Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.6 261
Results Rating -4.7 241
Consistency 0.14 110
Pace 75.2 28
Improvement -0.7 214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 196 D+ C- B- B- B
Defense D 304 D+ D B- F+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 D 53% 310 -2.1 257
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 324 B- 42% 66 -2.8 308
Three Pointers 49% 29 D 31% 298 +2.0 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 47 D -3.8 311
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 271
Second Chance D+ 27.0% 277 B- 1.11 77 C- 0.30 206
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 204
Other Turnovers B+ 5.8% 28
Turnovers B- 15.5% 102
Freethrows B- 0.33 115 C+ 73% 173 B- 0.24 120
Total Offense C- -1.2 196

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 27% 362 B- 9.2% 86
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 14% 330 C- 6.0% 253
Three Pointers F 69% 364 C- 1.0% 229
Total F 41% 360 B- 4.8% 87


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 35 D+ 61% 247 +4.5 328
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 336 C- 39% 219 -1.8 45
Three Pointers 40% 208 C- 35% 247 +0.4 204
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 348 D+ +2.0 263
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 286
Second Chance D- 34.9% 335 C 1.04 201 D 0.36 306
Turnovers from Steals B 11.1% 62
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 154
Turnovers B- 18.5% 77
Freethrows D- 0.37 340 D- 76% 344 F+ 0.28 353
Total Defense D -4.4 304

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 65 C+ 12.1% 127
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 158 C 5.1% 158
Three Pointers C+ 82% 125 D 0.2% 338
Total B- 52% 109 C+ 6.2% 130

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.4 77 16.6 49
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 264 0.20 297
Consistency 0.14 271 0.09 12
Improvement -1.5 269 +0.9 134

