Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.7 262
Expected Predictive Rating -4.7 244
Pace 74.8 34
Improvement -0.9 217

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 214 D+ C- B- B- B
Defense D 299 D+ D B- D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 151 D- 51% 331 -2.3 266
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 331 A- 46% 20 -2.4 296
Three Pointers 49% 34 D 31% 305 +1.6 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 39 D -4.1 314
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 279
Second Chance D+ 27.4% 268 C+ 1.08 99 C- 0.30 213
Turnovers B- 15.4% 92
Freethrows B- 0.34 81 C 72% 187 B- 0.24 103
Total Offense C- -1.5 214

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 28% 362 C+ 10.5% 145
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 338 C- 5.7% 232
Three Pointers F 71% 359 C- 1.2% 259
Total F 42% 359 C+ 5.4% 155

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 C- 59% 206 +3.7 304
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 333 D+ 41% 293 -1.6 67
Three Pointers 41% 187 C 34% 207 +0.2 191
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 349 C- +1.2 228
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 252
Second Chance D- 35.8% 343 C- 1.05 217 D 0.37 319
Turnovers B- 18.3% 91
Freethrows D- 0.36 325 D- 76% 333 D- 0.27 338
Total Defense D -4.2 299

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 64 C+ 12.8% 98
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 137 C 5.0% 165
Three Pointers C+ 82% 118 D 0.3% 312
Total B- 52% 95 C+ 6.5% 102

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 79 16.7 74
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 255 0.19 261
Improvement -2.2 #293 +1.2 #118

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.2 15.8
.500 or above 22% 54% 12%
.500 or above in Conference 16% 47% 7%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Away) - 23.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 411 - 814 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 241 @East Carolina L 89 - 92 34% -2  20% 0 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C A- C D- -7 C- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 226 UNC Asheville W 93 - 90 53% -1  38% 1 - 1 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ F A D- -7 F+ F A
 Tue, Nov 11 251 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95 - 94 36% +3  75% 2 - 1 C -1 A +13 A+ D- B- F -15 D F C
 Tue, Nov 18 141 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 68 18% +1  46% 2 - 2 C+ +2 F -11 F B- D- A+ +13 A C- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 85 @Florida St. L 72 - 98 8% -14  0% 2 - 3 F+ -16 F -10 D- F C- C- -2 C- C- C-
 Mon, Nov 24 196 Youngstown St. L 61 - 67 36% -4  10% 2 - 4 D -8 F -14 F F C- B+ +5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 335 Texas San Antonio L 64 - 77 71% +1  69% 2 - 5 F -24 F -19 F C- C- D+ -4 B- D F+
 Sat, Nov 29 294 Houston Christian W 80 - 62 68% +6  91% 3 - 5 B- +8 C+ +3 C C A+ B+ +6 C+ C A
 Wed, Dec 3 218 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 69 52% +4  75% 4 - 5 C+ +2 B +6 A- B- B- D+ -3 F A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 363 @Gardner-Webb W 88 - 84 82% +3  62% 5 - 5 D- -11 C- -1 D D A F -11 F D C
