Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #1
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 48.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 95.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 99.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Taylor Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 146 178 263 145 569 118 150 240 227 186 158 123
Team Adjusted Rating 131 228 138 139 106 139 219 190 186 158 123
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Taylor Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational RH Flashrock Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Reece Gibson 12 15:38 15:35 16:21 15:25 15:25 15:40 15:59 16:02 15:44 15:46 15:40
20  Drake Kropf 12 16:02 16:11 16:43 16:09 15:56 16:09 16:35 16:21 16:09 16:06 15:56
21  Wilson Whicker 12 16:05 16:06 16:05 15:44 16:07 16:31 16:08 16:14 16:00 16:00
49  Karsten Schlegel 10 16:20 16:30 16:29 16:13
102  Daniel Adair 10 16:36 16:18 16:46 16:28 16:29 16:16 16:19 16:42 16:58 16:48 16:39 16:47
103  Luke Bentz 11 16:37 16:17 16:56 16:25 16:32 16:31 16:41 16:46 16:58 16:37 16:30
319  Kalen Schlegel 12 17:15 16:51 17:24 17:08 16:59 17:24 17:15 17:17 17:22 17:08 17:07 17:59
566  Charlie Alderdice 10 17:40 17:25 17:44 18:04 17:39 17:29 17:36 18:03 17:34
706  Charlie Fikes 10 17:53 17:36 17:47 17:43 18:01 17:52 18:07
857  Zac Shaw 10 18:06 18:03 17:58 18:14 17:57 18:27 18:06
877  Bryce Kolvoord 11 18:07 18:05 18:14 18:10 18:03 17:57 18:11 18:15
1,006  Nathan Pennekamp 11 18:18 18:31 18:21 18:13 18:10 18:21 18:21
1,040  Chris Gick 12 18:21 18:38 18:23 18:22 18:06 18:19 18:29
1,097  Hendrix Braden 10 18:24 19:00 18:26 18:26 18:14 18:22
1,602  Peter Allison 10 18:59 18:37 18:46 19:07 19:41 19:08 18:46




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 2.1 127 48.2 24.2 12.9 6.0 3.9 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.2 52 83.3 13.1 3.3 0.3
Regionals 100% 1.1 32 91.7 8.4
Sectionals 100% 1.1 26 91.8 8.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 4.4 10.8 13.1 11.2 11.2 9.2 7.9 5.9 5.9 5.3 3.7 3.1 2.5 2.2 2.0 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 21.6 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 1.6 1.2 1.8 2.1 3.2 2.9 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.9 2.6 4.4 2.9 3.5 2.8 3.9 2.8 3.2 98.2%
Wilson Whicker 100% 24.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.5 2.4 2.0 2.3 3.2 2.6 3.1 2.9 3.3 3.0 3.0 2.6 3.2 3.1 3.6 2.4 2.4 97.2%
Karsten Schlegel 100% 51.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.4 1.0 0.7 1.6 1.1 1.3 74.0%
Daniel Adair 100% 87.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 26.3%
Luke Bentz 100% 90.1 0.1 0.1 24.8%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 169.0 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 1.2 44.6 35.8 13.1 3.5 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 5.7 0.1 3.0 10.7 16.1 12.8 10.8 7.8 6.5 6.3 5.0 4.1 3.3 3.1 1.6 1.7 1.3 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.4 100.0%
Wilson Whicker 100% 6.6 0.1 1.6 6.6 12.8 13.6 10.3 8.3 7.3 6.4 6.1 4.6 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.1 2.1 2.2 1.5 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Karsten Schlegel 100% 16.9 0.2 0.5 1.6 2.4 3.1 3.4 4.4 4.7 4.0 4.0 3.8 5.6 4.1 3.8 5.3 4.7 4.6 4.9 3.5 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.5 100.0%
Daniel Adair 100% 31.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.4 2.6 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.2 99.7%
Luke Bentz 100% 31.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.1 3.2 2.6 2.6 3.1 2.4 99.6%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 76.2 35.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 1.0 77.1 18.2 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 3.8 0.1 14.0 22.4 17.9 13.9 10.3 7.9 5.8 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Wilson Whicker 100% 4.2 0.1 7.9 19.6 20.2 14.6 10.0 8.5 6.1 5.2 3.4 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Karsten Schlegel 100% 9.2 0.1 0.6 2.3 6.1 8.7 8.9 10.2 10.9 12.5 9.3 8.6 7.2 5.2 3.4 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Daniel Adair 100% 15.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.9 2.0 1.9 3.7 4.6 5.9 7.9 10.3 9.8 9.5 9.9 7.9 7.3 4.6 3.3 3.1 2.6 1.5 1.4 100.0%
Luke Bentz 100% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.4 3.0 5.3 5.2 8.0 9.8 10.5 9.7 8.8 9.1 7.6 5.1 4.2 2.8 1.8 1.2 1.0 100.0%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 35.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.6 2.3 2.6 98.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 1.0 94.1 4.2 1.3 0.4 0.2
Drake Kropf 2.6 0.4 35.0 24.8 13.9 11.4 7.9 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
Wilson Whicker 3.0 0.1 22.1 27.4 17.3 11.7 9.2 7.2 2.8 1.6 0.5 0.3
Karsten Schlegel 7.0 0.4 1.9 9.4 10.5 12.7 16.1 17.8 14.8 8.3 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
Daniel Adair 10.9 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.0 10.3 13.9 16.1 15.0 14.7 10.7 3.9 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Luke Bentz 11.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.5 4.4 9.3 14.9 16.3 16.3 13.0 11.4 4.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kalen Schlegel 23.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 3.2 4.9 5.0 5.3 6.8 5.4 6.4 5.5 4.9 6.1 6.4