Carmel
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 38.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/7 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 124 549 138 486 90 132 192 119 706 297 231 125 129
Team Adjusted Rating 124 138 124 90 132 138 119 124 130 133 125 129
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Nike Valley Twilight Noblesville JV Meet Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
11  Alivia Romaniuk 12 18:26 18:14 18:17 18:13 18:21 18:50 18:30 18:28
13  Jasmine Klopstad 11 18:30 18:24 18:08 18:34 18:43 18:19 18:33 18:25 18:52
14  Jamie Klavon 12 18:35 18:46 18:37 18:30 19:04 18:32 18:29 18:27 18:47
60  Olivia Mundt 9 19:26 20:11 19:04 19:43 19:09 19:27 19:25 19:30 19:21
110  Raya Chauhan 9 19:49 20:58 20:40 20:36 20:29 20:42 20:03 20:13 19:41
128  Charlotte Konow 9 19:55 19:31 19:29 19:51 19:59 19:49 20:00 19:52 20:40
164  Evelyn Taller 12 20:08 19:55 20:09 19:47 19:52 20:05 20:26 20:22 20:13
234  Cara Naas 10 20:29 21:10 20:22 21:07 20:25 20:08 20:28
303  Lilian Rose 12 20:47 25:21 20:38 21:04 20:40 20:58 20:26 20:39
356  Kara Wenzler 10 21:04 20:55 21:17 20:59
368  Emersyn Weaver 10 21:06 20:48 21:07 20:20 21:18 20:50 21:35 21:19
381  Aleksa Aiello 9 21:09 21:12 21:09 21:33 20:49 21:22 20:56
399  Christina McCollum 11 21:12 21:12 21:55 20:48 21:07 21:04 21:26 21:09
409  Sofia Vasquez 9 21:14 21:06 21:10 21:42 20:59 21:16
416  Olivia McKee 12 21:15 21:49 21:03 21:27 20:59 21:03 21:26
421  Chloe Del Carlo 10 21:17 20:44 21:07 21:49
446  Bethany Lee 10 21:22 21:09 21:25 21:22 21:18 21:33
454  Sophia Hudak 11 21:23 21:52 21:01 21:44 21:09
478  Audrey Ricketts 10 21:28 21:37 21:51 21:11 21:31 21:40 21:13 21:28
514  Madeline Weisner 10 21:33 22:48 21:56 21:28 21:47 21:21 21:15 21:24
541  Lani Samms 10 21:37 21:49 21:09 21:36 21:42 22:06 21:07 21:51
573  Nola Elling 9 21:42 21:54 22:15 21:26 21:45 21:46 21:14 21:51 21:43
601  Ella Gaddis 9 21:46 22:12 21:33 21:47 21:40 21:28 22:04
643  Katy Dascoli 9 21:53 22:42 22:26 21:56 22:29 21:46 21:31 21:30 21:51
665  Darshini Shankar 11 21:57 23:25 21:31 22:13 22:08 22:09 21:38 21:41
688  Chloe De Leon 10 22:01 22:15 21:58 21:58 21:57
702  Ava Sinex 11 22:03 21:57 22:19 21:33 21:59 22:48 22:01 21:51 22:11
729  Chenyao Liu 11 22:07 22:36 21:37 22:24 22:05 22:26 22:06 21:44
737  Sage Moore 12 22:08 23:06 21:19 22:10 22:07 22:04 21:49 22:39
785  Evelyn Walquist 9 22:15 21:50 22:23 22:06 22:08 22:06 22:48 22:27 22:07
808  Sophia Turner 12 22:18 21:52 21:47 21:59 21:58 23:13 22:23 22:38
937  Andrea Bendaly 9 22:33 23:51 22:38 21:43 21:59 22:45 22:46
965  Marianne Cadio 12 22:38 22:29 22:14 23:09
990  Savannah Paulson 11 22:40 23:03 22:46 22:44 22:20 22:30 22:39 22:51
1,010  Maria Vega-Lara 10 22:42 23:25 22:36 22:25
1,023  Veronica Strzynski 9 22:44 23:15 22:37 23:20 22:44 22:19 22:37
1,084  Audrey Schuster 12 22:51 22:28 22:53 23:04 22:29 23:57 22:50 22:42
1,088  Audrey Nace 9 22:52 23:35 23:27 22:37 23:17 22:07 22:41 22:23 23:35
1,147  Kaitlin Langland 11 23:00 24:13 22:24 23:14 22:57 22:51 23:29 22:36
1,188  Grace Hutton 12 23:06 24:01 23:35 22:43 23:44 22:38 23:04 23:08 22:53
1,243  Isabel Meyers 12 23:12 23:07 22:40 23:21 23:28 23:01 23:59 23:03
1,288  Ella Joliet 12 23:18 23:11 23:44 24:39 22:53 23:13 23:10 23:10
1,323  Melinda Yong 10 23:22 23:40 23:24 23:24 23:22 23:12 23:21
1,336  Dayton Schnase 12 23:24 23:37 22:39 22:44 24:11 23:40 23:14 23:59 23:15
Alexa Walquist 12 23:32 23:27 24:04 23:52 23:26 23:30 23:16
Sadee Paulson 11 23:32 23:38 23:35 23:44 23:50 23:25 23:14
Becca Howard 9 23:32 24:15 23:20 23:33 23:39 23:08 23:33 23:41 23:29
Victoria Manlick 12 23:41 23:44 23:43 23:36 23:31 23:57
Melaina Eckhart 9 23:43 26:27 25:12 24:20 24:05 23:44 23:28 23:15 22:41
Madelyn Putman 9 23:43 23:47 23:12 22:36 23:27 24:00 23:45 23:51 24:45
Elena Harrie 10 23:45 23:29 24:00 23:43 23:08 24:00 23:32 24:21
Keeley Rohrer 9 23:46 23:56 23:24 23:57 24:16 23:36 23:50 23:38
Sonya Schuster 10 23:48 27:50 23:33 23:58 23:50 23:32 23:48 23:46 23:44
Sophia Gilliam 12 23:58 23:41 23:29 23:51 23:49 24:00 24:11 23:52 24:30
