Carmel
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 28.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
Date 8/15 8/21 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18
Team Rating 115 501 117 134 474 86 122
Team Adjusted Rating 115 117 134 115 86 122
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Zionsville Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational
13  Alivia Romaniuk 12 18:22 18:44 18:13 18:16 18:09
14  Jasmine Klopstad 11 18:25 18:29 18:23 18:07 18:30
20  Jamie Klavon 12 18:44 19:00 18:45 18:36 18:26
63  Olivia Mundt 9 19:27 19:12 20:08 19:02 19:38
73  Charlotte Konow 9 19:33 19:30 19:29 19:27 19:45
137  Evelyn Taller 12 20:01 19:47 20:35 20:06 19:43 19:46
251  Raya Chauhan 9 20:35 20:23 20:53 20:35 20:29
281  Kara Wenzler 10 20:41 20:50
282  Cara Naas 10 20:42 21:05 20:18 20:59
344  Emersyn Weaver 10 20:53 20:38 21:21 21:02 20:18 21:09
357  Chloe Del Carlo 10 20:55 21:13 20:40 21:01
360  Lilian Rose 12 20:56 20:42 25:09 20:36 20:59
369  Sofia Vasquez 9 20:58 20:46 21:01 21:04
409  Aleksa Aiello 9 21:07 21:02 21:18 21:04 21:26 20:41
429  Christina McCollum 11 21:11 21:02 21:10 21:49 20:46 21:01
442  Bethany Lee 10 21:14 21:04 21:19 21:19
504  Audrey Ricketts 10 21:28 21:25 21:45 21:08 21:24 21:37
521  Lani Samms 10 21:30 21:37 21:23 21:05 21:32 21:38
522  Sophia Hudak 11 21:30 21:19 21:46 20:58 21:38
534  Olivia McKee 12 21:32 22:51 21:43 21:00 21:18
576  Madeline Weisner 10 21:39 22:34 21:22 21:50 21:24 21:40 21:18
598  Ella Gaddis 9 21:43 21:43 22:06 21:29 21:41 21:36
599  Nola Elling 9 21:43 21:42 21:47 22:08 21:22 21:38 21:42
645  Sophia Turner 12 21:50 21:40 21:41 21:55 21:51
677  Ava Sinex 11 21:55 21:45 22:12 21:29 21:52 22:43
692  Evelyn Walquist 9 21:58 21:38 21:48 22:17 22:02 22:01 22:01
725  Chloe De Leon 10 22:03 22:35 22:08 21:54 21:51
728  Katy Dascoli 9 22:04 22:28 21:44 22:19 21:51 22:21 21:42
731  Sage Moore 12 22:04 22:10 22:58 21:16 22:03 22:02
741  Andrea Bendaly 9 22:06 23:34 21:49 22:31 21:39 21:52
786  Chenyao Liu 11 22:11 22:35 22:29 21:33 22:16 22:01
816  Marianne Cadio 12 22:16 22:21 22:09
840  Darshini Shankar 11 22:19 23:10 22:44 21:25 22:05 22:04
964  Savannah Paulson 11 22:35 22:14 22:55 22:41 22:36 22:15
991  Audrey Schuster 12 22:39 22:54 22:21 22:48 22:55 22:24
1,086  Veronica Strzynski 9 22:50 22:32 23:07 22:32 23:10
1,092  Audrey Nace 9 22:51 23:19 22:44 23:19 22:32 23:08 22:02
1,129  Isabel Meyers 12 22:57 22:55 22:59 22:35 23:12 23:21
1,141  Maria Vega-Lara 10 22:57 23:15 22:31
1,202  Maggie Meyer 10 23:04 22:53 23:04 22:26 25:34
1,210  Grace Hutton 12 23:06 23:44 22:50 23:26 22:38 23:34 22:32
1,230  Madelyn Putman 9 23:08 23:30 22:44 23:04 22:31 23:18 23:53
1,235  Kaitlin Langland 11 23:09 24:30 24:03 22:19 23:05 22:52
1,276  Melinda Yong 10 23:14 22:52 23:33 23:15 23:18
1,297  Becca Howard 9 23:17 23:58 22:39 23:12 23:26 23:29 23:02
1,308  Dayton Schnase 12 23:19 23:21 23:32 22:31 22:39 24:00 23:33
1,335  Victoria Manlick 12 23:24 23:28 22:42 23:34 23:29 23:21 23:49
1,339  Ella Joliet 12 23:24 23:20 23:03 23:37 24:27 22:47
1,340  Sadee Paulson 11 23:24 22:41 23:29 23:28 23:34 23:43
1,362  Elena Harrie 10 23:27 23:27 23:20 23:53 23:33 23:02
1,365  Emily Slade 12 23:27 23:18 23:10 23:27 23:34 23:57
Alexa Walquist 12 23:31 23:01 23:20 23:53 23:45
Mila Bonewitz 10 23:31 22:51 23:19 23:34 23:32 25:11
Sophia Gilliam 12 23:32 23:25 23:15 23:21 23:44 23:39 23:53
Piper Elling 11 23:33 22:38 23:29 23:11 23:52 25:47
Keeley Rohrer 9 23:34 22:51 23:47 23:17 23:47 24:08
Jacqueline Roth 11 23:37 23:14 24:27 24:18 23:32 23:28 23:07
Sonya Schuster 10 23:43 27:24 23:37 23:24 23:51 23:40 23:26
Emma Imler 9 23:52 23:37 23:01 25:12 23:38 23:51 24:25
Kate Naas 9 23:57 24:21 24:05 23:49 23:20 24:08
Lisa Venckus 12 24:05 23:04 23:40 24:33 24:10 24:42 24:12
