Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#88
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#117
Pace67.9#222
Improvement-0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#104
First Shot+3.7#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#259
Layup/Dunks+5.5#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#239
Freethrows-0.6#228
Improvement+0.8#95

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#72
First Shot+1.5#122
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#55
Layups/Dunks-4.0#297
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#98
Freethrows+0.8#140
Improvement-0.9#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.2% 2.2% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.5% 20.7% 9.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.4% 19.4% 8.1%
Average Seed 9.4 9.2 9.6
.500 or above 58.9% 73.4% 49.9%
.500 or above in Conference 39.7% 47.6% 34.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 3.4% 6.3%
First Four3.2% 4.5% 2.4%
First Round11.9% 18.5% 7.8%
Second Round4.8% 7.7% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin (Home) - 38.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 35 - 211 - 15
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 136   Miami (OH) L 69-72 75%     0 - 1 -3.9 -9.9 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2021 270   Stetson W 77-52 91%     1 - 1 +16.0 -3.2 +18.3
  Nov 15, 2021 320   Lamar W 75-66 94%     2 - 1 -2.9 -2.5 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2021 159   @ Georgia W 88-78 60%     3 - 1 +13.5 +16.2 -2.7
  Nov 22, 2021 348   Charleston Southern W 85-70 98%     4 - 1 -2.7 +1.1 -4.2
  Nov 26, 2021 180   Georgia Southern W 61-59 83%     5 - 1 -1.8 -9.4 +7.7
  Dec 01, 2021 31   Wisconsin L 62-65 38%    
  Dec 05, 2021 43   North Carolina L 76-77 47%    
  Dec 11, 2021 10   LSU L 67-77 18%    
  Dec 18, 2021 17   USC L 62-71 20%    
  Dec 21, 2021 140   Georgia St. W 77-70 75%    
  Dec 23, 2021 341   Alabama A&M W 78-56 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 76   @ Syracuse L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 01, 2022 36   Louisville L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 04, 2022 4   @ Duke L 65-80 8%    
  Jan 08, 2022 64   Notre Dame W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 12, 2022 125   @ Boston College W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 15, 2022 43   @ North Carolina L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 19, 2022 87   Wake Forest W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 26, 2022 26   Florida St. L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 29, 2022 120   Miami (FL) W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 02, 2022 27   @ Virginia Tech L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 05, 2022 47   Clemson L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 09, 2022 120   @ Miami (FL) W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 39   @ Virginia L 55-63 25%    
  Feb 15, 2022 63   North Carolina St. W 71-69 56%    
  Feb 19, 2022 214   @ Pittsburgh W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 23, 2022 27   Virginia Tech L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 64   @ Notre Dame L 68-72 35%    
  Mar 02, 2022 47   @ Clemson L 62-69 29%    
  Mar 05, 2022 125   Boston College W 70-63 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.3 1.8 2.8 1.4 0.1 6.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.6 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.5 4.1 0.8 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.0 1.4 0.1 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.0 2.5 0.2 10.2 10th
11th 0.2 1.6 4.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 9.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 6.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.7 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.1 6.9 9.2 11.4 12.3 12.9 11.1 9.7 7.2 5.4 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 71.9% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 45.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 19.1% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 3.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 9.4% 90.6% 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.8% 98.8% 12.3% 86.4% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.6%
15-5 1.8% 92.7% 11.8% 80.9% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.7%
14-6 3.3% 77.1% 6.6% 70.5% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.8 75.5%
13-7 5.4% 53.9% 3.3% 50.6% 9.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 52.3%
12-8 7.2% 36.7% 3.1% 33.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 34.7%
11-9 9.7% 16.9% 1.3% 15.5% 10.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 15.7%
10-10 11.1% 6.5% 0.9% 5.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.4 5.6%
9-11 12.9% 1.5% 0.4% 1.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 1.1%
8-12 12.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.3%
7-13 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 11.4
6-14 9.2% 9.2
5-15 6.9% 6.9
4-16 4.1% 4.1
3-17 2.4% 2.4
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.5% 1.3% 12.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.8 1.9 2.8 3.5 1.3 0.1 86.5 12.4%