Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#298
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#261
Pace74.5#52
Improvement-0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#294
First Shot-3.8#285
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#230
Layup/Dunks-2.8#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#260
Freethrows-0.1#192
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#279
First Shot-4.9#333
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#44
Layups/Dunks+2.3#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#325
Freethrows-1.4#284
Improvement-0.4#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.2% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 7.1% 11.8% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.9% 45.2% 20.3%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 5.7% 15.9%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.2%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 46.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 61 - 12
Quad 49 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 58 @Cincinnati L 63-94 5%     0 - 1 -19.0 -6.6 -8.6
  Sat, Nov 8 6 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -16.1 -10.7 -1.9
  Sun, Nov 16 349 Stetson W 76-65 77%     1 - 2 -4.4 -7.5 +2.6
  Wed, Nov 19 242 UNC Asheville W 80-73 49%     2 - 2 -0.4 +10.5 -10.3
  Sat, Nov 22 154 @Lipscomb L 62-83 15%     2 - 3 -17.6 -11.9 -4.5
  Sat, Nov 29 100 @High Point L 73-93 8%     2 - 4 -11.7 -3.5 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 6 264 @South Carolina Upstate L 67-78 32%     2 - 5 -13.8 -7.4 -6.1
  Thu, Dec 11 74 @Virginia Tech L 74-96 5%     2 - 6 -11.3 +3.2 -13.8
  Thu, Dec 18 23 @Georgia L 82-112 2%     2 - 7 -11.1 +6.8 -14.0
  Wed, Dec 31 220 Wofford L 74-75 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 144 @Furman L 69-81 14%    
  Wed, Jan 7 231 @Samford L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 355 @The Citadel W 75-72 62%    
  Wed, Jan 14 136 East Tennessee St. L 72-78 28%    
  Sat, Jan 17 241 Chattanooga L 74-75 49%    
  Wed, Jan 21 174 @Mercer L 75-84 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 332 VMI W 81-75 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 136 @East Tennessee St. L 69-81 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 231 Samford L 76-77 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 296 @UNC Greensboro L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 7 220 @Wofford L 71-78 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 355 The Citadel W 78-69 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 241 @Chattanooga L 72-78 29%    
  Wed, Feb 18 296 UNC Greensboro W 77-74 60%    
  Sat, Feb 21 332 @VMI L 77-78 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 174 Mercer L 78-81 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 144 Furman L 72-78 31%    
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 5.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.6 4.0 0.4 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 7.4 4.2 0.6 0.0 17.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.3 7.0 3.5 0.6 0.0 17.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.4 4.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 6.3 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.3 7.5 11.2 13.6 15.0 14.1 11.9 8.5 5.7 3.2 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 95.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 62.2% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.8% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 30.4% 30.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 18.0% 18.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 17.3% 17.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.6% 13.8% 13.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4
12-6 3.2% 8.5% 8.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.0
11-7 5.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.6 0.1 0.2 5.4
10-8 8.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 8.2
9-9 11.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.5
8-10 14.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.8
7-11 15.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 14.8
6-12 13.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.6
5-13 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.1
4-14 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-15 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 97.6 0.0%