 Sat, Dec 13 318 @West Georgia W 91 - 85 54% +9  99% 6 - 5 C -1 B+ +9 C- A B- F -10 D F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 283 Georgia St. W 90 - 67 66% +8  78% 7 - 5 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +16 D A A+ C- -2 F B+ A-
 Sat, Dec 20 209 James Madison W 96 - 92 OT 51% -3  14% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C- -2 B +6 D+ D+ A F+ -8 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 1 237 @Coastal Carolina W 82 - 81 OT 33% +3  68% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C -0 C+ +2 D B C- C- -2 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 3 238 @Old Dominion W 93 - 86 33% +13  98% 10 - 5 4 - 0 B- +6 B- +5 B- C+ C+ C+ +0 A- D F
 Sat, Jan 10 189 @South Alabama L 71 - 87 26% -9  4% 10 - 6 4 - 1 F+ -15 D -6 F D A- F+ -8 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 238 Old Dominion W 87 - 84 56% -2  34% 11 - 6 5 - 1 C- -4 B +7 A C- C- F -11 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 17 237 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 OT 56% +2  59% 11 - 7 5 - 2 D- -11 D -6 F B- A+ D -5 B C- A-
 Thu, Jan 22 140 Arkansas St. L 68 - 85 36% -9  4% 11 - 8 5 - 3 F -19 F -13 F A D+ D -5 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 146 Troy L 78 - 83 37% -4  7% 11 - 9 5 - 4 D+ -7 B+ +9 B- A+ A F -17 D F A-
 Fri, Jan 30 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 79 - 76 70% +2  61% 12 - 9 6 - 4 D -8 D- -7 F D D- C -1 D D B+
 Sat, Jan 31 303 @Louisiana L 60 - 69 48% -6  1% 12 - 10 6 - 5 D- -14 F+ -8 F C- F D- -7 F D+ C-
 Wed, Feb 4 223 Texas St. L 71 - 77 53% -3  37% 12 - 11 6 - 6 D- -13 D -6 D+ D- A- D- -7 B F C
 Wed, Feb 11 174 Appalachian St. L 65 - 81 43% -8  0% 12 - 12 6 - 7 F -20 D- -7 C- F F F -14 D- D C-
 Sat, Feb 14 173 Marshall W 101 - 87 43% +11  83% 13 - 12 7 - 7 B +10 A- +11 A+ D+ C C- -2 C+ A D+
 Thu, Feb 19 283 @Georgia St. L 64 - 66 44% -4  7% 13 - 13 7 - 8 D+ -6 F+ -10 F F+ A+ B +4 B D F+
 Sat, Feb 21 174 @Appalachian St. L 68 - 76 24%
 Wed, Feb 25 209 @James Madison L 74 - 80 29%
 Fri, Feb 27 173 @Marshall L 80 - 88 23%
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 -6 C- -2 A D B D -4 D C B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D- A- D D 39% 23% 49% B D+ D+ C+ C- B- B- C B- D C- D+ C C- 44% 15% 41% D- D+ D- C- D B- D- D- D-
1.06 51% 46% 31% -4 +1 0.96 27% 1.1 .30 15% .34 72% .24 1.15 59% 41% 34% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.0 .37 18% .36 76% .25
Nov
4		 East Carolina C+ D+ D B- D+ 55% 11% 35% A+ C B B+ A- C A+ F A D- F+ B A+ C- 45% 22% 33% D- C- F F F C- F A F
1.11 53% 33% 37% -2 +2 1.04 35% 1.3 .45 17% .45 60% .27 1.14 64% 33% 22% -4 0 0.95 44% 1.2 .54 16% .61 63% .39
Nov
8		 UNC Asheville C+ D A+ D+ C 47% 14% 39% B- C+ D+ F F A A+ B A+ D- D+ F A+ F+ 40% 37% 23% D F+ C- F F A D- F F
1.16 52% 75% 32% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.6 .17 11% .55 72% .39 1.12 62% 63% 25% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.4 .45 22% .38 83% .32
Nov
11		 Florida Gulf Coast A A A+ A+ A+ 34% 6% 60% B A+ F B D- B- F+ F F F C+ F D D+ 39% 20% 41% F+ D F B- F C A A+ A+
