Davidson
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.9#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#121
Pace65.3#268
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#160
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 3.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.1 10.9 11.8
.500 or above 42.5% 52.4% 25.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.6% 42.8% 26.1%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 11.0% 19.8%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round2.3% 2.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 35 - 67 - 14
Quad 47 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2025 146   Washington St. W 76-72 63%    
  Nov 11, 2025 174   @ Charlotte L 68-69 46%    
  Nov 15, 2025 152   Bowling Green W 72-68 64%    
  Nov 21, 2025 114   Boston College L 68-70 42%    
  Nov 28, 2025 349   N.C. A&T W 79-63 92%    
  Dec 04, 2025 345   The Citadel W 74-59 91%    
  Dec 07, 2025 49   St. Mary's L 59-67 25%    
  Dec 13, 2025 361   Mercyhurst W 75-56 95%    
  Dec 18, 2025 133   Temple W 74-72 58%    
  Dec 22, 2025 13   @ Kansas L 60-80 5%    
  Dec 30, 2025 110   Duquesne W 67-66 51%    
  Jan 03, 2026 116   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 07, 2026 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 10, 2026 128   Rhode Island W 74-72 57%    
  Jan 14, 2026 79   @ George Washington L 65-74 23%    
  Jan 21, 2026 170   Fordham W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 24, 2026 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 28, 2026 89   @ George Mason L 61-69 26%    
  Jan 31, 2026 129   @ Richmond L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 03, 2026 70   Saint Louis L 69-73 38%    
  Feb 06, 2026 108   Loyola Chicago L 70-71 50%    
  Feb 15, 2026 59   @ Dayton L 63-74 17%    
  Feb 18, 2026 129   Richmond W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 21, 2026 170   @ Fordham L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 25, 2026 110   @ Duquesne L 64-70 32%    
  Mar 01, 2026 193   La Salle W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 04, 2026 116   Saint Joseph's W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 07, 2026 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-68 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.6 3.0 0.6 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 3.8 1.3 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.4 0.5 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.3 1.0 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.6 1.9 0.1 9.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.5 2.5 0.2 10.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 10.0 13th
14th 0.5 1.5 2.5 2.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.7 14th
Total 0.5 1.6 3.3 5.8 8.0 10.0 11.6 11.7 10.9 9.6 8.5 6.9 4.9 3.1 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 65.4% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.9% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.0% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 71.4% 42.9% 28.6% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
16-2 0.5% 47.5% 24.2% 23.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 30.7%
15-3 1.0% 26.3% 14.6% 11.7% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 13.7%
14-4 2.0% 13.8% 10.7% 3.1% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7 3.4%
13-5 3.1% 13.4% 12.1% 1.3% 11.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.7 1.5%
12-6 4.9% 8.2% 7.9% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.3%
11-7 6.9% 3.7% 3.6% 0.1% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.6 0.1%
10-8 8.5% 2.3% 2.3% 11.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 8.3
9-9 9.6% 1.0% 1.0% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
8-10 10.9% 1.1% 1.1% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8
7-11 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
6-12 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 17.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
5-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 5.8% 5.8
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.6% 1.6
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 2.5% 2.0% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5 0.4%