Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#334
Expected Predictive Rating-11.3#322
Pace66.9#235
Improvement+1.4#114

Offense
Total Offense-10.6#355
First Shot-9.3#354
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#280
Layup/Dunks-3.7#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.3#355
Freethrows-2.3#323
Improvement-0.8#231

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#193
First Shot-0.7#195
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#168
Layups/Dunks+2.2#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#335
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+2.2#58
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.7% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 3.6% 11.2% 2.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.4% 86.7% 63.5%
Conference Champion 2.5% 9.6% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four2.7% 3.7% 2.5%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 411 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 308   Tennessee St. W 82-73 48%     1 - 0 -1.9 +0.2 -2.4
  Nov 13, 2021 136   @ Jacksonville St. L 47-70 8%     1 - 1 -18.7 -21.1 +1.0
  Nov 16, 2021 74   @ Cincinnati L 66-89 3%     1 - 2 -13.1 -3.0 -9.1
  Nov 21, 2021 50   @ UAB L 41-86 3%     1 - 3 -33.0 -28.7 -1.7
  Nov 24, 2021 112   @ Western Kentucky L 62-88 6%     1 - 4 -19.3 -10.9 -7.2
  Dec 08, 2021 298   @ North Alabama L 45-56 29%     1 - 5 -16.5 -22.7 +5.3
  Dec 11, 2021 237   @ Samford L 50-52 18%     1 - 6 -3.6 -20.8 +17.0
  Dec 14, 2021 189   @ Troy L 57-66 12%     1 - 7 -7.8 -10.6 +2.5
  Dec 18, 2021 169   @ Indiana St. L 43-67 10%     1 - 8 -21.6 -26.2 +4.1
  Dec 30, 2021 280   @ Lipscomb L 63-66 25%     1 - 9 -7.4 -12.2 +4.6
  Jan 03, 2022 356   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-50 69%     2 - 9 1 - 0 +3.5 +9.3 +0.1
  Jan 05, 2022 357   @ Mississippi Valley W 72-67 77%     3 - 9 2 - 0 -14.0 -14.7 +0.5
  Jan 08, 2022 277   Alcorn St. L 71-78 41%     3 - 10 2 - 1 -16.1 -10.6 -5.1
  Jan 10, 2022 268   Jackson St. W 60-58 38%     4 - 10 3 - 1 -6.2 -13.1 +6.9
  Jan 15, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. L 55-59 43%     4 - 11 3 - 2 -13.6 -14.0 -0.1
  Jan 22, 2022 204   @ Texas Southern L 56-68 12%    
  Jan 24, 2022 303   @ Prairie View L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 29, 2022 320   Florida A&M W 62-61 57%    
  Jan 31, 2022 348   Bethune-Cookman W 64-59 70%    
  Feb 05, 2022 240   @ Southern L 60-70 18%    
  Feb 07, 2022 322   @ Grambling St. L 63-67 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 357   Mississippi Valley W 75-62 89%    
  Feb 14, 2022 356   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 69-59 84%    
  Feb 19, 2022 348   @ Bethune-Cookman W 62-61 49%    
  Feb 21, 2022 320   @ Florida A&M L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 26, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 66-63 64%    
  Mar 03, 2022 322   Grambling St. W 66-65 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 240   Southern L 63-68 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.5 4.8 6.7 1.3 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.2 3.9 8.9 2.6 0.1 15.7 5th
6th 0.0 2.3 9.2 4.0 0.2 15.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 7.1 5.6 0.4 13.9 7th
8th 0.4 4.3 5.9 1.0 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.3 4.3 1.3 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.8 10.2 16.9 20.2 18.7 14.5 8.3 3.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 87.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
14-4 75.1% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 30.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
12-6 6.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.0% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.1 0.9
13-5 3.4% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.3 3.1
12-6 8.3% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.5 7.8
11-7 14.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.6 13.9
10-8 18.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.5 18.2
9-9 20.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.4 19.8
8-10 16.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 16.6
7-11 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
6-12 4.8% 4.8
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%