Nebraska
Big Ten
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#140
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#208
Pace77.4#19
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#142
First Shot+2.5#103
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#277
Layup/Dunks+4.5#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#301
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
Freethrows+0.9#113
Improvement+2.4#53

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#210
Layups/Dunks+2.8#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#271
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#281
Freethrows+1.7#73
Improvement-2.3#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 84.0% 69.9% 85.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 14
Quad 21 - 72 - 21
Quad 31 - 13 - 22
Quad 46 - 19 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 213   Western Illinois L 74-75 73%     0 - 1 -5.8 -10.6 +4.9
  Nov 12, 2021 212   Sam Houston St. W 74-65 73%     1 - 1 +4.2 -3.3 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2021 45   Creighton L 69-77 28%     1 - 2 -0.3 -1.7 +1.6
  Nov 19, 2021 336   Idaho St. W 78-60 92%     2 - 2 +3.9 +8.5 -2.8
  Nov 21, 2021 240   Southern W 82-59 78%     3 - 2 +16.2 -0.9 +14.9
  Nov 23, 2021 308   Tennessee St. W 79-73 87%     4 - 2 -4.9 -1.4 -3.6
  Nov 27, 2021 234   South Dakota W 83-70 78%     5 - 2 +6.5 +2.1 +3.9
  Dec 01, 2021 97   @ North Carolina St. L 100-104 4OT 26%     5 - 3 +4.3 -4.2 +9.8
  Dec 04, 2021 27   @ Indiana L 55-68 11%     5 - 4 0 - 1 +2.1 -10.2 +12.7
  Dec 07, 2021 24   Michigan L 67-102 20%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -24.7 -8.8 -12.4
  Dec 11, 2021 8   Auburn L 68-99 7%     5 - 6 -13.2 -0.9 -10.2
  Dec 19, 2021 55   Kansas St. L 58-67 32%     5 - 7 -2.6 -13.7 +11.8
  Dec 22, 2021 214   Kennesaw St. W 88-74 73%     6 - 7 +9.1 +0.4 +6.7
  Jan 02, 2022 22   Ohio St. L 79-87 OT 20%     6 - 8 0 - 3 +2.6 +6.3 -3.5
  Jan 05, 2022 20   @ Michigan St. L 67-79 10%     6 - 9 0 - 4 +3.8 -0.7 +5.1
  Jan 08, 2022 64   @ Rutgers L 65-93 19%     6 - 10 0 - 5 -17.3 +1.0 -18.5
  Jan 11, 2022 11   Illinois L 71-81 12%     6 - 11 0 - 6 +4.2 +3.6 +0.6
  Jan 14, 2022 4   @ Purdue L 65-92 4%     6 - 12 0 - 7 -5.3 -3.6 -0.5
  Jan 17, 2022 27   Indiana L 71-78 21%     6 - 13 0 - 8 +3.1 +7.5 -4.7
  Jan 22, 2022 22   @ Ohio St. L 68-82 8%    
  Jan 25, 2022 25   Wisconsin L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 64   Rutgers L 68-72 37%    
  Feb 01, 2022 24   @ Michigan L 67-81 9%    
  Feb 05, 2022 59   Northwestern L 74-79 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 91   Minnesota L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 13, 2022 21   @ Iowa L 75-89 8%    
  Feb 18, 2022 70   Maryland L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 22, 2022 59   @ Northwestern L 71-81 18%    
  Feb 25, 2022 21   Iowa L 78-87 21%    
  Feb 28, 2022 56   @ Penn St. L 64-74 16%    
  Mar 06, 2022 25   @ Wisconsin L 66-80 10%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 1.7 6.1 7.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 18.7 13th
14th 5.9 18.1 23.8 17.0 5.8 0.7 0.0 71.5 14th
Total 5.9 18.3 25.5 23.4 15.0 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.0% 0.0
8-12 0.2% 0.2
7-13 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 1.0
6-14 3.2% 3.2
5-15 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-16 15.0% 15.0
3-17 23.4% 23.4
2-18 25.5% 25.5
1-19 18.3% 18.3
0-20 5.9% 5.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.8%