1.30 72% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.45 21% 1.2 .24 15% .29 67% .19 1.29 57% 50% 38% +4 0 1.10 55% 1.0 .53 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
18		 Georgia Tech F F D+ C+ F 36% 5% 58% A+ F B- B- B- D- D F F A+ F A- A+ A+ 40% 16% 44% D A F A C- A+ F B F
0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13 0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38
Nov
21		 Florida St. F F+ B F+ F 30% 13% 57% B D- F+ F F C- A A+ A+ C- D A+ C- C- 28% 3% 68% C- C- B F C- C- F A D
0.87 47% 43% 28% -8 0 0.88 21% 0.7 .14 20% .36 88% .32 1.18 65% 0% 34% +1 +2 1.07 29% 1.3 .38 13% .40 66% .26
Nov
24		 Youngstown St. F F A+ F F 41% 12% 47% B+ F D- F F C- F+ A+ D+ B+ B- F C+ C+ 39% 10% 51% D+ C F+ D- F A+ F C F
0.90 50% 67% 22% -8 +1 0.88 24% 0.6 .14 19% .27 87% .24 0.99 56% 50% 33% 0 +1 1.05 35% 1.2 .42 28% .37 72% .27
Nov
25		 Texas San Antonio F F F F F 27% 10% 63% C F F A+ C- C- A+ F A+ D+ B+ A B B- 35% 22% 43% B- B- D- C- D F+ F B F
0.87 46% 0% 20% -20 +1 0.63 27% 1.3 .36 16% .62 58% .36 1.05 47% 27% 29% -10 0 0.82 35% 0.9 .33 14% .58 68% .39
Nov
29		 Houston Christian C+ C- F A C 46% 9% 44% B C C C C A+ B- F D B+ B- A A- B+ 52% 9% 39% F C+ C- B- C A C- B- C
1.20 60% 20% 42% +4 +2 1.15 32% 1.1 .35 12% .31 56% .17 0.93 54% 25% 28% -7 +3 0.93 30% 0.8 .24 22% .29 67% .19
Dec
3		 Louisiana Tech B A+ A+ F B+ 35% 6% 59% B+ A- D- A+ B- B- C B+ B- D+ D- F B- F 45% 14% 41% F+ F A+ A A+ D D+ A+ C+
1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25 1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16
Dec
6		 Gardner-Webb C- F A+ B+ F+ 51% 7% 42% A D F A+ D A A+ F+ A F C A+ F F+ 60% 6% 33% F F C- F D C F F F
1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28 1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38
Dec
13		 West Georgia B+ D+ A+ C- D+ 45% 5% 49% B+ C- B- A+ A B- B A- B+ F C- A- D+ D+ 38% 27% 35% F+ D F D- F A+ F F F
1.25 56% 67% 33% 0 +2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 14% .37 78% .29 1.17 56% 31% 35% -2 -1 0.96 49% 1.2 .57 23% .36 95% .34
Dec
18		 Georgia St. A+ F F A- F+ 40% 2% 58% A D A B- A A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F A+ C- F 29% 15% 56% F F D+ A+ B+ A- B- A B+
1.34 32% 0% 39% -7 +2 0.94 44% 1.1 .47 10% .58 89% .52 1.00 71% 14% 33% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .22 21% .26 71% .19
Dec
20		 James Madison B D A+ F D 51% 8% 41% A D+ D+ C- D+ A A+ B+ A+ F+ C- F A+ B+ 54% 8% 38% F B- F D+ F C+ F D F
1.22 50% 80% 25% -6 +2 0.95 27% 1.0 .27 8% .54 77% .41 1.17 59% 50% 21% -6 +3 0.96 45% 1.1 .50 18% .59 74% .43
Jan
1		 Coastal Carolina C+ C- A F D 29% 31% 40% C- D C+ A B C- A+ B A+ C- B A+ D+ A 35% 35% 30% B- A- F D+ F C F D- F
1.07 53% 50% 22% -5 -2 0.88 29% 1.3 .36 13% .48 75% .36 1.06 50% 20% 35% -9 -2 0.81 41% 1.0 .41 16% .42 78% .33
Jan
3		 Old Dominion B- C B+ C+ B- 46% 21% 32% C+ B- C B- C+ C+ A B+ A+ C+ B A- A A 38% 28% 34% C- A- D+ D+ D F D- F F
1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34 1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28
Jan
10		 South Alabama D D- F F F 24% 2% 75% B F F+ B- D A- A+ D- A F+ D F F F 53% 27% 20% B- F F+ A+ B A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 0% 27% -10 +1 0.85 24% 1.2 .28 14% .35 68% .24 1.20 63% 50% 60% +14 0 1.29 30% 0.8 .22 19% .43 64% .27
