Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.3#322
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#317
Pace72.4#80
Improvement+1.7#92

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#324
First Shot-4.1#300
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#297
Layup/Dunks-0.9#201
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#153
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#305
Freethrows+0.7#120
Improvement+3.4#20

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#309
First Shot-1.2#210
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#353
Layups/Dunks+1.7#120
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#239
Freethrows-2.4#315
Improvement-1.8#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.2% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 52.4% 22.5%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 4.6%
First Four3.0% 3.1% 1.9%
First Round1.3% 1.3% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 91.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 410 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 96   @ Grand Canyon L 53-74 5%     0 - 1 -12.6 -14.0 +0.6
  Nov 12, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 62-88 1%     0 - 2 -8.1 +0.8 -8.7
  Nov 15, 2021 193   @ New Mexico L 61-86 14%     0 - 3 -23.9 -19.7 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2021 36   @ Iowa St. L 47-82 2%     0 - 4 -21.2 -11.8 -12.2
  Nov 28, 2021 326   Morgan St. W 74-59 52%     1 - 4 +4.1 -6.2 +9.7
  Nov 29, 2021 231   Norfolk St. L 63-70 26%     1 - 5 -10.6 -10.2 -0.3
  Dec 04, 2021 18   @ Connecticut L 59-88 2%     1 - 6 -12.7 -3.8 -9.9
  Dec 11, 2021 353   @ Incarnate Word L 62-72 61%     1 - 7 -23.1 -20.9 -1.8
  Dec 14, 2021 50   @ UAB L 61-79 3%     1 - 8 -6.0 -11.3 +6.7
  Dec 21, 2021 57   @ TCU L 55-90 3%     1 - 9 -23.9 -11.2 -11.8
  Dec 28, 2021 133   @ Southern Illinois L 64-75 9%     1 - 10 -6.4 -7.4 +1.3
  Jan 05, 2022 204   Texas Southern L 61-67 29%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -10.4 -12.9 +2.5
  Jan 08, 2022 348   @ Bethune-Cookman W 68-66 55%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -9.5 -4.2 -5.2
  Jan 10, 2022 320   @ Florida A&M L 66-75 40%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -16.6 -5.4 -11.5
  Jan 15, 2022 240   Southern W 83-77 37%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -0.8 +13.1 -13.5
  Jan 22, 2022 357   Mississippi Valley W 83-69 91%    
  Jan 24, 2022 356   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 77-66 87%    
  Jan 29, 2022 268   @ Jackson St. L 60-67 24%    
  Jan 31, 2022 277   @ Alcorn St. L 68-74 27%    
  Feb 05, 2022 339   Alabama St. W 74-70 67%    
  Feb 07, 2022 334   Alabama A&M W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 12, 2022 204   @ Texas Southern L 64-75 15%    
  Feb 14, 2022 303   @ Prairie View L 75-80 32%    
  Feb 19, 2022 240   @ Southern L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 26, 2022 320   Florida A&M W 70-68 61%    
  Feb 28, 2022 348   Bethune-Cookman W 71-65 73%    
  Mar 03, 2022 334   @ Alabama A&M L 65-66 43%    
  Mar 05, 2022 339   @ Alabama St. L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.7 0.1 5.2 3rd
4th 0.4 4.1 4.0 0.4 8.9 4th
5th 0.2 3.6 7.1 1.5 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 8.9 3.1 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 8.3 6.0 0.3 16.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 6.7 7.7 1.0 16.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 4.9 6.5 1.6 0.0 14.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.9 0.9 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.0 9.1 15.6 20.3 20.1 15.2 9.1 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-4 93.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 44.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
12-6 8.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.2% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.1% 14.1% 14.1% 16.0 0.2 1.0
12-6 4.0% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.4 3.6
11-7 9.1% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.7 8.4
10-8 15.2% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.7 14.5
9-9 20.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.7 19.4
8-10 20.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 20.0
7-11 15.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.6
6-12 9.1% 9.1
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 3.1 96.9 0.0%