Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#213
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#184
Pace75.2#44
Improvement+1.8#81

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#153
First Shot+1.7#124
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#266
Layup/Dunks-1.7#245
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#66
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement+1.6#76

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#302
First Shot-2.0#238
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-2.9#289
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows-2.3#326
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.8% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.8
.500 or above 76.5% 87.3% 68.6%
.500 or above in Conference 74.8% 86.2% 66.4%
Conference Champion 7.1% 11.8% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round5.7% 7.8% 4.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 74 - 8
Quad 413 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 271 @East Carolina L 89-92 48%     0 - 1 -5.9 +6.0 -11.5
  Sat, Nov 8 232 UNC Asheville W 93-90 65%     1 - 1 -4.4 +4.4 -9.1
  Tue, Nov 11 186 @Florida Gulf Coast W 95-94 33%     2 - 1 +2.2 +17.1 -15.0
  Tue, Nov 18 129 @Georgia Tech L 66-68 21%     2 - 2 +3.0 -6.8 +10.0
  Fri, Nov 21 113 @Florida St. L 72-98 18%     2 - 3 -19.5 -9.2 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 24 163 Youngstown St. L 61-67 39%     2 - 4 -6.4 -8.4 +1.9
  Tue, Nov 25 287 Texas San Antonio L 64-77 63%     2 - 5 -19.7 -12.6 -6.4
  Sat, Nov 29 279 Houston Christian W 80-62 72%     3 - 5 +8.7 +4.2 +5.3
  Wed, Dec 3 187 Louisiana Tech W 77-69 56%     4 - 5 +3.2 +9.3 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 362 @Gardner-Webb W 88-84 81%     5 - 5 -8.5 +3.9 -12.6
  Sat, Dec 13 316 @West Georgia W 91-85 60%     6 - 5 +0.0 +12.1 -12.3
  Thu, Dec 18 330 Georgia St. W 90-67 82%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +9.9 +16.5 -5.6
  Sat, Dec 20 198 James Madison W 96-92 OT 58%     8 - 5 2 - 0 -1.4 +7.1 -8.9
  Thu, Jan 1 230 @Coastal Carolina L 77-79 42%    
  Sat, Jan 3 217 @Old Dominion L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 190 @South Alabama L 73-77 34%    
  Thu, Jan 15 217 Old Dominion W 81-78 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 230 Coastal Carolina W 80-76 64%    
  Thu, Jan 22 136 Arkansas St. L 85-87 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 139 Troy L 77-79 44%    
  Thu, Jan 29 359 @Louisiana Monroe W 86-77 79%    
  Sat, Jan 31 314 @Louisiana W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 255 Texas St. W 78-73 67%    
  Wed, Feb 11 228 Appalachian St. W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Feb 14 161 Marshall L 80-81 50%    
  Thu, Feb 19 330 @Georgia St. W 80-76 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 228 @Appalachian St. L 70-72 42%    
  Wed, Feb 25 198 @James Madison L 77-81 36%    
  Fri, Feb 27 161 @Marshall L 77-83 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.3 2.4 0.6 0.1 11.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.0 5.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 6.4 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.5 4.1 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 5.7 0.8 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 5.7 2.0 0.1 9.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.8 3.5 0.3 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 4.0 0.8 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.0 1.5 0.1 5.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.7 0.2 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.1 7.3 11.1 14.3 15.6 15.0 12.9 8.4 5.0 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 90.1% 0.8    0.6 0.1
15-3 76.2% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.1
14-4 45.3% 2.3    0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 17.4% 1.5    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 3.3 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 32.8% 32.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 28.6% 28.6% 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.6% 23.8% 23.8% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0
14-4 5.0% 21.4% 21.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 3.9
13-5 8.4% 14.2% 14.2% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 7.2
12-6 12.9% 9.3% 9.3% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 11.7
11-7 15.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 14.2
10-8 15.6% 2.4% 2.4% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 15.2
9-9 14.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 14.2
8-10 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 7.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.3
6-12 4.1% 4.1
5-13 2.0% 2.0
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 0.7 94.3 0.0%