Jan
15		 Old Dominion B D A+ A+ A 44% 12% 44% B+ A C+ D C- C- A+ F+ A- F B- C- F F 40% 15% 45% F F F A- D+ C- B A- B+
1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32 1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17
Jan
17		 Coastal Carolina D F C F F 37% 18% 46% A F C+ C+ B- A+ A+ F B- D A F A+ C+ 19% 38% 43% A+ B F A- C- A- F F F
1.01 38% 40% 27% -12 0 0.79 30% 1.1 .32 7% .40 57% .23 1.07 44% 50% 25% -4 -4 0.87 34% 0.8 .26 20% .64 82% .52
Jan
22		 Arkansas St. F D- F F F 43% 6% 51% A+ F B+ A A D+ A F+ B D B- F F F 47% 8% 45% F F A A+ A+ B F+ F F
0.91 52% 0% 11% -22 +2 0.62 33% 1.3 .42 16% .42 65% .27 1.14 54% 75% 43% +8 +2 1.22 31% 0.7 .22 23% .40 83% .33
Jan
24		 Troy B+ B- A+ D- C+ 31% 8% 61% B B- C- A+ A+ A B- A- B F C+ D+ C- 50% 0% 50% F D F F F A- F D+ F
1.22 60% 100% 30% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.8 .52 13% .31 76% .23 1.30 55% 36% 0 +3 1.09 50% 1.2 .59 20% .47 75% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Louisiana Monroe D- D+ A+ F F 35% 23% 42% D- F F A- D D- A+ A- A+ C D- B B- D 43% 18% 39% D D D- C D B+ F F F
1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43 1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37
Jan
31		 Louisiana F+ F D- C F 38% 21% 42% D F C- C- C- F F+ A+ C- D- C- F+ F F 39% 28% 33% F F B F D+ C- D C- D
0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27 1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19
Feb
4		 Texas St. D D A+ D- D+ 39% 14% 47% C D+ F A+ D- A- B C B D- B+ B+ A A 57% 18% 24% F B F F F C F F F
1.02 53% 71% 30% 0 +1 1.04 16% 1.2 .19 14% .37 73% .27 1.11 50% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 39% 1.4 .55 19% .39 91% .35
Feb
11		 Appalachian St. D- D F B- D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C- C+ F F F F D F F D B- B- D+ 49% 7% 44% F D- F C+ D C- F F F
0.98 50% 0% 36% -5 +2 0.95 32% 0.5 .15 18% .17 67% .11 1.22 64% 33% 30% 0 +3 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 15% .50 71% .36
Feb
14		 Marshall A- B- F A+ A+ 37% 8% 56% A A+ D+ C- D+ C A+ A+ A+ C- A F+ D+ B- 34% 19% 47% D- C+ B+ A+ A D+ F F F
1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40 1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31
Feb
19		 Georgia St. F+ F F F+ F 38% 7% 55% B F F D+ F+ A+ D- D- D- B A+ B+ B B+ 32% 30% 38% C B D C- D F+ D+ F F
0.93 43% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.84 24% 0.9 .21 9% .24 67% .16 0.96 39% 29% 29% -12 -2 0.75 31% 1.1 .33 13% .32 95% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 0.7 5th
6th 0.3 0.9 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 5.9 0.2 6.1 7th
8th 5.1 7.3 0.0 12.5 8th
9th 20.4 0.9 21.3 9th
10th 6.6 13.3 0.0 20.0 10th
11th 26.5 2.0 28.5 11th
12th 8.8 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.7 0.7 13th
14th 14th
Total 42.6 40.9 14.5 2.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 1.9
9-9 14.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.4 0.1 0.0 14.4
8-10 40.9% 0.5% 0.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 40.7
7-11 42.6% 42.6
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.6 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 42.0%