Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#104
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#50
Pace69.9#166
Improvement+3.9#10

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#126
First Shot+1.2#147
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#152
Layup/Dunks-3.5#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#77
Freethrows+1.3#106
Improvement+1.2#75

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#101
First Shot+6.2#23
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#350
Layups/Dunks+1.4#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#46
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement+2.7#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 1.1% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 14.7% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.5% 12.7% 4.9%
Average Seed 9.8 9.4 10.2
.500 or above 36.1% 51.1% 28.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.2% 35.5% 26.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 5.7% 9.9%
First Four2.7% 3.9% 2.1%
First Round7.6% 12.3% 5.2%
Second Round2.7% 4.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 23 - 46 - 12
Quad 34 - 310 - 15
Quad 44 - 013 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 313   Georgia Southern W 84-62 92%     1 - 0 +10.7 +2.7 +7.8
  Nov 09, 2023 224   Howard W 88-85 83%     2 - 0 -2.8 +3.8 -6.7
  Nov 14, 2023 128   Umass Lowell L 71-74 68%     2 - 1 -3.5 -6.0 +2.6
  Nov 22, 2023 36   @ Cincinnati L 54-89 17%     2 - 2 -20.4 -12.8 -7.3
  Nov 28, 2023 27   Mississippi St. W 67-59 31%     3 - 2 +17.6 +1.9 +15.5
  Dec 02, 2023 12   Duke W 72-68 21%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +16.8 +10.7 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2023 88   @ Georgia L 69-73 34%    
  Dec 09, 2023 344   Alabama A&M W 83-63 97%    
  Dec 16, 2023 115   Penn St. W 75-74 53%    
  Dec 21, 2023 133   Massachusetts W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 03, 2024 71   @ Florida St. L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 06, 2024 97   Boston College W 72-69 59%    
  Jan 09, 2024 153   Notre Dame W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 13, 2024 12   @ Duke L 64-78 9%    
  Jan 16, 2024 34   @ Clemson L 67-78 17%    
  Jan 20, 2024 30   Virginia L 59-64 33%    
  Jan 23, 2024 50   Pittsburgh L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 27, 2024 58   @ Virginia Tech L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 30, 2024 14   North Carolina L 73-81 23%    
  Feb 03, 2024 67   @ North Carolina St. L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 06, 2024 70   Wake Forest L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 10, 2024 157   @ Louisville W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 14, 2024 153   @ Notre Dame W 67-66 53%    
  Feb 17, 2024 87   Syracuse W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 21, 2024 34   Clemson L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 24, 2024 39   @ Miami (FL) L 71-81 19%    
  Mar 02, 2024 71   Florida St. L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 05, 2024 70   @ Wake Forest L 73-79 28%    
  Mar 09, 2024 30   @ Virginia L 56-67 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.2 1.2 2.0 0.6 0.1 4.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 2.8 1.3 0.2 5.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 6.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.4 2.8 4.4 1.4 0.1 9.0 9th
10th 0.3 2.2 5.4 2.7 0.2 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.3 3.9 0.6 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.1 4.6 1.1 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.6 3.9 4.1 1.1 0.1 10.9 13th
14th 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.4 14th
15th 0.2 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 4.3 15th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.1 5.9 9.1 12.1 13.6 13.7 11.8 10.0 7.5 5.3 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 80.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 53.4% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 94.9% 4.2% 90.7% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.7%
15-5 0.8% 95.3% 9.1% 86.2% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.8%
14-6 1.8% 82.4% 4.7% 77.8% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 81.6%
13-7 3.4% 60.9% 4.7% 56.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 59.0%
12-8 5.3% 39.6% 4.4% 35.2% 10.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.1 3.2 36.9%
11-9 7.5% 13.8% 2.5% 11.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 6.4 11.6%
10-10 10.0% 4.4% 1.5% 3.0% 11.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 3.0%
9-11 11.8% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.6 0.1%
8-12 13.7% 1.2% 1.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.5
7-13 13.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 13.4
6-14 12.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.0
5-15 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-16 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-17 3.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-18 1.2% 1.2
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20
Total 100% 9.1% 1.7% 7.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.3 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 90.9 7.5%