Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#172
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#177
Pace67.4#198
Improvement-2.6#356

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#226
First Shot-2.5#265
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#104
Layup/Dunks-1.1#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#213
Freethrows-1.1#266
Improvement-1.4#337

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#128
First Shot+2.6#96
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#282
Layups/Dunks-3.2#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement-1.2#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.0% 12.0% 31.7%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 8.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 9
Quad 21 - 62 - 14
Quad 32 - 43 - 18
Quad 46 - 29 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2022 231   @ Georgia St. W 59-57 53%     1 - 0 +1.1 -9.0 +10.1
  Nov 17, 2022 271   Northern Illinois W 68-50 79%     2 - 0 +9.6 -10.5 +19.5
  Nov 21, 2022 51   Utah L 64-68 18%     2 - 1 +5.9 +1.6 +4.1
  Nov 23, 2022 8   Marquette L 60-84 8%     2 - 2 -8.0 -9.4 +1.9
  Nov 26, 2022 291   North Alabama W 80-61 82%     3 - 2 +9.4 +2.3 +7.6
  Nov 29, 2022 30   @ Iowa L 65-81 8%     3 - 3 -0.7 +0.7 -2.7
  Dec 02, 2022 252   Northeastern W 81-63 76%     4 - 3 +10.5 +6.1 +4.5
  Dec 06, 2022 103   Georgia W 79-77 44%     5 - 3 +3.5 +9.6 -6.1
  Dec 10, 2022 26   @ North Carolina L 59-75 8%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -0.4 -5.0 +4.1
  Dec 17, 2022 353   Alabama St. W 96-60 92%     6 - 4 +19.9 +13.6 +5.0
  Dec 21, 2022 60   Clemson L 66-79 28%     6 - 5 0 - 2 -6.9 -4.7 -1.9
  Dec 31, 2022 16   Virginia L 56-74 14%     6 - 6 0 - 3 -6.5 -7.2 -0.6
  Jan 04, 2023 34   Miami (FL) W 76-70 19%     7 - 6 1 - 3 +15.4 +3.4 +11.9
  Jan 07, 2023 140   @ Florida St. L 64-75 33%     7 - 7 1 - 4 -6.6 -4.1 -3.1
  Jan 10, 2023 127   @ Notre Dame L 72-73 OT 31%     7 - 8 1 - 5 +4.0 -5.4 +9.4
  Jan 14, 2023 64   Pittsburgh L 60-71 29%     7 - 9 1 - 6 -5.3 -3.7 -2.8
  Jan 17, 2023 37   North Carolina St. L 66-78 20%     7 - 10 1 - 7 -3.3 -4.3 +1.2
  Jan 21, 2023 75   Syracuse L 63-80 34%     7 - 11 1 - 8 -12.8 -5.7 -8.0
  Jan 24, 2023 60   @ Clemson L 51-72 14%     7 - 12 1 - 9 -9.4 -10.9 -0.2
  Jan 28, 2023 24   Duke L 43-86 16%     7 - 13 1 - 10 -32.5 -20.7 -15.9
  Feb 01, 2023 248   @ Louisville L 58-68 57%     7 - 14 1 - 11 -11.8 -9.8 -2.7
  Feb 04, 2023 37   @ North Carolina St. L 65-79 9%    
  Feb 08, 2023 127   Notre Dame W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 11, 2023 67   @ Wake Forest L 68-79 15%    
  Feb 15, 2023 49   Virginia Tech L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 21, 2023 64   @ Pittsburgh L 62-73 14%    
  Feb 25, 2023 248   Louisville W 70-63 75%    
  Feb 28, 2023 75   @ Syracuse L 65-75 17%    
  Mar 04, 2023 144   @ Boston College L 63-67 33%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 3 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.2 7.7 16.3 9.8 1.6 0.0 35.5 13th
14th 11.4 22.4 10.2 1.5 0.1 45.7 14th
15th 4.2 7.4 2.2 0.1 13.9 15th
Total 4.2 19.0 32.3 26.7 12.9 4.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1
7-13 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
6-14 4.0% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.0
5-15 12.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.8
4-16 26.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 26.6
3-17 32.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 32.2
2-18 19.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 19.0
1-19 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.2
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.2% 0.1% 16.0 0.1