Juliet Bailey 9 24:09 23:26 23:35 24:43 25:06
Annie Lim 10 24:14 23:49 23:38 24:05 25:23 24:49
Ava Kinney 10 24:24 24:36 23:44 24:31 24:37
Melaina Eckhart 9 24:35 26:05 25:30 25:01 24:12 23:54 23:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.9 119 28.3 56.7 11.1 2.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.3 60 79.1 15.9 4.1 0.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 57 89.5 9.5 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 32 92.1 7.6 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 12.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.8 4.0 5.3 5.5 7.8 7.1 7.2 8.0 7.7 7.1 5.8 5.9 5.2 3.6 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 99.9%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.1 3.9 4.8 5.1 6.7 7.0 6.9 7.6 8.0 6.3 6.1 5.2 4.6 4.0 3.2 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.1 99.9%
Jamie Klavon 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.6 2.2 3.1 3.6 4.6 4.8 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.6 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.8 98.1%
Olivia Mundt 100% 64.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 27.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 73.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.2%
Evelyn Taller 100% 114.3 0.3%
Raya Chauhan 100% 156.8 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 4.6 0.8 11.3 23.3 24.3 17.8 10.2 5.7 3.1 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 5.0 0.4 7.8 17.7 23.5 20.8 13.0 6.9 4.2 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 8.5 0.2 1.3 3.5 7.8 14.7 15.4 14.3 11.0 9.2 6.3 4.9 3.6 2.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 27.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.2 2.3 2.2 2.8 2.8 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.7 4.2 3.9 3.4 2.9 99.7%
Charlotte Konow 100% 32.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.8 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.3 98.8%
Evelyn Taller 100% 56.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 76.0%
Raya Chauhan 100% 87.8 10.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 4.5 1.0 11.5 24.0 27.0 21.2 9.8 3.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 4.9 0.4 7.3 19.5 26.0 23.9 14.5 5.3 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 7.4 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.9 10.8 23.3 26.0 16.7 8.3 4.3 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 17.7 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 4.6 5.8 5.4 5.7 6.1 7.3 5.9 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.0 5.4 5.0 4.3 4.1 100.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 20.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.0 4.3 5.1 5.0 5.6 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.2 5.1 100.0%
Evelyn Taller 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.7 3.1 100.0%
Raya Chauhan 100% 43.9 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 1.1 46.8 34.5 12.9 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
Jasmine Klopstad 1.4 35.3 38.6 17.9 5.8 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.1
Jamie Klavon 3.5 1.3 6.2 28.7 29.8 18.1 8.5 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Olivia Mundt 10.7 0.3 1.7 4.5 7.9 8.4 9.7 10.0 10.0 10.1 8.6 8.5 6.5 5.2 3.9 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
Charlotte Konow 12.4 0.0 0.7 2.0 4.0 5.6 6.5 7.8 8.6 10.0 10.7 10.2 9.3 8.1 5.8 4.3 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Evelyn Taller 18.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.7 3.1 4.2 6.7 9.7 11.0 12.7 15.1 14.4 10.4 5.2 1.9 0.9
Raya Chauhan 24.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 4.0 8.5 14.1 18.2 20.7