Preseason Rankings
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#115
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.6#298
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#104
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 11.7
.500 or above 67.8% 69.5% 39.1%
.500 or above in Conference 52.2% 53.3% 34.4%
Conference Champion 5.7% 5.9% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 5.9% 13.5%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round5.5% 5.7% 1.4%
Second Round1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 94.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 8
Quad 35 - 48 - 12
Quad 49 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 335   Niagara W 73-56 94%    
  Nov 07, 2025 254   Sacred Heart W 78-67 86%    
  Nov 11, 2025 245   Queens W 76-65 84%    
  Nov 15, 2025 39   @ Villanova L 57-70 13%    
  Nov 19, 2025 317   Loyola Maryland W 74-59 91%    
  Nov 22, 2025 226   Northeastern W 71-64 73%    
  Dec 02, 2025 229   William & Mary W 79-69 81%    
  Dec 06, 2025 288   Stony Brook W 72-59 88%    
  Dec 10, 2025 62   @ Boise St. L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 13, 2025 98   @ Nevada L 61-66 34%    
  Dec 22, 2025 346   Canisius W 75-57 94%    
  Dec 30, 2025 144   @ Davidson L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 03, 2026 58   Virginia Commonwealth L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 07, 2026 111   @ Saint Joseph's L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 13, 2026 65   Dayton L 65-67 42%    
  Jan 17, 2026 164   @ Fordham W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 20, 2026 72   Saint Louis L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 24, 2026 103   @ Loyola Chicago L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 28, 2026 120   St. Bonaventure W 66-62 63%    
  Feb 01, 2026 146   Rhode Island W 74-68 68%    
  Feb 04, 2026 99   @ George Mason L 61-66 35%    
  Feb 07, 2026 85   George Washington W 69-68 50%    
  Feb 14, 2026 120   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-65 44%    
  Feb 18, 2026 196   La Salle W 73-64 76%    
  Feb 21, 2026 65   @ Dayton L 62-70 24%    
  Feb 25, 2026 144   Davidson W 69-63 68%    
  Feb 28, 2026 72   @ Saint Louis L 64-72 27%    
  Mar 04, 2026 146   @ Rhode Island L 70-71 49%    
  Mar 07, 2026 137   Richmond W 67-62 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.8 1.9 0.6 0.1 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 3.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.4 4.5 1.3 0.1 8.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.3 2.0 0.2 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.4 0.8 0.1 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.0 6.9 8.5 10.7 11.3 11.3 10.3 9.4 7.7 5.9 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 91.6% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
15-3 74.1% 1.7    1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.3% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 14.7% 0.9    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 85.1% 55.1% 30.0% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.8%
17-1 0.4% 75.3% 39.4% 36.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 59.3%
16-2 1.1% 58.1% 31.9% 26.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 38.4%
15-3 2.3% 38.6% 24.3% 14.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.4 18.9%
14-4 3.9% 24.7% 20.0% 4.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.9 5.8%
13-5 5.9% 15.5% 13.8% 1.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.0 1.9%
12-6 7.7% 9.2% 8.9% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.0 0.3%
11-7 9.4% 6.0% 6.0% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.9
10-8 10.3% 3.4% 3.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.0
9-9 11.3% 2.1% 2.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.1
8-10 11.3% 1.2% 1.2% 13.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.1
7-11 10.7% 0.3% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 8.5% 0.5% 0.5% 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
5-13 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 3.2% 3.2
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.8% 4.7% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 94.2 1.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.7 32.8 67.2