Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#123
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#146
Pace71.0#143
Improvement-1.1#258

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#178
First Shot+2.3#113
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#341
Layup/Dunks+3.2#69
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement-0.3#204

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#85
First Shot+0.9#136
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#46
Layups/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement-0.8#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 12.9% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 92.6% 96.7% 88.2%
.500 or above in Conference 86.1% 92.9% 79.0%
Conference Champion 11.2% 16.6% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round10.9% 12.9% 8.7%
Second Round1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Away) - 51.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 21 - 32 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 9
Quad 412 - 218 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 256 Texas St. W 83-48 84%     1 - 0 +26.7 +6.9 +19.5
  Sun, Nov 9 316 Le Moyne W 83-60 90%     2 - 0 +11.0 +0.8 +10.1
  Sat, Nov 15 133 @Davidson L 87-91 42%     2 - 1 +0.6 +6.9 -5.9
  Wed, Nov 19 120 William & Mary L 74-82 59%     2 - 2 -8.0 -6.5 -0.7
  Mon, Nov 24 305 Bucknell W 71-66 83%     3 - 2 -2.8 -3.0 +0.2
  Wed, Nov 26 332 VMI W 81-48 88%     4 - 2 +22.5 +5.8 +18.3
  Mon, Dec 1 67 @Kansas St. W 82-66 20%     5 - 2 +27.5 +20.8 +8.1
  Sat, Dec 6 84 Utah Valley L 71-82 45%     5 - 3 -7.3 -0.2 -6.9
  Tue, Dec 16 339 Chicago St. W 76-55 93%     6 - 3 +6.9 -0.9 +8.7
  Sat, Dec 20 175 @Ohio W 77-76 51%    
  Tue, Dec 30 103 Miami (OH) W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 155 @Massachusetts L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Jan 6 130 @Kent St. L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 64 Akron L 81-84 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 227 Eastern Michigan W 75-65 81%    
  Tue, Jan 20 257 @Western Michigan W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Jan 24 166 @Toledo W 78-77 50%    
  Tue, Jan 27 209 Buffalo W 79-70 78%    
  Sat, Jan 31 325 @Central Michigan W 77-68 80%    
  Tue, Feb 3 307 Ball St. W 75-61 90%    
  Wed, Feb 11 323 @Northern Illinois W 79-70 79%    
  Sat, Feb 14 166 Toledo W 80-74 71%    
  Tue, Feb 17 130 Kent St. W 82-78 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 103 @Miami (OH) L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Feb 24 257 Western Michigan W 79-68 84%    
  Sat, Feb 28 155 Massachusetts W 79-74 68%    
  Fri, Mar 6 227 @Eastern Michigan W 72-68 62%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.6 2.6 1.2 0.3 11.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.1 7.0 6.4 2.9 0.7 0.0 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.5 6.9 4.9 1.1 0.1 16.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 6.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 11.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.0 0.7 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.4 9.5 12.7 14.5 14.7 13.4 10.1 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.3 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 97.5% 1.2    1.0 0.1
16-2 80.0% 2.6    1.8 0.8 0.0
15-3 55.3% 3.6    1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 25.8% 2.6    0.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 6.0% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.2% 11.2 5.9 4.2 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 36.4% 36.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.2% 30.6% 30.6% 11.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8
16-2 3.3% 27.5% 27.5% 12.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4
15-3 6.6% 23.7% 23.7% 12.3 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.0
14-4 10.1% 19.0% 19.0% 12.5 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.1 8.2
13-5 13.4% 14.2% 14.2% 12.7 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 11.5
12-6 14.7% 10.5% 10.5% 13.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 13.1
11-7 14.5% 8.5% 8.5% 13.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 13.3
10-8 12.7% 6.4% 6.4% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 11.8
9-9 9.5% 4.0% 4.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.1
8-10 6.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.3
7-11 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 3.9
6-12 2.1% 2.1
5-13 1.0% 1.0
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 89.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 10.4 3.6 3.6 3.6 32.1 50.0 7.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%