Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#140
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#215
Pace77.1#28
Improvement+0.3#157

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#131
First Shot+1.5#131
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#197
Layup/Dunks+2.5#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows+0.8#125
Improvement+1.5#71

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#168
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#231
Layups/Dunks+1.6#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#63
Freethrows-4.1#355
Improvement-1.2#280
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 13.8
.500 or above 31.2% 32.8% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 30.5% 31.3% 18.9%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 5.2% 9.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 92.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 48 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 353 Niagara W 83-63 94%     1 - 0 +3.9 +2.3 +1.3
  Fri, Nov 7 268 Sacred Heart W 92-80 83%     2 - 0 +3.2 +7.6 -5.0
  Tue, Nov 11 210 Queens W 87-81 OT 76%     3 - 0 -0.3 -10.5 +9.1
  Sat, Nov 15 39 @Villanova L 77-87 10%     3 - 1 +5.4 +11.0 -5.7
  Wed, Nov 19 340 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 92%     4 - 1 -0.1 +4.9 -5.8
  Sat, Nov 22 212 Northeastern L 86-93 67%     4 - 2 -10.4 -1.1 -8.0
  Tue, Dec 2 120 William & Mary L 79-83 55%     4 - 3 -4.1 -0.9 -2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 239 Stony Brook W 84-75 79%     5 - 3 +1.6 +9.0 -7.3
  Wed, Dec 10 46 @Boise St. L 64-86 12%     5 - 4 -7.8 -0.4 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 13 98 @Nevada L 75-78 26%     5 - 5 +5.0 +8.3 -3.4
  Mon, Dec 22 342 Canisius W 78-63 93%    
  Tue, Dec 30 126 @Davidson L 74-78 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 50 Virginia Commonwealth L 75-82 27%    
  Wed, Jan 7 174 @Saint Joseph's L 76-77 47%    
  Tue, Jan 13 61 Dayton L 76-81 34%    
  Sat, Jan 17 196 @Fordham W 73-72 52%    
  Tue, Jan 20 34 Saint Louis L 79-88 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 289 @Loyola Chicago W 80-75 69%    
  Wed, Jan 28 111 St. Bonaventure W 77-76 53%    
  Sun, Feb 1 116 Rhode Island W 77-76 53%    
  Wed, Feb 4 75 @George Mason L 70-79 20%    
  Sat, Feb 7 79 George Washington L 83-86 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 111 @St. Bonaventure L 74-79 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 238 La Salle W 78-69 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 61 @Dayton L 73-84 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 126 Davidson W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 34 @Saint Louis L 76-91 9%    
  Wed, Mar 4 116 @Rhode Island L 74-79 32%    
  Sat, Mar 7 104 Richmond W 80-79 50%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.4 3.4 0.8 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 4.8 1.7 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 5.5 3.0 0.3 10.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.1 0.8 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 5.3 5.9 1.5 0.1 14.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 4.8 5.8 2.0 0.1 13.9 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 3.7 4.5 1.4 0.1 11.2 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 6.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.3 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.5 7.6 11.5 14.0 15.2 14.5 11.4 8.2 5.4 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 8.6% 8.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 7.7% 7.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.5% 8.6% 8.6% 11.6 0.1 0.1 1.3
12-6 3.0% 3.8% 3.8% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
11-7 5.4% 2.8% 2.8% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.3
10-8 8.2% 1.6% 1.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.1
9-9 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
8-10 14.5% 0.7% 0.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.1
6-12 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 7.6% 7.6
3-15 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.1 0.0%