, Feb 11 9 Florida L 86 - 87 45%
 Sat, Feb 14 53 @Oklahoma W 86 - 84 59%
 Tue, Feb 17 24 @Kentucky L 83 - 86 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 38 Texas W 89 - 83 71%
 Wed, Feb 25 13 @Vanderbilt L 86 - 92 30%
 Sat, Feb 28 77 South Carolina W 85 - 74 85%
 Tue, Mar 3 16 Alabama W 97 - 96 53%
 Sat, Mar 7 68 @Mississippi St. W 86 - 81 67%
Totals 22 - 9 10 - 8 +16 +9 B A A +7 A- C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.2 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.5 1.7 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 6.5 2.2 0.2 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 7.0 3.8 0.2 12.3 4th
5th 0.2 4.5 6.4 0.6 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 1.6 7.4 1.9 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.3 4.9 4.1 0.2 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 5.4 1.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.2 3.2 2.6 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.8 3.2 0.6 4.7 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 1.3 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.3 2.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.2 5.2 9.8 15.2 18.5 18.4 14.8 9.2 4.4 1.3 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 89.5% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.7% 2.5    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 24.4% 2.2    0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 2.6 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 35.0% 65.0% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.3% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 3.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 100.0%
14-4 4.4% 100.0% 16.8% 83.2% 3.7 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 9.2% 100.0% 14.1% 85.9% 4.3 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.2 3.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 14.8% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.1 4.2 1.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 18.4% 99.7% 9.0% 90.7% 5.9 0.2 1.4 5.0 6.7 4.1 0.9 0.1 0.1 99.7%
10-8 18.5% 99.4% 4.0% 95.4% 6.8 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.7 6.6 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.4%
9-9 15.2% 97.9% 3.4% 94.5% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.9 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.3 97.8%
8-10 9.8% 89.0% 2.8% 86.3% 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.6 2.7 0.8 1.1 88.7%
7-11 5.2% 64.7% 1.7% 63.0% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 1.4 0.0 1.8 64.1%
6-12 2.2% 23.7% 0.5% 23.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.7 23.4%
5-13 0.6% 1.7% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.6 1.7%
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 94.2% 7.4% 86.7% 6.4 5.8 93.7%