Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.0 #37
Expected Predictive Rating +17.1 #26
Pace 62.2 #339
Improvement +1.1 #138

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #69 B+ C B B B
Defense #13 A- B+ B- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #98 1.29 #55 +4.6 #37
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #322 0.92 #19 -1.7 #276
Three Pointers 45% #95 1.06 #122 +3.0 #79
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #38 +5.9 #38
Freethrows 0.35 #55 74% #116 0.26 #53
Second Chance 30.0% #202 1.03 #162 0.31 #178
Turnovers 14.9% #59
Total Offense +4.8 #69

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #323 1.04 #49 +5.4 #33
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #57 0.66 #31 -0.4 #220
Three Pointers 43% #130 0.87 #21 +2.4 #88
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #11 +7.3 #12
Freethrows 0.29 #123 74% #267 0.21 #146
Second Chance 23.1% #7 0.99 #121 0.23 #16
Turnovers 18.5% #86
Total Defense +9.2 #13

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.3% #40 -1.9% #39
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.0% #55 -12.6% #14
Possession Length 17.0 #141 19.3 #364
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #250 0.10 #15
Improvement -2.2 #305 +3.3 #31

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.2% 4.8% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 24.8% 33.2% 13.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.0% 97.3% 91.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 94.7% 97.1% 91.5%
Average Seed 7.5 7.1 8.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 7.2% 10.4% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.1% 0.7% 4.1%
First Round94.1% 97.0% 89.9%
Second Round51.5% 56.5% 44.4%
Sweet Sixteen13.4% 15.6% 10.3%
Elite Eight4.5% 5.2% 3.5%
Final Four1.4% 1.6% 1.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: California (Away) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 25 - 7
Quad 28 - 113 - 8
Quad 36 - 019 - 8
Quad 46 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 321 New Hampshire W 88 - 38 99% +26  1 - 0 +37 +12 B+ D- A+ +26 A+ A C
 Fri, Nov 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 97 - 59 100% +21  2 - 0 +16 +14 D+ A A+ +3 C+ B C+
 Tue, Nov 11 302 Morehead St. W 83 - 56 98% +17  3 - 0 +16 +17 B- B- A+ +3 A+ F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 78 @Georgetown L 74 - 79 63% -1  3 - 1 +6 +7 C+ C- B -1 C A D+
 Mon, Nov 17 331 North Alabama W 81 - 61 99% +14  4 - 1 +6 +10 C- A+ F -2 B C- F
 Fri, Nov 21 55 West Virginia W 70 - 67 65% -2  5 - 1 +13 +9 A+ F C +4 A+ B- D-
 Sun, Nov 23 35 Georgia W 97 - 94 OT 50% -0  6 - 1 +17 +15 A A A +2 C A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 307 Alabama A&M W 92 - 56 98% +25  7 - 1 +24 +14 B+ B+ C+ +11 C+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 20 @Alabama L 84 - 90 27% -9  7 - 2 +14 +15 A F+ A -1 C+ C+ C
 Tue, Dec 9 18 BYU L 64 - 67 36% +5  7 - 3 +15 +7 C+ C+ D +7 A+ F C
 Sat, Dec 13 152 Mercer W 70 - 63 93% -0  8 - 3 +4 +1 B- F A- +4 C A+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 87 South Carolina W 68 - 61 84% +6  9 - 3 +10 +0 C C+ A- +10 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 56 Cincinnati W 68 - 65 66% +13  10 - 3 +13 +9 A+ D B- +4 B+ C- B-
 Wed, Dec 31 69 @Syracuse W 64 - 61 61% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +14 -0 A- F+ B- +15 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 93 @Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 69% +2  12 - 3 2 - 0 +14 +7 A+ D- D- +7 B+ A- C
 Wed, Jan 7 39 SMU W 74 - 70 63% +7  13 - 3 3 - 0 +15 +9 B- C+ A+ +6 A+ D A
 Sat, Jan 10 81 @Notre Dame W 76 - 61 66% +6  14 - 3 4 - 0 +25 +15 B- A- A+ +11 C+ B+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 126 Boston College W 74 - 50 91% +11  15 - 3 5 - 0 +23 +10 A- B+ C+ +15 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 40 Miami (FL) W 69 - 59 66% +9  16 - 3 6 - 0 +20 +6 A+ F+ B- +15 A+ A A+
 Tue, Jan 20 23 North Carolina St. L 76 - 80 OT 52% -3  16 - 4 6 - 1 +10 +6 B+ B- B+ +3 B+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 24 113 @Georgia Tech W 77 - 63 77% +6  17 - 4 7 - 1 +20 +13 A+ F C +8 A A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 31 93 Pittsburgh W 63 - 52 85% +10  18 - 4 8 - 1 +14 +6 C A+ D+ +10 A+ B A+
 Wed, Feb 4 82 @Stanford W 66 - 64 66% +1  19 - 4 9 - 1 +12 +7 B C+ C +5 B+ A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 7 65 @California W 69 - 67 58%
 Wed, Feb 11 58 Virginia Tech W 72 - 64 76%
 Sat, Feb 14 3 @Duke L 61 - 74 12%
 Wed, Feb 18 75 @Wake Forest W 71 - 68 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 102 Florida St. W 79 - 67 87%
 Sat, Feb 28 17 Louisville L 72 - 73 47%
 Tue, Mar 3 29 @North Carolina L 70 - 74 35%
 Sat, Mar 7 113 Georgia Tech W 77 - 63 90%
Totals 24 - 7 14 - 4 +14 +5 B+ C B +9 A- B+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 2.6 3.4 0.7 7.2 1st
2nd 0.2 5.1 17.5 16.3 3.1 42.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.7 14.6 10.3 0.9 28.6 3rd
4th 0.5 6.9 6.1 0.4 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.7 3.2 0.3 5.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.3 0.4 1.9 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 0.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.1 0.6 4.0 13.4 26.2 28.8 19.8 6.5 0.7 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.5 0.2
16-2 51.8% 3.4    1.3 2.0 0.1
15-3 13.0% 2.6    0.3 1.5 0.7 0.1
14-4 1.8% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.2% 7.2 2.1 3.8 1.0 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.7% 100.0% 8.5% 91.5% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-2 6.5% 100.0% 8.9% 91.1% 5.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.0 2.2 0.7 0.2 100.0%
15-3 19.8% 99.7% 7.7% 92.0% 6.4 0.1 0.9 3.2 6.0 6.0 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.1 99.7%
14-4 28.8% 98.1% 5.4% 92.7% 7.4 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 8.3 8.6 4.2 0.8 0.1 0.5 98.0%
13-5 26.2% 94.8% 3.9% 90.9% 8.2 0.0 0.4 1.4 4.3 7.9 7.5 3.0 0.3 1.4 94.6%
12-6 13.4% 86.2% 3.1% 83.1% 9.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 4.0 3.1 0.9 1.8 85.8%
11-7 4.0% 78.4% 1.0% 77.4% 9.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.9 78.2%
10-8 0.6% 54.8% 54.8% 10.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 54.8%
9-9 0.1% 0.0 0.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.0% 5.2% 89.8% 7.5 5.0 94.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 100.0% 4.3 17.4 43.5 30.4 8.7