Jacqueline Roth 11 23:59 23:30 24:28 23:38 23:38 23:14 24:33 24:45
Piper Elling 11 24:00 22:53 23:37 23:17 24:03 25:58 24:15 24:05
Mila Bonewitz 10 24:01 23:06 23:27 23:41 23:42 25:20 25:33
Kate Naas 9 24:02 24:39 23:58 23:27 24:19
Emma Imler 9 24:03 23:54 25:23 23:45 24:01 24:33 23:32
Emily Slade 12 24:09 23:33 23:34 23:44 24:04 25:01 24:16 24:37
Mary Schuh 12 24:21 24:30 24:47 24:57 24:12 24:26 23:37
Annie Lim 10 24:27 24:06 23:47 24:13 25:36 24:58 24:28 24:12 24:32
Lisa Venckus 12 24:32 23:19 24:44 24:18 24:54 24:19 24:50 24:43 24:26
Juliet Bailey 9 24:34 23:42 24:54 25:15 24:46 24:14 24:28
Maggie Meyer 10 24:38 23:12 22:31 25:47 26:53
Ava Kinney 10 24:45 23:53 24:39 24:49 25:33 25:03 24:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.8 114 38.1 47.8 10.6 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.2 53 86.2 12.1 1.5 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 52 93.1 6.5 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 96.0 4.0 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 10.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 4.3 6.1 7.1 8.6 8.7 8.6 8.2 7.7 6.8 5.9 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 11.8 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.8 3.6 5.4 6.2 7.4 7.8 8.1 8.1 7.5 6.8 5.8 5.3 4.0 3.7 3.1 2.1 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.9 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.4 4.5 5.8 6.3 6.9 7.2 7.7 7.5 6.5 6.0 5.3 4.3 3.8 3.2 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 56.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 60.2%
Raya Chauhan 100% 95.2 0.0 0.0 12.6%
Charlotte Konow 100% 105.5 6.3%
Evelyn Taller 100% 124.6 1.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 4.3 0.0 4.5 7.7 30.4 25.3 16.7 9.5 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 4.9 2.4 5.0 19.2 25.6 22.3 14.3 6.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 5.6 1.1 2.8 11.8 19.0 27.1 19.3 9.3 4.6 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 19.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.9 4.4 4.7 4.8 5.3 4.8 4.4 4.7 4.3 4.0 4.3 3.8 3.5 100.0%
Raya Chauhan 100% 36.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 99.9%
Charlotte Konow 100% 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 99.4%
Evelyn Taller 100% 53.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 96.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 100% 4.3 0.0 4.2 7.7 31.1 26.1 17.4 9.5 3.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jasmine Klopstad 100% 4.9 2.4 5.5 19.3 24.9 25.2 14.7 5.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jamie Klavon 100% 5.5 1.1 2.9 12.2 20.7 27.0 21.7 9.4 3.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 14.1 0.3 2.8 6.3 7.3 7.6 8.8 8.1 7.7 7.4 7.2 7.5 6.0 5.2 4.5 3.5 3.0 2.2 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Raya Chauhan 100% 22.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.9 4.6 5.9 6.0 6.8 7.0 7.7 6.9 7.0 100.0%
Charlotte Konow 100% 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.7 3.6 4.9 5.4 6.4 6.7 7.0 7.4 100.0%
Evelyn Taller 100% 29.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.7 2.7 4.2 4.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alivia Romaniuk 1.1 48.4 30.3 16.9 3.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jasmine Klopstad 1.6 30.2 34.1 27.7 6.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Jamie Klavon 2.1 16.6 28.1 40.6 11.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Olivia Mundt 8.3 0.0 3.2 11.5 10.1 11.2 10.6 9.9 10.1 10.4 8.3 6.2 3.7 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Raya Chauhan 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.7 6.3 8.2 11.3 12.1 12.1 10.2 8.8 6.7 4.9 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Charlotte Konow 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.5 3.8 5.9 8.3 10.4 10.8 11.2 10.7 9.9 8.9 6.2 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.1
Evelyn Taller 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.4 5.4 8.3 9.6 11.2 13.9 12.9 10.8 8.8 6.0 3.0 0.8