IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Troy
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.0	#110
Expected Predictive Rating	+16.4	#10

Pace	67.0	#239
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.3	#149

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.7	#94

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	27.3%	33.0%	23.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.5	12.3	12.8

.500 or above	92.0%	97.1%	88.2%
.500 or above in Conference	93.4%	96.2%	91.3%
Conference Champion	38.3%	45.4%	32.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.3%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
First Round	27.2%	32.9%	23.0%
Second Round	4.1%	5.7%	2.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.8%	1.1%	0.5%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Marymount (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 3
Quad 3	6 - 4	7 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 3	19 - 9

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	132	@ Kent St.	W	103-97 OT	44%	1 - 0			+10.4	+10.7	-1.4
Nov 07, 2025	173	@ Furman	W	64-61	55%	2 - 0			+4.7	-6.8	+11.5
Nov 14, 2025	124	@ Loyola Marymount	L	67-69	43%
Nov 16, 2025	213	@ Cal St. Northridge	W	75-72	61%
Nov 18, 2025	38	@ San Diego St.	L	60-72	12%
Nov 20, 2025	28	@ USC	L	64-78	11%
Nov 24, 2025	232	Toledo	W	77-70	73%
Dec 01, 2025	334	West Georgia	W	78-63	92%
Dec 14, 2025	108	@ UAB	L	71-74	39%
Dec 20, 2025	137	Marshall	W	73-68	68%
Dec 31, 2025	254	Texas St.	W	73-62	83%
Jan 03, 2026	175	South Alabama	W	68-61	74%
Jan 07, 2026	170	@ Arkansas St.	W	73-72	54%
Jan 10, 2026	242	@ Louisiana	W	68-64	64%
Jan 14, 2026	302	Southern Miss	W	80-67	87%
Jan 17, 2026	170	Arkansas St.	W	76-69	73%
Jan 21, 2026	205	@ Old Dominion	W	72-69	60%
Jan 24, 2026	236	@ Georgia Southern	W	79-75	63%
Jan 29, 2026	139	James Madison	W	70-65	68%
Jan 31, 2026	248	Appalachian St.	W	69-58	82%
Feb 04, 2026	288	@ Georgia St.	W	73-66	71%
Feb 11, 2026	254	@ Texas St.	W	70-65	66%
Feb 14, 2026	302	@ Southern Miss	W	77-70	73%
Feb 18, 2026	357	@ Louisiana Monroe	W	77-65	85%
Feb 21, 2026	175	@ South Alabama	W	65-64	55%
Feb 24, 2026	242	Louisiana	W	71-61	81%
Feb 27, 2026	357	Louisiana Monroe	W	80-62	94%
Projected Record						18 - 9	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	2.2	6.6	10.3	10.1	6.6	2.2		38.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.5	6.1	6.5	3.0	0.7	0.0			19.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.7	4.8	4.4	1.3	0.2					12.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.7	3.5	3.3	0.8	0.0	0.0					8.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	2.4	2.9	0.8	0.0							6.4	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	1.2	2.5	0.8	0.0								4.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.5	1.6	0.9	0.1									3.2	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.2	1.1	0.1	0.0									2.7	8th
9th							0.1	0.6	1.0	0.3	0.0										1.9	9th
10th						0.0	0.2	0.7	0.3	0.0											1.2	10th
11th					0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0												0.9	11th
12th				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1													0.5	12th
13th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0													0.3	13th
14th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0																0.1	14th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.9	3.2	4.7	6.8	9.2	11.8	13.7	14.4	13.4	10.7	6.6	2.2			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	2.2		2.2
17-1	99.5%	6.6		6.3	0.2
16-2	93.9%	10.1		8.4	1.6	0.1
15-3	76.4%	10.3		6.7	3.2	0.4	0.0
14-4	45.9%	6.6		2.7	2.8	1.0	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.4%	2.2		0.4	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	38.3%	38.3		26.7	8.8	2.2	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	2.2%		71.7%	69.4%	2.4%	10.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0			0.6		7.8%
17-1	6.6%		58.8%	58.0%	0.8%	11.8							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	1.2	1.9	0.5	0.1			2.7		2.0%
16-2	10.7%		49.5%	49.2%	0.3%	12.2										0.0	0.0	0.7	3.0	1.4	0.2			5.4		0.6%
15-3	13.4%		41.2%	41.2%		12.6												0.2	2.5	2.2	0.6	0.0		7.9
14-4	14.4%		34.0%	34.0%		12.9												0.1	1.6	2.2	0.9	0.1		9.5
13-5	13.7%		22.0%	22.0%		13.2												0.0	0.6	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0	10.7
12-6	11.8%		14.9%	14.9%		13.4													0.2	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0	10.0
11-7	9.2%		8.6%	8.6%		13.7													0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	8.4
10-8	6.8%		5.0%	5.0%		13.9													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	6.4
9-9	4.7%		2.7%	2.7%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	4.5
8-10	3.2%		1.3%	1.3%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	3.1
7-11	1.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
6-12	0.9%																							0.9
5-13	0.4%																							0.4
4-14	0.2%																							0.2
3-15	0.1%																							0.1
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		27.3%	27.1%	0.1%	12.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	2.8	10.4	8.9	3.7	0.8	0.1	72.7		0.2%