Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#183
Pace80.2#9
Improvement-1.4#264

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#256
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#162
Layup/Dunks+4.3#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
Freethrows-5.4#358
Improvement-2.5#335

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#198
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#328
Layups/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#121
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-2.7#328
Improvement+1.1#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.0% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.8
.500 or above 40.7% 53.0% 28.1%
.500 or above in Conference 48.2% 54.3% 42.0%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.1% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 4.0% 6.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round2.5% 3.0% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 338   Northern Illinois W 80-65 82%     1 - 0 +1.3 -2.8 +3.3
  Nov 08, 2024 140   @ UNC Wilmington L 84-92 22%     1 - 1 -3.7 +4.4 -7.4
  Nov 15, 2024 281   NC Central W 80-75 59%     2 - 1 -1.4 -4.1 +2.3
  Nov 16, 2024 179   @ Winthrop W 89-87 28%     3 - 1 +4.0 +0.5 +3.1
  Nov 17, 2024 219   William & Mary L 87-102 47%     3 - 2 -18.1 -1.5 -14.7
  Nov 23, 2024 349   West Georgia W 64-54 86%     4 - 2 -5.6 -17.0 +11.2
  Nov 30, 2024 73   @ Drake L 47-61 9%     4 - 3 -3.3 -14.7 +10.1
  Dec 04, 2024 55   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-89 7%     4 - 4 -22.4 -9.2 -14.1
  Dec 07, 2024 182   North Florida W 84-83 51%    
  Dec 13, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-80 14%    
  Dec 17, 2024 221   Gardner-Webb W 79-77 58%    
  Dec 21, 2024 138   @ Texas St. L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 02, 2025 332   Louisiana Monroe W 79-70 80%    
  Jan 04, 2025 206   South Alabama W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 08, 2025 230   @ Georgia St. L 76-79 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 195   @ Marshall L 77-83 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 272   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 317   @ Old Dominion W 80-78 57%    
  Jan 22, 2025 272   Coastal Carolina W 72-67 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 195   Marshall W 80-79 52%    
  Jan 30, 2025 125   @ Troy L 73-82 21%    
  Feb 01, 2025 250   @ Southern Miss L 78-80 42%    
  Feb 05, 2025 262   Louisiana W 83-78 67%    
  Feb 13, 2025 114   James Madison L 76-80 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 317   Old Dominion W 83-75 76%    
  Feb 20, 2025 163   @ Appalachian St. L 68-74 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 114   @ James Madison L 73-83 18%    
  Feb 25, 2025 163   Appalachian St. L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 28, 2025 230   Georgia St. W 79-76 60%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.6 1.9 0.2 7.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.1 0.4 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.5 4.5 0.9 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.4 1.8 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.6 3.2 0.3 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.4 0.7 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.1 1.4 0.0 9.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.2 2.0 0.1 8.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 3.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.2 7.2 10.1 13.0 14.3 13.8 12.3 9.3 6.2 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 78.5% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.4% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 17.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 25.8% 25.8% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 23.0% 23.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 17.9% 17.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.0% 13.7% 13.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 3.7% 10.1% 10.1% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.3
12-6 6.2% 7.1% 7.1% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.7
11-7 9.3% 5.2% 5.2% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 8.8
10-8 12.3% 2.7% 2.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.9
9-9 13.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.6
8-10 14.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 14.2
7-11 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-12 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
5-13 7.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-14 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.5 97.5 0.0%