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 272 260 248
Results Rating Rank 247 242 230
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 9% 34% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 412 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 233 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 33% -2  20% 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C B+ C D- -7 C- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 247 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 58% -1  38% 1 - 1 C- -5 C+ +2 C F A D- -7 F+ F A
 Tue, Nov 11 268 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 40% +3  75% 2 - 1 C- -2 A +14 A+ D- B- F -16 D- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 146 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 18% +1  46% 2 - 2 C+ +2 F -11 F B- D A+ +13 A C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 78 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 7% -14  0% 2 - 3 F+ -15 F -10 D- F C- C -1 C C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 215 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 40% -4  10% 2 - 4 D -9 F -13 F F C- B +4 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 333 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 72% +1  69% 2 - 5 F -25 F -20 F D+ C- D+ -4 B D+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 301 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 71% +6  91% 3 - 5 B- +7 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ B +5 C C+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 222 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 54% +4  75% 4 - 5 C +1 B +6 A- B- B- D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 362 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 82% +3  62% 5 - 5 D -11 C- -0 D D- A F -11 F D C
 Sat, Dec 13 308 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 50% +9  99% 6 - 5 C +0 A- +9 C- A C+ F+ -9 D+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 298 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 70% +8  78% 7 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +12 A+ +15 D- A A+ C- -2 F B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 205 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 49% -3  14% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 B +6 D+ D+ A F+ -8 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 1 227 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 32% +3  68% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +0 C+ +2 D B C- C- -2 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 242 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 34% +13  98% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 C+ C+ C+ C+ +0 A- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 184 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 26% -9  4% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -15 D -5 F+ D A- F+ -9 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 242 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 57% -2  34% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -4 B +6 A C- C- F -11 F C- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 227 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 55% +2  59% 11 - 7 5 - 2 D -11 D -5 F B- A+ D -5 B C- A
 Thu, Jan 22 145 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 36% -9  4% 11 - 8 5 - 3 F -19 F -13 F A C- D+ -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 149 Troy L 78 - 83 38% -4  7% 11 - 9 5 - 4 D+ -8 B+ +8 B- A+ A F -17 D F A-
 Fri, Jan 30 354 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 72% +2  61% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D -9 D- -8 F D F+ C -1 D- D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 303 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 49% -6  1% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D- -14 F+ -8 F C- F D- -7 F D+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 234 Texas St. L 71 - 77 55% -3  37% 12 - 11 6 - 6 D- -13 D -6 D+ D- A- D- -7 B F C
 Wed, Feb 11 172 Appalachian St. L 65 - 81 43% -8  0% 12 - 12 6 - 7 F -20 D- -7 C- F F F -14 D- D C-
 Sat, Feb 14 188 Marshall W 101 - 87 47% +11  83% 13 - 12 7 - 7 B +9 A- +10 A+ D+ C C- -2 C+ A D+
 Thu, Feb 19 298 @Georgia St. L 64 - 66 48% -4  7% 13 - 13 7 - 8 D+ -7 F -10 F F A+ B- +3 B+ D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 172 @Appalachian St. L 74 - 89 23% -3  22% 13 - 14 7 - 9 D- -13 C +0 C+ F+ D- F -13 F D C+
 Wed, Feb 25 205 @James Madison L 66 - 82 27% -1  59% 13 - 15 7 - 10 F+ -15 F -10 F D+ C D -5 F A+ A+
 Fri, Feb 27 188 @Marshall W 99 - 82 26% +1  51% 14 - 15 8 - 10 A +18 A+ +18 A- A+ A+ C -1 D D B
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 -6 C- -1 F+ D B D -4 D C+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D B- D D 39% 24% 49% B D+ D+ B- C- B- B- C+ B- D D+ C- C- D+ 44% 16% 40% D- D+ D- C D B- D- D- F+
1.07 53% 42% 31% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.1 .30 15% .33 73% .24 1.15 61% 39% 35% +2 +1 1.08 35% 1.0 .36 18% .37 76% .25
Nov
4		 East Carolina C+ D D B- D+ 55% 11% 35% A+ C B B+ B+ C A+ F A D- F+ B A+ C 45% 22% 33% D- C- F F F C- F A- F
1.11 53% 33% 37% -2 +2 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 17% .45 60% .27 1.14 64% 33% 22% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.2 .54 16% .61 63% .39
Nov
8		 UNC Asheville C+ D A+ D+ C 47% 14% 39% B- C C- F F A A+ B A+ D- D+ F A+ F+ 40% 37% 23% D F+ C- F F A D- F F
1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39 1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32
Nov
11		 Florida Gulf Coast A A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 6% 60% B A+ F B- D- B- F+ F F F C+ F D- D 39% 20% 41% D- D- F B- F C+ A A+ A+
1.30 72% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.45 21% 1.2 .24 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 50% 38% +4 0 1.10 55% 1.0 .53 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
18		 Georgia Tech F F D+ C F 36% 5% 58% A+ F B- B- B- D D F F A+ F A- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% D- A F A C- A+ F B F
0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13 0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38
Nov
21		 Florida St. F F+ B F F 30% 13% 57% B D- F F F C- A A+ A+ C D+ A+ C- C 28% 3% 68% C- C B F C C- F A D
0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32 1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +2 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26
Nov
24		 Youngstown St. F F+ A+ F F 41% 12% 47% B F D- F F C- F+ A+ C- B B- F C C 39% 10% 51% D C F F F A+ F C- F
0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24 0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27
Nov
25		 Texas San Antonio F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C F F A+ D+ C- A+ F A+ D+ B+ A B+ B 35% 22% 43% B- B D- C+ D+ F+ F B+ F
0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36 1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 -1 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39
Nov
29		 Houston Christian C+ C- F A C 46% 9% 44% B C+ C C- C- A+ C+ F D- B C+ A A- B 52% 9% 39% F C C- B C+ A C- B- C-
1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17 0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19
Dec
3		 Louisiana Tech B A+ A+ F B+ 35% 6% 59% B+ A- D- A+ B- B- C B+ B- D+ D- F B- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F A+ A+ A+ D D+ A+ B-
1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25 1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16
Dec
6		 Gardner-Webb C- F A+ B+ D- 51% 7% 42% A- D F A+ D- A A+ F+ A F C A+ F F+ 60% 6% 33% F F D+ F+ D C F F F
1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28 1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38
Dec
13		 West Georgia A- D+ A+ C- D+ 45% 5% 49% B C- B A+ A C+ B- A- B+ F+ C A- D C- 38% 27% 35% D- D+ F D- F A+ F F F
1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29 1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34
Dec
18		 Georgia St. A+ F F A- F 40% 2% 58% A D- A B- A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ C- F 29% 15% 56% F F D+ A+ B+ A- B- A- B+
1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52 1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
20		 James Madison B D- A+ F D- 51% 8% 41% A D+ D+ C- D+ A A+ B+ A+ F+ C- F A+ A- 54% 8% 38% F B- F D+ F C+ F D F
1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41 1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43
Jan
1		 Coastal Carolina C+ C- A F D 29% 31% 40% C- D C A B C- A+ B- A+ C- B A+ D+ A- 35% 35% 30% B- A- F D+ F C F D- F
1.07 53% 50% 22% -5 -2 0.88 29% 1.3 .36 13% .48 75% .36 1.06 50% 20% 35% -9 -2 0.81 41% 1.0 .41 16% .42 78% .33
Jan
3		 Old Dominion B- C B C C+ 46% 21% 32% C+ C+ C B- C+ C+ A A- A+ C+ B A- A A 38% 28% 34% C- A- D+ C- D+ F D- F+ F
1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34 1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28
Jan
10		 South Alabama D D F F F 24% 2% 75% B F+ D- B- D A- A+ F+ A F+ D F F F 53% 27% 20% B- F F A+ B A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 0% 27% -10 +1 0.85 24% 1.2 .28 14% .35 68% .24 1.20 63% 50% 60% +14 0 1.29 30% 0.8 .22 19% .43 64% .27
Jan
15		 Old Dominion B D A+ A+ A 44% 12% 44% B+ A C+ D C- C- A+ D- A F B- C- F F 40% 15% 45% F F F A C- C- B A B+
1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32 1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17
Jan
17		 Coastal Carolina D F C F F 37% 18% 46% A F C+ C+ B- A+ A+ F C+ D A F A+ C+ 19% 38% 43% A+ B F A- C- A F F F
1.01 38% 40% 27% -12 0 0.79 30% 1.1 .32 7% .40 57% .23 1.07 44% 50% 25% -4 -4 0.87 34% 0.8 .26 20% .64 82% .52
Jan
22		 Arkansas St. F D- F F F 43% 6% 51% A F B A A C- A D- B+ D+ B- F F F 47% 8% 45% F F A- A+ A+ B+ F+ F F
0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27 1.14 54% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33
Jan
24		 Troy B+ B- A+ D- C+ 31% 8% 61% B B- D+ A+ A+ A B- B+ B F C+ D D+ 50% 0% 50% F D F F F A- F C- F
1.22 60% 100% 30% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.8 .52 13% .31 76% .23 1.30 55% 36% 0 +3 1.09 50% 1.2 .59 20% .47 75% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Louisiana Monroe D- D+ A+ F F 35% 23% 42% D- F F A- D F+ A+ B+ A+ C D- B- B- D 43% 18% 39% D D- D- C D B+ F F F
1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43 1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37
Jan
31		 Louisiana F+ F D- C F 38% 21% 42% D F C- C- C- F F+ A+ C D- C- F+ F F 39% 28% 33% F F B F D+ C- D D+ D
0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27 1.11 56% 46% 47% +7 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
4		 Texas St. D D A+ F+ D+ 39% 14% 47% C D+ F A+ D- A- B C+ B D- B+ B+ A+ A 57% 18% 24% F B F F F C F F F
1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27 1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35
Feb
11		 Appalachian St. D- D F B- D 42% 9% 49% A- C- C+ F F F F D F F D B- B- D 49% 7% 44% F D- F C+ D C- F F F
0.98 50% 0% 36% -5 +2 0.95 32% 0.5 .15 18% .17 67% .11 1.22 64% 33% 30% 0 +3 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 15% .50 71% .36
Feb
14		 Marshall A- B- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% A A+ D+ D+ D+ C A+ A A+ C- A F+ D+ B- 34% 19% 47% D- C+ B A+ A D+ F F F
1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40 1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31
Feb
19		 Georgia St. F F F F+ F 38% 7% 55% B+ F F D F A+ D- D- F+ B- A+ B+ B A- 32% 30% 38% C- B+ D C- D D- D+ F F
0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16 0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30
Feb
21		 Appalachian St. C B- F B C 28% 11% 61% C+ C+ D F F+ D- C A+ B+ F F A+ C- F 40% 13% 47% D F D+ D D C+ F F F
1.04 60% 0% 36% -2 0 1.00 24% 0.7 .16 17% .27 88% .24 1.25 83% 17% 33% +7 +1 1.18 33% 1.1 .37 17% .63 78% .49
Feb
25		 James Madison F A+ F+ F F 28% 19% 53% D+ F F+ A D+ C D- C D D F A+ F F 49% 12% 40% F+ F C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.94 73% 30% 18% -10 0 0.81 23% 1.2 .28 13% .29 72% .21 1.16 76% 0% 53% +16 +2 1.37 27% 0.5 .14 24% .49 81% .39
Feb
27		 Marshall A+ B F A+ B+ 42% 15% 44% B+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A- C F+ D+ C+ D+ 41% 24% 35% D- D A F D B F B F
1.38 65% 13% 46% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.8 .58 11% .38 83% .31 1.14 71% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 23% 1.7 .40 20% .40 70% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 99.7
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.5 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.5 1.0 45.1 53.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 74.4%